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← Back to GamesNov 8, 2023Week 11
OhioOhio
20
-Final
10
BuffaloBuffalo
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ohio by 5.6

Home Win Probability

Buffalo 32%

Market (Bovada)

Buffalo +9.5

Edge: Buffalo +9.5 (3.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 8, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
OhioOhio
00101020
BuffaloBuffalo
030710

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-010-1010-13
BuffaloOhio

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OHIBUFBUFOHIBUFOHIBUFOHIBUFOHIBUFOHIBUFOHIBUFPUNT32ydDOWNS1361ydPUNT711ydPUNT830ydFG1071ydPUNT34ydMISS1128ydFG1363ydPUNT35ydTD738ydTD875ydFG966ydTO412ydTD829ydDOWNS1126yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Ohio and Buffalo
StatisticOhioBuffalo
Passing14-2116-23
Pass Yards121181
Rush Yards115114
Total Yards236295
Turnovers01
3rd Down4-107-16
Penalties4-173-25
Possession27:5032:10

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Ohio
passing
Kurtis Rourke
14/21, 121 YDS
rushing
Sieh Bangura
17 CAR, 78 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Tyler Walton
6 REC, 62 YDS
defense
Buffalo
passing
Cole Snyder
14/21, 171 YDS
rushing
Ron Cook Jr.
16 CAR, 48 YDS
receiving
Boobie Curry
4 REC, 66 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.69

Kurtis Rourke sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the OHIO 5

2nd & 19Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.02

Sieh Bangura run for 6 yds to the OHIO 11

3rd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Kurtis Rourke run for 5 yds to the OHIO 16

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jack Wilson punt for 52 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete to Marlyn Johnson

2nd & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.41

Ron Cook Jr. run for 19 yds to the BUFF 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Ron Cook Jr. run for 3 yds to the BUFF 47

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

CJ Ogbonna run for 2 yds to the BUFF 49

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.05

Cole Snyder pass complete to Boobie Curry for 7 yds to the OHIO 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

CJ Ogbonna pass complete to Ron Cook Jr. for 4 yds to the OHIO 40

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Ron Cook Jr. run for 2 yds to the OHIO 38

3rd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

CJ Ogbonna run for a loss of 2 yards to the OHIO 40

4th & 6Penalty0 yds

Buffalo Penalty, delay of game (Yards) to the OHIO 40

4th & 6Penalty+5 yds

Ohio Penalty, off-side (Jay Crable) to the OHIO 35

4th & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.80

Ron Cook Jr. run for 12 yds to the OHIO 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Jacqez Barksdale run for 9 yds to the OHIO 14

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.81

Ron Cook Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the OHIO 16

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

CJ Ogbonna run for 2 yds to the OHIO 14

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.90

Washington,Mike rush middle (Mathews,Rodney).

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Cook,Ron rush (Henderson,Bralen), PENALTY BUF holding (Brock,Trevor), PENALTY OHI off-side (Weaver,Bradley). Ohio Penalty, Offensive holding (Trevor Brock) to the BUFF 32

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Ogbonna,CJ rush middle (Weaver,Bradley).

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.88

CJ Ogbonna run for 9 yds to the BUFF 41

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.10

Ron Cook Jr. run for 2 yds to the BUFF 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.74

Ron Cook Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the BUFF 40

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Darrell Harding Jr., broken up by Bryce Houston

3rd & 13Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Cole Snyder pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 3 yds to the BUFF 43

4th & 10Punt+42 yds

Anthony Venneri punt for 42 yds Ohio Penalty, off-side (Aramoni Rhone) to the OHIO 15

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the OHIO 16

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 9 yds to the OHIO 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Ohio Penalty, false start (Kurt Danneker) to the OHIO 20

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the OHIO 21

2nd & 14Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.25

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 8 yds to the OHIO 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.18

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 12 yds to the OHIO 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

pass incomplete to Miles Cross

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the OHIO 43

3rd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 2 yds to the OHIO 45

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jack Wilson punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

CJ Ogbonna run for 7 yds to the BUFF 13

2nd & 3Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.68

Ron Cook Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the BUFF 9

3rd & 7Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +3.89

Cole Snyder pass complete to Boobie Curry for 48 yds to the OHIO 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Ron Cook Jr. run for 7 yds to the OHIO 36

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.10

Cole Snyder run for 8 yds to the OHIO 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.26

Ron Cook Jr. run for 5 yds to the OHIO 23 Buffalo Penalty, Offensive holding (Darrell Harding Jr.) to the OHIO 33

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Cole Snyder run for 3 yds to the OHIO 30

2nd & 12Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Cole Snyder pass complete to Cole Harrity for 3 yds to the OHIO 27

3rd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Cole Snyder run for 4 yds to the OHIO 23

4th & 5Field Goal Good+41 yds

Alex McNulty 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kurtis Rourke run for 4 yds to the OHIO 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Miles Cross, broken up by Jaylon Bass

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Tyler Foster, broken up by Devin Grant

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jack Wilson punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jacqez Barksdale run for 3 yds to the BUFF 38

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Ron Cook Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the BUFF 37

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.55

Cole Snyder pass complete to Nik McMillan for 10 yds to the BUFF 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Ron Cook Jr. run for 6 yds to the OHIO 47

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jacqez Barksdale run for 2 yds to the OHIO 45

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Ron Cook Jr. run for 1 yd to the OHIO 44

4th & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.40

CJ Ogbonna run for 10 yds to the OHIO 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Ron Cook Jr. run for 1 yd to the OHIO 33

