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← Back to GamesOct 21, 2023Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Central Connecticut by 1.1

Home Win Probability

Wagner 49%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Wagner +2.5

Edge: Wagner +2.5 (1.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 21, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Central Connecticut
1070017
Wagner
30003

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40143-103-17
WagnerCentral Connecticut

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CCWAGCCWAGCCWAGCCWAGCCWAGCCWAGWAGCCWAGCCWAGCCWAGCCWAGCCPUNT521ydPUNT37ydTD1261ydFG1153ydTD575ydTO220ydPUNT3-2ydMISS1289ydPUNT615ydPUNT38ydTD750ydEND314ydPUNT56ydPUNT37ydTO756ydMISS1677ydPUNT30ydPUNT726ydDOWNS1661ydPUNT637ydTO315ydUncategorized2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Central Connecticut and Wagner
StatisticCentral ConnecticutWagner
Passing20-2919-37
Pass Yards236236
Rush Yards11163
Total Yards347299
Turnovers03
3rd Down7-161-11
Penalties7-706-34
Possession32:1927:41

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Central Connecticut
passing
Matt Jenner
20/29, 236 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Elijah Howard
21 CAR, 78 YDS
receiving
Naj Johnson
3 REC, 89 YDS
Wagner
passing
Steven Krajewski
19/37, 236 YDS, 3 INT
rushing
Rickey Spruill
7 CAR, 33 YDS
receiving
Jaylen Bonelli
7 REC, 126 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Elijah Howard run for 6 yds to the CCSU 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.79

Matt Jenner pass complete to Davion Johnson for 7 yds to the CCSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Matt Jenner pass complete to Davion Johnson for 2 yds to the CCSU 40

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.87
3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Matt Jenner pass complete to Davion Johnson for 6 yds to the CCSU 46

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Aiden Clark punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Steven Krajewski run for 3 yds to the WAG 19

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Steven Krajewski pass complete to Chase Stafford for 4 yds to the WAG 23

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Steven Krajewski pass incomplete to Mark Didio Jr., broken up by Luquay Washington

4th & 3Punt+7 yds

Bailey Marzola punt for 35 yds , Michael Plaskon returns for 7 yds to the CCSU 30 Central Connecticut Penalty, illegal block (Alex Pagliarini) to the CCSU 39

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

pass incomplete to Isiah Williams

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Elijah Howard run for 3 yds to the CCSU 42

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.73

Matt Jenner pass complete to Davion Johnson for 12 yds to the WAG 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.67

Malik Thomas run for 14 yds to the WAG 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Malik Thomas run for 6 yds to the WAG 26

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Malik Thomas run for 2 yds to the WAG 24

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.34

Malik Thomas run for 2 yds to the WAG 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Matt Jenner pass incomplete to Isiah Williams, broken up by Junior Wily

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Malik Thomas run for 1 yd to the WAG 21

3rd & 9Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.76

Matt Jenner pass complete to Isiah Williams Central Connecticut Penalty, illegal formation (Shayne Manson) to the WAG 26

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

pass incomplete to Isiah Williams

4th & 14Field Goal Good+43 yds

Jake Barnum 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+9 yds

Jake Barnum kickoff for 54 yds , Teree McDonald return for 9 yds to the WAG 20

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Rickey Spruill run for 1 yd to the WAG 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.00

Steven Krajewski pass complete to Jeff Nyamekye for 18 yds to the WAG 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Steven Krajewski pass incomplete to Kobi Ray-Reed, broken up by Luquay Washington

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

pass incomplete to Mark Didio Jr.

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Steven Krajewski pass complete to Rickey Spruill for 8 yds to the WAG 47

4th & 2Rush+16 ydsPPA +3.17

Steven Krajewski run for 16 yds to the CCSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.33

Steven Krajewski pass complete to Kobi Ray-Reed for 11 yds to the CCSU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47
2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.81

Steven Krajewski run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCSU 27

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

pass incomplete to Kobi Ray-Reed

4th & 11Field Goal Good+44 yds

Ryan Liszner 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Elijah Howard run for 5 yds to the CCSU 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.57

Matt Jenner pass complete to Naj Johnson for 26 yds to the WAG 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Elijah Howard run for 5 yds to the WAG 39

2nd & 5Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +0.90

Matt Jenner pass complete to Naj Johnson for 30 yds to the WAG 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Matt Jenner pass complete to Isiah Williams for 9 yds for a TD (Jake Barnum KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Jake Barnum kickoff for 55 yds , Teree McDonald return for 25 yds to the WAG 40 Wagner Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the WAG 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.80

