House Prediction
Model Margin
Toledo by 20.5
Home Win Probability
Toledo 89%
Market (Bovada)
Toledo -14.5
fitted_v1 · Oct 31, 2023
Line Movement
No line movement to chart
Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Buffalo | 7 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 13 |
 Toledo | 14 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 31 |
Scoring Timeline
Drive Chart
Box Score
| Statistic | Buffalo | Toledo |
|---|---|---|
| Passing | 14-41 | 12-19 |
| Pass Yards | 151 | 176 |
| Rush Yards | 173 | 179 |
| Total Yards | 324 | 355 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 4 |
| 3rd Down | 7-19 | 3-10 |
| Penalties | 2-28 | 6-52 |
| Possession | 34:44 | 25:16 |
Player Leaders
Player Leaders
Play-by-Play
Jacquez Stuart 97 Yd Kickoff Return (Luke Pawlak Kick)
Ron Cook Jr. run for 3 yds to the BUFF 43
Cole Snyder pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 4 yds to the BUFF 47
Ron Cook Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the BUFF 45
Anthony Venneri punt for 34 yds, downed at the TOL 21
Dequan Finn pass complete to Devin Maddox for 8 yds to the TOL 29
Peny Boone run for 71 yds for a TD (Luke Pawlak KICK)
Ron Cook Jr. run for no gain to the BUFF 31
Cole Snyder pass incomplete
Cole Snyder pass incomplete
Anthony Venneri punt for 45 yds
Peny Boone run for 3 yds to the TOL 26
Toledo Penalty, Personal Foul (Vinny Sciury) to the TOL 12
Mike Washington run for 3 yds to the TOL 9
Victor Snow run for 5 yds to the TOL 4
Cole Snyder pass complete to Cole Harrity for 4 yds for a TD (Alex McNulty KICK)
Peny Boone run for 2 yds to the TOL 29
Dequan Finn pass complete to Jerjuan Newton for 15 yds to the TOL 44 for a 1ST down
Peny Boone run for 7 yds to the BUFF 49
BOONE, Peny rush to the right for a gain of 12 yards to the BUF37 (ANDREESSEN, Joe). PENALTY TOL Holding on LONG, Tyler enforced 10 yards from the BUF49 to the TOL41 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).
Dequan Finn pass complete to Jacquez Stuart for 18 yds to the BUFF 41 for a 1ST down
Jacquez Stuart run for no gain to the BUFF 41
Dequan Finn pass incomplete
Dequan Finn run for no gain to the BUFF 41
Emilio Duran punt for 40 yds, downed at the BUFF 1
Ron Cook Jr. run for 3 yds to the BUFF 4
Jacqez Barksdale run for a loss of 1 yard to the BUFF 3
Cole Snyder pass incomplete
Anthony Venneri punt for 35 yds
Peny Boone run for no gain to the BUFF 38
Peny Boone run for 2 yds to the BUFF 36
Dequan Finn pass incomplete
Emilio Duran punt for 29 yds, downed at the BUFF 7
Mike Washington run for 4 yds to the BUFF 11
Cole Snyder pass incomplete
Cole Snyder pass incomplete
Anthony Venneri punt for 42 yds, downed at the TOL 47
Jacquez Stuart run for no gain to the TOL 47
Dequan Finn pass complete to Jacquez Stuart for 3 yds to the 50 yard line
Dequan Finn pass complete to Larry Stephens for 27 yds to the BUFF 23 for a 1ST down
Dequan Finn pass incomplete
Jacquez Stuart run for a loss of 3 yards to the BUFF 26
Dequan Finn pass complete to Anthony Torres for 26 yds for a TD (Luke Pawlak KICK)
Cole Snyder pass complete to Jacqez Barksdale for 4 yds to the BUFF 28
Jacqez Barksdale run for 1 yd to the BUFF 29
Cole Snyder pass complete to Ron Cook Jr. for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
Mike Washington run for 5 yds to the TOL 45
Jacqez Barksdale run for 4 yds to the TOL 41
Mike Washington run for no gain to the TOL 41
Ron Cook Jr. run for no gain to the TOL 41
Dequan Finn pass incomplete
BOONE, Peny rush to the left for a gain of 2 yards to the TOL43 (HARRIS, Demetrius;GRANT, Devin). PENALTY TOL Holding on ROSI, Nick enforced 10 yards from the TOL41 to the TOL31 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).
