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← Back to GamesOct 21, 2023Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Buffalo by 2.1

Home Win Probability

Kent State 39%

Market (Bovada)

Kent State +6.5

Edge: Kent State +6.5 (4.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 21, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
BuffaloBuffalo
773724
Kent StateKent State
60006

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-06-76-146-176-24
Kent StateBuffalo

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20KSBUFKSBUFKSBUFKSBUFKSBUFKSBUFKSBUFKSBUFKSBUFKSBUFKSBUFKSBUFKSBUFPUNT31ydPUNT517ydFG960ydTO20ydFG43ydTD575ydPUNT34ydTD1168ydTO742ydPUNT57ydPUNT614ydPUNT615ydEND37ydFG733ydPUNT611ydPUNT517ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT33ydPUNT39ydMISS735ydPUNT34ydPUNT30ydPUNT30ydTD751ydDOWNS1020ydEND3-10yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Buffalo and Kent State
StatisticBuffaloKent State
Passing18-3312-26
Pass Yards19578
Rush Yards13686
Total Yards331164
Turnovers11
3rd Down7-164-17
Penalties6-400-0
Possession32:0727:53

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Buffalo
passing
Cole Snyder
18/33, 195 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jacqez Barksdale
10 CAR, 84 YDS
receiving
Marlyn Johnson
5 REC, 64 YDS
defense
Kent State
passing
Michael Alaimo
7/14, 51 YDS
rushing
Jaylen Thomas
17 CAR, 65 YDS
receiving
Chrishon Mccray
5 REC, 52 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Chrishon McCray

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Michael Alaimo run for 1 yd to the KENT 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Jameel Gardner Jr.

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Josh Smith punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.95

Cole Snyder pass complete to Boobie Curry for 8 yds to the BUFF 35

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.23

Cole Snyder pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 5 yds to the BUFF 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Ron Cook Jr. run for 9 yds to the BUFF 49

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.40

Ron Cook Jr. run for no gain to the BUFF 49

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.27

Cole Snyder run for 5 yds to the BUFF 44

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Anthony Venneri punt for 56 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jaylen Thomas run for no gain to the KENT 20

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.61

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 14 yds to the KENT 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Michael Alaimo run for 6 yds to the KENT 40

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.85

Tommy Ulatowski run for 7 yds to the KENT 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +1.41

Jaylen Thomas run for 29 yds to the BUFF 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Jaylen Thomas run for 1 yd to the BUFF 23

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jaylen Thomas run for 5 yds to the BUFF 18

3rd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Jameel Gardner Jr. for 2 yds to the BUFF 20

4th & 6Field Goal Good+38 yds

Andrew Glass 38 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Andrew Glass kickoff for 63 yds , Ron Cook Jr. return for 27 yds to the BUFF 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Cole Harrity

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.39

Cole Snyder pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Xavier Williams run for 2 yds to the BUFF 20

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Michael Alaimo run for 1 yd to the BUFF 19

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Chrishon McCray

4th & 7Field Goal Good+37 yds

Andrew Glass 37 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+39 ydsPPA +3.07

Jacqez Barksdale run for 39 yds to the KENT 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +1.32

Ron Cook Jr. run for 32 yds to the KENT 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Jacqez Barksdale run for 3 yds to the KENT 1

2nd & 1Rush+1 yds

Jacqez Barksdale run for 1 yd to the KENT 2

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Andrew Schnackenberg 2 Yd pass from Cole Snyder (Alex McNulty Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jaylen Thomas run for 1 yd to the KENT 26

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Jaylen Thomas run for 3 yds to the KENT 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Jameel Gardner Jr.

