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← Back to GamesSep 16, 2023Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Dakota State by 22.7

Home Win Probability

North Dakota State 90%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 16, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Central Arkansas
71001431
North Dakota StateNorth Dakota State
21147749

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-721-1028-1035-1742-1749-1749-2449-31
North Dakota StateCentral Arkansas

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDSCANDSCACANDSCANDSCANDSCANDSCANDSCANDSCANDSCANDSTD581ydPUNT31ydPUNT33ydTD735ydTD375ydTD566ydFG1258ydTD878ydTD275ydTD975ydPUNT515ydEND35ydTO323ydTD949ydPUNT35ydTD1481ydTD1475ydPUNT3-8ydTD769ydEND345yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Central Arkansas and North Dakota State
StatisticCentral ArkansasNorth Dakota State
Passing22-3120-22
Pass Yards210246
Rush Yards221235
Total Yards431481
Turnovers20
3rd Down3-126-10
Penalties9-798-75
Possession25:2534:35

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Central Arkansas
passing
Will McElvain
22/31, 210 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
ShunDerrick Powell
18 CAR, 218 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Myles Butler
6 REC, 88 YDS, 1 TD
North Dakota State
passing
Cam Miller
18/19, 200 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
TaMerik Williams
13 CAR, 83 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Eli Green
4 REC, 86 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.68

TaMerik Williams run for 21 yds to the NDSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.06

Cam Miller pass complete to Eli Green for 35 yds to the CARK 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

TaMerik Williams run for 2 yds to the CARK 23

2nd & 8Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.01

Barika Kpeenu run for 22 yds to the CARK 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Cam Miller run for 1 yd for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

ShunDerrick Powell run for 7 yds to the CARK 35

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.25

ShunDerrick Powell run for a loss of 1 yard to the CARK 34

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Central Arkansas Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CARK 29

3rd & 9Penalty0 yds

Central Arkansas Penalty, Face mask (0 yards) (Jarrod Barnes) declined

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Chandler Caughron punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

TaMerik Williams run for 1 yd to the NDSU 35

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Cam Miller pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Cam Miller pass complete to Braylon Henderson for 2 yds to the NDSU 37

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Kaedin Steindorf punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

ShunDerrick Powell run for 8 yds to the CARK 21

2nd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.53

ShunDerrick Powell run for 11 yds to the CARK 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

ShunDerrick Powell run for no gain to the CARK 32

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.88

ShunDerrick Powell run for 10 yds to the CARK 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Will McElvain pass complete to Myles Butler for 6 yds to the CARK 48

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.24

Will McElvain pass incomplete

3rd & 4Interception Return Touchdown+35 ydsPPA -8.59

Eli Mostaert 35 Yd Interception Return (Griffin Crosa Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

ShunDerrick Powell run for no gain to the CARK 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.43

Will McElvain pass complete to Kylin James for 32 yds to the NDSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +3.35

ShunDerrick Powell run for 43 yds for a TD (Jake Gaster KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Cam Miller pass complete to Owen Johnson for 11 yds to the NDSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.86

Cam Miller run for 11 yds to the CARK 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.62

Cam Miller pass complete to Eli Green for 15 yds to the CARK 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.22

Cam Miller pass complete to Braylon Henderson for 13 yds to the CARK 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Central Arkansas Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the CARK 11

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +1.93

Cam Miller pass complete to TK Marshall for 11 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

MCELVAIN, Will pass to the left complete for 8 yards to HALE, Darius caught at the UCA33 and advanced to the UCA33, out of bounds. PENALTY Before the snap, NDS Illegal Substitution on DERRITT, Javier enforced 5 yards from the UCA25 to the UCA30. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Darius Hale run for 4 yds to the CARK 34

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Central Arkansas Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CARK 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +3.38

Will McElvain pass complete to Myles Butler for 41 yds to the NDSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Will McElvain pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Central Arkansas Penalty, False Start (Jarrod Barnes) to the NDSU 35

2nd & 15Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.99

Will McElvain pass complete to Jarrod Barnes for no gain to the NDSU 35

3rd & 15Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Will McElvain pass complete to Myles Butler for 17 yds to the NDSU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Kylin James run for 3 yds to the NDSU 15

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Central Arkansas Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Jarrod Barnes) to the NDSU 20

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Will McElvain pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.73

Will McElvain pass complete to Myles Butler for 15 yds to the NDSU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Penalty-10 yds

