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← Back to GamesSep 16, 2023Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Columbia by 4.8

Home Win Probability

Lafayette 35%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Lafayette +5.5

Edge: Lafayette +5.5 (0.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 16, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Columbia
30003
Lafayette
0147324

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-314-321-324-3
LafayetteColumbia

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LAFLAFCOLLAFCOLLAFCOLLAFCOLLAFCOLLAFCOLCOLLAFCOLLAFCOLLAFCOLLAFTO35ydPUNT48ydPUNT38ydPUNT633ydFG1037ydTD1785ydPUNT610ydPUNT20ydDOWNS4-9ydTD655ydPUNT634ydEND521ydUncategorized925ydPUNT32ydTD880ydTO313ydFG724ydDOWNS834ydMISS1352ydDOWNS4-7ydEND59yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Columbia and Lafayette
StatisticColumbiaLafayette
Passing9-2515-22
Pass Yards83149
Rush Yards74243
Total Yards157392
Turnovers11
3rd Down2-119-17
Penalties5-203-20
Possession24:0235:58

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Columbia
passing
Caden Bell
9/24, 83 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Joey Giorgi
18 CAR, 73 YDS
receiving
JJ Jenkins
3 REC, 41 YDS
Lafayette
passing
Dean DeNobile
15/22, 149 YDS
rushing
Jamar Curtis
20 CAR, 145 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Elijah Steward
7 REC, 73 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jamar Curtis run for 4 yds to the COLU 36

2nd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.66

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Elijah Steward for 16 yds to the COLU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+15 ydsPPA -4.38

run for 15 yds to the COLU 35 fumbled, recovered by COLU Quentin Autry

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Hugo Merry kickoff for 64 yds , Troy Bruce return for 10 yds to the LAF 11

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.49

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Elijah Steward for 11 yds to the LAF 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Jamar Curtis run for 1 yd to the LAF 23

2nd & 9Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.49

Dean DeNobile sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the LAF 19

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Dean DeNobile pass incomplete to Chris Carasia

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Jakob Trestik punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Carter McFadden at the COLU 35

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Caden Bell pass incomplete to Bryson Canty

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.70

Caden Bell pass complete to Ty'son Edwards for 8 yds to the COLU 43

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Caden Bell pass incomplete to Bryson Canty

4th & 2Punt0 yds

William Hughes punt for 56 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Dean DeNobile run for 1 yd to the LAF 2

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Dean DeNobile pass incomplete to Carl Smith

3rd & 9Rush+35 ydsPPA +2.27

Jamar Curtis run for 35 yds to the LAF 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jamar Curtis run for 5 yds to the LAF 42

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY Lafaye False Start (Holmes,Dallas) 5 yards from Lafaye42 to Lafaye37. NO PLAY.

2nd & 10Penalty-15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Denobile,Dean pass complete short left to Steward,Elijah for 9 yards to the Lafaye46 (Kelley,Jordan) PENALTY Lafaye Pass Interference (Smith,Carl) 15 yards from Lafaye37 to Lafaye22. NO PLAY.

2nd & 25Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.27

Dean DeNobile run for 12 yds to the LAF 34

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Dean DeNobile pass incomplete to Carl Smith

4th & 13Punt+13 yds

Jakob Trestik punt for 40 yds , Carter McFadden returns for 13 yds to the COLU 39

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Joey Giorgi run for 3 yds to the COLU 42

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.44

Caden Bell run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Joey Giorgi run for 5 yds to the LAF 45

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.60

Joey Giorgi run for 6 yds to the LAF 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Joey Giorgi run for 5 yds to the LAF 34

2nd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.39

Caden Bell pass complete to Bryson Canty for 11 yds to the LAF 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Malcolm Terry II run for 1 yd to the LAF 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Caden Bell pass incomplete to Bryson Canty

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Caden Bell pass incomplete to Wills Meyer

4th & 11Field Goal Good+42 yds

Hugo Merry 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Hugo Merry kickoff for 64 yds , Troy Bruce return for 14 yds to the LAF 15

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Jamar Curtis run for 1 yd to the LAF 16

