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← Back to GamesNov 26, 2023Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Fresno State by 9.9

Home Win Probability

San Diego State 30%

Market (Bovada)

San Diego State +4.5

Edge: Fresno State -4.5 (5.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 26, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Fresno StateFresno State
730818
San Diego StateSan Diego State
31371033

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-76-713-716-723-1026-1026-1833-18
San Diego StateFresno State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SDSFSSDSFSSDSFSSDSFSSDSFSSDSFSSDSFSFSSDSFSSDSFSSDSFSSDSPUNT824ydTD586ydFG1062ydTO635ydFG812ydPUNT37ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT35ydTD591ydPUNT3-1ydFG624ydPUNT628ydPUNT38ydFG848ydPUNT39ydTD951ydPUNT419ydFG1459ydTD1075ydTD1478ydDOWNS630ydEND3-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Fresno State and San Diego State
StatisticFresno StateSan Diego State
Passing21-3717-26
Pass Yards190189
Rush Yards151226
Total Yards341415
Turnovers10
3rd Down1-98-19
Penalties1-82-10
Possession19:0940:51

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Fresno State
passing
Mikey Keene
21/36, 190 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Malik Sherrod
15 CAR, 138 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Erik Brooks
5 REC, 53 YDS
defense
San Diego State
passing
Jalen Mayden
17/26, 189 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jalen Mayden
14 CAR, 96 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Cameron Harpole
3 REC, 46 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Cameron Harpole

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Kenan Christon run for 5 yds to the SDSU 20

3rd & 15Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.15

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 16 yds to the SDSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Jalen Mayden run for 7 yds to the SDSU 43

2nd & 3Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.20

Cam Davis run for 16 yds to the FRES 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Jaylon Armstead run for 3 yds to the FRES 43

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

3rd & 12Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.54

Jalen Mayden sacked by Levelle Bailey for a loss of 8 yards to the SDSU 49

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Jack Browning punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Erik Brooks at the FRES 14

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Malik Sherrod run for 4 yds to the FRES 18

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.95

Mikey Keene pass complete to Erik Brooks for 11 yds to the FRES 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Mikey Keene pass incomplete to Jalen Moss

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.79

Malik Sherrod run for 9 yds to the FRES 38

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+62 ydsPPA +5.81

Malik Sherrod run for 62 yds for a TD (Dylan Lynch KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Dylan Lynch kickoff for 58 yds , Kenan Christon return for 16 yds to the SDSU 23

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Cam Davis run for 2 yds to the SDSU 25

2nd & 8Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.35

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Cameron Harpole for 20 yds to the SDSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.04

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Phillippe Wesley II for 14 yds to the FRES 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Joshua Nicholson run for 2 yds to the FRES 39

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.93

Kenan Christon run for 10 yds to the FRES 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.20

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Joshua Nicholson for 11 yds to the FRES 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jalen Mayden run for 3 yds to the FRES 15

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Mark Redman

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Mark Redman

4th & 7Field Goal Good+32 yds

Jack Browning 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Jack Browning kickoff for 63 yds , Malik Sherrod return for 23 yds to the FRES 25

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Malik Sherrod run for 14 yds to the FRES 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.17

Mikey Keene pass complete to Mac Dalena for 13 yds to the SDSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Mikey Keene pass complete to Jalen Moss for 8 yds to the SDSU 40

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Mikey Keene pass incomplete to Jaelen Gill

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Mikey Keene pass incomplete to Erik Brooks

4th & 2Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.91

Mikey Keene pass intercepted Marcus Ratcliffe return for no gain to the FRES 34

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Cam Davis run for 2 yds to the FRES 32

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Baylin Brooks for 6 yds to the FRES 26

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.76

Jaylon Armstead run for no gain to the FRES 26

4th & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.15

Jaylon Armstead run for 2 yds to the FRES 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Jalen Mayden run for 3 yds to the FRES 21

