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← Back to GamesNov 12, 2023Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Fresno State by 8

Home Win Probability

San José State 32%

Market (Bovada)

San José State -2.5

Edge: Fresno State +2.5 (10.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 12, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Fresno StateFresno State
370818
San José StateSan José State
2177742

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-314-328-328-1035-1042-18
San José StateFresno State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SJSFSSJSFSSJSFSSJSFSSJSFSSJSFSFSFSSJSFSSJSFSSJSFSSJSFSSJSFSTD680ydFG1560ydTD760ydTO2-9ydTD318ydPUNT514ydTD877ydTD772ydPUNT35ydPUNT831ydPUNT521ydEND1-1ydTD1145ydPUNT715ydPUNT941ydPUNT38ydPUNT66ydPUNT3-12ydTD252ydTD771ydPUNT523ydPUNT3-1ydDOWNS721ydEND111yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Fresno State and San José State
StatisticFresno StateSan José State
Passing23-419-18
Pass Yards225146
Rush Yards83313
Total Yards308459
Turnovers20
3rd Down8-174-10
Penalties1-158-65
Possession27:4032:20

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Fresno State
passing
Logan Fife
11/21, 115 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Malik Sherrod
15 CAR, 68 YDS
receiving
Mac Dalena
6 REC, 69 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Kosi Agina
0.5 TFL
San José State
passing
Chevan Cordeiro
9/18, 146 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Kairee Robinson
19 CAR, 200 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Nick Nash
4 REC, 66 YDS, 1 TD
defense
D.J. Harvey
1 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.63

Kairee Robinson run for 20 yds to the SJSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.14

Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Dominick Mazotti for 13 yds to the FRES 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.77

Quali Conley run for 16 yds to the FRES 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Chevan Cordeiro run for 6 yds to the FRES 25

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +3.23

Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Malikhi Miller for 25 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Malik Sherrod run for 2 yds to the FRES 29

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.00

Mikey Keene pass complete to Jalen Moss for 9 yds to the FRES 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Malik Sherrod run for 6 yds to the FRES 44

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.46

Malik Sherrod run for 3 yds to the FRES 47

3rd & 1Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.53

Mikey Keene pass complete to Mac Dalena for 8 yds to the SJSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Mikey Keene pass complete to Malik Sherrod for 9 yds to the SJSU 36

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.29

Mikey Keene run for 6 yds to the SJSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Malik Sherrod run for 2 yds to the SJSU 28

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Malik Sherrod run for 7 yds to the SJSU 21

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.22

Elijah Gilliam run for 5 yds to the SJSU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Mikey Keene pass complete to Tre Watson for 4 yds to the SJSU 12

2nd & 6Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Mikey Keene pass complete to Mac Dalena for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSU 13

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+31 yds

Dylan Lynch 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +4.03

Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Nash for 41 yds to the FRES 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Quali Conley run for 2 yds to the FRES 17

2nd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.92

Chevan Cordeiro run for 12 yds to the FRES 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.72

Quali Conley run for a loss of 2 yards to the FRES 7

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Isaac Jernagin for 7 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.35

Mikey Keene pass intercepted Matthew Tago fumbled, recovered by SJSU Matthew Tago (02:52) [NHSG] KEENE, Mikey pass to the right intercepted by TAGO, Matthew at the FSU34 intended for FREEMAN, Josiah. Tago return for 15 yards to the FSU19, TAGO, Matthew fumbled at FSU29 forced by FREEMAN, Josiah, recovered by SJS TAGO, Matthew at the FSU28, returned 9 yards, out of bounds, clock 02:45.

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Kairee Robinson run for 9 yds to the FRES 9

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.28

Kairee Robinson run for 5 yds to the FRES 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Kairee Robinson run for 4 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Malik Sherrod run for 2 yds to the FRES 19

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Mikey Keene pass complete to Jalen Moss for 9 yds to the FRES 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Malik Sherrod run for 3 yds to the FRES 31

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.45

Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Quali Conley for 17 yds to the SJSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Kairee Robinson run for 2 yds to the SJSU 42

2nd & 8Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.25

Kairee Robinson run for 18 yds to the FRES 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Nash for 6 yds to the FRES 34

2nd & 4Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.33

Quali Conley run for 16 yds to the FRES 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Quali Conley run for 4 yds to the FRES 14

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.37

Chevan Cordeiro run for no gain to the FRES 14 Chevan Cordeiro fumbled, recovered by SJSU Chevan Cordeiro (10:45) [NHSG] QB Keeper CORDEIRO, Chevan rush to the left for no gain, CORDEIRO, Chevan fumbled at FSU17 , recovered by SJS CORDEIRO, Chevan at the FSU14, returned 0 yards to the FSU14 (LIGHTFOOT, Gavriel).

