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← Back to GamesNov 18, 2023Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Howard by 17.1

Home Win Probability

Howard 83%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Howard -7.5

Edge: Howard -7.5 (9.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 18, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Morgan State
00707
Howard
707014

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40147-014-7
HowardMorgan State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSHOWMSHOWMSHOWMSHOWMSHOWMSHOWMSHOWMSHOWMSHOWMSHOWMSHOWPUNT731ydTD1281ydPUNT436ydPUNT636ydPUNT437ydPUNT627ydPUNT33ydPUNT923ydPUNT30ydTO317ydEND511ydPUNT615ydPUNT4-8ydTD442ydPUNT39ydDOWNS862ydTD587ydPUNT423ydPUNT425ydPUNT621ydPUNT34ydUncategorized1453yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Morgan State and Howard
StatisticMorgan StateHoward
Passing9-2212-22
Pass Yards144143
Rush Yards116239
Total Yards260382
Turnovers01
3rd Down1-115-15
Penalties7-703-15
Possession20:2239:38

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Morgan State
passing
Tahj Smith
9/22, 144 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
JJ Davis
12 CAR, 74 YDS
receiving
Anthony James Jr.
4 REC, 51 YDS
Howard
passing
Quinton Williams
12/22, 143 YDS
rushing
Jarett Hunter
20 CAR, 108 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Kasey Hawthorne
4 REC, 52 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.89

J.J. Davis run for 21 yds to the MORG 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Tahj Smith run for 6 yds to the HOW 48

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

pass incomplete to Daymond Hamler

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.93

Tahj Smith pass complete to Daymond Hamler for 10 yds to the HOW 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

J.J. Davis run for 2 yds to the HOW 36

2nd & 8Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.58

Tahj Smith sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the HOW 44

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

pass incomplete to Jabriel Johnson

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Beckett Leary punt for 25 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Jarett Hunter run for 4 yds to the HOW 23

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.75

Quinton Williams pass complete to Nah'shawn Hezekiah for 6 yds to the HOW 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Jarett Hunter run for 2 yds to the HOW 31

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.03

Quinton Williams pass complete to Kasey Hawthorne for 14 yds to the HOW 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Jarett Hunter run for 9 yds to the MORG 46

2nd & 1Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.14

Quinton Williams pass complete to Kasey Hawthorne for 13 yds to the MORG 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Quinton Williams pass incomplete to AJ Chandler, broken up by Ja'Son Prevard

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +0.95

Quinton Williams pass incomplete to Kasey Hawthorne for a 1ST down Morgan State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Carlvainsky Decius) to the MORG 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Eden James run for 4 yds to the MORG 14

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Hunter,Jarett rush middle (Davis,Melteon;Richardson,Lawrence).

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.67

Quinton Williams pass complete to Kasey Hawthorne for 6 yds to the MORG 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Jarett Hunter run for 8 yds for a TD Morgan State Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Noah Washington) to the MORG 0 (Dylan West KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Morgan State Penalty, delay of game (Tahj Smith) to the MORG 20

1st & 15Rush+38 ydsPPA +3.52

Tahj Smith run for 38 yds to the HOW 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Jabriel Johnson run for 4 yds to the HOW 38

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Jabriel Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the HOW 39

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

pass incomplete to Abdou Diop

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Beckett Leary punt for 18 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jarett Hunter run for 4 yds to the HOW 25

2nd & 6Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.96

Jarett Hunter run for 18 yds to the HOW 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.37

Quinton Williams pass complete to Kasey Hawthorne for 19 yds to the MORG 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

James,Eden rush middle (Hunter,Erick;Richardson,Lawrence).