Steven Krajewski pass complete to Jaylen Bonelli for 20 yds to the WAG 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Steven Krajewski pass incomplete to Jeff Nyamekye, broken up by Jack Stoll

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Jamir Robertson run for 1 yd to the WAG 39

2nd & 9Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.70

Matt Jenner sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the WAG 48

3rd & 18Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Matt Jenner pass complete to Delvin Attafah for 6 yds to the WAG 42

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Aiden Clark punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.40

Steven Krajewski pass complete to Kobi Ray-Reed for 13 yds to the WAG 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48
2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Steven Krajewski pass complete to Kobi Ray-Reed for 6 yds to the WAG 23

3rd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Steven Krajewski run for 9 yds to the WAG 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.68

Steven Krajewski pass complete to Jaylen Bonelli for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Rickey Spruill run for 2 yds to the CCSU 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.66

Steven Krajewski pass complete to Jaylen Bonelli for 18 yds to the CCSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.49

Steven Krajewski pass complete to Jaylen Bonelli for 22 yds to the CCSU 8 for a 1ST down Central Connecticut Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Gavin Bryson) to the CCSU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36
2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Steven Krajewski run for 1 yd to the CCSU 7

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

pass incomplete to Jaylen Bonelli Wagner Penalty, inelgible downfield on pass (Yards) to the CCSU 7

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+25 yds

Ryan Liszner 25 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Elijah Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCSU 19

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.33

Matt Jenner pass complete to Jadd Dolegala for 8 yds to the CCSU 27

3rd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.74

Matt Jenner pass complete to Isiah Williams for 11 yds to the CCSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.17

Matt Jenner sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the CCSU 28

2nd & 20Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.51

Elijah Howard run for 11 yds to the CCSU 39

3rd & 9Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.61

Matt Jenner sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the CCSU 35

4th & 13Punt+62 yds

Aiden Clark punt for 58 yds Wagner Penalty, personal foul (Armani Itote) to the WAG 3

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Zachary Palmer-Smith run for 6 yds to the WAG 9

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Zachary Palmer-Smith run for 2 yds to the WAG 11

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.23
4th & 2Punt0 yds

Bailey Marzola punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Matt Jenner run for 8 yds to the WAG 42

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Elijah Howard run for 3 yds to the WAG 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Matt Jenner pass complete to Delvin Attafah for 9 yds to the WAG 30

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.38

Matt Jenner run for 5 yds to the WAG 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Elijah Howard run for 6 yds to the WAG 19

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.03

Elijah Howard run for 7 yds to the WAG 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Matt Jenner pass complete to Isiah Williams for 12 yds for a TD (Jake Barnum KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Jake Barnum kickoff for 57 yds , Kobi Ray-Reed return for 16 yds to the WAG 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

pass incomplete to Trevor Shorter

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.86

Steven Krajewski pass complete to Trevor Shorter for 14 yds to the WAG 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

pass incomplete to Jaylen Bonelli

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Wagner Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WAG 18

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Zachary Palmer-Smith run for 4 yds to the WAG 22

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

Wagner Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WAG 17

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +0.99

Steven Krajewski pass incomplete to Jeff Nyamekye for a 1ST down Central Connecticut Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Harold Miles III) to the WAG 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.63

Steven Krajewski sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the WAG 24

2nd & 18Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Steven Krajewski pass complete to Mark Didio Jr. for 5 yds to the WAG 29

3rd & 13Rush0 ydsPPA -0.15
1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Jake Barnum kickoff for 62 yds , Kobi Ray-Reed return for 20 yds to the WAG 23

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Bailey Marzola punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.73

Matt Jenner pass complete to Davion Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the CCSU 22

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Elijah Howard run for 2 yds to the CCSU 24

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Matt Jenner pass complete to Jadd Dolegala for 6 yds to the CCSU 30

4th & 3Punt+6 yds

Aiden Clark punt for 38 yds , Mark Didio Jr. returns for 6 yds to the WAG 38

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.11

Rickey Spruill run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Steven Krajewski pass incomplete to Jaylen Bonelli, broken up by Gavin Bryson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

pass incomplete to Jeff Nyamekye

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +3.01

Steven Krajewski pass incomplete to Jaylen Bonelli, broken up by Khristan Hernandez for a 1ST down Central Connecticut Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Khristan Hernandez) to the CCSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Wagner Penalty, false start (Mateo Lucero) to the CCSU 40