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.99

Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Nash for 14 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.01

Mikey Keene pass complete to Malik Sherrod for a loss of 2 yards to the FRES 26

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.51

Mikey Keene pass complete to Erik Brooks for 15 yds to the FRES 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Mikey Keene pass complete to Mac Dalena for 5 yds to the FRES 46

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.18

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.59

Malik Sherrod run for 15 yds to the SJSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.14

Mikey Keene pass complete to Mac Dalena for 39 yds for a TD (Dylan Lynch KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Quali Conley run for 6 yds to the SJSU 31

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Quali Conley run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSU 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Alex Weir punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Erik Brooks at the FRES 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.58

Mikey Keene pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 17 yds to the FRES 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Malik Sherrod run for 4 yds to the FRES 49

2nd & 6Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.57

Mikey Keene pass complete to Malik Sherrod for a loss of 2 yards to the FRES 47

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Mikey Keene run for 5 yds to the SJSU 48

4th & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.81

Logan Fife pass complete to Erik Brooks for 9 yds to the SJSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Logan Fife pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Malik Sherrod run for 4 yds to the SJSU 35

3rd & 6Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.20

Logan Fife sacked by Noah Lavulo for a loss of 6 yards to the SJSU 41

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 41 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.24

Kairee Robinson run for 16 yds to the SJSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Kairee Robinson run for 11 yds to the SJSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.18

Kairee Robinson run for 9 yds to the FRES 44

2nd & 1Penalty-10 yds

(01:13) ROBINSON, Kairee rush to the left for a gain of 6 yards to the FSU38 (JACKSON, Phoenix). PENALTY SJS Holding on OSTROM, Tyler enforced 10 yards from the FSU44 to the SJS46 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 11Penalty0 yds

(00:58) CORDEIRO, Chevan pass to the right complete for 9 yards to MAZOTTI, Dominick caught at the FSU45 and advanced to the FSU45 (NORRIS JR., Morice), out of bounds. PENALTY SJS Holding on OSTROM, Tyler declined SJS Holding on NAVARRO, Jaime enforced 10 yards from the SJS46 to the SJS36 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete

3rd & 21Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Kairee Robinson run for 5 yds to the SJSU 41

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Alex Weir punt for 55 yds, downed at the FRES 4

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

(00:25) [NH] Kneel down by FIFE, Logan at FSU3 (team loss of 1).

0th & 21End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Logan Fife run for 9 yds to the FRES 39

2nd & 1Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.33

Logan Fife pass complete to Mac Dalena for 9 yds to the FRES 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Logan Fife pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.10

Logan Fife pass complete to Mac Dalena for 9 yds to the SJSU 43

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.91

Malik Sherrod run for 4 yds to the SJSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Logan Fife pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Jaelen Gill run for 6 yds to the SJSU 33

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Logan Fife run for 2 yds to the SJSU 31

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.47

Elijah Gilliam run for 3 yds to the SJSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Malik Sherrod run for 3 yds to the SJSU 25

2nd & 7Interception Return Touchdown+98 ydsPPA -11.08

Michael Dansby 98 Yd Interception Return (Kyler Halvorsen Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.48

Logan Fife pass complete to Tim Grear Jr. for 16 yds to the SJSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Logan Fife pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.81

Logan Fife run for 8 yds to the SJSU 41

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.95

Elijah Gilliam run for 3 yds to the SJSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.47

Logan Fife sacked by Tre Smith for a loss of 8 yards to the SJSU 46

2nd & 18Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.29

Logan Fife pass complete to Malik Sherrod for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard line

3rd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Logan Fife pass incomplete

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.66

Kairee Robinson run for 8 yds to the SJSU 22

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Nash for 5 yds to the SJSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.27

Chevan Cordeiro run for 14 yds to the SJSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.42

Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Malikhi Miller for 18 yds to the FRES 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Kairee Robinson run for 7 yds to the FRES 34

