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← Back to GamesOct 21, 2023Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

New Mexico by 0.2

Home Win Probability

New Mexico 48%

Market (Bovada)

New Mexico +1.5

Edge: New Mexico +1.5 (1.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 21, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Hawai'iHawai'i
770721
New MexicoNew Mexico
14147742

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-021-728-735-1442-1442-21
New MexicoHawai'i

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20HAWNMHAWNMHAWNMHAWNMHAWNMNMHAWNMHAWNMHAWNMHAWNMHAWNMPUNT39ydTD770ydTO32ydTD1155ydTD475ydTD875ydDOWNS937ydTD762ydTD1075ydEND19ydTD1275ydDOWNS748ydPUNT3-10ydDOWNS942ydPUNT3-1ydTO544ydTD880ydTO844ydPUNT37ydTD987ydEND1-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Hawai'i and New Mexico
StatisticHawai'iNew Mexico
Passing33-5220-26
Pass Yards345202
Rush Yards58227
Total Yards403429
Turnovers40
3rd Down1-104-8
Penalties2-3010-110
Possession25:4534:15

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Hawai'i
passing
Brayden Schager
33/52, 345 YDS, 3 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Landon Sims
6 CAR, 34 YDS
receiving
Steven McBride
5 REC, 75 YDS, 2 TD
defense
New Mexico
passing
Dylan Hopkins
20/25, 202 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Andrew Henry
13 CAR, 112 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jeremiah Hixon
3 REC, 62 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Jer'Marius Lewis
1 TFL, 2 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Jordan Johnson run for 3 yds to the HAW 21

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Brayden Schager pass complete to Alex Perry for 5 yds to the HAW 26

3rd & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Brayden Schager pass complete to Alex Perry for 1 yd to the HAW 27

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Matthew Shipley punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Kaydin Pope for 4 yds to the UNM 34

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.17

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to D.J. Washington for 7 yds to the UNM 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.36

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for 17 yds to the HAW 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 6 yds to the HAW 36

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Andrew Henry run for 7 yds to the HAW 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 1 yd to the HAW 28

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +3.20

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for 28 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jordan Johnson run for 2 yds to the HAW 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

3rd & 8Penalty+10 yds

New Mexico Penalty, Illegal Block (Alec Marenco) to the UNM 45

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.20

Andrew Henry run for 14 yds to the HAW 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 3 yds to the HAW 38

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.82

Devon Dampier run for 13 yds to the HAW 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Andrew Henry run for 5 yds to the HAW 20

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.60

Andrew Henry run for a loss of 1 yard to the HAW 21

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.69

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Zach Vigil for 9 yds to the HAW 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Devon Dampier run for 7 yds to the HAW 5

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.01

Devon Dampier run for 3 yds to the HAW 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Andrew Henry run for a loss of 1 yard to the HAW 3

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Ryan Davis for 3 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven McBride for 3 yds to the HAW 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.23

Brayden Schager pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 8 yds to the HAW 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+52 ydsPPA +2.62

Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven McBride for 52 yds to the UNM 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven McBride for 12 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Hawai'i Penalty, Personal Foul (Noah Kema) to the UNM 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.89

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Kaydin Pope for 11 yds to the HAW 45

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.86

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Andrew Erickson for 25 yds to the HAW 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.19

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Andrew Henry for 11 yds to the HAW 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Zach Vigil for 2 yds to the HAW 7

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Andrew Henry run for 6 yds to the HAW 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 1 yd for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Brayden Schager pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 11 yds to the HAW 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Chuuky Hines run for 8 yds to the HAW 44

2nd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.57

Landon Sims run for 10 yds to the UNM 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Brayden Schager pass complete to Karsyn Pupunu for 6 yds to the UNM 40

2nd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.22

Brayden Schager pass complete to Landon Sims for 4 yds to the UNM 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.40

David Cordero run for 7 yds to the UNM 29

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

4th & 3Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.81

Brayden Schager sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the UNM 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Andrew Henry for 6 yds to the UNM 44

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.71

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Caleb Medford for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

(05:45) HOPKINS, Dylan pass to the right incomplete intended for MEDFORD, Caleb thrown to the HAW39; QB hurried by CHOI, Andrew, clock 05:38. PENALTY UNM Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on JAMES, CJ enforced 5 yards from the HAW50 to the UNM45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Penalty+15 yds

Hawai'i Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Virdel Edwards II) to the HAW 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Andrew Henry run for 5 yds to the HAW 24

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.68

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to D.J. Washington for 6 yds to the HAW 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

(03:44) CROSKEY-MERRITT, Jacory rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the HAW17 (CHOI, Andrew), clock 03:40. PENALTY UNM Personal Foul on SILLEMON, Isaiah enforced 15 yards from the HAW18 to the HAW33 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 25Rushing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +4.16