POWELL, ShunDerrick rush to the left for a gain of 5 yards to the NDS0, TOUCHDOWN UCA, score nullified by penalty, clock 13:34 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY UCA Holding on LAIRY, Justin enforced 10 yards from the NDS5 to the NDS15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.35

ShunDerrick Powell run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDSU 16

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Will McElvain pass incomplete

3rd & 16Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.03

Will McElvain sacked by Jake Kava and Dylan Hendricks for a loss of 6 yards to the NDSU 22

4th & 17Field Goal Good+35 yds

Jake Gaster 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Cam Miller run for 3 yds to the NDSU 25

2nd & 7Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.85

TaMerik Williams run for 27 yds to the CARK 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.84

Eli Green run for 17 yds to the CARK 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.21

TK Marshall run for 10 yds to the CARK 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Cam Miller pass complete to Hunter Brozio for 3 yds to the CARK 18

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.24

Cam Miller pass complete to RaJa Nelson for 8 yds to the CARK 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Cole Payton run for 4 yds to the CARK 6

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Cam Miller pass complete to Hunter Brozio for 6 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Will McElvain pass complete to Jarrod Barnes for 4 yds to the CARK 29

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+71 ydsPPA +6.19

ShunDerrick Powell run for 71 yds for a TD (Jake Gaster KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

TaMerik Williams run for 8 yds to the NDSU 33

2nd & 2Penalty-15 yds

WILLIAMS, TaMerik rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the NDS36 (DAVENPORT, Darin;MCGLAUN, Stephon). PENALTY NDS Face mask on KUBAS, Jake enforced 15 yards from the NDS33 to the NDS18 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 17Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.08

Cole Payton pass complete to Zach Mathis for 18 yds to the NDSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Cole Payton pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

TK Marshall run for 2 yds to the NDSU 38

3rd & 8Penalty+14 yds

PAYTON, Cole pass to the right incomplete intended for MATHIS, Zach thrown to the NDS49. PENALTY UCA Pass Interference on WILLIAMS, TD enforced at the spot of the foul for 14 yards to the UCA48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Cole Payton run for 2 yds to the CARK 46

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Cole Payton run for a loss of 1 yard to the CARK 47

3rd & 9Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.00

Cole Payton pass complete to Zach Mathis for 28 yds to the CARK 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -1.10

Cole Payton run for a loss of 7 yards to the CARK 26

2nd & 17Rushing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +3.71

Cole Payton run for 26 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Will McElvain pass complete to ShunDerrick Powell for 6 yds to the CARK 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.60

Will McElvain pass complete to Kylin James for 5 yds to the CARK 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Will McElvain pass complete to Kylin James for 2 yds to the CARK 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Will McElvain pass complete to Christian Richmond for 2 yds to the CARK 40

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Will McElvain pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Chandler Caughron punt for 52 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

TaMerik Williams run for no gain to the NDSU 12

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Cam Miller pass complete to TaMerik Williams for 4 yds to the NDSU 16

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.13

TaMerik Williams run for 1 yd to the NDSU 17

0th & 6End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

ShunDerrick Powell run for 5 yds to the CARK 31

2nd & 5Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.20

Will McElvain sacked by Luke Weerts for a loss of 5 yards to the CARK 26

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+23 ydsPPA +0.11

Will McElvain pass complete to Jarrod Barnes for 23 yds Jarrod Barnes fumbled, recovered by NDSU Jayden Price

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

TK Marshall run for 3 yds to the CARK 46

2nd & 7Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.87

Cam Miller sacked by Logan Jessup for a loss of 12 yards to the NDSU 42

3rd & 19Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +4.27

Cam Miller pass complete to Eli Green for 31 yds to the CARK 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

TaMerik Williams run for 3 yds to the CARK 24

2nd & 7Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.84

Cam Miller pass complete to Zach Mathis for a loss of 2 yards to the CARK 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.17

Cam Miller pass complete to Jacob StreitHear for 10 yds to the CARK 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.24

Cam Miller sacked by David Walker for a loss of 9 yards to the CARK 25

2nd & 19Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.79

Cam Miller pass complete to RaJa Nelson for 12 yds to the CARK 13

3rd & 7Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +3.01

Cam Miller run for 13 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

0th & 0Penalty-5 yds

STEINDORF, Kaedin kickoff 65 yards from the NDS35 to the UCA0, POWELL, ShunDerrick returned 20 yards to the UCA20 (MARSHALL, TK), out of bounds, clock 07:40. PENALTY Before the snap, NDS Illegal Formation on KPEENU, Barika enforced 5 yards from the NDS35 to the NDS30. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Darius Hale run for 5 yds to the CARK 33

