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← Back to GamesNov 19, 2023Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Fresno State by 31.2

Home Win Probability

Fresno State 95%

Market (Bovada)

Fresno State -22

Edge: Fresno State -22 (9.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 19, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
New MexicoNew Mexico
396725
Fresno StateFresno State
770317

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-37-314-614-1214-1814-2517-25
Fresno StateNew Mexico

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NMFSNMFSNMFSNMFSNMFSNMFSNMNMFSNMFSNMFSNMFSNMFG845ydTD877ydPUNT3-1ydMISS41ydPUNT618ydTD778ydFG1154ydPUNT37ydTD492ydPUNT39ydEND523ydPUNT31ydTO4-21ydTO519ydPUNT315ydTD1093ydPUNT412ydTD1097ydPUNT3-8ydPUNT413ydFG1563ydEND410yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing New Mexico and Fresno State
StatisticNew MexicoFresno State
Passing10-2117-29
Pass Yards183183
Rush Yards34547
Total Yards528230
Turnovers21
3rd Down7-134-13
Penalties11-971-5
Possession40:4119:19

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

New Mexico
passing
Dylan Hopkins
8/18, 124 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Jacory Merritt
21 CAR, 204 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Caleb Medford
6 REC, 122 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Fresno State
passing
Logan Fife
9/16, 125 YDS
rushing
Malik Sherrod
13 CAR, 51 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jalen Moss
1 REC, 53 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+46 ydsPPA +2.64

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Caleb Medford for 46 yds to the FRES 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Andrew Erickson for 5 yds to the FRES 14

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Caleb Medford for 4 yds to the FRES 10

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.50

Devon Dampier run for 4 yds to the FRES 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Devon Dampier run for 2 yds to the FRES 4

2nd & 4Penalty-15 yds

HOPKINS, Dylan pass short to the right complete for 4 yards to BRUCKLER, Trace caught at the FST0 and advanced to the FST0, TOUCHDOWN UNM, score nullified by penalty, clock 11:18 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY UNM Pass Interference enforced 15 yards to the FST19 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 19Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.86

Dylan Hopkins sacked by Dupre Mendoza for a loss of 1 yard to the FRES 20

3rd & 20Rush0 ydsPPA -0.98

Dylan Hopkins run for no gain to the FRES 20

4th & 20Field Goal Good+38 yds

Luke Drzewiecki 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Logan Fife pass complete to Erik Brooks for 3 yds to the FRES 26

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.15

Malik Sherrod run for 8 yds to the FRES 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Logan Fife pass complete to Erik Brooks for 6 yds to the FRES 40

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Malik Sherrod run for 2 yds to the FRES 42

3rd & 2Pass Reception+53 ydsPPA +3.76

Logan Fife pass complete to Jalen Moss for 53 yds to the UNM 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Malik Sherrod run for 4 yds to the UNM 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Malik Sherrod run for no gain to the UNM 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Logan Fife run for 1 yd for a TD (Dylan Lynch KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Dylan Hopkins sacked by Morice Norris Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the UNM 24

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Malik Sherrod run for 3 yds to the UNM 22

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.77

Jaelen Gill run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNM 24

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Logan Fife pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Dylan Lynch 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 4 yds to the UNM 28

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 3 yds to the UNM 31

3rd & 3Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.15

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Caleb Medford for 13 yds to the UNM 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Devon Dampier run for 1 yd to the UNM 45

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.11

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNM 44

3rd & 10Penalty-15 yds

HOPKINS, Dylan pass deep to the right complete for 25 yards to HIXON, Jeremiah caught at the FST40 and advanced to the FST31, End of Play, clock 00:00. PENALTY UNM Personal Foul enforced 15 yards from the UNM44 to the UNM29 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 25Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.26

Dylan Hopkins run for 13 yds to the UNM 42

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Erik Brooks at the FRES 22

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Malik Sherrod run for 1 yd to the FRES 23

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Fresno State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FRES 18

2nd & 14Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.91

Logan Fife pass complete to Tre Watson for 17 yds to the FRES 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

FIFE, Logan pass to the left incomplete intended for DALENA, Mac thrown to the FST44. PENALTY UNM Holding enforced 10 yards from the FST35 to the FST45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Malik Sherrod run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Malik Sherrod run for 11 yds to the UNM 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +0.60

Logan Fife pass complete to Mac Dalena for 26 yds to the UNM 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Malik Sherrod run for 7 yds to the UNM 6

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.24

Malik Sherrod run for 6 yds for a TD (Dylan Lynch KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Caleb Medford for 7 yds to the UNM 32

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.52

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 6 yds to the UNM 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.60

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Caleb Medford for 19 yds to the FRES 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Ryan Davis for 8 yds to the FRES 35

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.67

run for 2 yds to the FRES 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.30

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 14 yds to the FRES 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Andrew Henry run for 3 yds to the FRES 16

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

New Mexico Penalty, False Start (D.J. Washington) to the FRES 21

4th & 12Field Goal Good+38 yds

Luke Drzewiecki 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Malik Sherrod run for 3 yds to the FRES 38

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Logan Fife pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Logan Fife run for 4 yds to the FRES 42

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jeremiah Hixon at the UNM 8

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.77

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 17 yds to the UNM 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 3 yds to the UNM 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.53

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+50 ydsPPA +3.84

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 50 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Logan Fife pass complete to Erik Brooks for 1 yd to the FRES 23

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Logan Fife pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.23

Logan Fife pass complete to Erik Brooks for 8 yds to the FRES 31

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jeremiah Hixon at the UNM 26

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 5 yds to the UNM 31

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.96

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 7 yds to the UNM 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.81

