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← Back to GamesNov 8, 2023Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Northern Illinois by 13.1

Home Win Probability

Northern Illinois 79%

Market (Bovada)

Northern Illinois -8

Edge: Northern Illinois -8 (5.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 8, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Ball StateBall State
7301020
Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois
0100717

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-77-1010-1017-1017-1717-20
Northern IllinoisBall State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BSNIBSNIBSNIBSNIBSNINIBSNIBSNIBSNIBSNIBSTD765ydTO422ydMISS42ydPUNT33ydPUNT726ydTD1398ydPUNT728ydPUNT414ydFG1056ydFG1270ydPUNT523ydPUNT936ydPUNT3-1ydMISS1124ydTD880ydPUNT415ydTO35ydTD632ydTO313ydFG822yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Ball State and Northern Illinois
StatisticBall StateNorthern Illinois
Passing15-2515-28
Pass Yards115141
Rush Yards186174
Total Yards301315
Turnovers03
3rd Down10-183-10
Penalties3-252-18
Possession34:5025:10

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Ball State
passing
Kiael Kelly
15/25, 115 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Marquez Cooper
25 CAR, 93 YDS
receiving
Ahmad Edwards
5 REC, 32 YDS
defense
Damion Charity
1 TFL, 1 PD
Northern Illinois
passing
Rocky Lombardi
15/26, 141 YDS
rushing
Antario Brown
18 CAR, 73 YDS
receiving
Trayvon Rudolph
6 REC, 57 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Jake Seibert kickoff for 58 yds , Malcolm Gillie return for 28 yds to the BALL 35

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.83

Marquez Cooper run for 21 yds to the NIU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.48

Kiael Kelly pass complete to Ahmad Edwards for 10 yds to the NIU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Kiael Kelly run for 6 yds to the NIU 28

2nd & 4Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.51

Kiael Kelly pass complete to Qian Magwood for 21 yds to the NIU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Kiael Kelly run for 1 yd to the NIU 8

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Kiael Kelly run for 2 yds to the NIU 6

3rd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Kiael Kelly run for 6 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Jack Drake kickoff for 64 yds , Billy Dozier return for 12 yds to the NIU 13

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Antario Brown run for 3 yds to the NIU 16

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Antario Brown run for 4 yds to the NIU 20

3rd & 3Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.15

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Dane Pardridge for 20 yds to the NIU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -2.24

Rocky Lombardi run for 5 yds to the NIU 35 Rocky Lombardi fumbled, recovered by BALL Jordan Riley (08:34) No Huddle-Shotgun Lombardi,Rocky rush middle for 5 yards loss to the NIU35 fumbled by Lombardi,Rocky at NIU35 recovered by BSU Riley,Jordan at NIU35, End Of Play.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Kiael Kelly run for 2 yds to the NIU 33

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Malcolm Gillie

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Marquez Cooper

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+50 yds

Jackson Courville 50 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Davis Patterson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Antario Brown for 3 yds to the NIU 36

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Davis Patterson

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Tom Foley punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the BALL 33

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.71

Vaughn Pemberton run for 1 yd to the BALL 34

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.61

Kiael Kelly pass complete to Ahmad Edwards for 5 yds to the BALL 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.24

Vaughn Pemberton run for 14 yds to the NIU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Vaughn Pemberton run for no gain to the NIU 47

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the NIU 46

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Vaughn Pemberton

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Lucas Borrow punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Antario Brown run for 3 yds to the NIU 5

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Antario Brown run for 4 yds to the NIU 9

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 8 yds to the NIU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.58

Trayvon Rudolph run for 21 yds to the NIU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.54

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 18 yds to the BALL 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Cam Thompson for 4 yds to the BALL 40

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Antario Brown run for 7 yds to the BALL 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Antario Brown run for 7 yds to the BALL 26

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Trayvon Rudolph

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Antario Brown run for 2 yds to the BALL 24

4th & 1Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.90

Rocky Lombardi run for 20 yds to the BALL 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Antario Brown run for no gain to the BALL 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Rocky Lombardi run for 4 yds for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.38

Kiael Kelly pass complete to Nick Presley for 10 yds to the BALL 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the BALL 20

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Kiael Kelly pass complete to Ahmad Edwards for 5 yds to the BALL 25

3rd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.60

Marquez Cooper run for 10 yds to the BALL 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY BSU False Start 5 yards from BSU35 to BSU30. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kiael Kelly pass complete to Marquez Cooper for 4 yds to the BALL 34

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the BALL 35

3rd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Kiael Kelly pass complete to Qian Magwood for 2 yds to the BALL 37

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Lucas Borrow punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NIU 35

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Trayvon Rudolph run for 13 yds to the NIU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Grayson Barnes

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the NIU 49

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Davis Patterson

4th & 9Punt+11 yds

Tom Foley punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BALL 25 , Qian Magwood returns for 11 yds to the BALL 25

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the BALL 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Qian Magwood

3rd & 8Rush+32 ydsPPA +3.77

Kiael Kelly run for 32 yds to the NIU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Kiael Kelly run for 4 yds to the NIU 37

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the NIU 32

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.50

Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the NIU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Tanner Koziol

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Marquez Cooper run for 4 yds to the NIU 31

3rd & 14Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.28

Vaughn Pemberton run for 12 yds to the NIU 19

4th & 2Field Goal Good+37 yds

Jackson Courville 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+8 yds

Jack Drake kickoff for 53 yds , Billy Dozier return for 8 yds to the NIU 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.05