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Eden James run for 1 yd to the MORG 37

3rd & 9Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.99

Quinton Williams sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the MORG 43

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Aaron Bickerton punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.38

Tahj Smith pass complete to Anthony James Jr. for 28 yds to the MORG 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

J.J. Davis run for 7 yds to the HOW 45

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.19

pass incomplete to Demier Shipley

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Tahj Smith pass complete to Anthony James Jr. for 2 yds to the HOW 43

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Beckett Leary punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Eden James run for 6 yds to the HOW 11

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Eden James run for 6 yds to the HOW 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.93

Eden James run for 14 yds to the HOW 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Eden James run for 4 yds to the HOW 35

2nd & 6Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.48

Quinton Williams sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the HOW 26

3rd & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Quinton Williams run for 6 yds to the HOW 32

4th & 9Punt+11 yds

Aaron Bickerton punt for 42 yds , Kwincy Hall returns for 11 yds to the MORG 37

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Davis,J.J. rush left (Jackson,Jevin;Dyson,Cam).

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Tahj Smith pass complete to J.J. Davis for 5 yds to the MORG 42

3rd & 5Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.88

Tahj Smith sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the MORG 40

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Beckett Leary punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.71

Quinton Williams pass complete to Gavin Harris for 11 yds to the HOW 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.15

Ian Wheeler run for a loss of 3 yards to the HOW 26

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion+10 ydsPPA +0.69

Quinton Williams pass incomplete to Nah'shawn Hezekiah for a 1ST down Morgan State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Ja'Son Prevard) to the HOW 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Ian Wheeler run for 5 yds to the HOW 41

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.94

Quinton Williams run for 5 yds to the HOW 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Eden James run for 3 yds to the HOW 49

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

pass incomplete to Nah'shawn Hezekiah

3rd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.45

Quinton Williams sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the HOW 49

4th & 15Punt+3 yds

Aaron Bickerton punt for 37 yds , Kwincy Hall returns for 3 yds to the MORG 25

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Davis,J.J. rush middle (Hollon,Terrance).

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

pass incomplete to Anthony James Jr.

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Beckett Leary punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Quinton Williams pass incomplete to Breylin Smith, broken up by Lawrence Richardson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.57

Quinton Williams pass complete to Breylin Smith for 17 yds to the MORG 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -3.46

Jarett Hunter run for 5 yds to the MORG 41 Jarett Hunter fumbled, recovered by MORG Carlvainsky Decius Hunter,Jarett rush right for 5 yards to the MSU41, fumble by Hunter,Jarett recovered by MSU Decius,Carlvainsky, Decius,Carlvainsky rush.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.38

Tahj Smith pass complete to Anthony James Jr. for 15 yds to the HOW 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Tahj Smith pass complete to Anthony James Jr. for 6 yds to the HOW 38

3rd & 4Penalty-10 yds

Morgan State Penalty, Offensive holding (Mosula Tapusoa) to the HOW 48

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jarett Hunter run for 1 yd to the HOW 26

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jarett Hunter run for 4 yds to the HOW 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.59

Quinton Williams pass complete to Richie Ilarraza for 6 yds to the HOW 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jarett Hunter run for 4 yds to the HOW 40

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Quinton Williams pass incomplete to Nah'shawn Hezekiah, broken up by Jae'Veyon Morton

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

pass incomplete to Breylin Smith

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Aaron Bickerton punt for 60 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Tahj Smith run for 6 yds to the MORG 26

2nd & 4Rush-10 ydsPPA -1.21

Johnson,Jabriel rush (Perrin,Clayton), PENALTY MSU holding (Carr Jr.,Dexter) 10 yards to the MSU36. Morgan State Penalty, Offensive holding (Dexter Carr Jr.) to the MORG 16

2nd & 14Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.18

Tahj Smith sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the MORG 12

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

pass incomplete to Jabriel Johnson

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Beckett Leary punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.67

Jarett Hunter run for 8 yds to the MORG 34

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Hunter,Jarett rush middle (Mattocks,Arturo).

