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← Back to GamesOct 29, 2023Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Fresno State by 12.1

Home Win Probability

Fresno State 75%

Market (Bovada)

Fresno State -10.5

Edge: Fresno State -10.5 (1.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 29, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UNLVUNLV
7100724
Fresno StateFresno State
7024031

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-77-1014-1721-1724-1731-24
Fresno StateUNLV

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UNLFSUNLFSUNLFSUNLFSUNLFSUNLFSFSFSUNLFSUNLFSUNLFSUNLFSUNLFSUNLFSPUNT623ydTD1181ydTD1080ydPUNT34ydPUNT35ydTO33ydFG723ydPUNT30ydPUNT919ydPUNT36ydTD972ydEND14ydPUNT427ydTD515ydPUNT32ydTD780ydTO411ydFG523ydTO16ydTD731ydTD770ydTO622ydDOWNS1044ydPUNT38ydTO1044ydEND10yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UNLV and Fresno State
StatisticUNLVFresno State
Passing21-3527-41
Pass Yards268256
Rush Yards15656
Total Yards424312
Turnovers42
3rd Down9-186-14
Penalties6-574-35
Possession31:1428:46

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UNLV
passing
Jayden Maiava
21/35, 268 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Vincent Davis
12 CAR, 68 YDS
receiving
Ricky White
7 REC, 152 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Fresno State
passing
Mikey Keene
27/41, 256 YDS, 4 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Malik Sherrod
17 CAR, 56 YDS
receiving
Jalen Moss
5 REC, 99 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Vincent Davis Jr. run for no gain to the UNLV 17

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Vincent Davis Jr. run for 7 yds to the UNLV 24

3rd & 3Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.94

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ricky White for 15 yds to the UNLV 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Vincent Davis Jr. run for 1 yd to the UNLV 40

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Jayden Maiava pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Jayden Maiava pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Marshall Nichols punt for 55 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.78

Mikey Keene pass complete to Mac Dalena for 8 yds to the FRES 27

2nd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.06

Mikey Keene pass complete to Erik Brooks for 4 yds to the FRES 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Mikey Keene pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 4 yds to the FRES 35

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.13

Mikey Keene pass complete to Jalen Moss for 8 yds to the FRES 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Malik Sherrod run for 5 yds to the FRES 48

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Malik Sherrod run for 3 yds to the UNLV 49

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.45

Jaelen Gill run for 6 yds to the UNLV 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Mikey Keene pass complete to Malik Sherrod for 9 yds to the UNLV 34

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Malik Sherrod run for 3 yds to the UNLV 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +2.84

Mikey Keene pass complete to Tim Grear Jr. for 31 yds for a TD UNLV Penalty, Roughing the Passer of (15 Yards) to the UNLV 0 (Dylan Lynch KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Donavyn Lester run for 2 yds to the UNLV 22

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Donavyn Lester run for 3 yds to the UNLV 25

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.21

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Kaleo Ballungay for 5 yds to the UNLV 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jai'Den Thomas run for 5 yds to the UNLV 35

2nd & 5Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.27

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Jacob De Jesus for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 32

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.20

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ricky White for 9 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Donavyn Lester run for 6 yds to the UNLV 47

2nd & 4Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.02

Donavyn Lester run for 12 yds to the FRES 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Donavyn Lester run for no gain to the FRES 41

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +4.12

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ricky White for 41 yds for a TD (Jose Pizano KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Mikey Keene pass complete to Josiah Freeman for 5 yds to the FRES 31

2nd & 5Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.90

Mikey Keene pass complete to Jaelen Gill for a loss of 1 yard to the FRES 30

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Jacob De Jesus at the UNLV 35

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.44

Donavyn Lester run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 32

2nd & 13Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Courtney Reese run for 8 yds to the UNLV 40

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Jayden Maiava pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Marshall Nichols punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Malik Sherrod run for 3 yds to the FRES 23

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

3rd & 7Interception0 ydsPPA +0.06

Mikey Keene pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Donavyn Lester run for 4 yds to the FRES 31

2nd & 6Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.45

Vincent Davis Jr. run for 18 yds to the FRES 13 UNLV Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (Vincent Davis Jr.) to the FRES 31