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 14 yds to the NIU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Gavin Williams for 4 yds to the NIU 38

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Jalen Johnson

3rd & 6Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.82

Gavin Williams run for 15 yds to the BALL 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Jalen Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.92

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Dane Pardridge for 20 yds to the BALL 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.72

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 17 yds to the BALL 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Gavin Williams

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Grayson Barnes

4th & 10Field Goal Good+27 yds

Kanon Woodill 27 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Antario Brown run for 9 yds to the NIU 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.55

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Gavin Williams for 11 yds to the NIU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Antario Brown run for 2 yds to the NIU 47

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the NIU 48

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Jalen Johnson

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Tom Foley punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BALL 25

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the BALL 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Kiael Kelly pass complete to Qian Magwood for 3 yds to the BALL 33

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.25

Marquez Cooper run for 4 yds to the BALL 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.29

Kiael Kelly pass complete to Ahmad Edwards for 14 yds to the NIU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kiael Kelly run for 5 yds to the NIU 44

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.52

Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the NIU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

Vaughn Pemberton run for no gain to the NIU 39

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Kiael Kelly run for no gain to the NIU 39

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Marquez Cooper

4th & 10Penalty0 yds

Ball State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Nick Munson) declined

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Lucas Borrow punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Dane Pardridge at the NIU 9

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Antario Brown run for 7 yds to the NIU 16

2nd & 3Penalty-8 yds

PENALTY NIU Personal Foul 8 yards from NIU16 to NIU08. NO PLAY.

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Gavin Williams run for 3 yds to the NIU 11

3rd & 8Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.12

Rocky Lombardi sacked by Mikhari Sibblis for a loss of 3 yards to the NIU 8

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Tom Foley punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the NIU 42

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.06

Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the NIU 42

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Kiael Kelly pass complete to Vaughn Pemberton for 7 yds to the NIU 35

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.53

Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the NIU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Ahmad Edwards

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the NIU 31

3rd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.31

Kiael Kelly pass complete to Marquez Cooper for 14 yds to the NIU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Qian Magwood

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Kiael Kelly run for 1 yd to the NIU 18

3rd & 11Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Kiael Kelly pass complete to Ahmad Edwards for 2 yds to the NIU 20

4th & 13Field Goal Missed+37 yds

Jackson Courville 37 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Antario Brown run for 6 yds to the NIU 26

2nd & 4Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Antario Brown run for 12 yds to the NIU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Brock Lampe for 7 yds to the NIU 45

2nd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.23

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 3 yds to the NIU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Antario Brown run for no gain to the NIU 48

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 3 yds to the NIU 45

3rd & 13Penalty+15 yds

(11:00) Shotgun Lombardi,Rocky pass incomplete deep right to Pardridge,Dane PENALTY BSU Pass Interference (Riley,Jordan) 15 yards from NIU45 to BSU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Antario Brown for 5 yds to the BALL 35

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +3.10

Trayvon Rudolph run for 35 yds for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+3 yds

Jake Seibert kickoff for 54 yds , Nick Munson return for 3 yds to the BALL 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.58

Kiael Kelly pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 11 yds to the BALL 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the BALL 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Kiael Kelly pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 5 yds to the BALL 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Qian Magwood

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Lucas Borrow punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Antario Brown run for 2 yds to the NIU 29

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Trayvon Rudolph

3rd & 8Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY BSU Offside (Houston,Sidney) 5 yards from NIU29 to NIU34. NO PLAY.

3rd & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Rocky Lombardi run for 2 yds to the NIU 32 Rocky Lombardi fumbled, recovered by BALL Mikhari Sibblis (07:06) Shotgun Lombardi,Rocky rush middle for 2 yards loss to the NIU32 fumbled by Lombardi,Rocky at NIU30 recovered by BSU Sibblis,Mikhari at NIU32, End Of Play.

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.22

Marquez Cooper run for 10 yds to the NIU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the NIU 20

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Tanner Koziol

3rd & 8Penalty+10 yds

(05:35) Shotgun Kelly,Kiael rush middle for 3 yards loss to the NIU23 (Thomas,Raishein) PENALTY NIU Tripping (Thomas,Raishein) 10 yards from NIU20 to NIU10, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Marquez Cooper run for 4 yds to the NIU 6

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Kiael Kelly run for no gain to the NIU 6

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Kiael Kelly pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 6 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Jack Drake kickoff for 60 yds , Trayvon Rudolph return for 23 yds to the NIU 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.90

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Brock Lampe for 10 yds to the NIU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Antario Brown run for 3 yds to the NIU 41

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.96

Rocky Lombardi sacked by Tyler Potts for 0 yards to the NIU 41 Rocky Lombardi fumbled, recovered by BALL Kyron Mims , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kiael Kelly run for 5 yds to the NIU 36

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the NIU 37

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.45

Marquez Cooper run for 7 yds to the NIU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Kiael Kelly run for 6 yds to the NIU 24

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Kiael Kelly run for no gain to the NIU 24

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.58

Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the NIU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the NIU 19

2nd & 10Field Goal Good+36 yds

Jackson Courville 36 yd FG GOOD

Situational Analysis

Ball State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
46%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
38%
8 plays
9%
11 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
86%
7 plays
43%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Northern Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
44%
25 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
80%
5 plays
18%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
4 plays
100%
1 play
0%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play