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← Back to GamesOct 7, 2023Week 6

House Prediction

Model Margin

Elon by 3

Home Win Probability

Elon 58%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Elon -6.5

Edge: North Carolina Central +6.5 (3.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 7, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
North Carolina Central
0217634
Elon
10001323

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-010-710-1410-2110-2817-2823-34
ElonNorth Carolina Central

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NCCELONCCELONCCELONCCELONCCELONCCELOELONCCELONCCELONCCELONCCELONCCPUNT37ydTD650ydPUNT36ydFG516ydTD1375ydPUNT716ydTD485ydMISS853ydPUNT30ydDOWNS49ydTD1062ydEND1-2ydTO47ydTD534ydPUNT735ydPUNT33ydTD1458ydTD775ydTD1075ydDOWNS733ydDOWNS1147ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing North Carolina Central and Elon
StatisticNorth Carolina CentralElon
Passing21-3619-32
Pass Yards171282
Rush Yards20782
Total Yards378364
Turnovers01
3rd Down5-117-16
Penalties8-605-60
Possession26:3633:24

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

North Carolina Central
passing
Davius Richard
21/35, 171 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Davius Richard
11 CAR, 114 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Joaquin Davis
5 REC, 72 YDS, 1 TD
Elon
passing
Matthew Downing
10/15, 163 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Will Lankford
13 CAR, 49 YDS, 1 TD
receiving

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Latrell Collier run for no gain to the NCCU 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Davius Richard pass incomplete to Twan Flip Jr.

3rd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.15

Davius Richard run for 7 yds to the NCCU 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Juan Velarde punt for 18 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Matthew Downing pass complete to Jordan Bonner for 5 yds to the NCCU 45

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Jalen Hampton run for 8 yds to the NCCU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Jalen Hampton run for 4 yds to the NCCU 41

2nd & 14Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Daniel Frederick run for 1 yd to the NCCU 40

3rd & 13Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.81

Matthew Downing pass complete to Chandler Brayboy for 20 yds to the NCCU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +1.97

Matthew Downing pass complete to Jordan Bonner for 15 yds for a TD (Jack Berkowitz KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Davius Richard pass complete to Latrell Collier for 3 yds to the NCCU 22

2nd & 13Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.42

Latrell Collier run for 9 yds to the NCCU 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Davius Richard pass incomplete to Chance Peterson

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Juan Velarde punt for 9 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCCU 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +0.87

Matthew Downing pass complete to Landyn Backey for 32 yds to the NCCU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Daniel Frederick run for 1 yd to the NCCU 7

2nd & 7Penalty-15 yds

Elon Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the NCCU 22

3rd & 22Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Jalen Hampton run for 2 yds to the NCCU 24

4th & 24Field Goal Good+43 yds

Jack Berkowitz 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Davius Richard pass complete to Twan Flip Jr. for 10 yds to the NCCU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Davius Richard pass incomplete to Quentin McCall

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.07

Davius Richard pass complete to Devin Smith for 11 yds to the NCCU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.83

Latrell Collier run for 11 yds to the ELON 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Davius Richard run for no gain to the ELON 43

1st & 20Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Davius Richard pass complete to Quentin McCall for 4 yds to the ELON 49

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +2.25

Davius Richard pass incomplete to Quentin McCall for a 1ST down Elon Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Antonio White) to the ELON 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Davius Richard run for 7 yds to the ELON 27

2nd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -0.08

Davius Richard pass complete to Latrell Collier for 6 yds to the ELON 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Davius Richard pass complete to Devin Smith for 8 yds to the ELON 13

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Latrell Collier run for 3 yds to the ELON 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Latrell Collier run for no gain to the ELON 10

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.35

Latrell Collier run for 9 yds to the ELON 1

3rd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Davius Richard run for 6 yds for a TD (Adrian Olivo KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Carlos Beltran-Rodriguez kickoff for 54 yds , Daniel Frederick return for 23 yds to the ELON 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Matthew Downing pass complete to Chandler Brayboy for 11 yds to the ELON 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Matthew Downing pass incomplete to Chandler Brayboy

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Wayne Dixie III run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.95

Matthew Downing pass complete to Wayne Dixie III for 6 yds to the NCCU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.67

Matthew Downing sacked by Max U'Ren for a loss of 8 yards to the ELON 48

2nd & 18Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Will Lankford run for 1 yd to the ELON 49