3rd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.20

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Kaleo Ballungay for 14 yds to the FRES 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Jai'Den Thomas run for 1 yd to the FRES 16

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Vincent Davis Jr. for 4 yds to the FRES 12

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Jayden Maiava pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+30 yds

Jose Pizano 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Malik Sherrod run for no gain to the FRES 27

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.74

Mikey Keene pass complete to Josiah Freeman for 9 yds to the FRES 36

3rd & 1Penalty-10 yds

SHERROD, Malik rush up the middle for a gain of 4 yards to the FST40 (THOMPKINS, Fred). PENALTY FST Holding enforced 10 yards from the FST36 to the FST26 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 11Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.13

Mikey Keene pass complete to Malik Sherrod for 1 yd to the FRES 27

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Jacob De Jesus at the UNLV 15

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Jai'Den Thomas run for 1 yd to the UNLV 16

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Jayden Maiava pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.15

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Jacob De Jesus for 9 yds to the UNLV 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jai'Den Thomas run for no gain to the UNLV 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jayden Maiava pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.17

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Jacob De Jesus for 13 yds to the UNLV 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Donavyn Lester run for 3 yds to the UNLV 41

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Donavyn Lester run for 3 yds to the UNLV 44

3rd & 4Penalty-10 yds

QB Keeper MAIAVA, Jayden rush to the left for a gain of 10 yards to the FST46, out of bounds. PENALTY LAS Holding enforced 10 yards from the LAS44 to the LAS34 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Jayden Maiava pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Marshall Nichols punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Erik Brooks at the FRES 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Mikey Keene pass complete to Malik Sherrod for 1 yd to the FRES 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Mikey Keene pass complete to Malik Sherrod for 1 yd to the FRES 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Mikey Keene pass complete to Jalen Moss for 4 yds to the FRES 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jacob De Jesus at the UNLV 28

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Jayden Maiava pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Jacob De Jesus for 2 yds to the UNLV 30

3rd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.83

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Kaleo Ballungay for 17 yds to the UNLV 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Donavyn Lester for 1 yd to the UNLV 48

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.66

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Jacob De Jesus for 9 yds to the FRES 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Donavyn Lester run for 2 yds to the FRES 41

2nd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.14

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ricky White for 15 yds to the FRES 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.03

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Senika McKie for 22 yds to the FRES 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Jai'Den Thomas run for 4 yds for a TD (Jose Pizano KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Malik Sherrod run for 4 yds to the FRES 24

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.75

Mikey Keene pass complete to Jalen Moss for 20 yds to the FRES 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Malik Sherrod run for 8 yds to the UNLV 49

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.31

Malik Sherrod run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 36 yds , returns for no gain to the UNLV 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Mikey Keene pass complete to Malik Sherrod for 5 yds to the UNLV 10

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.02

Malik Sherrod run for 7 yds to the UNLV 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.28

Mikey Keene sacked by Cameron Oliver for a loss of 6 yards to the UNLV 9

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Mikey Keene pass complete to Tre Watson for 7 yds to the UNLV 2

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Mikey Keene pass complete to Mac Dalena for 2 yds for a TD (Dylan Lynch KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Donavyn Lester run for 1 yd to the UNLV 26

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Donavyn Lester run for 2 yds to the UNLV 28

3rd & 7Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.30

Jayden Maiava sacked by Tuasivi Nomura for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Marshall Nichols punt for 53 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+60 ydsPPA +3.77

Mikey Keene pass complete to Jalen Moss for 60 yds to the UNLV 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Mikey Keene pass complete to Tre Watson for 8 yds to the UNLV 12

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Malik Sherrod run for 1 yd to the UNLV 11

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.06

Malik Sherrod run for 1 yd to the UNLV 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +3.08

Mikey Keene pass complete to Erik Brooks for 10 yds for a TD (Dylan Lynch KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jayden Maiava run for 2 yds to the UNLV 27

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Vincent Davis Jr. run for no gain to the UNLV 27

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.86

Vincent Davis Jr. run for 9 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.85