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Will McElvain pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.44

Will McElvain pass complete to Darius Hale for no gain to the CARK 33

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Chandler Caughron punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Jayden Price at the NDSU 19

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.39

Barika Kpeenu run for 18 yds to the NDSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Barika Kpeenu run for 11 yds to the NDSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Cam Miller pass complete to Finn Diggins for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

TaMerik Williams run for 6 yds to the CARK 44

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

TaMerik Williams run for 1 yd to the CARK 43

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.10

Cole Payton run for 4 yds to the CARK 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -2.10

TK Marshall run for a loss of 6 yards to the CARK 45

2nd & 16Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.54

Cam Miller pass complete to Owen Johnson for 12 yds to the CARK 33

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.93

Cam Miller pass complete to Eli Green for 5 yds to the CARK 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.78

TaMerik Williams run for 8 yds to the CARK 20 North Dakota State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Zach Mathis) to the CARK 33

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Owen Johnson run for 3 yds to the CARK 30

2nd & 12Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.22

Cam Miller pass complete to Joe Stoffel for 22 yds to the CARK 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

TaMerik Williams run for no gain to the CARK 8

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

TaMerik Williams run for 8 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Will McElvain sacked by Kole Menz for a loss of 6 yards to the CARK 19

2nd & 16Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

ShunDerrick Powell run for 5 yds to the CARK 24

3rd & 11Penalty+5 yds

MCELVAIN, Will pass to the right incomplete intended for JAMES, Kylin thrown to the UCA34. PENALTY NDS Offsides on MENZ, Kole enforced 5 yards from the UCA24 to the UCA29 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Will McElvain pass complete to Myles Butler for 5 yds to the CARK 34

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.65

Darius Hale run for 2 yds to the CARK 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

ShunDerrick Powell run for 8 yds to the CARK 44

2nd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.01

Will McElvain pass complete to Austin Eldridge for 3 yds to the CARK 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

MCELVAIN, Will pass deep to the left incomplete intended for BUTLER, Myles thrown to the NDS12. PENALTY NDS Pass Interference on SHEPPARD, Marcus enforced 15 yards to the NDS38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Central Arkansas Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the NDSU 46

2nd & 18Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.94

Will McElvain pass complete to ShunDerrick Powell for 14 yds to the NDSU 32

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Will McElvain pass incomplete

4th & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.90

ShunDerrick Powell run for 8 yds to the NDSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

ShunDerrick Powell run for 2 yds to the NDSU 22

2nd & 8Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.10

Will McElvain sacked by Dylan Hendricks for a loss of 4 yards to the NDSU 26

3rd & 12Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

ShunDerrick Powell run for 7 yds to the NDSU 19

4th & 5Penalty0 yds

MCELVAIN, Will pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BARNES, Jarrod thrown to the NDS1, clock 06:58. PENALTY NDS Pass Interference on PRICE, Jayden enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards to the NDS5 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Will McElvain pass complete to Myles Butler for 4 yds for a TD (Jake Gaster KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Barika Kpeenu run for 3 yds to the NDSU 28

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Barika Kpeenu run for no gain to the NDSU 28

3rd & 7Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.45

Cole Payton sacked by David Walker and Kendarrius Moore for a loss of 11 yards to the NDSU 17

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Kaedin Steindorf punt for 37 yds, downed at the CARK 31

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.14

ShunDerrick Powell run for 12 yds to the CARK 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Will McElvain pass complete to ShunDerrick Powell for 3 yds to the CARK 46

2nd & 7Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.05

ShunDerrick Powell run for 23 yds to the NDSU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.24

Will McElvain pass complete to Jarrod Barnes for 12 yds to the NDSU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Will McElvain pass complete to Jarrod Barnes for 7 yds to the NDSU 12

2nd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Will McElvain pass complete to Austin Eldridge for 2 yds to the NDSU 10

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.55

Darius Hale run for 10 yds for a TD (Jake Gaster KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Owen Johnson run for 5 yds to the CARK 43

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Owen Johnson run for 4 yds to the CARK 39

3rd & 1Rush+36 ydsPPA +2.25

Owen Johnson run for 36 yds to the CARK 3 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Central Arkansas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
55%
20 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
20%
5 plays
100%
1 play
75%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

North Dakota State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
41%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
42%
12 plays
100%
5 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play