2nd & 9Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.30

Jamar Curtis run for 14 yds to the LAF 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jamar Curtis run for 4 yds to the LAF 34

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Jamar Curtis run for 2 yds to the LAF 36

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.59

Dean DeNobile run for 4 yds to the LAF 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Carson Persing for 4 yds to the LAF 44

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Dean DeNobile run for 2 yds to the LAF 46

3rd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.24

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Chris Carasia for 11 yds to the COLU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.82

Dean DeNobile sacked by Anthony Roussos for a loss of 9 yards to the LAF 48

2nd & 19Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jamar Curtis run for 4 yds to the COLU 48

3rd & 15Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.46

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Jamar Curtis for 12 yds to the COLU 36

4th & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.05

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Jamar Curtis for 7 yds to the COLU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Dean DeNobile run for 4 yds to the COLU 25

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Jamar Curtis run for 6 yds to the COLU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jamar Curtis run for 6 yds to the COLU 13

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Elijah Steward for 7 yds to the COLU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Jamar Curtis run for 6 yds for a TD (Jack Simonetta KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Darren Wu kickoff for 61 yds , JJ Jenkins return for 20 yds to the COLU 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Caden Bell pass incomplete to Bryson Canty

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Joey Giorgi run for 4 yds to the COLU 28

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.63

Caden Bell pass complete to James Miller for 7 yds to the COLU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Bell,Caden pass complete short left to Miller,James for 5 yards to the Columb40 (Olivas,Marco; Cross,Semaj) PENALTY Columb Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Miller,James) 5 yards from Columb35 to Columb30. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Joey Giorgi run for 2 yds to the COLU 32

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Malcolm Terry II run for 2 yds to the COLU 34

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Caden Bell pass incomplete to Bryson Canty

4th & 11Punt0 yds

William Hughes punt for 50 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Dean DeNobile pass incomplete to Chris Carasia

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.21

Jermaine Conyers run for no gain to the LAF 16

4th & 10Punt+14 yds

Jakob Trestik punt for 34 yds , Carter McFadden returns for 14 yds to the LAF 36

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Caden Bell pass incomplete to Marcus Libman

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Joey Giorgi run for 2 yds to the LAF 34

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Caden Bell pass incomplete to Wills Meyer

4th & 8Penalty0 yds

Columbia Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Caden Bell) to the LAF 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Mason Gilbert for 8 yds to the COLU 47

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Nahjee Adams run for 5 yds to the COLU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Nahjee Adams run for 1 yd to the COLU 41

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Elijah Steward run for 8 yds to the COLU 33

3rd & 1Rush+32 ydsPPA +2.37

Nahjee Adams run for 32 yds to the COLU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Dean DeNobile run for 1 yd for a TD (Jack Simonetta KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Darren Wu kickoff for 65 yds , JJ Jenkins return for 19 yds to the COLU 19

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.66

Joey Giorgi run for 10 yds to the COLU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Joey Giorgi run for 6 yds to the COLU 35

2nd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.40

Caden Bell pass complete to Bryson Canty for 13 yds to the COLU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Joey Giorgi run for 3 yds to the LAF 49

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Ty'son Edwards run for 2 yds to the LAF 47

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Caden Bell pass incomplete to JJ Jenkins

4th & 5Punt0 yds

William Hughes punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Gabe DuBois at the LAF 13

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Jamar Curtis run for 3 yds to the LAF 16

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jamar Curtis run for 6 yds to the LAF 22

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.61

Jamar Curtis run for 3 yds to the LAF 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Elijah Steward for 7 yds to the LAF 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jamar Curtis run for 2 yds to the LAF 34

0th & 3End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+7 yds

Darren Wu kickoff for 57 yds , JJ Jenkins return for 7 yds to the COLU 15

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Joey Giorgi run for 6 yds to the COLU 21

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Caden Bell pass complete to JJ Jenkins for 9 yds to the COLU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Joey Giorgi run for 1 yd to the COLU 31

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Caden Bell run for 1 yd to the COLU 32

3rd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.58

Caden Bell pass complete to JJ Jenkins for 13 yds to the COLU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Joey Giorgi run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.76

