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← Back to GamesNov 1, 2023Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Bowling Green by 15.5

Home Win Probability

Bowling Green 82%

Market (Bovada)

Bowling Green -4.5

Edge: Bowling Green -4.5 (11.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 1, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Ball StateBall State
077721
Bowling GreenBowling Green
7701024

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-714-714-1421-1421-2124-21
Bowling GreenBall State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BSBGBSBGBSBGBSBGBSBGBSBGBSBGBSBGBSBGBSBGBSPUNT31ydPUNT518ydTO311ydTD431ydTD1774ydDOWNS1043ydTO622ydTD254ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT3-6ydMISS523ydEND25ydPUNT3-1ydTD1362ydTD1275ydTD775ydFG1139ydDOWNS49ydDOWNS4-4ydUncategorized732yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Ball State and Bowling Green
StatisticBall StateBowling Green
Passing9-1915-23
Pass Yards66177
Rush Yards217104
Total Yards283281
Turnovers20
3rd Down8-154-13
Penalties5-255-35
Possession33:3426:26

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Ball State
passing
Kiael Kelly
9/19, 66 YDS
rushing
Marquez Cooper
25 CAR, 90 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ahmad Edwards
3 REC, 25 YDS
defense
Bowling Green
passing
Connor Bazelak
13/21, 128 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Terion Stewart
15 CAR, 92 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Harold Fannin
5 REC, 92 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Jack Sauder kickoff for 65 yds , Malcolm Gillie return for 19 yds to the BALL 19

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the BALL 24

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Kiael Kelly run for 1 yd to the BALL 25

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Qian Magwood

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Lucas Borrow punt for 40 yds , Ta'ron Keith returns for no gain to the BGSU 39 Ta'ron Keith fumbled, recovered by BALL Jalen Huskey (13:18) Borrow,Lucas punt 40 yards to the BGSU40 Keith,Ta'ron return for loss of 1 yard to the BGSU40 fumbled by Keith,Ta'ron at BGSU40 recovered by BGSU Huskey,Jalen at BGSU39, End Of Play.

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Austin Osborne for 7 yds to the BGSU 46

2nd & 3Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.85

Terion Stewart run for 12 yds to the BALL 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Abdul-Fatai Ibrahim

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the BALL 43

3rd & 11Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.87

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Austin Osborne for no gain to the BALL 43

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jackson Kleather punt for 43 yds for a touchback

4th & 11Punt0 yds

punt for 43 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Kiael Kelly sacked by Davon Ferguson for a loss of 2 yards to the BALL 18

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the BALL 20

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+11 ydsPPA +0.21

Kiael Kelly run for 11 yds to the BALL 31 Kiael Kelly fumbled, recovered by BALL Davon Ferguson (09:22) Shotgun Kelly,Kiael rush middle for 11 yards gain to the BallSt31 fumbled by Kelly,Kiael at BallSt29 forced by Saad,Ali recovered by BGSU Ferguson,Davon at BallSt31, End Of Play.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Terion Stewart run for 2 yds to the BALL 29

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Harold Fannin Jr.

3rd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Connor Bazelak run for 6 yds to the BALL 23

4th & 2Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +3.63

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 23 yds for a TD (Alan Anaya KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Jack Sauder kickoff for 64 yds , Malcolm Gillie return for 25 yds to the BALL 26

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Qian Magwood

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the BALL 26

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Tanner Koziol

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the BALL 46

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Marquez Cooper run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.30

Marquez Cooper run for 6 yds to the BGSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Qian Magwood

2nd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Vaughn Pemberton run for 5 yds to the BGSU 44

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Kiael Kelly pass complete to Vaughn Pemberton for 5 yds to the BGSU 39

4th & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.60

Kiael Kelly pass complete to Christian Abney for 10 yds to the BGSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the BGSU 24

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Marquez Cooper run for 4 yds to the BGSU 20

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.15

Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the BGSU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Qian Magwood

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.54

Kiael Kelly pass complete to Ahmad Edwards for 10 yds to the BGSU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Kiael Kelly run for 2 yds to the BGSU 7

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Kiael Kelly run for 1 yd to the BGSU 6

3rd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Kiael Kelly run for 6 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Terion Stewart run for 3 yds to the BGSU 28

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Terion Stewart run for 2 yds to the BGSU 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.81

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 19 yds to the BGSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Terion Stewart run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.85

Terion Stewart run for 8 yds to the BALL 42

3rd & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.82

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 3 yds to the BALL 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the BALL 40

2nd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Ta'ron Keith run for 8 yds to the BALL 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Odieu Hiliare

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.54

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Austin Osborne

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Kiael Kelly pass complete to Marquez Cooper for 3 yds to the BALL 35

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Marquez Cooper run for 6 yds to the BALL 41

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.10

Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the BALL 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Malcolm Gillie run for 8 yds to the BGSU 49

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Kiael Kelly run for 6 yds to the BGSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -3.65

Kiael Kelly run for 3 yds to the BGSU 46 Kiael Kelly fumbled, recovered by BALL Trent Simms (05:06) Shotgun Kelly,Kiael rush left for 3 yards loss to the BGSU46 fumbled by Kelly,Kiael at BGSU50 recovered by BGSU Simms,Trent at BGSU46, End Of Play.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Odieu Hiliare

