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← Back to GamesNov 22, 2023Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Buffalo by 4.1

Home Win Probability

Buffalo 61%

Market (Bovada)

Buffalo -5.5

Edge: Eastern Michigan +5.5 (1.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 22, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Eastern MichiganEastern Michigan
7170024
BuffaloBuffalo
008311

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-70-140-170-2410-2411-24
BuffaloEastern Michigan

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20EMBUFEMBUFEMBUFEMBUFEMEMBUFEMBUFBUFEMBUFEMBUFEMBUFEMBUFEMPUNT3-2ydPUNT36ydTD862ydTO46ydMISS520ydDOWNS641ydPUNT36ydTO568ydTD1180ydFG922ydPUNT428ydTD895ydEND10ydDOWNS854ydPUNT30ydTD1156ydPUNT37ydDOWNS46ydTO611ydDOWNS965ydPUNT511ydFG850ydUncategorized1251yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Eastern Michigan and Buffalo
StatisticEastern MichiganBuffalo
Passing19-2712-28
Pass Yards141174
Rush Yards226163
Total Yards367337
Turnovers13
3rd Down5-163-12
Penalties8-853-25
Possession34:5925:01

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Eastern Michigan
passing
Austin Smith
19/27, 141 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Samson Evans
22 CAR, 127 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
J.B. Mitchell
7 REC, 75 YDS
defense
Buffalo
passing
Cole Snyder
11/26, 135 YDS
rushing
Ron Cook Jr.
10 CAR, 43 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Marlyn Johnson
4 REC, 80 YDS
defense
Joe Andreessen
1 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Alex McNulty kickoff for 60 yds , Jaylon Jackson return for 25 yds to the EMU 40 Buffalo Penalty, off-side (Victor Snow) to the EMU 35

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the EMU 37

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

Eastern Michigan Penalty, false start (Mickey Rewolinski) to the EMU 32

2nd & 13Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Austin Smith pass complete to Andreas Paaske for 1 yd to the EMU 33

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt+52 yds

Mitchell Tomasek punt for 52 yds , Cole Harrity returns for no gain to the BUFF 10 , Mark-Anthony Scott Jr. returns for no gain to the BUFF 10

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Ron Cook Jr. run for 2 yds to the BUFF 12

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Cole Snyder pass complete to Cole Harrity for 4 yds to the BUFF 16

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

pass incomplete to Boobie Curry Buffalo Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Mike Washington) to the BUFF 16

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Anthony Venneri punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the EMU 40

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Austin Smith pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 6 yds to the EMU 46

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.27

Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the EMU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 5 yds to the BUFF 47

2nd & 5Rush+35 ydsPPA +1.37

Samson Evans run for 35 yds to the BUFF 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Samson Evans run for 9 yds to the BUFF 3

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.73

Samson Evans run for a loss of 2 yards to the BUFF 5

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.65

Austin Smith 5 Yd Run (Jesus Gomez Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Ron Cook Jr. run for 2 yds to the BUFF 27

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Ron Cook Jr. run for 4 yds to the BUFF 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

pass incomplete to Ron Cook Jr.

4th & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+9 ydsPPA +0.05

Anthony Venneri run for 9 yds to the BUFF 40 Anthony Venneri fumbled, recovered by EMU Soloman Bell Venneri,Anthony rush middle for 9 yards to the BUF40, fumble by Venneri,Anthony recovered by EMU Bell,Soloman, Bell,Soloman rush.

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.51

Jaylon Jackson run for 16 yds to the BUFF 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

pass incomplete to Hamze El-Zayat

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Austin Smith pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 4 yds to the BUFF 20

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

pass incomplete to Tanner Knue

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+38 yds

Jesus Gomez 38 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +3.03

Cole Snyder pass complete to Darrell Harding Jr. for 37 yds to the EMU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Jacqez Barksdale run for 1 yd to the EMU 42

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

pass incomplete to Cameron Ball

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Cole Snyder pass complete to Jacqez Barksdale Eastern Michigan Penalty, off-side (Mikah Coleman) to the EMU 37

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

pass incomplete to Jacqez Barksdale

4th & 4Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.93

Cole Snyder sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the EMU 39

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jaylon Jackson run for 3 yds to the EMU 42

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Austin Smith pass incomplete to Jere Getzinger, broken up by Joe Andreessen

3rd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Austin Smith pass complete to Samson Evans for 3 yds to the EMU 45

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Mitchell Tomasek punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Ron Cook Jr. run for 4 yds to the BUFF 22

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.05

CJ Ogbonna run for 10 yds to the BUFF 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.42

CJ Ogbonna run for 15 yds to the BUFF 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +1.55

CJ Ogbonna pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 39 yds to the EMU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+14 yds

Jacqez Barksdale run for 14 yds to the EMU 20 Jacqez Barksdale fumbled, recovered by BUFF Barksdale,Jacqez rush middle for 14 yards to the EMU00, fumble by Barksdale,Jacqez.