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Josh Smith punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Ron Cook Jr. at the BUFF 32

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Mike Washington run for 2 yds to the BUFF 34

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.64

Cole Snyder pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 9 yds to the BUFF 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Boobie Curry

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Jacqez Barksdale run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.09

Cole Snyder pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 15 yds to the KENT 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Mike Washington run for 2 yds to the KENT 33

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jacqez Barksdale run for 4 yds to the KENT 29

3rd & 4Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.50

Cole Snyder pass complete to Cole Harrity for 28 yds to the KENT 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush+1 yds

Mike Washington run for 1 yd to the KENT 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Ron Cook Jr. run for 1 yd to the KENT 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Ron Cook Jr. 1 Yd Run (Alex McNulty Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jaylen Thomas run for 2 yds to the KENT 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.21

Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 7 yds to the KENT 34

4th & 1Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY BUFF Offside (Wolo,George) 5 yards from KENT34 to KENT39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.01

Tommy Ulatowski run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.94

Jaylen Thomas run for 17 yds to the BUFF 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Tommy Ulatowski run for no gain to the BUFF 33

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.46

Tommy Ulatowski pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.41

Cole Snyder pass complete to Darrell Harding Jr. for 16 yds to the KENT 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Ron Cook Jr. run for 12 yds to the BUFF 34 Buffalo Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tyler Doty) to the BUFF 44

1st & 20Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Cole Snyder pass complete to Darrell Harding Jr. for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 14Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Cole Snyder pass complete to Darrell Harding Jr. for 5 yds to the KENT 45

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Mike Washington

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Anthony Venneri punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Luke Floriea at the KENT 14

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Anthony Venneri punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Luke Floriea at the KENT 14

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Tommy Ulatowski run for 2 yds to the KENT 16

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

Jaylen Thomas run for no gain to the KENT 16

3rd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.06

Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 8 yds to the KENT 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Jaylen Thomas run for 2 yds to the KENT 26

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Chrishon McCray

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Tommy Ulatowski run for 2 yds to the KENT 28

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Josh Smith punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BUFF 19

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Cole Snyder pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Cole Snyder pass complete to Ron Cook Jr. for 6 yds to the BUFF 25

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.50

Cole Snyder pass complete to Boobie Curry for 9 yds to the BUFF 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Boobie Curry

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Boobie Curry

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Marlyn Johnson

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Anthony Venneri punt for 39 yds , Luke Floriea returns for no gain to the KENT 27

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Jameel Gardner Jr.

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Jaylen Thomas run for no gain to the KENT 27

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Jaylen Thomas for 7 yds to the KENT 34

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Andrew Glass kickoff for 59 yds , Ron Cook Jr. return for 26 yds to the BUFF 32

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Mike Washington run for 3 yds to the BUFF 35

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.62

Jacqez Barksdale run for 10 yds to the BUFF 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.14

Jacqez Barksdale run for 16 yds to the KENT 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.81

Cole Snyder pass complete to for no gain to the KENT 39

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Ron Cook Jr. run for 4 yds to the KENT 35

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Andrew Schnackenberg

4th & 6Field Goal Good+53 yds

Alex McNulty 53 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jaylen Thomas run for no gain to the KENT 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Jameel Gardner Jr. for 4 yds to the KENT 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.99

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 10 yds to the KENT 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Jaylen Thomas run for 1 yd to the KENT 40

2nd & 9Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.46

Michael Alaimo sacked by Jaylon Bass for a loss of 9 yards to the KENT 31

3rd & 18Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Jaylen Thomas run for 5 yds to the KENT 36

4th & 13Punt+17 yds

Josh Smith punt for 48 yds , Ron Cook Jr. returns for 17 yds to the BUFF 33

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Snyder,Cole pass incomplete short middle broken up by Sheppert,Bryce PENALTY BUFF Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Wallace,Gabe) 5 yards from BUFF33 to BUFF28. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Cole Snyder pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 3 yds to the BUFF 31

2nd & 12Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.20

Cole Snyder pass complete to Cole Harrity for 12 yds to the BUFF 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Mike Washington run for 1 yd to the BUFF 44

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Al-Jay Henderson run for 1 yd to the BUFF 43

3rd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Cole Snyder run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Anthony Venneri punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Luke Floriea at the KENT 13

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jaylen Thomas run for 5 yds to the KENT 8

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Chrishon McCray

3rd & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Michael Alaimo run for 4 yds to the KENT 12

4th & 11Punt+32 yds

Josh Smith punt for 47 yds , Ron Cook Jr. returns for 32 yds to the KENT 27

4th & 11Punt+32 yds

Josh Smith punt for 47 yds , Ron Cook Jr. returns for 32 yds to the BUFF 40

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jacqez Barksdale run for 3 yds to the BUFF 43

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jacqez Barksdale run for no gain to the BUFF 43

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Darrell Harding Jr.