1st & 15Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.13

Steven Krajewski pass complete to Jaylen Bonelli for 22 yds to the CCSU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.54

Steven Krajewski run for 12 yds to the CCSU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Interception0 ydsPPA -4.95

Steven Krajewski pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Elijah Howard run for 4 yds to the CCSU 10

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

pass incomplete to Isiah Williams

3rd & 6Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.74

Matt Jenner pass complete to Isiah Williams for 33 yds to the CCSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Elijah Howard run for 2 yds to the CCSU 45

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

pass incomplete to Isiah Williams

3rd & 8Penalty+5 yds

Wagner Penalty, off-side (Lennox Lamar) to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Malik Thomas run for 2 yds to the WAG 48

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.23

Jadd Dolegala run for 3 yds to the WAG 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Matt Jenner pass incomplete to Delvin Attafah, broken up by Travis Laster

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Elijah Howard run for 4 yds to the WAG 41

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.73

Matt Jenner pass complete to Delvin Attafah for 8 yds to the WAG 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Elijah Howard run for 2 yds to the WAG 31

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.66

Matt Jenner pass complete to Elijah Howard for 14 yds to the WAG 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Malik Thomas run for 4 yds to the WAG 13

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

pass incomplete to Jadd Dolegala

3rd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Matt Jenner pass complete to Elijah Howard for 1 yd to the WAG 12

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

Central Connecticut Penalty, false start (Rahtrel Perry) to the WAG 17

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+34 yds

Jake Barnum 34 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Steven Krajewski pass complete to Mark Didio Jr. for 3 yds to the WAG 23

2nd & 7Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.58

Steven Krajewski sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the WAG 20

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Steven Krajewski pass incomplete to Trevor Shorter, broken up by Gavin Bryson

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Bailey Marzola punt for 46 yds , Michael Plaskon returns for no gain to the CCSU 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

pass incomplete to Davion Johnson

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Davion Johnson run for 7 yds to the CCSU 36

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.48

Matt Jenner pass complete to Davion Johnson for 4 yds to the CCSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.99

Elijah Howard run for 11 yds to the WAG 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.33

Elijah Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Matt Jenner run for 4 yds to the WAG 46

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Matt Jenner run for 1 yd to the WAG 45

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Aiden Clark punt for 29 yds

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.65

Steven Krajewski sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the WAG 12

2nd & 14Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.40

Steven Krajewski pass complete to Jaylen Bonelli for 11 yds to the WAG 23

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33
4th & 3Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.20

Steven Krajewski pass complete to Mark Didio Jr. for 15 yds to the WAG 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Steven Krajewski pass incomplete to Kobi Ray-Reed, broken up by Khristan Hernandez

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.43

Steven Krajewski pass complete to Jaylen Bonelli for 15 yds to the CCSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Steven Krajewski pass complete to Trevor Shorter for 8 yds to the CCSU 39

2nd & 2Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.12

Rickey Spruill run for 13 yds to the CCSU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

pass incomplete to Trevor Shorter

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

pass incomplete to Louis Spezio

3rd & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.61

Steven Krajewski sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the CCSU 35

4th & 19Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA -0.56

Steven Krajewski pass incomplete to Mark Didio Jr., broken up by Kimal Clarke for a 1ST down Central Connecticut Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Kimal Clarke) to the CCSU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Rickey Spruill run for 5 yds to the CCSU 15

2nd & 5Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.35

Steven Krajewski sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the CCSU 23

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

pass incomplete to Chase Stafford

4th & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.21

Steven Krajewski pass incomplete to Jeff Nyamekye, broken up by Toddreis Baltimore

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Elijah Howard run for 5 yds to the CCSU 28

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69
3rd & 5Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.67

Matt Jenner pass complete to Naj Johnson for 33 yds to the WAG 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Elijah Howard run for 3 yds to the WAG 36

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Elijah Howard run for 1 yd to the WAG 35

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Central Connecticut Penalty, false start (Elijah Howard) to the WAG 40

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

pass incomplete to Isiah Williams

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Matt Jenner punt for 28 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Steven Krajewski pass complete to Mark Didio Jr. for 5 yds to the WAG 17

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.73

Steven Krajewski run for 10 yds to the WAG 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.07

Steven Krajewski pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Matt Jenner run for a loss of 2 yards to the WAG 15

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.61

Matt Jenner run for a loss of 2 yards to the WAG 15

Situational Analysis

Central Connecticut

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
43%
28 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
38%
8 plays
22%
9 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Wagner

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
39%
28 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
42%
12 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
0%
3 plays
100%
1 play
40%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
2 plays