3rd & 17Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Matthew Downing run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Kyle Romenick punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Brandon Codrington at the NCCU 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Davius Richard pass complete to Twan Flip Jr. for 9 yds to the NCCU 24

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Latrell Collier run for no gain to the NCCU 19

3rd & 6Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.04

Davius Richard pass complete to Joaquin Davis for 18 yds to the NCCU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+63 ydsPPA +5.05

Latrell Collier run for 63 yds for a TD (Adrian Olivo KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Carlos Beltran-Rodriguez kickoff for 63 yds , Daniel Frederick return for 25 yds to the ELON 27

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Jalen Hampton run for 9 yds to the ELON 36

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Jalen Hampton run for 2 yds to the NCCU 47

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Jalen Hampton run for 2 yds to the NCCU 49

3rd & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.28

Matthew Downing pass complete to Jamarien Dalton for 29 yds to the NCCU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Matthew Downing pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Matthew Downing pass incomplete to Johncarlos Miller II

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Matthew Downing pass incomplete to Jamarien Dalton

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+38 yds

Jack Berkowitz 38 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Davius Richard pass incomplete to Devin Smith

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Davius Richard pass incomplete to Joaquin Davis

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Davius Richard pass incomplete to Chris Mosley

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Juan Velarde punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCCU 47

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Jalen Hampton run for 2 yds to the NCCU 45

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jalen Hampton run for 2 yds to the NCCU 47

3rd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Matthew Downing run for 8 yds to the NCCU 39

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -2.00

Jalen Hampton run for 1 yd to the NCCU 38

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Latrell Collier run for 2 yds to the NCCU 36

2nd & 12Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.10

Davius Richard pass complete to Twan Flip Jr. for 10 yds to the NCCU 46

3rd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.52

Davius Richard pass complete to Quentin McCall for 5 yds to the ELON 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Davius Richard pass incomplete to Quentin McCall

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.92

Davius Richard run for 15 yds to the ELON 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Davius Richard pass complete to Latrell Collier for 4 yds to the ELON 38

2nd & 14Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.95

Davius Richard pass complete to Latrell Collier for 10 yds to the ELON 28

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Davius Richard pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.70

Davius Richard pass complete to Twan Flip Jr. for 4 yds to the ELON 24 for a 1ST down

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +3.12

Davius Richard pass complete to Joaquin Davis for 24 yds for a TD (Adrian Olivo KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

M. Downing takes a knee

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Matthew Downing pass complete to Johncarlos Miller II for 12 yds to the ELON 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Elon Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ELON 31

1st & 16Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Jalen Hampton run for 1 yd to the ELON 32

2nd & 15Interception0 ydsPPA -0.19

Matthew Downing pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Davius Richard run for 4 yds to the ELON 30

1st & 20Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.15

Davius Richard pass complete to Joaquin Davis for 11 yds to the ELON 33

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Davius Richard pass complete to Joaquin Davis for 2 yds to the ELON 31

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Davius Richard run for 3 yds to the ELON 28

4th & 4Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.70

Davius Richard pass complete to Joaquin Davis for 17 yds to the ELON 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Davius Richard run for 11 yds for a TD (Adrian Olivo KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Juan Velarde kickoff for 64 yds , Daniel Frederick return for 18 yds to the ELON 19

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.75

Wayne Dixie III run for 11 yds to the ELON 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Matthew Downing run for 3 yds to the ELON 33

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Wayne Dixie III run for 1 yd to the ELON 32

3rd & 8Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.72

Matthew Downing pass complete to Johncarlos Miller II for 29 yds to the NCCU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Wayne Dixie III run for 5 yds to the NCCU 34

2nd & 5Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.91

Matthew Downing sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the NCCU 39

3rd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.92

Matthew Downing sacked by Trey Middleton for a loss of 7 yards to the NCCU 46

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Kyle Romenick punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Brandon Codrington at the NCCU 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Davius Richard pass complete to Devin Smith for 2 yds to the NCCU 16

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Latrell Collier run for 1 yd to the NCCU 17

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Davius Richard pass incomplete to Devin Smith

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Juan Velarde punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Bo Sanders at the ELON 42

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.99

Daniel Frederick run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Will Lankford run for 2 yds to the NCCU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.97

Will Lankford sacked by Jayden Flaker for a loss of 4 yards to the ELON 48

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Will Lankford pass incomplete to Chandler Brayboy