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Cole Snyder pass complete to Nik McMillan for 5 yds to the OHIO 28

3rd & 4Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.71

Cole Snyder sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the OHIO 37

4th & 13Field Goal Missed+55 yds

Alex McNulty 55 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

pass incomplete to Sam Wiglusz

2nd & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.98

Sieh Bangura run for 25 yds to the BUFF 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.67

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 11 yds to the BUFF 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.41

Sieh Bangura run for 14 yds to the BUFF 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Ohio Penalty, false start (Tyler Foster) to the BUFF 29

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Alex McNulty kickoff for 56 yds , Keegan Wilburn return for 17 yds to the OHIO 26

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the BUFF 28

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

pass incomplete to Sieh Bangura

3rd & 14Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.85

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 14 yds to the BUFF 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Will Kacmarek for 6 yds to the BUFF 8

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.68

Kurtis Rourke run for 4 yds to the BUFF 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the BUFF 3

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

pass incomplete to Sam Wiglusz

3rd & 3Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.01

Kurtis Rourke sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the BUFF 11

4th & 11Field Goal Good+29 yds

Gianni Spetic 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+5 yds

Alex Kasee kickoff for 64 yds , Ron Cook Jr. return for 5 yds to the BUFF 6

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Ron Cook Jr. run for 1 yd to the BUFF 7

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.17

Ron Cook Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the BUFF 6

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Cole Snyder pass complete to Boobie Curry for 5 yds to the BUFF 11

4th & 5Punt+5 yds

Anthony Venneri punt for 32 yds , Tyler Walton returns for 5 yds to the BUFF 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Will Kacmarek for 5 yds to the BUFF 33

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 6 yds to the BUFF 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.23

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 17 yds to the BUFF 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the BUFF 6

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Kurtis Rourke run for 4 yds to the BUFF 2

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Bangura,Sieh rush middle (Murdock,Red).

4th & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.85

Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+52 ydsPPA +3.41

Cole Snyder pass complete to Darrell Harding Jr. for 52 yds to the OHIO 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

CJ Ogbonna run for 7 yds to the OHIO 16

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.19

Jacqez Barksdale run for 4 yds to the OHIO 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

CJ Ogbonna run for 7 yds to the OHIO 5

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.01

CJ Ogbonna run for 3 yds to the OHIO 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Jacqez Barksdale run for 1 yd to the OHIO 1

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Jacqez Barksdale run for a loss of 1 yard to the OHIO 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

CJ Ogbonna run for 2 yds for a TD (Alex McNulty KICK) Ohio Penalty, off-side (Justin Birchette) to the OHIO 1

1st & 10Penalty+2 yds

Ohio Penalty, off-side (Justin Birchette) to the OHIO 1

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 7 yds to the OHIO 32

2nd & 3Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.33

O'Shaan Allison run for 29 yds to the BUFF 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

O'Shaan Allison run for 4 yds to the BUFF 35

2nd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.62

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 16 yds to the BUFF 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.28

O'Shaan Allison run for 11 yds to the BUFF 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.48

O'Shaan Allison run for a loss of 2 yards to the BUFF 10

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Kurtis Rourke run for 1 yd to the BUFF 9

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

pass incomplete to Miles Cross

4th & 9Field Goal Good+25 yds

Gianni Spetic 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Alex Kasee kickoff for 42 yds , Ron Cook Jr. return for no gain to the BUFF 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

CJ Ogbonna pass complete to Ron Cook Jr. for 6 yds to the BUFF 27

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.74

Ogbonna,CJ rush middle (Houston,Bryce).

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.35

Cole Snyder pass complete to Boobie Curry for 6 yds to the BUFF 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-4 ydsPPA -1.57

Cole Snyder run for a loss of 4 yards to the BUFF 29 Cole Snyder fumbled, recovered by OHIO Keye Thompson Snyder,Cole rush middle for loss of 4 yards to the BUF29, fumble by Snyder,Cole recovered by OHI Thompson,Keye, Thompson,Keye rush.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the BUFF 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 4 yds to the BUFF 23

3rd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.60

Sieh Bangura run for 10 yds to the BUFF 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sieh Bangura for 4 yds to the BUFF 9

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the BUFF 5

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.36

Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the BUFF 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the BUFF 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Alex Kasee kickoff for 45 yds , Cole Harrity return for 10 yds to the BUFF 45 Buffalo Penalty, Offensive holding (Javien Cuff) to the BUFF 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

pass incomplete to Darrell Harding Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Cole Snyder pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 4 yds to the BUFF 24

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.38

Cole Snyder pass complete to Cole Harrity for 7 yds to the BUFF 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Cole Snyder pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 6 yds to the BUFF 37

2nd & 4Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.22

Cole Snyder sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the BUFF 36

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

pass incomplete to Cole Harrity

4th & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.87

Cole Snyder pass complete to Ron Cook Jr. for 11 yds to the BUFF 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Marlyn Johnson, broken up by Jeremiah Wood

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Ron Cook Jr., broken up by Walter Reynolds

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Cole Snyder pass complete to Ron Cook Jr. for 4 yds to the OHIO 49

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

Buffalo Penalty, false start (Marlyn Johnson) to the BUFF 46

4th & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

pass incomplete to Boobie Curry

0th & 13End of Regulation0 yds

End of 4th Quarter

Situational Analysis

Ohio

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
41%
17 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Buffalo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
41%
22 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
6 plays
0%
4 plays
38%
8 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
0%
1 play