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← Back to GamesSep 30, 2023Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Eastern Kentucky by 3.1

Home Win Probability

North Alabama 44%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

North Alabama +7

Edge: North Alabama +7 (3.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 30, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Eastern Kentucky
15140332
North Alabama
707822

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-87-157-227-2914-2914-3222-32
North AlabamaEastern Kentucky

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20EKNAEKNAEKNAEKNAEKNAEKNAEKNAEKNAEKNAEKNAEKNAEKNAEKNATD375ydPUNT522ydTD686ydTD375ydTO319ydPUNT1235ydTD990ydTO339ydTD461ydPUNT31ydPUNT35ydDOWNS1347ydEND433ydPUNT3-3ydTO38ydTD1152ydPUNT515ydTO1083ydPUNT39ydTO433ydFG959ydTO731ydPUNT36ydTD992ydPUNT33ydDOWNS633yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Eastern Kentucky and North Alabama
StatisticEastern KentuckyNorth Alabama
Passing14-2231-48
Pass Yards256425
Rush Yards204135
Total Yards460560
Turnovers24
3rd Down3-113-14
Penalties3-358-74
Possession27:0432:56

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Eastern Kentucky
passing
Parker McKinney
14/21, 256 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Joshua Carter
20 CAR, 138 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jaden Smith
4 REC, 75 YDS, 1 TD
North Alabama
passing
Noah Walters
21/33, 348 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Noah Walters
7 CAR, 56 YDS
receiving
Takairee Kenebrew
5 REC, 121 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+60 ydsPPA +3.52

Parker McKinney pass complete to Hunter Brown for 60 yds to the UNA 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Braedon Sloan run for 7 yds to the UNA 8

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.25

Parker McKinney 8 Yd Run (Parker McKinney Pass to Mena Mannan for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Kaden Cooper run for 9 yds to the UNA 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Noah Walters pass complete to Demarcus Lacey for 7 yds to the UNA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Demarcus Lacey run for 2 yds to the UNA 43

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Noah Walters pass complete to Demarcus Lacey for 4 yds to the UNA 47

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Noah Walters pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Adam Watford punt for 39 yds, downed at the EKU 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.94

Parker McKinney pass complete to Bryant Johnson for 9 yds to the EKU 23

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.21

Joshua Carter run for 4 yds to the EKU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.08

Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 12 yds to the EKU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.93

Joshua Carter run for 10 yds to the EKU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Joshua Carter run for 5 yds to the UNA 46

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +3.82

Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 46 yds for a TD (Patrick Nations KICK)

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Noah Walters run for 14 yds to the UNA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.67

Noah Walters pass complete to Justin Luke for 21 yds to the EKU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.19

Noah Walters pass complete to Takairee Kenebrew for 40 yds for a TD (Sam Contorno KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Braedon Sloan run for 5 yds to the UNA 49

2nd & 5Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.11

Braedon Sloan run for 14 yds to the UNA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.03

Parker McKinney pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Demarcus Lacey run for 4 yds to the UNA 11

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Kaden Cooper run for 8 yds to the UNA 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Noah Walters pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Noah Walters pass complete to Kobe Warden for 2 yds to the UNA 21

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.70

Noah Walters pass complete to Kobe Warden for 12 yds to the UNA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Demarcus Lacey run for 2 yds to the UNA 35

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Parker Driggers run for 3 yds to the UNA 38

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Demarcus Lacey run for 4 yds to the UNA 42

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.16

Parker Driggers run for 3 yds to the UNA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Noah Walters run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.43

Kaden Cooper run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNA 49

3rd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.50

Noah Walters sacked by Gabe Stephens and Jeremiah Bailey for a loss of 7 yards to the UNA 42

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Adam Watford punt for 48 yds, downed at the EKU 10

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Joshua Carter run for no gain to the EKU 10

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.26

Joshua Carter run for 8 yds to the EKU 18

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.74

Joshua Carter run for 6 yds to the EKU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.19

Joshua Carter run for 14 yds to the EKU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Parker McKinney pass complete to Jalen Burbage for 7 yds to the EKU 45

2nd & 3Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.40

Joshua Carter run for 24 yds to the UNA 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.25

Parker McKinney pass complete to Brayden Latham for 13 yds to the UNA 18 for a 1ST down North Alabama Penalty, Personal Foul (Edwin White Schultz) to the UNA 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Joshua Carter run for 5 yds to the UNA 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Joshua Carter run for 4 yds for a TD (Patrick Nations KICK)

1st & 10Rush+34 ydsPPA +2.84

Noah Walters run for 34 yds to the EKU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Dennis Moody run for 5 yds to the EKU 36