Andrew Henry run for 33 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

(03:19) SCHAGER, Brayden pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for ASHLOCK, Pofele thrown to the UNM46, clock 03:13. PENALTY UNM Roughing the Passer on KIEHNE, Tyler enforced 15 yards from the HAW25 to the HAW40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Landon Sims run for 3 yds to the HAW 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.71

Brayden Schager pass complete to Alex Perry for 12 yds to the UNM 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.57

Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 12 yds to the UNM 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Brayden Schager pass complete to Landon Sims for 8 yds to the UNM 25

2nd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA -0.23

Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 7 yds to the UNM 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +3.37

Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 18 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Andrew Henry run for 9 yds to the UNM 34

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Caleb Medford for 7 yds to the UNM 32

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.23

Jeremiah Hixon run for 3 yds to the UNM 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Andrew Henry run for 9 yds to the UNM 44

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Andrew Henry run for 2 yds to the UNM 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 3 yds to the UNM 49

2nd & 7Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.82

Devon Dampier run for 22 yds to the HAW 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

New Mexico Penalty, Offensive Holding (Trace Bruckler) to the HAW 36

1st & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete

2nd & 17Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Andrew Erickson for 6 yds to the HAW 30

3rd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.89

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to D.J. Washington for 10 yds to the HAW 20

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.78

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 3 yds to the HAW 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for 17 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

New Mexico Penalty, Targeting on SANTORINEOS, Mihalis enforced (Mihalis Santorineos) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.75

Brayden Schager pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 12 yds to the UNM 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.79

Landon Sims run for 9 yds to the UNM 29

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Landon Sims run for no gain to the UNM 29

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.06

Brayden Schager run for no gain to the UNM 29

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Andrew Henry run for no gain to the UNM 29

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

New Mexico Penalty, False Start (Ryan Davis) to the UNM 24

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Zach Vigil run for 2 yds to the UNM 26

3rd & 13Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.19

Dylan Hopkins sacked by Jalen Smith and Andrew Choi for a loss of 7 yards to the UNM 19

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Steven McBride at the HAW 40

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

New Mexico Penalty, Personal Foul (Avery Burt) to the UNM 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven McBride for 6 yds to the UNM 25

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

4th & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.37

Brayden Schager pass complete to Koali Nishigaya for 6 yds to the UNM 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Solo Vaipulu run for 3 yds to the UNM 16

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 2 yds to the UNM 14

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

4th & 5Sack-4 ydsPPA -3.62

Brayden Schager sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the UNM 18

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 1 yd to the UNM 19

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.34

Devon Dampier run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNM 17

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 60 yds , returns for no gain to the HAW 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.64

Brayden Schager pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 15 yds to the HAW 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Brayden Schager pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 7 yds to the HAW 30

2nd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.88

Brayden Schager pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 10 yds to the HAW 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.07

Brayden Schager pass complete to Alex Perry for 12 yds to the UNM 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.31

Brayden Schager pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 8 yds to the UNM 28

2nd & 2Penalty+6 yds

Hawai'i Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (6 Yards) to the UNM 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Andrew Henry for 10 yds to the UNM 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.26

Dylan Hopkins run for 9 yds to the HAW 47

2nd & 1Rush+24 ydsPPA +0.45

Andrew Henry run for 24 yds to the HAW 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Kaydin Pope for 6 yds to the HAW 17

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Zach Vigil run for 3 yds to the HAW 14

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.62

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 14 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Landon Sims run for 3 yds to the HAW 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Cenacle for a loss of 1 yard to the HAW 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

4th & 8Penalty+15 yds

(05:37) SCHAGER, Brayden pass deep to the left incomplete intended for WALTHALL, Jalen broken up by TAYLOR, Bryson at the UNM29, clock 05:30. PENALTY UNM Pass Interference on TAYLOR, Bryson enforced 15 yards to the HAW42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.52

Brayden Schager pass complete to Alex Perry for 18 yds to the UNM 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Landon Sims run for 9 yds to the UNM 31

3rd & 1Interception0 ydsPPA -3.81

Brayden Schager pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

New Mexico Penalty, False Start (Shancco Matautia) to the UNM 15

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jaylen Morgan run for 4 yds to the UNM 19

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Devon Dampier pass incomplete

3rd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.15

Zach Vigil run for 8 yds to the UNM 27

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 60 yds, downed at the HAW 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 5 yds to the HAW 18

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 2 yds to the HAW 20

4th & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.19

Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 6 yds to the HAW 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.96

Brayden Schager pass complete to Koali Nishigaya for 11 yds to the HAW 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Brayden Schager pass complete to Koali Nishigaya for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +1.31

Brayden Schager pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 38 yds to the UNM 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.32

Brayden Schager pass complete to Koali Nishigaya for 10 yds to the UNM 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven McBride for 2 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

(00:05) [NHSG] Kneel down by UNM at UNM22 (team loss of 3), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Hawai'i

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
55%
31 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
64%
11 plays
3rd
0%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays

New Mexico

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
62%
26 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
80%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
86%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play