Peny Boone run for 17 yds to the TOL 48
Dequan Finn run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line
Dequan Finn run for no gain to the 50 yard line
Cole Snyder pass complete to Ron Cook Jr. for 8 yds to the TOL 42
Ron Cook Jr. run for 5 yds to the TOL 37 for a 1ST down
Jacqez Barksdale run for 4 yds to the TOL 33
Cole Snyder pass complete to Boobie Curry for 15 yds to the TOL 18 for a 1ST down
Cole Snyder pass incomplete
Cole Snyder pass incomplete
Cole Snyder pass incomplete
Alex McNulty 36 yd FG MISSED
Dequan Finn pass complete to Peny Boone for 10 yds Peny Boone fumbled, recovered by BUFF Devin Grant for a 1ST down Buffalo Penalty, Personal Foul (Devin Grant) to the TOL 40 for a 1ST down
Cole Snyder run for 7 yds to the TOL 38
Ron Cook Jr. run for no gain to the TOL 38
Ron Cook Jr. run for 6 yds to the TOL 32 for a 1ST down
Cole Snyder pass intercepted
Jacquez Stuart run for a loss of 1 yard to the BUFF 43
Dequan Finn pass complete to Anthony Torres for 19 yds to the BUFF 24 for a 1ST down
FINN, Dequan pass to the left complete for 13 yards to STUART, Jacquez caught at the BUF33 and advanced to the BUF11 (GRANT, Devin). PENALTY TOL Holding on ROGERS, Devan enforced 10 yards from the BUF24 to the BUF34 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).
Jacquez Stuart run for 3 yds to the BUFF 31
Jacquez Stuart run for 1 yd to the BUFF 30
Dequan Finn pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 9 yds to the BUFF 21
Luke Pawlak 39 yd FG GOOD
Cole Snyder run for 8 yds to the BUFF 42
Cole Snyder pass complete to Boobie Curry for 6 yds to the BUFF 48 for a 1ST down
Cole Snyder pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 7 yds to the TOL 45
Cole Snyder pass intercepted
End of 2nd Quarter
Dequan Finn run for 8 yds to the TOL 46
Ron Cook Jr. run for 6 yds to the BUFF 27
Jacqez Barksdale run for 10 yds to the BUFF 37 for a 1ST down
Ron Cook Jr. run for 4 yds to the BUFF 41
Ron Cook Jr. run for 3 yds to the BUFF 44
Cole Snyder pass incomplete
Tadd Barr run for 1 yd to the BUFF 45
Jacquez Stuart run for 14 yds to the BUFF 31 for a 1ST down
Dequan Finn run for a loss of 3 yards to the BUFF 34
Dequan Finn run for 1 yd to the BUFF 33
Dequan Finn pass incomplete
Toledo Penalty, Delay Of Game (Emilio Duran) to the BUFF 38
punt for 26 yds, downed at the BUFF 12
Jacqez Barksdale run for 1 yd to the BUFF 13
Cole Snyder pass complete to Boobie Curry for 10 yds to the BUFF 23 for a 1ST down
Victor Snow run for no gain to the BUFF 23
Cole Snyder sacked by Martez Poynter for a loss of 4 yards to the BUFF 19
Cole Snyder pass incomplete
punt blocked by Quinyon Mitchell blocked by Quinyon Mitchell Punt by VENNERI, Anthony at the BUF19 is blocked by MITCHELL, Quinyon, recovered by TOL HOOK, Maxen at the BUF28, returned 3 yards to the BUF25 (COOK, Ron), clock 07:16. PENALTY BUF Targeting on MURDOCK, Red enforced half the distance from the goal, 12 yards after the change of possession from the end of the play at the BUF25 to the BUF13. , returns for no gain to the BUFF 13
Jacquez Stuart run for 12 yds for a TD (Luke Pawlak KICK)
Michael Denning kickoff for 40 yds , return for no gain to the BUFF 21
Ron Cook Jr. run for 16 yds to the BUFF 37 for a 1ST down
Ron Cook Jr. run for 2 yds to the BUFF 39
Ron Cook Jr. run for 36 yds to the TOL 25 for a 1ST down
Mike Washington run for a loss of 3 yards to the TOL 28
Mike Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the TOL 29
Cole Snyder pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 13 yds to the TOL 16
Cole Snyder run for 6 yds to the TOL 10 for a 1ST down
Jacqez Barksdale run for 3 yds to the TOL 7
Cole Snyder pass incomplete
Cole Snyder pass incomplete
Cole Snyder pass incomplete
Jacquez Stuart run for 1 yd to the TOL 8
Jacquez Stuart run for a loss of 5 yards to the TOL 3 Jacquez Stuart fumbled, recovered by BUFF Daymond Williams [NHSG] STUART, Jacquez rush up the middle for a loss of 5 yards, STUART, Jacquez fumbled at TOL8 forced by MICHEL, Max, recovered by BUF WILLIAMS, Daymond at the TOL3, returned 0 yards to the TOL3, End of Play, clock 00:55.