2nd & 5Interception0 ydsPPA -3.85

Noah Walters pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.01

Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Parker McKinney run for 1 yd to the UNA 49

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Braedon Sloan run for 5 yds to the UNA 44

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +4.63

Parker McKinney pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 44 yds for a TD (Patrick Nations KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Demarcus Lacey run for 3 yds to the UNA 28

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

LACEY, Demarcus rush to the left for a gain of 54 yards to the EKU18 (KELLY, Kyle). PENALTY UNA Holding on MITCHUM, Witt enforced 10 yards from the UNA28 to the UNA18 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 17Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.15

TJ Smith pass complete to Kenny Rawls for 8 yds to the UNA 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

TJ Smith pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Adam Watford punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jaden Smith at the EKU 30

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.10

Joshua Carter run for a loss of 2 yards to the EKU 28

2nd & 12Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Joshua Carter run for 7 yds to the EKU 35

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Parker McKinney pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jeremy Edwards punt for 40 yds, downed at the UNA 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

TJ Smith pass complete to Demarcus Lacey for 8 yds to the UNA 33

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

TJ Smith pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Parker Driggers run for 1 yd to the UNA 34

4th & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +2.04

Parker Driggers run for 6 yds to the UNA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

TJ Smith run for 2 yds to the UNA 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

TJ Smith pass complete to KJ Fields for 5 yds to the UNA 47

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.74

Demarcus Lacey run for 6 yds to the EKU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.96

TJ Smith sacked by Darrian Baker for a loss of 4 yards to the UNA 49

2nd & 14Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.60

TJ Smith pass complete to David Florence for 16 yds to the EKU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

TJ Smith pass complete to JJ Evans for 4 yds to the EKU 31

2nd & 6Sack-15 ydsPPA -3.58

TJ Smith sacked by Jeremiah Bailey and Darius Sterling for a loss of 15 yards to the EKU 46

3rd & 21Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.71

TJ Smith pass complete to Takairee Kenebrew for 19 yds to the EKU 27

4th & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -3.09

Parker Driggers run for a loss of 1 yard to the EKU 28

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.17

Joshua Carter run for 24 yds to the UNA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Joshua Carter run for 9 yds to the UNA 39

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Parker McKinney pass incomplete

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Parker McKinney pass incomplete

0th & 1End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Kobe Warden run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNA 21

2nd & 14Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.36

TJ Smith run for 9 yds to the UNA 30

3rd & 5Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.60

TJ Smith sacked by Frank Lee for a loss of 8 yards to the UNA 22

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Adam Watford punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Braedon Sloan run for 5 yds to the UNA 49

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Braedon Sloan run for 3 yds to the UNA 46

3rd & 2Interception0 ydsPPA -2.49

Parker McKinney pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.77

Dennis Moody run for 11 yds to the EKU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Dennis Moody run for 3 yds to the EKU 38

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Noah Walters pass complete to Kenny Rawls for 5 yds to the EKU 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Jakob Cummings run for 1 yd to the EKU 32

4th & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.48

Kaden Cooper run for 6 yds to the EKU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Demarcus Lacey run for 9 yds to the EKU 17

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.48

Noah Walters run for 3 yds to the EKU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Demarcus Lacey run for 5 yds to the EKU 9

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.54

Parker Driggers run for 8 yds to the EKU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Noah Walters run for no gain to the EKU 1

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

TJ Smith pass complete to Dakota Warfield for 1 yd for a TD (Sam Contorno KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Parker McKinney pass complete to Joshua Carter for 5 yds to the EKU 36

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.94

Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 6 yds to the EKU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Joshua Carter run for 2 yds to the EKU 44

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Parker McKinney pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Parker McKinney pass complete to Joshua Carter for 2 yds to the EKU 46

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jeremy Edwards punt for 41 yds , Kobe Warden returns for no gain to the UNA 14

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

SMITH, TJ pass deep to the left incomplete intended for LUKE, Justin broken up by FORD, Elijah at the EKU47. PENALTY UNA Personal Foul on LACEY, Demarcus EKU Personal Foul on EVANS, Cornelius , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.80

Noah Walters pass complete to Takairee Kenebrew for 14 yds to the UNA 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Demarcus Lacey run for 2 yds to the UNA 30

2nd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.27

Noah Walters pass complete to David Florence for 17 yds to the UNA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.46

Noah Walters pass complete to JJ Evans for 32 yds to the EKU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Noah Walters run for 7 yds to the EKU 14

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.20

Kaden Cooper run for 4 yds to the EKU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Demarcus Lacey run for 5 yds to the EKU 5

