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← Back to GamesOct 21, 2023Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Howard by 15.6

Home Win Probability

Howard 80%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Howard -10

Edge: Howard -10 (5.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 21, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Norfolk State
3140623
Howard
6331527

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014286-06-109-1712-2020-23
HowardNorfolk State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20HOWNSNSNSHOWHOWNSNSNSHOWHOWHOWNSHOWNSHOWNSHOWNSHOWNSTD1083ydPUNT518ydPUNT412ydFG1273ydPUNT31ydTO25ydTD1276ydPUNT1235ydTD114ydPUNT37ydFG642ydFG833ydPUNT423ydPUNT418ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT719ydFG1159ydTD763ydFG856ydTD1075ydTO510yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Norfolk State and Howard
StatisticNorfolk StateHoward
Passing16-2615-25
Pass Yards218250
Rush Yards140125
Total Yards358375
Turnovers12
3rd Down6-155-12
Penalties5-358-81
Possession34:4425:16

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Norfolk State
passing
Otto Kuhns
16/26, 218 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Kevon King
12 CAR, 49 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tavian Morris
4 REC, 87 YDS
Howard
passing
Quinton Williams
14/24, 240 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jarett Hunter
12 CAR, 64 YDS
receiving
Richie Ilarraza
5 REC, 82 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Jarett Hunter run for 7 yds to the HOW 24

2nd & 3Rush-10 ydsPPA -1.25

Howard Penalty, Offensive holding (Tim Artis Jr.) to the HOW 14

3rd & 13Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.17

Kasey Hawthorne pass complete to Breylin Smith for 10 yds to the HOW 24

4th & 3Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.87

Quinton Williams pass complete to Richie Ilarraza for 21 yds to the HOW 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+52 ydsPPA +2.81

Quinton Williams pass complete to Kasey Hawthorne for 52 yds to the NORF 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.87

Eden James run for a loss of 1 yard to the NORF 4

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

pass incomplete to AJ Chandler

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Quinton Williams run for 3 yds to the NORF 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Quinton Williams 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 yds

Kaden Cobb pass incomplete to AJ Chandler

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.17

Kevon King run for 9 yds to the NORF 31

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.05

Kevon King run for 5 yds to the NORF 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Otto Kuhns pass incomplete to Collis Pride, broken up by Carson Hinton

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Kevon King run for 7 yds to the NORF 43

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Kevon King run for 2 yds to the NORF 45

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

Norfolk State Penalty, false start (Baron Franks II) to the NORF 40

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Noah Tracey punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Dylan West kickoff for 40 yds , Joshua Rembert return for no gain to the NORF 25

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

X'Zavion Evans run for 11 yds to the NORF 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Otto Kuhns pass complete to Andre Pegues for 4 yds to the NORF 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.41

Otto Kuhns pass complete to Tremayne Talbert for a loss of 3 yards to the NORF 37

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

pass incomplete to Tremayne Talbert

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Grandin Willcox punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Dylan West kickoff for 41 yds , Joshua Rembert return for no gain to the NORF 24

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

X'Zavion Evans run for 3 yds to the NORF 27

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

X'Zavion Evans run for 2 yds to the NORF 29

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.02

Otto Kuhns pass complete to Taron Biles-Walker for 11 yds to the NORF 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

X'Zavion Evans run for 4 yds to the NORF 44

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Otto Kuhns run for 2 yds to the NORF 46

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion-5 ydsPPA -1.39

Otto Kuhns pass incomplete to Collis Pride Norfolk State Penalty, false start (Garrison Wheatley) to the NORF 44

3rd & 6Pass Reception+46 ydsPPA +3.50

Otto Kuhns pass complete to Andre Pegues for 46 yds to the HOW 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

X'Zavion Evans run for 3 yds to the HOW 7

2nd & 7Rush-10 ydsPPA -1.20

X'Zavion Evans run for a loss of 5 yards to the HOW 12 Norfolk State Penalty, illegal shift (Elyjah Mitchell) to the HOW 12

2nd & 12Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.29

X'Zavion Evans run for 9 yds to the HOW 3

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29
4th & 3Field Goal Good+20 yds

Grandin Willcox 20 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Grandin Willcox kickoff for 59 yds , Kasey Hawthorne return for no gain to the HOW 35

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Jarett Hunter run for 1 yd to the HOW 36

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.68
3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

pass incomplete to Eden James

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Aaron Bickerton punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Eden James run for 5 yds to the HOW 26