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.78

Austin Smith pass complete to Andreas Paaske for 11 yds to the EMU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Jaylon Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMU 30

2nd & 11Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.17

Austin Smith pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 13 yds to the EMU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Jaylon Jackson run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.31

Austin Smith pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 5 yds to the BUFF 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Samson Evans run for 9 yds to the BUFF 36

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.20

Samson Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the BUFF 37

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.90

Samson Evans run for 7 yds to the BUFF 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.20

Samson Evans run for 10 yds to the BUFF 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the BUFF 19

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.91

Jaylon Jackson 19 Yd pass from Austin Smith (Jesus Gomez Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Ryan Kingston kickoff for 53 yds , Ron Cook Jr. return for 21 yds to the BUFF 33 Ron Cook Jr. fumbled, recovered by EMU Ryan Kingston Kingston,Ryan kickoff 53 yards to the BUF12, Cook,Ron return 21 yards to the BUF33, fumble by Cook,Ron recovered by EMU Kingston,Ryan, Kingston,Ryan return 0 yards to the BUF33. , return for no gain to the BUFF 33

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Jaylon Jackson run for 3 yds to the BUFF 30

2nd & 7Pass Reception-10 ydsPPA -2.76

Austin Smith pass complete to Samson Evans Eastern Michigan Penalty, Offensive holding (Andreas Paaske) to the BUFF 40

2nd & 17Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 2 yds to the BUFF 38

3rd & 15Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.70

Samson Evans run for 13 yds to the BUFF 25

4th & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.18

Austin Smith pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 8 yds to the BUFF 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Samson Evans run for 4 yds to the BUFF 13

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Austin Smith pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 5 yds to the BUFF 8

3rd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.66

Jaylon Jackson run for a loss of 3 yards to the BUFF 11

4th & 4Field Goal Good+29 yds

Jesus Gomez 29 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+9 yds

Ryan Kingston kickoff for 58 yds , Ron Cook Jr. return for 9 yds to the BUFF 16

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.11

Mike Washington run for 12 yds to the BUFF 28 Eastern Michigan Penalty, personal foul (Chase Kline) to the BUFF 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Cole Snyder pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 3 yds to the BUFF 46

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.43

Mike Washington run for a loss of 2 yards to the BUFF 44

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Marlyn Johnson, broken up by Daiquan White

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Anthony Venneri punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.48

Austin Smith pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 14 yds to the EMU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.34

Austin Smith pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 28 yds to the EMU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Jaylon Jackson run for 7 yds to the BUFF 46

2nd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.45

Austin Smith pass complete to Jere Getzinger for 10 yds to the BUFF 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +0.48

Austin Smith run for 24 yds to the BUFF 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the BUFF 10

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.76

Austin Smith pass complete to Jere Getzinger for 9 yds to the BUFF 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Samson Evans run for 1 yd for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK)

No play data available
1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Ryan Kingston kickoff for 47 yds , Cole Harrity return for 19 yds to the BUFF 37

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Cook,Ron rush middle (Zelinsky,Joseph).

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.43

for a 1ST down Eastern Michigan Penalty, personal foul (Alex Merritt) to the EMU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Cole Snyder pass complete to Boobie Curry for 5 yds to the EMU 43

2nd & 5Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.04

Cole Snyder pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 29 yds to the EMU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

pass incomplete to Marlyn Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

pass incomplete to Marlyn Johnson

3rd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Ron Cook Jr. run for 5 yds to the EMU 9

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.83

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Cameron Ball, broken up by Chase Kline

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Samson Evans run for 5 yds to the EMU 14

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Austin Smith run for 2 yds to the EMU 16

3rd & 3Pass Reception-7 ydsPPA -0.37

Austin Smith pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for a loss of 7 yards to the EMU 9

4th & 10Punt+47 yds

Mitchell Tomasek punt for 42 yds Buffalo Penalty, roughing kicker (Darrell Harding Jr.) to the BUFF 44

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

CJ Ogbonna run for 4 yds to the BUFF 48

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Nik McMillan, broken up by Joe Sparacio

