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← Back to GamesSep 16, 2023Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Austin Peay by 7.9

Home Win Probability

Austin Peay 66%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 16, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
East Tennessee State
03003
Austin Peay
287141463

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567014-021-028-035-342-349-356-363-3
Austin PeayEast Tennessee State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20APETSAPETSAPETSAPETSAPETSAPETSAPETSETSAPETSAPETSETSAPETSTD375ydPUNT35ydTD1178ydPUNT634ydTD594ydPUNT322ydTD576ydFG967ydTD1784ydPUNT3-13ydPUNT521ydPUNT534ydEND217ydTD521ydTO753ydTD1184ydPUNT614ydTD1268ydTD34ydPUNT938ydDOWNS45ydEND415yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing East Tennessee State and Austin Peay
StatisticEast Tennessee StateAustin Peay
Passing7-1637-46
Pass Yards77441
Rush Yards192171
Total Yards269612
Turnovers20
3rd Down2-148-13
Penalties2-203-40
Possession30:1429:46

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

East Tennessee State
passing
Baron May
5/11, 62 YDS
rushing
Torey Lambert
12 CAR, 51 YDS
receiving
Tommy Winton III
3 REC, 40 YDS
Austin Peay
passing
Mike Diliello
37/46, 441 YDS, 5 TD
rushing
CJ Evans Jr.
14 CAR, 102 YDS
receiving
Jaden Barnes
7 REC, 121 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+48 ydsPPA +3.34

CJ Evans Jr. run for 48 yds to the ETSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.89

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Kam Thomas for a loss of 3 yards to the ETSU 30

2nd & 13Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +3.63

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Trey Goodman for 30 yds for a TD (Maddux Trujillo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Bryson Irby run for 5 yds to the ETSU 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Baron May pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Baron May pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Nate Brackett punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Mike DiLiello run for 5 yds to the APSU 27

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Tre Shackelford for 8 yds to the APSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

CJ Evans Jr. run for 4 yds to the APSU 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.05

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Tre Shackelford for 18 yds to the ETSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Tre Shackelford for 6 yds to the ETSU 37

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

CJ Evans Jr. run for 1 yd to the ETSU 36

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.91

CJ Evans Jr. run for 4 yds to the ETSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Mike DiLiello pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Kenny Odom for 5 yds to the ETSU 27

3rd & 5Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.49

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Tre Shackelford for 26 yds to the ETSU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Mike DiLiello run for 1 yd for a TD (Maddux Trujillo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Bryson Irby run for 6 yds to the ETSU 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.56

Baron May pass complete to Tommy Winton III for 15 yds to the ETSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.77

Baron May pass complete to Will Huzzie for 10 yds to the APSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Baron May pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

East Tennessee State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the APSU 49

2nd & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Amir Dendy run for 8 yds to the APSU 41

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Baron May run for no gain to the APSU 41

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Nate Brackett punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Kam Thomas at the APSU 6

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.36

Mike DiLiello pass complete to CJ Evans Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the APSU 4

2nd & 12Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Kam Thomas for 3 yds to the APSU 7

3rd & 9Pass Reception+84 ydsPPA +4.87

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Jaden Barnes for 84 yds to the ETSU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

CJ Evans Jr. run for 3 yds to the ETSU 6

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Tre Shackelford for 6 yds for a TD (Maddux Trujillo KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Austin Peay Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the ETSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Amir Dendy run for a loss of 1 yard to the ETSU 39

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Amir Dendy run for 1 yd to the ETSU 40

3rd & 10Penalty-15 yds

East Tennessee State Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the ETSU 29

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Nate Brackett punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Tre Shackelford for 8 yds to the APSU 32

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Jevon Jackson run for 6 yds to the APSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+54 ydsPPA +2.63

Mike DiLiello pass complete to MJ Singleton for 54 yds to the ETSU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jevon Jackson run for 5 yds to the ETSU 3

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Khatib Lyles for 3 yds for a TD (Maddux Trujillo KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Baron May run for no gain to the ETSU 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.73

Baron May pass complete to Amir Dendy for 12 yds to the ETSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Austin Peay Penalty, Personal Foul (Jaheim Ward) to the APSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Baron May pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.81

Tommy Winton III run for 19 yds to the APSU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Zach Borisch run for 2 yds to the APSU 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Baron May pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Baron May pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+25 yds

Ewan Johnson 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Mike DiLiello pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Mike DiLiello pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.21

Mike DiLiello pass complete to MJ Singleton for 9 yds to the APSU 25

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Jevon Jackson run for 2 yds to the APSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Jevon Jackson for 4 yds to the APSU 31

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Kenny Odom for 4 yds to the APSU 35

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.22

Jevon Jackson run for 3 yds to the APSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Brenen Hawkins for 10 yds to the APSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -2.00

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Kenny Odom for a loss of 4 yards to the APSU 44

2nd & 14Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.99

Mike DiLiello run for 20 yds to the ETSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Mike DiLiello pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Mike DiLiello pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.10

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Jevon Jackson for 20 yds to the ETSU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.74

Mike DiLiello sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the ETSU 21

2nd & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.37

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Trey Goodman for 9 yds to the ETSU 12

3rd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Kenny Odom for 1 yd to the ETSU 11

4th & 5Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +3.25

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Brenen Hawkins for 11 yds for a TD (Maddux Trujillo KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Baron May pass complete to Tommy Winton III for 2 yds to the ETSU 46

2nd & 8Rush-9 ydsPPA -2.03

Tommy Winton III run for a loss of 9 yards to the ETSU 37

3rd & 17Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.28

Baron May sacked by Sam Howard for a loss of 6 yards to the ETSU 31

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Nate Brackett punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