3rd & 14Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.93

Will Lankford run for 10 yds to the NCCU 42

4th & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.76

Will Lankford pass complete to Cornell Hendrick Jr. for 13 yds to the NCCU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Will Lankford sacked by Quantez Mansfield for a loss of 1 yard to the NCCU 30

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Will Lankford pass incomplete to Chandler Brayboy

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Will Lankford pass incomplete to Jordan Bonner

4th & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.66

Will Lankford run for 12 yds to the NCCU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Daniel Frederick run for 4 yds to the NCCU 17 Daniel Frederick fumbled, recovered by NCCU Dan Frederick

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Will Lankford pass incomplete to Onuma Dieke

3rd & 14Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.65

Will Lankford run for 16 yds to the NCCU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Will Lankford run for 1 yd for a TD (Jack Berkowitz KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Davius Richard pass incomplete to Devin Smith

2nd & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.69

Davius Richard run for 22 yds to the NCCU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Davius Richard pass incomplete to Devin Smith

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

(12:06) No Huddle-Shotgun Richard,Davius pass incomplete short middle to Collier,Latrell PENALTY Elon Pass Interference (Johnson,Josh) 15 yards from NCCU47 to Elon38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Davius Richard pass incomplete to Chauncey Spikes

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Davius Richard pass complete to Latrell Collier for 3 yds to the ELON 35

3rd & 7Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.69

Davius Richard pass complete to Quentin McCall for 23 yds to the ELON 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Davius Richard run for 12 yds for a TD (Adrian Olivo PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Will Lankford run for 6 yds to the ELON 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.79

Will Lankford pass complete to Johncarlos Miller II for 7 yds to the ELON 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Will Lankford run for 8 yds to the ELON 46

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Will Lankford run for 2 yds to the ELON 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Will Lankford pass incomplete to Jamarien Dalton

2nd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.55

Will Lankford sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the ELON 44

3rd & 14Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.98

Justin Allen pass complete to Johncarlos Miller II for 30 yds to the NCCU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.16

Justin Allen run for 11 yds to the NCCU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Justin Allen pass incomplete to Jordan Bonner

1st & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Justin Allen pass complete to Jordan Bonner for 4 yds to the NCCU 6

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +1.94

Wayne Dixie III 6 Yd pass from Justin Allen (Jack Berkowitz PAT blocked)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Jack Berkowitz kickoff for 12 yds , Tynez Warner return for no gain to the ELON 47

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.64

Davius Richard run for 12 yds to the ELON 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Latrell Collier run for 1 yd to the ELON 34

2nd & 9Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.88

Davius Richard run for 14 yds to the ELON 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Davius Richard pass complete to Devin Smith for 1 yd to the ELON 19

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Davius Richard pass incomplete to Luke Bracey

3rd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Davius Richard run for 5 yds to the ELON 14

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.69

Davius Richard pass incomplete to Devin Smith

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Justin Allen pass incomplete to Johncarlos Miller II

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Justin Allen run for 3 yds to the ELON 17 Justin Allen fumbled, recovered by NCCU Julian Bumper

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.08

Justin Allen pass complete to Julian Bumper for 8 yds to the ELON 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Justin Allen sacked by Kendrick DuJour for a loss of 5 yards to the ELON 20

2nd & 15Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.04

Justin Allen pass complete to Caleb Ogunmola for 14 yds to the ELON 34

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Justin Allen pass incomplete to Julian Bumper

4th & 1Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.45

Justin Allen pass complete to Jordan Bonner for 23 yds to the NCCU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

(01:43) PENALTY Elon Illegal Substitution 5 yards from NCCU43 to NCCU48. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.91

Justin Allen pass complete to Wayne Dixie III for 14 yds to the NCCU 34

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Wayne Dixie III run for 1 yd to the NCCU 35

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Justin Allen pass incomplete to Landyn Backey

4th & 2Sack-4 ydsPPA -2.39

Justin Allen sacked by Thomas Johnson for a loss of 4 yards to the NCCU 39

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

D. Richard takes a knee

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.74

D. Richard takes a knee

Situational Analysis

North Carolina Central

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
27 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
50%
12 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
75%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

Elon

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
41%
27 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
14%
7 plays
14%
7 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play
67%
6 plays
57%
7 plays
4th
33%
3 plays
100%
2 plays