2nd & 5Interception0 ydsPPA -0.76

Quinton Williams pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Kevon King run for 1 yd to the NORF 25

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39
3rd & 9Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +3.91

Otto Kuhns pass complete to Tavian Morris for 35 yds to the HOW 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

X'Zavion Evans run for 1 yd to the HOW 39

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.05

X'Zavion Evans run for 10 yds to the HOW 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53
2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Otto Kuhns pass complete to Tremayne Talbert for 1 yd to the HOW 28

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Otto Kuhns pass complete to Andre Pegues for 7 yds to the HOW 21

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.91

Otto Kuhns run for 3 yds to the HOW 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Otto Kuhns run for 7 yds to the HOW 11

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Cameron Sapp run for 6 yds to the HOW 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Kevon King run for 5 yds for a TD (Grandin Willcox KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.25
2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.20

Kevon King run for 8 yds to the NORF 10

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.30

Kevon King run for 2 yds to the NORF 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Kevon King run for 3 yds to the NORF 15

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Kevon King run for 6 yds to the NORF 21

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.44

Kevon King run for 1 yd to the NORF 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

pass incomplete to Andre Pegues

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Otto Kuhns pass complete to Tavian Morris for 5 yds to the NORF 27

3rd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.70

Otto Kuhns run for 9 yds to the NORF 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Otto Kuhns pass incomplete to Andre Pegues, broken up by Robert Jones III

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Otto Kuhns run for 3 yds to the NORF 39

3rd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.63

X'Zavion Evans run for a loss of 2 yards to the NORF 37

4th & 9Punt+6 yds

Noah Tracey punt for 43 yds , Jamarr Ebron returns for no gain to the HOW 14 , Terique Miles returns for 6 yds to the HOW 14

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Otto Kuhns pass complete to RJ Baker for 14 yds for a TD (Grandin Willcox KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Grandin Willcox kickoff for 39 yds , Gavin Harris return for 13 yds to the HOW 39

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Ian Wheeler run for 1 yd to the HOW 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.28

Quinton Williams pass complete to Kasey Hawthorne for a loss of 5 yards to the HOW 35

3rd & 14Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.65

Quinton Williams run for 11 yds to the HOW 46

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Aaron Bickerton punt for 52 yds

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Grandin Willcox kickoff for 39 yds , Gavin Harris return for 12 yds to the HOW 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Quinton Williams pass complete to Jamarr Ebron for 4 yds to the HOW 42

2nd & 6Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.93

Quinton Williams pass complete to Richie Ilarraza for 18 yds to the NORF 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

pass incomplete to Eden James

2nd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.48

Quinton Williams pass complete to Breylin Smith for 25 yds to the NORF 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Howard Penalty, false start (Darius Fox) to the NORF 20

2nd & 15Field Goal Good+30 yds

Aaron Bickerton 30 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Grandin Willcox kickoff for 45 yds , Gavin Crosby return for 26 yds to the HOW 46

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +1.48

Jarett Hunter run for 29 yds to the NORF 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jarett Hunter run for 5 yds to the NORF 20

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kasey Hawthorne run for 5 yds to the NORF 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Eden James run for 4 yds to the NORF 11

2nd & 6Rush-10 ydsPPA -1.44

Howard Penalty, Offensive holding (Tim Artis Jr.) to the NORF 21

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Quinton Williams pass incomplete to Kasey Hawthorne, broken up by Devon Allen

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

pass incomplete to Richie Ilarraza

4th & 16Field Goal Good+31 yds

Aaron Bickerton 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.89

Taron Biles-Walker run for 21 yds to the NORF 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Lex Henry run for 3 yds to the NORF 49

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Otto Kuhns run for a loss of 1 yard to the NORF 48

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Otto Kuhns pass incomplete to Tremayne Talbert, broken up by Kenny Gallop Jr.