CJ Evans Jr. run for 8 yds to the APSU 45

2nd & 2Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.54

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Tre Shackelford for 10 yds to the ETSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

CJ Evans Jr. run for 2 yds to the ETSU 43

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

CJ Evans Jr. run for 1 yd to the ETSU 42

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Mike DiLiello pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jaheim Ward punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Amir Dendy run for 3 yds to the ETSU 11

2nd & 7Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.64

Baron May pass complete to Tommy Winton III for 23 yds to the ETSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.49

Baron May sacked by J'Vian McCray for a loss of 4 yards to the ETSU 30

2nd & 14Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Amir Dendy run for 6 yds to the ETSU 36

3rd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Timothy Dorsey run for 6 yds to the ETSU 42

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Nate Brackett punt for 52 yds, downed at the APSU 6

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.52

CJ Evans Jr. run for 8 yds to the APSU 14

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.17

CJ Evans Jr. run for 9 yds to the APSU 23 for a 1ST down

0th & 2End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Amir Dendy run for 4 yds to the ETSU 24

2nd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.33

Timothy Dorsey run for 12 yds to the ETSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Amir Dendy run for 2 yds to the ETSU 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Timothy Dorsey pass complete to Amir Dendy for 3 yds to the ETSU 41

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Timothy Dorsey pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Nate Brackett punt for 48 yds (Maddux Trujillo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Zach Borisch run for 6 yds to the ETSU 31

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.50

Amir Dendy run for 4 yds to the ETSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Timothy Dorsey run for 7 yds to the ETSU 42

2nd & 3Rush+29 ydsPPA +1.75

Zach Borisch run for 29 yds to the APSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Zach Borisch run for 7 yds to the APSU 22

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.57

Zach Borisch run for no gain to the APSU 22

3rd & 3Interception0 ydsPPA -3.99

Haynes Eller pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

CJ Evans Jr. run for 2 yds to the APSU 18

2nd & 8Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +3.98

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Kam Thomas for 49 yds to the ETSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Kam Thomas for 5 yds to the ETSU 28

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.21

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Tre Shackelford for 8 yds to the ETSU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

DILIELLO, Mike pass short to the right complete for 8 yards to EVANS JR., CJ caught at the ET16 and advanced to the ET12 (BALL, Ton'Quez). PENALTY AP Holding on KIRTON, Chandler enforced 10 yards from the ET20 to the ET30 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.62

Mike DiLiello pass complete to MJ Singleton for 11 yds to the ETSU 19

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Mike DiLiello pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.83

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Jaden Barnes for 9 yds to the ETSU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Mike DiLiello pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

CJ Evans Jr. run for 4 yds to the ETSU 6

3rd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Tre Shackelford for 1 yd to the ETSU 5

4th & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +3.05

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Jordan Goco for 5 yds for a TD (Maddux Trujillo KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Zach Borisch run for no gain to the ETSU 25

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Amir Dendy run for 2 yds to the ETSU 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.15

Haynes Eller pass complete to Will Huzzie for 12 yds to the ETSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Amir Dendy run for no gain to the ETSU 39

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Amir Dendy run for no gain to the ETSU 39

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Haynes Eller pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Nate Brackett punt for 55 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

CJ Evans Jr. run for 2 yds to the APSU 34

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

CJ Evans Jr. run for 6 yds to the APSU 40

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.25

Jevon Jackson run for 2 yds to the APSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.21

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Jaden Barnes for 15 yds to the ETSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Jaden Barnes for 3 yds to the ETSU 40

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.79

Jevon Jackson run for 8 yds to the ETSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.22

Jevon Jackson run for 10 yds to the ETSU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jevon Jackson run for 5 yds to the ETSU 17

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Jevon Jackson run for 1 yd to the ETSU 16

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.39

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Jaden Barnes for 5 yds to the ETSU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Jaden Barnes for 2 yds to the ETSU 9

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.69

Jevon Jackson run for 9 yds for a TD (Maddux Trujillo KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Haynes Eller run for 1 yd to the ETSU 2 Haynes Eller fumbled, recovered by ETSU Haynes Eller

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Zach Borisch run for 3 yds to the ETSU 5

3rd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA +0.24

Haynes Eller run for no gain Haynes Eller fumbled, recovered by APSU Garrett Hawkins for a TD (Maddux Trujillo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Torey Lambert run for 8 yds to the ETSU 33

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Torey Lambert run for 7 yds to the ETSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Torey Lambert run for 4 yds to the ETSU 44

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Torey Lambert run for 4 yds to the ETSU 48

3rd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.90

Torey Lambert run for 12 yds to the APSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Adrian Johnson run for 2 yds to the APSU 38

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Torey Lambert run for 4 yds to the APSU 34

3rd & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.68

Torey Lambert run for a loss of 3 yards to the APSU 37

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Torey Lambert run for no gain to the APSU 37

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Nate Brackett punt for 37 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Mike DiLiello pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Jaden Barnes for 3 yds to the APSU 23

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Kenny Odom for 5 yds to the APSU 28

4th & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA +0.03

Jevon Jackson run for a loss of 3 yards to the APSU 25

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Torey Lambert run for 8 yds to the APSU 17

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.30

Torey Lambert run for 6 yds to the APSU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Torey Lambert run for 4 yds to the APSU 7

2nd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.50

Torey Lambert run for a loss of 3 yards to the APSU 10

Situational Analysis

East Tennessee State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
24 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
30%
10 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
0%
1 play
4th

Austin Peay

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
43%
30 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
4 plays
57%
7 plays
45%
11 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
83%
6 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
100%
2 plays