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Kairee Robinson run for 4 yds to the FRES 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.85

Quali Conley run for a loss of 2 yards to the FRES 32

2nd & 12Penalty-10 yds

(03:20) CORDEIRO, Chevan pass short up the middle incomplete intended for OLSON, Sam thrown to the FSU27. PENALTY SJS Holding on CARMONA, JR., Fernando enforced 10 yards from the FSU32 to the FSU42 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete

3rd & 22Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.67

Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Sione Noa for a loss of 3 yards to the FRES 45

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Alex Weir punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Erik Brooks at the FRES 12

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.48

Logan Fife pass complete to Jaelen Gill for a loss of 2 yards to the FRES 10

2nd & 12Penalty+5 yds

(01:46) FIFE, Logan pass deep to the right intercepted by HARVEY, DJ at the FSU34 intended for FREEMAN, Josiah. Harvey return for 0 yards to the FSU34, End of Play, clock 01:39. PENALTY SJS Offsides on LATU, Taniela enforced 5 yards from the FSU10 to the FSU15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Logan Fife pass complete to Jalen Moss for 4 yds to the FRES 19

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Logan Fife run for 1 yd to the FRES 20

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Kairee Robinson run for 3 yds to the SJSU 39

2nd & 7Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.42

Kairee Robinson run for 22 yds to the FRES 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.66

Quali Conley run for 6 yds to the FRES 33 San José State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Fernando Carmona Jr.) to the FRES 43

2nd & 14Penalty-10 yds

(13:45) ROBINSON, Kairee rush up the middle for a loss of 4 yards to the FSU47 (JOHNSON, Isaiah). PENALTY SJS Holding on CARMONA, JR., Fernando enforced 10 yards from the FSU43 to the SJS47 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 24Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete

3rd & 24Penalty-5 yds

San José State Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the SJSU 42

3rd & 29Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete

4th & 29Punt0 yds

Alex Weir punt for 35 yds, downed at the FRES 23

1st & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.87

Logan Fife sacked by Jay Kakiva for a loss of 3 yards to the FRES 20

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Logan Fife pass incomplete

3rd & 13Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.13

Logan Fife sacked by Soane Toia for a loss of 9 yards to the FRES 11

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+47 ydsPPA +2.12

Kairee Robinson run for 47 yds to the FRES 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Kairee Robinson run for 5 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Malik Sherrod run for 3 yds to the FRES 32

2nd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.94

Logan Fife pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 14 yds to the FRES 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.28

Logan Fife sacked by Noah Lavulo for a loss of 6 yards to the FRES 40

2nd & 16Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.96

Logan Fife pass complete to Tim Grear Jr. for 14 yds to the SJSU 46

3rd & 2Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +1.98

Logan Fife pass complete to Erik Brooks for 35 yds to the SJSU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Logan Fife pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.81

Logan Fife pass complete to Jalen Moss for 11 yds for a TD (Logan Fife pass to Jake Boust for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Chevan Cordeiro run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSU 23

2nd & 12Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.11

Quali Conley run for 16 yds to the SJSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Quali Conley run for 4 yds to the SJSU 43

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kairee Robinson run for 4 yds to the SJSU 47

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Kairee Robinson run for 1 yd to the SJSU 48

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Alex Weir punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Erik Brooks at the FRES 7

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.35

Malik Sherrod run for a loss of 1 yard to the FRES 6

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Logan Fife pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Logan Fife pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 26 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Quali Conley run for 2 yds to the FRES 30

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Quali Conley run for 2 yds to the FRES 28

3rd & 6Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.70

Quali Conley run for 23 yds to the FRES 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Quali Conley run for 1 yd to the FRES 4

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

(01:38) [NH] Kneel down by CORDEIRO, Chevan at FSU5 (team loss of 1).

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

(00:57) [NH] Kneel down by CORDEIRO, Chevan at FSU8 (team loss of 3).

4th & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -3.70

[NH] Kneel down by CORDEIRO, Chevan at FSU11 (team loss of 3); SJS turnover on downs, clock 00:13.

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.49

Malik Sherrod run for 11 yds to the FRES 22 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Fresno State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
28%
29 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
4 plays
54%
13 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

San José State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
4 plays
58%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
71%
7 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
60%
5 plays
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play