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Noah Tracey punt for 37 yds , Jamarr Ebron returns for no gain to the HOW 15

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.69

Jarett Hunter run for 12 yds to the HOW 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Jarett Hunter run for 3 yds to the HOW 30

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Jarett Hunter run for 3 yds to the HOW 33

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Quinton Williams pass incomplete to Richie Ilarraza, broken up by Xavier Graham

4th & 4Punt-15 yds

Aaron Bickerton punt for no gain Howard Penalty, kick catching interference (Jabari Knighten) to the NORF 39

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Lex Henry run for 1 yd to the NORF 40

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Mohamed Nyangamukenga run for 2 yds to the NORF 42

3rd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.97

Otto Kuhns sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the NORF 35

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Noah Tracey punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Eden James run for 8 yds to the HOW 41

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.08

Eden James run for 1 yd to the HOW 42

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.20

Eden James run for 3 yds to the HOW 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.80

Quinton Williams pass complete to Kasey Hawthorne for 10 yds to the NORF 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.12

Eden James run for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 15Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Quinton Williams pass complete to Gavin Harris for 2 yds to the NORF 48

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

pass incomplete to Kasey Hawthorne

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Aaron Bickerton punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Norfolk State Penalty, delay of game (Sage Beuchert-Irvine) to the NORF 14

1st & 4Rush-12 ydsPPA -1.64

RJ Baker run for a loss of 12 yards to the NORF 2

2nd & 16Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.26

Otto Kuhns pass complete to Elyjah Mitchell for 23 yds to the NORF 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

RJ Baker run for 3 yds to the NORF 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.13

Otto Kuhns pass complete to Tavian Morris for 7 yds to the NORF 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

pass incomplete to Tavian Morris

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.33

X'Zavion Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the NORF 34 for a 1ST down Howard Penalty, personal foul (Cam Dyson) to the NORF 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.99

Otto Kuhns run for 17 yds to the HOW 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-14 ydsPPA -3.38

X'Zavion Evans run for 1 yd to the HOW 33 Norfolk State Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Evan Gregory) to the HOW 44

1st & 20Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.01

Otto Kuhns pass complete to Taron Biles-Walker

2nd & 20Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.32

Otto Kuhns pass complete to RJ Baker for 11 yds to the HOW 33

3rd & 9Field Goal Good+50 yds

Grandin Willcox 50 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+36 yds

Grandin Willcox kickoff for 64 yds , Ian Wheeler return for 36 yds to the HOW 37

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.24

Jarett Hunter run for a loss of 1 yard to the HOW 36

2nd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.18

Quinton Williams pass complete to Kasey Hawthorne for 10 yds to the HOW 46

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.01

Quinton Williams run for 1 yd to the HOW 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jarett Hunter run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Quinton Williams pass complete to Richie Ilarraza for 5 yds to the NORF 45

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+45 ydsPPA +4.41

Eden James 45 Yd pass from Quinton Williams (Kasey Hawthorne Run for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.11

Otto Kuhns pass complete to Tavian Morris for 40 yds to the HOW 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

X'Zavion Evans run for 1 yd to the HOW 34

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

pass incomplete to Kevon King

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion+11 ydsPPA +1.70

Otto Kuhns pass incomplete, broken up by Carson Hinton for a 1ST down Howard Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Carson Hinton) to the HOW 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

X'Zavion Evans run for 3 yds to the HOW 20

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

X'Zavion Evans run for 1 yd to the HOW 19

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

pass incomplete to Tremayne Talbert

4th & 6Field Goal Good+36 yds

Grandin Willcox 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Howard Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the HOW 20

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Eden James run for 5 yds to the HOW 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

pass incomplete to Kasey Hawthorne

3rd & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +3.37

Quinton Williams run for 26 yds to the NORF 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.71

Quinton Williams pass complete to Richie Ilarraza for 12 yds to the NORF 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -2.21

Eden James run for a loss of 7 yards to the NORF 44

2nd & 17Pass Reception-10 ydsPPA -1.89

Quinton Williams pass complete to Jarett Hunter Howard Penalty, Offensive holding (Darius Fox) to the NORF 43

2nd & 16Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.46

Quinton Williams pass complete to Richie Ilarraza for 26 yds to the NORF 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Jarett Hunter run for a loss of 1 yard to the NORF 18

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Jarett Hunter run for 3 yds to the NORF 15

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +3.13

Quinton Williams pass complete to Jarett Hunter for 15 yds for a TD (Dylan West KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+35 yds

Dylan West kickoff for 51 yds , Taron Biles-Walker return for 35 yds to the NORF 49

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

pass incomplete to Kevon King

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.88

Otto Kuhns sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the NORF 42

3rd & 17Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.79

Otto Kuhns pass complete to Chris Butler for 16 yds to the HOW 42

4th & 1Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Otto Kuhns pass complete to Chris Butler for 1 yd to the HOW 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.76

Otto Kuhns pass intercepted

Situational Analysis

Norfolk State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
25%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
41%
17 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
43%
7 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays

Howard

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
43%
21 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
33%
6 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
2 plays