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← Back to GamesSep 2, 2023Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Air Force by 37

Home Win Probability

Air Force 97%

Market (Bovada)

Air Force -46

Edge: Robert Morris +46 (9.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 2, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Robert Morris
00077
Air ForceAir Force
14147742

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-021-028-035-042-7
Air ForceRobert Morris

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20RMAFRMAFRMAFRMAFRMAFRMAFRMRMAFRMAFRMAFAFTO31ydTD526ydPUNT523ydTD985ydPUNT3-3ydDOWNS49ydPUNT30ydTD280ydPUNT69ydTD1188ydEND418ydTD375ydPUNT1120ydTO60ydTD1085ydTD656ydTD1243ydPUNT3-3ydEND3-6ydEND3-6yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Robert Morris and Air Force
StatisticRobert MorrisAir Force
Passing18-242-3
Pass Yards11395
Rush Yards52362
Total Yards165457
Turnovers11
3rd Down3-116-10
Penalties9-612-10
Possession27:4932:11

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Robert Morris
passing
Anthony Chiccitt
14/18, 99 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Kimon O'Sullivan
9 CAR, 39 YDS
receiving
Noah Robinson
3 REC, 36 YDS
defense
Air Force
passing
Zachary Larrier
2/3, 95 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Zachary Larrier
14 CAR, 99 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jared Roznos
2 REC, 95 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Trenell Ridgley run for 2 yds to the RMU 27

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Tyler Szalkowski run for 2 yds to the RMU 29

3rd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Tyler Szalkowski run for 3 yds to the RMU 26 Tyler Szalkowski fumbled, recovered by AFA Jamari Bellamy

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Owen Burk run for 3 yds to the RMU 23

2nd & 7Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.67

Zac Larrier run for 8 yds to the RMU 15 for a 1ST down Robert Morris Penalty, Personal Foul (Britton Pascoe) to the RMU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

John Lee Eldridge III run for 1 yd to the RMU 6

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Owen Burk run for 1 yd to the RMU 7

3rd & 7Penalty+4 yds

PENALTY RMU Offside (Fleurima Jr.,Bernadin) 4 yards from RMU07 to RMU03. NO PLAY.

3rd & 7Penalty+4 yds

PENALTY RMU Offside (Fleurima Jr.,Bernadin) 4 yards from RMU07 to RMU03. NO PLAY.

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Cade Harris run for 3 yds for a TD (Matthew Dapore KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Robert Dickerson run for 3 yds to the RMU 22

2nd & 13Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.28

Kimon O'Sullivan run for 18 yds to the RMU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Tyler Szalkowski pass incomplete to Chaese Jackson

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Zin'Tayvious Smith run for 2 yds to the RMU 38

3rd & 12Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.70

Tyler Szalkowski pass complete to Connor Becker for 10 yds to the RMU 48

4th & 2Punt0 yds

George Souders III punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Cade Harris at the AFA 15

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.77

Zac Larrier run for 24 yds to the AFA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Zac Larrier run for 5 yds to the AFA 44

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Emmanuel Michel run for 4 yds to the AFA 48

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.23

Emmanuel Michel run for 4 yds to the RMU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Zac Larrier pass incomplete to Kendin Alexander

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Aiden Calvert run for 9 yds to the RMU 39

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY AF False Start (Roznos,Jared) 5 yards from RMU39 to RMU44. NO PLAY.

3rd & 6Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.11

Zac Larrier run for 14 yds to the RMU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Emmanuel Michel run for 4 yds to the RMU 26

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Emmanuel Michel run for 4 yds to the RMU 26

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.86

Zac Larrier run for 26 yds for a TD (Matthew Dapore KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tyler Szalkowski pass complete to Day Day Jones for 4 yds to the RMU 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Tyler Szalkowski pass incomplete to Noah Robinson

3rd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.49

Tyler Szalkowski sacked by PJ Ramsey for a loss of 7 yards to the RMU 22

4th & 13Punt0 yds

George Souders III punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Cade Harris at the AFA 36

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

John Lee Eldridge III run for 4 yds to the AFA 40

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Zac Larrier run for 1 yd to the AFA 41

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Owen Burk run for 3 yds to the AFA 44

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Owen Burk run for 1 yd to the AFA 45

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

Robert Morris Penalty, Illegal Block ( Yards) declined

2nd & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -0.90

Kimon O'Sullivan run for no gain to the AFA 49

3rd & 14Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tyler Szalkowski pass complete to Connor Becker for 4 yds to the AFA 45

4th & 10Punt0 yds

George Souders III punt for 45 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Zac Larrier run for 4 yds to the AFA 16

2nd & 14Passing Touchdown+84 ydsPPA +7.18

Zac Larrier pass complete to Jared Roznos for 84 yds for a TD (Matthew Dapore KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Kimon O'Sullivan run for 1 yd to the RMU 28

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Anthony Chiccitt pass complete to James Westry for 6 yds to the RMU 34

3rd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.31

Anthony Chiccitt pass complete to Kimon O'Sullivan for 3 yds to the RMU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Day Day Jones run for no gain to the RMU 37

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Day Day Jones run for 2 yds to the RMU 35

3rd & 12Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY RMU False Start 5 yards from RMU35 to RMU30. NO PLAY.

3rd & 17Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Anthony Chiccitt pass complete to Parker Fetterman for 6 yds to the RMU 36

3rd & 17Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Anthony Chiccitt pass complete to Parker Fetterman for 6 yds to the RMU 36

4th & 11Punt0 yds

George Souders III punt for 49 yds , Cade Harris returns for no gain to the AFA 12 Cade Harris fumbled, recovered by AFA Trey Williams

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Owen Burk run for 4 yds to the AFA 16

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Zac Larrier run for 2 yds to the AFA 18

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.87

Zac Larrier run for 6 yds to the AFA 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Zac Larrier run for 5 yds to the AFA 19 Zac Larrier fumbled, recovered by AFA John Lee Eldridge III

2nd & 15Penalty-10 yds

Air Force Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the AFA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.09

Aiden Calvert run for 12 yds to the RMU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Zac Larrier run for 3 yds to the RMU 46

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Zac Larrier run for 5 yds to the RMU 41

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.95

Emmanuel Michel run for 3 yds to the RMU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.35

Zac Larrier pass complete to Jared Roznos for 11 yds to the RMU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Owen Burk run for 27 yds for a TD (Matthew Dapore KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Matthew Dapore kickoff for 63 yds , Robert Carter Jr. return for 23 yds to the RMU 25

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Kimon O'Sullivan run for 7 yds to the RMU 32

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.42

Kimon O'Sullivan run for 5 yds to the RMU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Anthony Chiccitt pass complete to Noah Robinson for 5 yds to the RMU 42

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Kimon O'Sullivan run for 1 yd to the RMU 43

0th & 5End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

John Lee Eldridge III run for 2 yds to the AFA 27

2nd & 8Rush+69 ydsPPA +4.84

John Lee Eldridge III run for 65 yds to the RMU 8 for a 1ST down Robert Morris Penalty, Personal Foul (Shakespeare Louis) to the RMU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Zac Larrier run for 4 yds for a TD (Matthew Dapore KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kimon O'Sullivan run for no gain to the RMU 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Anthony Chiccitt pass complete to Noah Robinson for 1 yd to the RMU 26

3rd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Anthony Chiccitt run for 4 yds to the RMU 35 Anthony Chiccitt fumbled, recovered by RMU Diego Turcios for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Anthony Chiccitt pass incomplete to Noah Robinson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Anthony Chiccitt pass incomplete to Parker Fetterman

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.76

Anthony Chiccitt pass complete to Andre Cooper II for 12 yds to the RMU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Anthony Chiccitt pass complete to Day Day Jones for 4 yds to the AFA 49

2nd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.28

Anthony Chiccitt pass complete to Chaese Jackson for 14 yds to the AFA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Shotgun Chiccitt,Anthony pass complete deep right to O'Sullivan,Kimon for 35 yards to the AF 00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 09:10 PENALTY RMU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Davis,Sam) 5 yards from AF 35 to AF 40. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Penalty+15 yds

PENALTY RMU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (O'Sullivan,Kimon) 15 yards from AF 40 to RMU45. NO PLAY.

1st & 30Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY RMU False Start (Fetterman,Parker) 5 yards from RMU45 to RMU40. NO PLAY.

1st & 35Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Anthony Chiccitt pass complete to Cyrus Bonsu for 5 yds to the RMU 45

2nd & 30Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.35

Anthony Chiccitt sacked by James Tomasi for a loss of 7 yards to the RMU 38

3rd & 37Penalty0 yds

Robert Morris Penalty, Illegal Formation (Garret Fairman) declined

4th & 30Punt+2 yds

George Souders III punt for 42 yds , Cade Harris returns for 2 yds to the AFA 15 Cade Harris fumbled, recovered by RMU Joe Malchesky

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Cyrus Bonsu run for 5 yds to the AFA 10

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.60

Cyrus Bonsu run for 5 yds to the AFA 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Cyrus Bonsu run for 4 yds to the AFA 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Cyrus Bonsu run for no gain to the AFA 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Anthony Chiccitt run for no gain to the AFA 1

4th & 1Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY RMU False Start (Jackson,Chaese) 5 yards from AF 01 to AF 06. NO PLAY.

4th & 6Uncategorized0 yds

fumbled, recovered by AFA Trey Williams

4th & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+9 ydsPPA -3.87

run for 9 yds to the AFA 15 fumbled, recovered by AFA Trey Williams

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Jensen Jones run for 7 yds to the AFA 22

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Kade Frew run for 3 yds to the RMU 8

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.17

Jet Harris run for 4 yds to the AFA 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Jensen Jones run for 12 yds to the AFA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.05

Dylan Carson run for 29 yds to the RMU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.24

Dylan Carson run for 10 yds to the RMU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Jensen Jones run for 8 yds to the RMU 15

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.33

Dylan Carson run for 4 yds to the RMU 11 for a 1ST down

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Jensen Jones run for 1 yd to the RMU 7

3rd & 6Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.84

Jensen Jones run for 7 yds for a TD (Reagan Tubbs KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+44 yds

Bryce Olson kickoff for 65 yds , Robert Carter Jr. return for 44 yds to the RMU 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Anthony Chiccitt pass complete to Chaese Jackson for 8 yds to the AFA 48

2nd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.32

Landen Lucas run for 10 yds to the AFA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Kimon O'Sullivan run for 6 yds to the AFA 32

2nd & 4Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.63

Anthony Chiccitt pass complete to Noah Robinson for 30 yds to the AFA 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Kimon O'Sullivan run for 1 yd to the AFA 1

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Anthony Chiccitt pass complete to Chaese Jackson for 1 yd for a TD (Jayson Jenkins KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Michael Velasco kickoff for 56 yds , Kade Frew return for 16 yds to the AFA 25

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Dylan Carson run for 2 yds to the AFA 27

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.58

Kaden Cloud run for 11 yds to the AFA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Ben Brittain run for 7 yds to the AFA 45

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.40

Dylan Carson run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

John Busha run for 3 yds to the RMU 47

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Darius Stone run for 6 yds to the RMU 41

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY AF False Start (Menefee,Parker) 5 yards from RMU41 to RMU46. NO PLAY.

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

John Busha run for 3 yds to the RMU 43

4th & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +2.46

John Busha run for 6 yds to the RMU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Cannon Turner run for 2 yds to the RMU 35

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Kaden Cloud run for no gain to the RMU 35

3rd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Cannon Turner run for 3 yds to the RMU 32

4th & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -2.29

Cannon Turner run for no gain to the RMU 32

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Anthony Chiccitt pass incomplete to Landen Lucas

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Anthony Chiccitt pass incomplete to James Westry

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Anthony Chiccitt pass complete to Parker Fetterman for 3 yds to the RMU 29

4th & 13Punt0 yds

George Souders III punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

C. Turner takes a knee

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.23

C. Turner takes a knee

3rd & 14Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.07

C. Turner takes a knee

Situational Analysis

Robert Morris

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
33%
15 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
75%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
14%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
44%
27 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
75%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play