Jayden Maiava pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.52

Mikey Keene pass complete to Mac Dalena for 15 yds to the UNLV 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Mikey Keene pass complete to Malik Sherrod for 3 yds to the UNLV 23

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Malik Sherrod run for 5 yds to the UNLV 18

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

4th & 2Field Goal Good+36 yds

Dylan Lynch 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA -0.92

Jai'Den Thomas run for 6 yds to the UNLV 31 Jai'Den Thomas fumbled, recovered by FRES Dean Clark [NHSG] THOMAS, Jai'Den rush to the left for a gain of 6 yards, THOMAS, Jai'Den fumbled at LAS31 forced by JOHNSON, Isaiah, recovered by FST CLARK, Dean at the LAS31, returned 0 yards to the LAS31, End of Play, clock 02:14 (After review, play stands as called on the field).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.70

Mikey Keene pass complete to Tre Watson for 20 yds to the UNLV 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Fresno State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UNLV 16

1st & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Malik Sherrod run for 6 yds to the UNLV 10

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Mikey Keene pass complete to Tre Watson for 7 yds to the UNLV 3

4th & 2Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.87

Mikey Keene pass complete to Malik Sherrod for 3 yds for a TD (Dylan Lynch KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Kaleo Ballungay for 7 yds to the UNLV 37

2nd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Senika McKie for 7 yds to the UNLV 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +1.78

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ricky White for 38 yds to the FRES 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.27

Vincent Davis Jr. run for 10 yds to the FRES 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Jayden Maiava run for 3 yds to the FRES 5

2nd & 5Penalty-10 yds

LESTER, Donavyn rush to the left for a gain of 5 yards to the FST0, TOUCHDOWN LAS, score nullified by penalty, clock 12:33 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY LAS Holding enforced 10 yards from the FST5 to the FST15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Jayden Maiava pass incomplete

3rd & 15Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +3.54

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ricky White for 15 yds for a TD (Jose Pizano KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Malik Sherrod run for 3 yds to the FRES 25

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

3rd & 7Penalty+7 yds

KEENE, Mikey pass to the right incomplete intended for GILL, Jaelen thrown to the FST35. PENALTY LAS Pass Interference on ELAD, Jett enforced at the spot of the foul for 7 yards to the FST32 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Mikey Keene pass complete to Malik Sherrod for 5 yds to the FRES 37

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Mikey Keene pass complete to Jalen Moss for 7 yds to the FRES 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.47

Mikey Keene pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Timothy Conerly run for 5 yds to the FRES 41

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Vincent Davis Jr. run for 3 yds to the FRES 38

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Jayden Maiava run for 1 yd to the FRES 37

4th & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.87

Vincent Davis Jr. run for 8 yds to the FRES 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Donavyn Lester run for 1 yd to the FRES 28

2nd & 9Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.51

Vincent Davis Jr. run for 24 yds to the FRES 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Vincent Davis Jr. run for 1 yd to the FRES 3

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Donavyn Lester run for 1 yd to the FRES 2

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Vincent Davis Jr. run for no gain to the FRES 2

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.15

Jayden Maiava pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Malik Sherrod run for 3 yds to the FRES 5

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.19

Malik Sherrod run for no gain to the FRES 5

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Malik Sherrod run for 5 yds to the FRES 10

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jacob De Jesus at the UNLV 48

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.82

Donavyn Lester run for 12 yds to the FRES 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Donavyn Lester run for 3 yds to the FRES 37

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Jayden Maiava run for 2 yds to the FRES 35

3rd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.26

Courtney Reese run for a loss of 1 yard to the FRES 36

4th & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.49

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Kaleo Ballungay for 9 yds to the FRES 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Courtney Reese run for no gain to the FRES 27

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.91

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ricky White for 19 yds to the FRES 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Jayden Maiava pass incomplete

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Jayden Maiava pass incomplete

3rd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA -4.05

Jayden Maiava pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

[NHSG] Kneel down by KEENE, Mikey at FST8 (team loss of 0), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

UNLV

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
27%
30 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
35%
17 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
63%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Fresno State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
46%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
31%
13 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
83%
6 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play