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Anthony Venneri punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Xavier Williams

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Jameel Gardner Jr. for 8 yds to the KENT 32

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Jaylen Thomas run for 1 yd to the KENT 33

4th & 1Punt+19 yds

Josh Smith punt for 37 yds , Ron Cook Jr. returns for 19 yds to the BUFF 49

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Washington,Mike rush middle for 1 yard gain to the BUFF50 (Sheppert,Bryce) PENALTY BUFF False Start 5 yards from BUFF49 to BUFF44. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.98

Cole Snyder pass complete to Cole Harrity for 17 yds to the KENT 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Cole Snyder pass complete to Andrew Schnackenberg for 6 yds to the KENT 33

2nd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.25

Cole Snyder pass complete to Victor Snow for 12 yds to the KENT 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Cole Snyder pass complete to Mike Washington for 4 yds to the KENT 17

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Mike Washington run for 1 yd to the KENT 16

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Marlyn Johnson

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+34 yds

Alex McNulty 34 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Jaylen Thomas

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Michael Alaimo run for 4 yds to the KENT 24

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Chrishon McCray

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Josh Smith punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Boobie Curry

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Boobie Curry

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Boobie Curry

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Anthony Venneri punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Luke Floriea at the KENT 16

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Chrishon McCray

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete to Jameel Gardner Jr.

3rd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.09

Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Jameel Gardner Jr. for no gain to the KENT 16

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Josh Smith punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Ron Cook Jr. at the BUFF 49

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Ron Cook Jr. run for 3 yds to the KENT 48

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jacqez Barksdale run for 3 yds to the KENT 45

3rd & 4Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.19

Cole Snyder pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 32 yds to the KENT 13 for a 1ST down

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.27

Ron Cook Jr. run for 2 yds to the KENT 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Mike Washington run for 6 yds to the KENT 7

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Mike Washington run for 3 yds to the KENT 4

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Al-Jay Henderson 2 Yd Run (Alex McNulty Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+31 yds

Alex McNulty kickoff for 63 yds , Xavier Williams return for 31 yds to the KENT 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Luke Floriea for 5 yds to the KENT 38

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tommy Ulatowski run for 4 yds to the KENT 42

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.20

Jaylen Thomas run for 3 yds to the KENT 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Michael Alaimo run for 2 yds to the KENT 47

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Michael Alaimo run for 4 yds to the BUFF 49

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.65

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Luke Floriea for 4 yds to the BUFF 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -3.23

Michael Alaimo sacked for a loss of 12 yards to the KENT 43

2nd & 22Penalty+5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Alaimo,Michael rush left for 4 yards gain to the KENT47, out of bounds at KENT47 PENALTY BUFF Illegal Substitution 5 yards from KENT43 to KENT48. NO PLAY.

2nd & 17Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Michael Alaimo run for no gain to the KENT 48

3rd & 17Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.42

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 13 yds to the BUFF 39

4th & 4Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.74

Michael Alaimo sacked by Joe Andreessen for a loss of 8 yards to the BUFF 47

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.99

Kneel down by Buffalo at BUFF43 for loss of 4 yards.

2nd & 14Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.98

Kneel down by Buffalo at BUFF39 for loss of 4 yards.

3rd & 18Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.24

Kneel down by Buffalo at BUFF37 for loss of 2 yards.

Situational Analysis

Buffalo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
35%
23 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
12 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th

Kent State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
26%
23 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
19%
16 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
43%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play