2nd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.58

Jalen Mayden sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the FRES 28

3rd & 14Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Kenan Christon run for 6 yds to the FRES 22

4th & 8Field Goal Good+39 yds

Jack Browning 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Jack Browning kickoff for 65 yds , Malik Sherrod return for 20 yds to the FRES 20

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Malik Sherrod run for 5 yds to the FRES 25

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Malik Sherrod run for 2 yds to the FRES 27

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Mikey Keene pass incomplete to Mac Dalena

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Shaw at the SDSU 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 6 yds to the SDSU 32

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Kenan Christon for 2 yds to the SDSU 25

3rd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.12

Jalen Mayden run for 1 yd to the SDSU 24

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jack Browning punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Erik Brooks at the FRES 36

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Malik Sherrod run for 4 yds to the FRES 40

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Malik Sherrod run for 1 yd to the FRES 41

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Mikey Keene pass incomplete to Richie Anderson

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 50 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Kenan Christon run for 3 yds to the SDSU 12

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.69

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 10 yds to the SDSU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Phillippe Wesley II

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.43

Cam Davis run for 8 yds to the SDSU 30

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+70 ydsPPA +6.46

Jalen Mayden run for 70 yds for a TD (Jack Browning KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Jack Browning kickoff for 64 yds , Malik Sherrod return for 18 yds to the FRES 19

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.88

Mikey Keene sacked by Keion Mitchell for a loss of 9 yards to the FRES 10

2nd & 19Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Malik Sherrod run for 3 yds to the FRES 13

3rd & 16Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Mikey Keene pass complete to Malik Sherrod for 5 yds to the FRES 18

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Shaw at the FRES 48

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Tobin O'Dell run for 5 yds to the FRES 43

2nd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.85

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 16 yds to the FRES 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Jalen Mayden run for 3 yds to the FRES 24

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Jalen Mayden run for no gain to the FRES 24

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Mekhi Shaw

4th & 7Field Goal Good+41 yds

Jack Browning 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Mikey Keene pass complete to Antoine Sullivan for 6 yds to the FRES 14

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Mikey Keene pass complete to Malik Sherrod for 7 yds to the FRES 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.81

Mikey Keene pass complete to Erik Brooks for 11 yds to the FRES 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Mikey Keene pass incomplete to Mac Dalena

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Mikey Keene pass incomplete to Mac Dalena

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Mikey Keene pass complete to Malik Sherrod for 4 yds to the FRES 36

4th & 6Punt+8 yds

Carson King punt for 48 yds , Mekhi Shaw returns for 8 yds to the SDSU 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Phillippe Wesley II

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Mekhi Shaw

3rd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.22

Kenan Christon run for 8 yds to the SDSU 32

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jack Browning punt for 41 yds , Al'zillion Hamilton returns for no gain to the FRES 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Mikey Keene pass complete to Erik Brooks for 4 yds to the FRES 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.00

Mikey Keene pass complete to Erik Brooks for 15 yds to the SDSU 38 for a 1ST down

2nd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.96

Mikey Keene pass complete to Josiah Freeman for 16 yds to the FRES 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.18

Mikey Keene pass complete to Tre Watson for 13 yds to the SDSU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

3rd & 10Field Goal Good+43 yds

Dylan Lynch 43 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Jack Browning kickoff for 64 yds , Malik Sherrod return for 19 yds to the FRES 20

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Malik Sherrod run for no gain to the FRES 20

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Mikey Keene pass incomplete to Erik Brooks

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.25

Mikey Keene pass complete to Jalen Moss for 9 yds to the FRES 29

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSU 49

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Kenan Christon run for 2 yds to the FRES 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Jordan Napier for 2 yds to the SDSU 49

3rd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.05

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Kenan Christon for 15 yds to the FRES 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Jaylon Armstead run for 3 yds to the FRES 33

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Cam Davis run for 5 yds to the FRES 28