Andrew Henry run for 11 yds to the UNM 49 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Penalty+20 yds

DRZEWIECKI, Luke kickoff 62 yards from the UNM35 to the FST3, GILL, Jaelen returned 20 yards to the FST23 (ERICKSON, Andrew), clock 14:53. PENALTY UNM Targeting on STEINKAMP, Charles FST Holding , Offsetting penalties. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Malik Sherrod run for 1 yd to the FRES 23

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Logan Fife pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Logan Fife pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jeremiah Hixon at the UNM 35

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 5 yds to the UNM 40

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.86

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 5 yds to the UNM 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

New Mexico Penalty, Delay Of Game (D.J. Washington) to the UNM 40

2nd & 15Pass Interception Return+41 ydsPPA -0.61

Dylan Hopkins pass intercepted Levelle Bailey return for 41 yds to the UNM 14 Levelle Bailey fumbled, recovered by UNM D.J. Washington [NHSG] HOPKINS, Dylan pass to the left intercepted by BAILEY, Levelle at the FST45 intended for HIXON, Jeremiah. Bailey return for 41 yards to the UNM14, BAILEY, Levelle fumbled at UNM25 forced by ERICKSON, Andrew, recovered by UNM WASHINGTON, DJ at the UNM14, returned 0 yards, End of Play, clock 11:37.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Andrew Henry run for 5 yds to the UNM 19

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.51

Andrew Henry run for 6 yds to the UNM 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Andrew Henry run for 1 yd to the UNM 26

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Dylan Hopkins run for 7 yds to the UNM 33

3rd & 2Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dylan Hopkins pass intercepted Dean Clark return for no gain to the FRES 49

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

FIFE, Logan pass deep to the right incomplete intended for DALENA, Mac thrown to the UNM10. PENALTY UNM Pass Interference on ELLIS, Christian enforced 15 yards to the UNM36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Logan Fife pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Malik Sherrod run for no gain to the UNM 36

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Logan Fife pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 29 yds, downed at the UNM 7

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 7 yds to the UNM 14

2nd & 3Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.57

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 24 yds to the UNM 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Andrew Henry run for 8 yds to the UNM 46

2nd & 2Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.05

Andrew Henry run for 22 yds to the FRES 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Andrew Henry run for 4 yds to the FRES 28

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.31

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 8 yds to the FRES 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

New Mexico Penalty, False Start (D.J. Washington) to the FRES 25

1st & 15Penalty-10 yds

New Mexico Penalty, Offensive Holding (Zach Morris) to the FRES 30

1st & 20Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.71

Dylan Hopkins run for 12 yds to the FRES 18

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.31

Devon Dampier run for 8 yds to the FRES 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 10 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.38

Logan Fife pass complete to Tre Watson for 16 yds to the UNM 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-13 ydsPPA -3.33

Logan Fife sacked by Kyler Drake for a loss of 13 yards to the FRES 42

2nd & 23Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.48

Logan Fife run for 14 yds to the UNM 44

3rd & 9Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.53

Logan Fife pass complete to Tre Watson for a loss of 5 yards to the UNM 49

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 46 yds, downed at the UNM 3

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.75

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 20 yds to the UNM 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Andrew Henry run for 4 yds to the UNM 27

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Devon Dampier run for 4 yds to the UNM 31

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.07

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 3 yds to the UNM 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 13 yds to the UNM 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.99

Andrew Henry run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNM 43

2nd & 14Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.24

Devon Dampier pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for 26 yds to the FRES 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for a loss of 2 yards to the FRES 33

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Devon Dampier pass incomplete

3rd & 12Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +4.63

Devon Dampier pass complete to Caleb Medford for 33 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.56

Mikey Keene sacked by Hunter Rapolla for a loss of 8 yards to the FRES 17

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jeremiah Hixon at the UNM 43

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.92

Devon Dampier run for 11 yds to the FRES 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 3 yds to the FRES 43

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Devon Dampier run for 1 yd to the FRES 42

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Devon Dampier run for 3 yds to the FRES 39

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

New Mexico Penalty, Delay Of Game (D.J. Washington) to the FRES 44

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 34 yds, downed at the FRES 10

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Mikey Keene pass complete to Artis Cole for 7 yds to the FRES 17

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.04

Mikey Keene pass complete to Tre Watson for 10 yds to the FRES 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.18

Mikey Keene pass complete to Mac Dalena for 13 yds to the FRES 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Mikey Keene pass complete to Malik Sherrod for 3 yds to the FRES 43

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

KEENE, Mikey pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for BROOKS, Erik thrown to the UNM13. PENALTY UNM Offsides enforced 5 yards from the FST43 to the FST48 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

4th & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.73

Mikey Keene pass complete to Tim Grear Jr. for 8 yds to the UNM 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Mikey Keene pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 7 yds to the UNM 37

2nd & 3Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.17

Mikey Keene pass complete to Erik Brooks for a loss of 1 yard to the UNM 38

3rd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.34

Mikey Keene pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 11 yds to the UNM 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Johnathan Arceneaux run for no gain to the UNM 27

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Johnathan Arceneaux run for no gain to the UNM 27

3rd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Elijah Gilliam run for no gain to the UNM 27

4th & 10Field Goal Good+44 yds

Dylan Lynch 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Devon Dampier run for 5 yds to the FRES 38

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Devon Dampier run for 3 yds to the FRES 35

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.70

Devon Dampier run for 3 yds to the FRES 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

[NHSG] Kneel down by DAMPIER, Devon at FST33 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

New Mexico

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
53%
32 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
3 plays
50%
8 plays
44%
9 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
4th

Fresno State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
39%
18 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
20%
10 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
100%
1 play
14%
7 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play