2nd & 5Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.64

Noah Walters pass complete to JJ Evans for 5 yds North Alabama Penalty, Offensive Holding (Kenny Rawls) to the EKU 14

2nd & 14Penalty+8 yds

WALTERS, Noah pass to the right incomplete intended for LACEY, Demarcus thrown to the EKU0. PENALTY EKU Pass Interference on KELLY, Kyle enforced at the spot of the foul for 8 yards to the EKU6 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Dennis Moody run for 2 yds to the EKU 4

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -4.67

Demarcus Lacey run for 1 yd to the EKU 3 Demarcus Lacey fumbled, recovered by EKU Mike Smith Jr.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Braedon Sloan run for 2 yds to the EKU 5

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Braedon Sloan run for 5 yds to the EKU 10

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Braedon Sloan run for 2 yds to the EKU 12

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jeremy Edwards punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Kobe Warden at the UNA 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Noah Walters pass complete to Dakota Warfield for 6 yds to the UNA 48

2nd & 4Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +1.65

Noah Walters pass complete to David Florence for 42 yds to the EKU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

DRIGGERS, Parker rush up the middle for no gain to the EKU10 (JACKSON, Ryan). PENALTY UNA Holding on SAINT, Gage enforced 10 yards from the EKU10 to the EKU20 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Noah Walters pass incomplete

2nd & 20Penalty-5 yds

North Alabama Penalty, Illegal Substitution (TEAM) to the EKU 25

2nd & 25Interception0 ydsPPA -2.64

Noah Walters pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Parker McKinney pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Joshua Carter run for 3 yds to the EKU 33

3rd & 7Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.34

Parker McKinney pass complete to Jackson Hensley for 23 yds to the UNA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Parker McKinney run for 6 yds to the UNA 38

2nd & 4Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.51

Parker McKinney pass complete to Mo Edwards Jr. for 19 yds to the UNA 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Parker McKinney pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Joshua Carter run for 7 yds to the UNA 12

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Joshua Carter run for 1 yd to the UNA 11

4th & 2Field Goal Good+28 yds

Patrick Nations 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

TJ Smith pass complete to Kobe Warden for 5 yds to the UNA 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

TJ Smith pass incomplete

3rd & 5Penalty+15 yds

SMITH, TJ pass deep to the right incomplete intended for KENEBREW, Takairee thrown to the EKU35. PENALTY EKU Pass Interference on BEMBRY, Deonta enforced 15 yards to the UNA45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Penalty+12 yds

SMITH, TJ pass short to the right incomplete intended for LACEY, Demarcus broken up by BAILEY, Jeremiah at the UNA50; QB hurried by BAILEY, Jeremiah. PENALTY EKU Pass Interference enforced at the spot of the foul for 12 yards to the EKU43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

TJ Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.61

TJ Smith pass complete to Kobe Warden for 2 yds to the EKU 41

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

TJ Smith pass incomplete

4th & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +3.04

TJ Smith pass complete to Kobe Warden for 9 yds to the EKU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.95

TJ Smith sacked for a loss of 12 yards to the EKU 44

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Joshua Carter run for 3 yds to the EKU 47

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Joshua Carter run for 4 yds to the UNA 49

3rd & 3Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.24

Parker McKinney pass complete to Joshua Carter for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jeremy Edwards punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kobe Warden at the UNA 8

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Noah Walters pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Noah Walters pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.35

Noah Walters pass complete to David Florence for 30 yds to the UNA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

North Alabama Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the UNA 33

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Noah Walters pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Noah Walters pass complete to Kobe Warden for 2 yds to the UNA 35

3rd & 13Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Noah Walters pass complete to David Florence for 4 yds to the UNA 39

4th & 9Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +4.11

Noah Walters pass complete to Dakota Warfield for 27 yds to the EKU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +1.47

Noah Walters pass complete to Dakota Warfield for 31 yds to the EKU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

JJ Evans 3 Yd pass from Noah Walters (Noah Walters Pass to David Florence for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.99

Braedon Sloan run for a loss of 4 yards to the EKU 47

2nd & 14Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Braedon Sloan run for 1 yd to the EKU 48

3rd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Parker McKinney run for 6 yds to the UNA 46

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jeremy Edwards punt for 46 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

North Alabama Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the UNA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.24

Noah Walters pass complete to Takairee Kenebrew for 14 yds to the EKU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Noah Walters pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Noah Walters pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Noah Walters pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Noah Walters pass incomplete

Situational Analysis

Eastern Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
63%
27 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
83%
6 plays
57%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
17%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th

North Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
56%
34 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
33%
9 plays
33%
9 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays