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← Back to GamesNov 25, 2023Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Northern Illinois by 17.1

Home Win Probability

Kent State 13%

Market (Bovada)

Kent State +20.5

Edge: Kent State +20.5 (3.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 25, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois
100141337
Kent StateKent State
0173727

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-30-107-1017-1020-1720-2427-2427-31
Kent StateNorthern Illinois

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NIKSNIKSNIKSNIKSNIKSNIKSNIKSNIKSNIKSNIKSNIKSFG756ydPUNT511ydTD881ydTD1277ydDOWNS543ydPUNT33ydTO27ydTD113ydPUNT38ydFG1269ydPUNT415ydEND1-6ydTD316ydFG1068ydTD1073ydPUNT36ydMISS639ydTD774ydTD975ydDOWNS955ydPUNT39ydTD1-9yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northern Illinois and Kent State
StatisticNorthern IllinoisKent State
Passing9-1816-29
Pass Yards183253
Rush Yards243113
Total Yards426366
Turnovers12
3rd Down5-127-15
Penalties2-104-20
Possession29:5630:04

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northern Illinois
passing
Rocky Lombardi
9/18, 183 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Gavin Williams
17 CAR, 103 YDS
receiving
Kyle Thomas
1 REC, 45 YDS
defense
Kent State
passing
Devin Kargman
16/29, 255 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Gavin Garcia
21 CAR, 84 YDS
receiving
Jameel Gardner Jr.
3 REC, 111 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+39 ydsPPA +3.07

Antario Brown run for 39 yds to the KENT 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Gavin Williams run for 6 yds to the KENT 30

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Cam Thompson for 6 yds to the KENT 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Kyle Thomas run for 3 yds to the KENT 21

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Antario Brown run for 2 yds to the KENT 19

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Gavin Williams

4th & 5Field Goal Good+36 yds

Kanon Woodill 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+32 yds

Jake Seibert kickoff for 65 yds , Xavier Williams return for 32 yds to the KENT 32

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Trell Harris

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.88

Jaylen Thomas run for 10 yds to the KENT 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jaylen Thomas run for 6 yds to the KENT 48

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.55

Jaylen Thomas run for 5 yds to the KENT 43

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Trell Harris

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Josh Smith punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Dane Pardridge at the NIU 19

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Kyle Thomas

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Antario Brown run for 2 yds to the NIU 21

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.53

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Grayson Barnes for 10 yds to the NIU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the NIU 32

2nd & 9Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.21

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 29 yds to the KENT 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.38

Rocky Lombardi run for 11 yds to the KENT 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.51

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 9 yds to the KENT 24

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.81

Antario Brown run for 24 yds for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Jake Seibert kickoff for 59 yds , Xavier Williams return for 17 yds to the KENT 23

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Jaylen Thomas run for 1 yd to the KENT 24

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Jaylen Thomas run for 1 yd to the KENT 23

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.96

Devin Kargman pass complete to Luke Floriea for 11 yds to the KENT 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Gavin Garcia run for 6 yds to the KENT 45

2nd & 4Rush+31 ydsPPA +1.77

Gavin Garcia run for 31 yds to the NIU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the NIU 22

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Luke Floriea

3rd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.74

Gavin Garcia run for no gain to the NIU 22

4th & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.61

Andrew Glass run for 8 yds to the NIU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY KENT False Start (Golden,Cameron) 5 yards from NOIL14 to NOIL19. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Jaylen Thomas run for 6 yds to the NIU 13

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jaylen Thomas run for 4 yds to the NIU 9

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.82

Devin Kargman pass complete to Luke Floriea for 9 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +3.26

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Kyle Thomas for 45 yds to the KENT 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Antario Brown run for 3 yds to the KENT 27

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.63

Rocky Lombardi run for no gain to the KENT 27

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Grayson Barnes

4th & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA -2.52

Tom Foley run for 5 yds to the KENT 32

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Jameel Gardner Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Jaylen Thomas run for 3 yds to the KENT 35

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Luke Floriea

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Josh Smith punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Dane Pardridge at the NIU 26

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Antario Brown run for 9 yds to the NIU 35

2nd & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -2.27

Rocky Lombardi run for 2 yds to the NIU 13 Rocky Lombardi fumbled, recovered by NIU D.J. Miller Shotgun Lombardi,Rocky rush middle for 2 yards loss to the NOIL33 fumbled by Lombardi,Rocky at NOIL33 recovered by KENT Miller,D.J. at NOIL33 Miller,D.J. return 20 yards to the NOIL13 (Dozier,Billy).

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Luke Floriea run for 13 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the NIU 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Trayvon Rudolph

3rd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Rocky Lombardi run for 7 yds to the NIU 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Tom Foley punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Luke Floriea at the KENT 28

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the KENT 26

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Jameel Gardner Jr.

3rd & 12Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.21

Gavin Garcia run for 12 yds to the KENT 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Gavin Garcia run for 5 yds to the KENT 43

2nd & 5Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +2.26

Devin Kargman pass complete to Trell Harris for 40 yds to the NIU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Gavin Garcia run for 3 yds to the NIU 14

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Gavin Garcia run for no gain to the NIU 14

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.99

Devin Kargman pass complete to Trell Harris for 8 yds to the NIU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Gavin Garcia run for no gain to the NIU 6

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY KENT False Start (Golden,Cameron) 5 yards from NOIL06 to NOIL11. NO PLAY.

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Gavin Garcia run for 4 yds to the NIU 7

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Gavin Garcia run for 4 yds to the NIU 3

4th & 3Field Goal Good+21 yds

Andrew Glass 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Andrew Glass kickoff for 62 yds , Trayvon Rudolph return for 21 yds to the NIU 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.00

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Jalen Johnson for 12 yds to the NIU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Dane Pardridge

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Jalen Johnson

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Gavin Williams run for 3 yds to the NIU 39

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Tom Foley punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Luke Floriea at the KENT 23

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.01

Kneel down by Kent St. at KENT17 for loss of 6 yards.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Jake Seibert kickoff for 65 yds , Xavier Williams return for 16 yds to the KENT 16 Xavier Williams fumbled, recovered by NIU Cyrus McGarrell Seibert,Jake kickoff 65 yards to the KENT00 Williams,Xavier return 16 yards to the KENT16 fumbled by Williams,Xavier at KENT16 forced by Poe,Jaylen recovered by NOIL McGarrell,Cyrus at KENT16, End Of Play.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Antario Brown run for no gain to the KENT 16

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Dane Pardridge

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +3.28

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Grayson Barnes for 16 yds for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the KENT 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Devin Kargman pass complete to Luke Floriea for 9 yds to the KENT 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Gavin Garcia run for 1 yd to the KENT 37

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Gavin Garcia run for 1 yd to the KENT 38

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.50

Devin Kargman pass complete to Luke Floriea for 9 yds to the KENT 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +1.78

Devin Kargman pass complete to Jameel Gardner Jr. for 45 yds to the NIU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Gavin Garcia run for 1 yd to the NIU 7

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

Gavin Garcia run for no gain to the NIU 7

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Justin Holmes

4th & 7Field Goal Good+25 yds

Andrew Glass 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Andrew Glass kickoff for 57 yds , Billy Dozier return for 19 yds to the NIU 27

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Gavin Williams run for 7 yds to the NIU 34

2nd & 3Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.38

Gavin Williams run for 15 yds to the NIU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Gavin Williams run for 4 yds to the KENT 47

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Gavin Williams run for 3 yds to the KENT 44

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Gavin Williams run for 1 yd to the KENT 43

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.19

Antario Brown run for 3 yds to the KENT 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Rocky Lombardi run for 6 yds to the KENT 46

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Trayvon Rudolph

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Rocky Lombardi run for 1 yd for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Gavin Garcia run for 4 yds to the KENT 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Trell Harris

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the KENT 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Josh Smith punt for 34 yds , Dane Pardridge returns for no gain to the NIU 35

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Gavin Williams run for 6 yds to the NIU 41

2nd & 4Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.94

Gavin Williams run for 26 yds to the KENT 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Rocky Lombardi run for 7 yds to the KENT 26

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Gavin Williams run for no gain to the KENT 26

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Tristen Tewes

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+43 yds

Kanon Woodill 43 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.96

Devin Kargman pass complete to Luke Floriea for 11 yds to the KENT 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Jaylen Thomas run for 2 yds to the KENT 35

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Jameel Gardner Jr.

3rd & 12Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.86

Devin Kargman pass complete to Luke Floriea for 12 yds to the KENT 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Jaylen Thomas run for no gain to the KENT 47

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Gavin Garcia run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+50 ydsPPA +5.63

Devin Kargman pass complete to Jameel Gardner Jr. for 50 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Gavin Williams run for 2 yds to the NIU 27

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Gavin Williams run for 5 yds to the NIU 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.10

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Gavin Williams for 12 yds to the NIU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Antario Brown run for 5 yds to the NIU 49

2nd & 5Rush+34 ydsPPA +1.68

Trayvon Rudolph run for 34 yds to the KENT 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.64

Gavin Williams run for 16 yds to the KENT 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Gavin Williams run for no gain to the KENT 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Rocky Lombardi run for no gain to the KENT 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Rocky Lombardi run for 1 yd for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Jake Seibert kickoff for 62 yds , Bryce Sheppert return for 23 yds to the KENT 42 Kent State Penalty, Offensive Holding (9 Yards) to the KENT 9

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.74

Devin Kargman pass complete to Jameel Gardner Jr. for 16 yds to the KENT 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Jameel Gardner Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.22

Luke Floriea pass complete to Luke Floriea for 17 yds to the KENT 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Gavin Garcia run for 5 yds to the KENT 47

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Devin Kargman pass complete to Luke Floriea for 9 yds to the NIU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Devin Kargman pass complete to Trell Harris for 7 yds to the NIU 37

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Jameel Gardner Jr.

3rd & 3Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Devin Kargman pass complete to Justin Holmes for 1 yd to the NIU 36

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.30

Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Luke Floriea

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Gavin Williams run for 4 yds to the NIU 32

2nd & 14Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Gavin Williams run for 4 yds to the NIU 36

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.57

Gavin Williams run for 9 yds to the NIU 45

4th & 1Punt+2 yds

Tom Foley punt for 48 yds , Luke Floriea returns for 2 yds to the KENT 9

1st & 10Fumble Return Touchdown0 ydsPPA -7.18

Jacob Finley 0 Yd Fumble Return

Situational Analysis

Northern Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
55%
22 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
80%
5 plays
25%
8 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
67%
6 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Kent State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
38%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
80%
5 plays
27%
11 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
67%
3 plays
38%
8 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play