Malcolm Terry II run for 6 yds to the LAF 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Caden Bell pass complete to Wills Meyer for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 5Penalty0 yds

Columbia Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Caden Bell) to the COLU 40

2nd & 16Penalty0 yds

Columbia Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Caden Bell) to the COLU 40

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Joey Giorgi run for 2 yds to the COLU 37

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Joey Giorgi run for no gain to the COLU 37

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Caden Bell pass incomplete to Bryson Canty

4th & 8Punt+8 yds

William Hughes punt for 51 yds , Gabe DuBois returns for 8 yds to the LAF 20

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jamar Curtis run for no gain to the LAF 20

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

Dean DeNobile run for no gain to the LAF 20

3rd & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.36

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Chris Carasia for 30 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Carson Persing for 4 yds to the COLU 46

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Dean DeNobile run for 5 yds to the COLU 41

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.94

Jamar Curtis run for 7 yds to the COLU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Elijah Steward for 5 yds to the COLU 29

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +2.86

Jamar Curtis run for 29 yds for a TD (Jack Simonetta KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Darren Wu kickoff for 53 yds , Carter McFadden return for 12 yds to the COLU 47 Columbia Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the COLU 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.94

Caden Bell pass complete to Bryson Canty for 9 yds to the COLU 23

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.21

Joey Giorgi run for 4 yds to the COLU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.07

Caden Bell pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Jamar Curtis run for 7 yds to the COLU 34

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Jermaine Conyers run for 1 yd to the COLU 35

3rd & 4Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.24

Jermaine Conyers run for 16 yds to the COLU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Elijah Steward for 4 yds to the COLU 15

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Dean DeNobile pass incomplete to Mason Gilbert

3rd & 6Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.77

Dean DeNobile sacked by Justin Townsend for a loss of 2 yards to the COLU 17

4th & 8Field Goal Good+34 yds

Jack Simonetta 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Darren Wu kickoff for 60 yds , Carter McFadden return for 26 yds to the COLU 31

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Caden Bell pass incomplete to Dominic Busby

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Joey Giorgi run for 6 yds to the COLU 37

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Caden Bell pass incomplete to Bryson Canty

4th & 4Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +3.47

Caden Bell pass complete to JJ Jenkins for 19 yds to the LAF 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Caden Bell run for 9 yds to the LAF 35

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Caden Bell pass incomplete to Marcus Libman

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY Columb False Start (Edwards,Ty'son) 5 yards from Lafaye35 to Lafaye40. NO PLAY.

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Ty'son Edwards run for 4 yds to the LAF 36

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -2.30

Ty'son Edwards run for 1 yd to the LAF 35

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Nahjee Adams run for 4 yds to the LAF 39

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.39

Nahjee Adams run for 9 yds to the LAF 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Nahjee Adams run for 1 yd to the LAF 49

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Nahjee Adams run for 6 yds to the COLU 45

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.43

Dean DeNobile run for 6 yds to the COLU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Nahjee Adams run for 3 yds to the COLU 42

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Dean DeNobile pass incomplete to Elijah Steward

3rd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Nahjee Adams run for 6 yds to the COLU 36

4th & 7Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.81

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Elijah Steward for 23 yds to the COLU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Nahjee Adams run for no gain to the COLU 13

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.33

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Griffin Rooney for no gain to the COLU 13

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Dean DeNobile pass incomplete to Dallas Holmes

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+30 yds

Jack Simonetta 30 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Joey Giorgi run for 3 yds to the COLU 23

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Chase Goodwin pass incomplete to Wills Meyer

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Caden Bell pass incomplete to Dominic Busby

4th & 7Sack-10 ydsPPA +0.26

Caden Bell sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the COLU 13

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Troy Bruce run for 1 yd to the COLU 12

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Troy Bruce run for 2 yds to the COLU 10

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Ryan Schuster run for 1 yd to the COLU 9

4th & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.02

Troy Bruce run for 7 yds to the COLU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.12

Kneel down by Lafayette at Columb04 for loss of 2 yards.

Situational Analysis

Columbia

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
45%
20 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
100%
5 plays
33%
9 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Lafayette

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
26%
27 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
67%
9 plays
40%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
100%
1 play