3rd & 2Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.96

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Cameron Harpole for 21 yds to the FRES 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Jaylon Armstead run for 4 yds to the FRES 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Jaylon Armstead run for 2 yds to the FRES 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Jaylon Armstead run for 1 yd for a TD (Jack Browning KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Malik Sherrod run for 11 yds to the FRES 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Malik Sherrod run for 3 yds to the FRES 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Mikey Keene pass complete to Mac Dalena for 2 yds to the FRES 41

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Mikey Keene pass complete to Tre Watson for 3 yds to the FRES 44

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 31 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Cam Davis run for 1 yd to the SDSU 26

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Jalen Mayden run for 8 yds to the SDSU 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Jaylon Armstead run for 2 yds to the SDSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Jaylon Armstead run for 2 yds to the SDSU 38

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

Kenan Christon run for no gain to the SDSU 38

3rd & 8Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.66

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Baylin Brooks for 28 yds to the FRES 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Kenan Christon run for 2 yds to the FRES 32

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Jalen Mayden run for 7 yds to the FRES 25

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Jalen Mayden run for no gain to the FRES 25

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.03

Jaylon Armstead run for 5 yds to the FRES 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Mekhi Shaw

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Kenan Christon run for 2 yds to the FRES 18

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Cam Davis run for 2 yds to the FRES 16

4th & 6Field Goal Good+33 yds

Jack Browning 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Mikey Keene pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 8 yds to the FRES 33

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Malik Sherrod run for 6 yds to the FRES 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.01

Mikey Keene pass complete to Malik Sherrod for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.79

Malik Sherrod run for 13 yds to the SDSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Mikey Keene pass complete to Mac Dalena for 3 yds to the SDSU 34

2nd & 7Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.74

Elijah Gilliam run for 20 yds to the SDSU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Mikey Keene pass incomplete to Jaelen Gill

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.65

Mikey Keene pass complete to Elijah Gilliam for 12 yds to the SDSU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Elijah Gilliam run for 1 yd to the SDSU 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Malik Sherrod run for 1 yd for a TD (Jalen Moss pass to for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Dylan Lynch kickoff for 61 yds , Kenan Christon return for 18 yds to the SDSU 22

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.12

Tobin O'Dell run for 14 yds to the SDSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Tobin O'Dell run for 2 yds to the SDSU 38

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Jaylon Armstead run for 6 yds to the SDSU 44

3rd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.54

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Cameron Harpole for 5 yds to the SDSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.73

Jalen Mayden run for 11 yds to the FRES 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jaylon Armstead run for 5 yds to the FRES 35

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Cam Davis run for 4 yds to the FRES 31

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.92

Jalen Mayden run for no gain to the FRES 31

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.29

Jaylon Armstead run for 1 yd to the FRES 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Jaylon Armstead run for 2 yds to the FRES 28

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 8 yds to the FRES 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Jaylon Armstead run for 3 yds to the FRES 17

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.85

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Kenan Christon for 12 yds to the FRES 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Leo Kemp for 5 yds for a TD (Jack Browning KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+37 yds

Jack Browning kickoff for 63 yds , Malik Sherrod return for 37 yds to the FRES 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.09

Mikey Keene pass complete to Erik Brooks for 12 yds to the SDSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.89

Mikey Keene pass complete to Malik Sherrod for 17 yds to the SDSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Mikey Keene pass incomplete to Tre Watson

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Mikey Keene run for 1 yd to the SDSU 31

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Mikey Keene pass incomplete to Mac Dalena

4th & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.90

Mikey Keene pass incomplete to Malik Sherrod

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

J. Mayden takes a knee

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.47

J. Mayden takes a knee

3rd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.17

J. Mayden takes a knee

Situational Analysis

Fresno State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
50%
26 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
44%
9 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

San Diego State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
28%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
60%
20 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
63%
8 plays
50%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
100%
3 plays