Jacqez Barksdale run for 2 yds to the TOL 1
Jacqez Barksdale run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
Peny Boone run for 5 yds to the TOL 32
Dequan Finn pass complete to Anthony Torres for 14 yds to the TOL 46 for a 1ST down
Dequan Finn pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for a loss of 1 yard to the TOL 45
Peny Boone run for no gain to the TOL 45
Dequan Finn pass complete to Anthony Torres for 25 yds to the BUFF 30 for a 1ST down
Peny Boone run for 3 yds to the BUFF 27
Peny Boone run for 4 yds to the BUFF 23
Jacquez Stuart run for 2 yds to the BUFF 21
Dequan Finn run for 9 yds to the BUFF 12 for a 1ST down
Peny Boone run for 11 yds to the BUFF 1 Peny Boone fumbled, recovered by BUFF Devin Grant [NHSG] BOONE, Peny rush up the middle for a gain of 11 yards, BOONE, Peny fumbled at BUF6 forced by MICHEL, Max, recovered by BUF GRANT, Devin at the BUF1, returned 0 yards to the BUF1, End of Play, clock 09:43.
Cole Snyder pass incomplete
Cole Snyder pass incomplete
Cole Snyder pass complete to Darrell Harding Jr. for 32 yds to the BUFF 33 for a 1ST down
Cole Snyder run for 7 yds to the BUFF 40
Cole Snyder run for 4 yds to the BUFF 44 for a 1ST down
Cole Snyder pass incomplete
Ron Cook Jr. run for 11 yds to the TOL 45 for a 1ST down
Cole Snyder pass incomplete
Cole Snyder pass incomplete
Cole Snyder pass incomplete
Cole Snyder pass incomplete
Jacquez Stuart run for 2 yds to the TOL 47
Jacquez Stuart run for 1 yd to the TOL 48
Dequan Finn pass incomplete
Ron Cook Jr. run for no gain to the BUFF 49
Cole Snyder pass complete to Cole Harrity for 9 yds to the TOL 42
Ron Cook Jr. run for 4 yds to the TOL 38 for a 1ST down
Cole Snyder pass incomplete
Cole Snyder pass complete to Ron Cook Jr. for 6 yds to the TOL 32
Cole Snyder pass complete to Darrell Harding Jr. for 12 yds to the TOL 20 for a 1ST down
Cole Snyder pass incomplete
Cole Snyder pass incomplete
QB Keeper SNYDER, Cole rush up the middle for a gain of 4 yards to the TOL16 (HOOK, Maxen). PENALTY TOL Offsides on HOLT, Deshawn enforced 5 yards from the TOL20 to the TOL15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).
Cole Snyder run for 7 yds to the TOL 8 for a 1ST down
Cole Snyder pass incomplete
Cole Snyder run for no gain to the TOL 8
Cole Snyder run for 2 yds to the TOL 6
Cole Snyder pass incomplete
Jacquez Stuart run for 13 yds to the TOL 19 for a 1ST down
[NHSG] Kneel down by FINN, Dequan at TOL16 (team loss of 3), clock 00:00.