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+54 ydsPPA +5.34

Terion Stewart run for 54 yds for a TD (Alan Anaya KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Marquez Cooper run for 4 yds to the BALL 21

2nd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Kiael Kelly run for 2 yds to the BALL 23

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Ahmad Edwards

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Lucas Borrow punt for 22 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

PaSean Wimberly run for no gain to the BALL 45

3rd & 11Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.32

Connor Bazelak sacked by Mikhari Sibblis for a loss of 6 yards to the BGSU 48

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Jackson Kleather punt for 37 yds , Qian Magwood returns for no gain to the BALL 15

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Qian Magwood

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Kiael Kelly pass complete to Vaughn Pemberton for 2 yds to the BALL 17

3rd & 8Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.20

Kiael Kelly sacked by Dontrez Brown for a loss of 8 yards to the BALL 9

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Lucas Borrow punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.41

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Austin Osborne for 23 yds to the BALL 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 1 yd to the BALL 31

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Odieu Hiliare

3rd & 14Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Austin Osborne for 4 yds to the BALL 32

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+50 yds

Alan Anaya 50 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.19

Kiael Kelly sacked by Cashius Howell for a loss of 2 yards to the BALL 30

2nd & 12Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Vaughn Pemberton run for 7 yds to the BALL 37

0th & 12End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Jack Drake kickoff for 65 yds , Ta'ron Keith return for 18 yds to the BGSU 18

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Harold Fannin Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.36

Terion Stewart run for 8 yds to the BGSU 26

3rd & 2Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.71

Connor Bazelak sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the BGSU 17

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jackson Kleather punt for 45 yds

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.80

Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the BALL 45

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.04

Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the BALL 46

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.74

Marquez Cooper run for 8 yds to the BGSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the BGSU 43

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.08

Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the BGSU 43

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Kiael Kelly run for 6 yds to the BGSU 37

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.79

Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the BGSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the BGSU 31

2nd & 9Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.77

Vaughn Pemberton run for 15 yds to the BGSU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Vaughn Pemberton run for 2 yds to the BGSU 14

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Kiael Kelly pass complete to Ahmad Edwards for 5 yds to the BGSU 9

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.82

Kiael Kelly run for 4 yds to the BGSU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Terion Stewart run for 4 yds to the BGSU 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Ta'ron Keith run for 2 yds to the BGSU 31

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.37

Camden Orth run for 4 yds to the BGSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Camden Orth pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 9 yds to the BGSU 44

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.07

Jaison Patterson run for 5 yds to the BGSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.68

Camden Orth run for 10 yds to the BGSU 39

2nd & 20Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +4.15

Camden Orth pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 40 yds to the BALL 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Camden Orth run for 8 yds to the BALL 13

2nd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.23

Ta'ron Keith run for 12 yds to the BALL 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush+5 yds

Terion Stewart run for 5 yds to the BALL 6

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

PaSean Wimberly run for 4 yds to the BALL 10

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +3.08

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Ta'ron Keith for 10 yds for a TD (Alan Anaya KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kiael Kelly run for 2 yds to the BALL 27

2nd & 8Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.07

Marquez Cooper run for 16 yds to the BALL 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Marquez Cooper run for 4 yds to the BALL 47

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the BALL 49

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.78

Kiael Kelly pass complete to Ahmad Edwards for 10 yds to the BGSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the BGSU 44

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +4.11

Kiael Kelly run for 44 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+47 yds

Jack Drake kickoff for 55 yds , Ta'ron Keith return for 47 yds to the BALL 43

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Terion Stewart run for 2 yds to the BALL 41

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the BALL 42

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Ta'ron Keith for 5 yds to the BALL 37

4th & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.23

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 6 yds to the BALL 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jaison Patterson for 7 yds to the BALL 24

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Connor Bazelak run for 3 yds to the BALL 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.69

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Ta'ron Keith for 20 yds to the BALL 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Camden Orth run for no gain to the BALL 1

2nd & 1Rush+3 yds

Harold Fannin Jr. run for 3 yds to the BALL 4

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+22 yds

Alan Anaya 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Jack Sauder kickoff for 62 yds , Nick Munson return for 17 yds to the BALL 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Maximus Webster

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the BALL 25

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Kiael Kelly run for 3 yds to the BALL 28

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.03

Kiael Kelly run for 1 yd to the BALL 29

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the BALL 30

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Ta'ron Keith run for 1 yd to the BALL 29

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Ta'ron Keith run for 3 yds to the BALL 26

4th & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.61

Connor Bazelak sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the BALL 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Kiael Kelly pass complete to Malcolm Gillie for 3 yds to the BALL 36

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Qian Magwood

3rd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.08

Kiael Kelly pass complete to Malcolm Gillie for 18 yds to the BGSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Kiael Kelly run for 9 yds to the BGSU 37

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Kiael Kelly run for 7 yds to the BGSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Vaughn Pemberton

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Vaughn Pemberton

Situational Analysis

Ball State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
21%
24 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
54%
13 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
71%
7 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Bowling Green

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
39%
18 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
38%
8 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
0%
1 play