3rd & 6Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.54

CJ Ogbonna run for 13 yds to the EMU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.44

CJ Ogbonna run for a loss of 3 yards to the EMU 42

2nd & 13Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.44

Cole Snyder pass complete to Nik McMillan for 12 yds to the EMU 30

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.42

Mike Washington run for 4 yds to the EMU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.16

Ron Cook Jr. run for 11 yds to the EMU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Ron Cook Jr. run for 4 yds to the EMU 11

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ron Cook Jr. run for 5 yds to the EMU 6

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.50

Ron Cook Jr. 6 Yd Run (Cole Snyder Pass to Cameron Ball for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 yds

Cole Snyder pass complete to Cameron Ball

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Alex McNulty kickoff for 50 yds , Hamze El-Zayat return for 14 yds to the EMU 29

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Samson Evans run for 4 yds to the EMU 33

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the EMU 34

3rd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Austin Smith pass complete to Samson Evans for 2 yds to the EMU 36

4th & 3Punt+34 yds

Mitchell Tomasek punt for 39 yds Eastern Michigan Penalty, illegal formation (Quentavius Scandrett) to the BUFF 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Ron Cook Jr., broken up by Mikah Coleman

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

CJ Ogbonna run for 4 yds to the BUFF 34

3rd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Cole Snyder pass complete to Ron Cook Jr. for 2 yds to the BUFF 36

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Cole Harrity, broken up by David Carter Jr.

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Austin Smith pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 3 yds to the BUFF 33

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

pass incomplete to Andreas Paaske

3rd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.33

Samson Evans run for 7 yds to the BUFF 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the BUFF 25

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

pass incomplete to JB Mitchell III

3rd & 9Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -3.33

Samson Evans run for 5 yds to the BUFF 20 Samson Evans fumbled, recovered by BUFF Marcus Fuqua Evans,Samson rush middle for 5 yards to the BUF20, fumble by Evans,Samson recovered by BUF Fuqua,Marcus, Fuqua,Marcus rush.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Mike Washington run for 1 yd to the BUFF 21

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Jacqez Barksdale run for 3 yds to the BUFF 24

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

pass incomplete to Darrell Harding Jr.

4th & 6Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.46

Cole Snyder pass complete to Boobie Curry for 12 yds to the EMU 36 Eastern Michigan Penalty, personal foul (Peyton Price) to the EMU 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.08

Cole Snyder pass complete to Darrell Harding Jr. for 25 yds to the EMU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Boobie Curry, broken up by Bennett Walker

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

pass incomplete to Boobie Curry

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.56

Mike Washington run for 9 yds to the EMU 15

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.87

Washington,Mike rush middle (Merritt,Alex;Zelinsky,Joseph).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

pass incomplete to Hamze El-Zayat

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Samson Evans run for 12 yds to the EMU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the EMU 29

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jaylon Jackson run for 5 yds to the EMU 34

3rd & 3Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.93

Austin Smith sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the EMU 26

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Mitchell Tomasek punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.67

Nik McMillan run for 18 yds to the BUFF 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Cole Snyder pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 9 yds to the EMU 45

2nd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.04

Mike Washington run for 11 yds to the EMU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +0.33

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Boobie Curry for a 1ST down Eastern Michigan Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Bennett Walker) to the EMU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

pass incomplete to Mike Washington

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

pass incomplete to Nik McMillan

3rd & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.28

Cole Snyder pass complete to Mike Washington for a loss of 3 yards to the EMU 22

4th & 13Field Goal Good+40 yds

Alex McNulty 40 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+7 yds

Alex McNulty kickoff for 47 yds , Jaylon Jackson return for 7 yds to the EMU 25

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Austin Smith pass incomplete to Hamze El-Zayat

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Jaylon Jackson run for 9 yds to the EMU 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Evans,Samson rush middle (Michel,Max).

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.75

Austin Smith run for 3 yds to the EMU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Jaylon Jackson run for 3 yds to the EMU 40

2nd & 7Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.93

Jaylon Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the BUFF 39 for a 1ST down Buffalo Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (George Wolo) to the BUFF 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Jaylon Jackson run for 3 yds to the BUFF 43

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Austin Smith run for 3 yds to the BUFF 40

3rd & 4Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.56

Jaylon Jackson run for 15 yds to the BUFF 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the BUFF 23

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Austin Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the BUFF 24

3rd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Austin Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the BUFF 24

Situational Analysis

Eastern Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
40%
30 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
14 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
43%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

Buffalo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
42%
24 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
75%
4 plays
10%
10 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play
40%
5 plays