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

pass incomplete to Kasey Hawthorne

4th & 2Rushing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +4.51

Quinton Williams run for 34 yds for a TD (Dylan West KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Dylan West kickoff for 58 yds , Keith Jenkins Jr. return for 20 yds to the MORG 45 Howard Penalty, off-side (Clayton Perrin) to the MORG 32

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

J.J. Davis run for 5 yds to the MORG 37

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

J.J. Davis run for 3 yds to the MORG 40

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Keith Jenkins Jr. run for 1 yd to the MORG 41

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Beckett Leary punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.89

Quinton Williams pass complete to Nah'shawn Hezekiah for 21 yds to the HOW 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Jarett Hunter run for 7 yds to the MORG 47

2nd & 3Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.67

Jarett Hunter run for 15 yds to the MORG 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.22

Jarett Hunter run for 10 yds to the MORG 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Jarett Hunter run for 1 yd to the MORG 21

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

pass incomplete to Wayne Dennis Jr.

3rd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.38

Quinton Williams pass complete to Gavin Harris for 8 yds to the MORG 13

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.94

Williams,Quinton rush middle (Washington,Noah;Richardson,Lawrence).

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

J.J. Davis run for 6 yds to the MORG 19

2nd & 4Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +3.37

Tahj Smith pass complete to Joseph Owumi for 43 yds to the HOW 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.61

J.J. Davis run for 8 yds to the HOW 30

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Tahj Smith run for 2 yds to the HOW 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +2.76

Tahj Smith pass complete to Treveyon Pratt for 28 yds for a TD (Beckett Leary KICK)

1st & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +2.60

Eden James run for 30 yds to the MORG 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Eden James run for 1 yd to the MORG 44

2nd & 9Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.44

Quinton Williams sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the HOW 48

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

pass incomplete to Jamarr Ebron

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Aaron Bickerton punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.89

J.J. Davis run for 18 yds to the MORG 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Davis,J.J. rush right (Hollon,Terrance;Stewart,Jamel).

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Tahj Smith pass complete to J.J. Davis for 7 yds to the MORG 34

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

pass incomplete to Keith Jenkins Jr.

4th & 3Punt+3 yds

Beckett Leary punt for 43 yds , Breylin Smith returns for 3 yds to the HOW 26

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Richie Ilarraza run for 3 yds to the HOW 29

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Jarett Hunter run for 3 yds to the HOW 32

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.00

Quinton Williams pass complete to Richie Ilarraza for 10 yds to the HOW 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jarett Hunter run for 4 yds to the HOW 46

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Jarett Hunter run for 1 yd to the HOW 47

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

pass incomplete to Kasey Hawthorne

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Aaron Bickerton punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

J.J. Davis run for 4 yds to the MORG 22

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Tahj Smith pass incomplete to Anthony James Jr., broken up by Jevin Jackson

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

pass incomplete to Treveyon Pratt

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Beckett Leary punt for 50 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Eden James run for 4 yds to the HOW 32

2nd & 6Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.98

Quinton Williams run for 16 yds to the HOW 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Eden James run for 6 yds to the MORG 46

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Eden James run for 2 yds to the MORG 44

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Eden James run for 1 yd to the MORG 43

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +2.15

for a 1ST down Morgan State Penalty, off-side (Elijah Williams) to the MORG 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Eden James run for 7 yds to the MORG 31

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Eden James run for 1 yd to the MORG 30

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

Howard Penalty, false start (Brennan Brown) to the MORG 35

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.55

Quinton Williams pass complete to Richie Ilarraza for 12 yds to the MORG 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Ian Wheeler run for 4 yds to the MORG 19

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Quinton Williams run for 6 yds to the MORG 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Howard Penalty, delay of game (Quinton Williams) to the MORG 18

1st & 15Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.51

Ian Wheeler run for a loss of 2 yards to the MORG 18

2nd & 17Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Ian Wheeler run for 1 yd to the MORG 19

3rd & 16Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.51

Ian Wheeler run for a loss of 3 yards to the MORG 19

3rd & 16End of Regulation0 ydsPPA -0.88

End of 4th Quarter

Situational Analysis

Morgan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
56%
18 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
67%
6 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
4th

Howard

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
39%
33 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
50%
10 plays
40%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
67%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
67%
3 plays