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← Back to GamesOct 7, 2023Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Akron by 5.5

Home Win Probability

Akron 62%

Market (Bovada)

Akron +4

Edge: Akron +4 (9.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 7, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois
72820055
AkronAkron
707014

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-77-217-357-4814-55
AkronNorthern Illinois

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NIAKRNIAKRNIAKRNIAKRNIAKRNIAKRNIAKRAKRNIAKRNIAKRNIAKRNIAKRNIAKRNIAKRTD675ydTD1265ydDOWNS833ydMISS1529ydTD271ydPUNT31ydTD464ydPUNT33ydTD353ydPUNT31ydTD259ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT33ydEND28ydPUNT46ydTD457ydPUNT33ydTD363ydTD570ydTD650ydTO34ydMISS46ydPUNT1226ydPUNT424ydPUNT629ydDOWNS49ydDOWNS626yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northern Illinois and Akron
StatisticNorthern IllinoisAkron
Passing10-1719-34
Pass Yards191146
Rush Yards380107
Total Yards571253
Turnovers01
3rd Down3-84-18
Penalties5-604-35
Possession23:5436:06

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northern Illinois
passing
Rocky Lombardi
10/15, 191 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Antario Brown
13 CAR, 280 YDS, 4 TD
receiving
Kacper Rutkiewicz
1 REC, 64 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Akron
passing
Tahj Bullock
19/34, 146 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Lorenzo Lingard
12 CAR, 49 YDS
receiving
T.J. Banks
4 REC, 38 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete to Billy Dozier

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Antario Brown run for 6 yds to the NIU 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.37

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 4 yds to the NIU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Gavin Williams run for 1 yd to the NIU 36

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Trayvon Rudolph, broken up by Terray Jones

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+64 ydsPPA +6.76

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Kacper Rutkiewicz for 64 yds for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Lorenzo Lingard run for 7 yds to the AKR 42

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.35

Tahj Bullock run for 4 yds to the AKR 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tahj Bullock pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 5 yds to the NIU 49

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.67

Tahj Bullock run for 5 yds to the NIU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Tahj Bullock run for 6 yds to the NIU 38

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Lorenzo Lingard run for 2 yds to the NIU 36

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.74

Lorenzo Lingard run for 3 yds to the NIU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.30

Tahj Bullock run for 14 yds to the NIU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +0.92

Tahj Bullock pass incomplete to TJ Banks for a 1ST down Northern Illinois Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Amariyun Knighten) to the NIU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Lorenzo Lingard run for 1 yd to the NIU 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Lorenzo Lingard run for 2 yds to the NIU 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Tahj Bullock 1 Yd Run (Owen Wiley Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Dante Jackson kickoff for 52 yds , Brock Lampe return for 12 yds to the NIU 25

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Trayvon Rudolph run for a loss of 1 yard to the NIU 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.41

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Davis Patterson for 19 yds to the NIU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Izuchukwu Ozoh for 6 yds to the NIU 49

2nd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.93

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 12 yds to the AKR 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the AKR 38

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

pass incomplete to Billy Dozier

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Rocky Lombardi run for 3 yds to the AKR 35

4th & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.87

Rocky Lombardi sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the AKR 42

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

pass incomplete to Daniel George

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Tahj Bullock run for 2 yds to the AKR 44

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion+10 ydsPPA +2.69

Tahj Bullock pass incomplete to Myles Walker for a 1ST down Northern Illinois Penalty, Defensive holding (Jashon Prophete) to the NIU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Drake Anderson run for 4 yds to the NIU 42

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Bobby Golden run for 4 yds to the NIU 38

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Lorenzo Lingard run for 8 yds to the NIU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.69

Tahj Bullock run for 9 yds to the NIU 21

2nd & 1Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.20

Akron Penalty, Offensive holding (Daniel George) to the NIU 31

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Tahj Bullock pass incomplete to Myles Walker, broken up by Skyler Gill-Howard

3rd & 11Pass Reception-15 ydsPPA -2.84

Tahj Bullock pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings Akron Penalty, personal foul (Ben Frank) to the NIU 46

3rd & 26Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

pass incomplete to Jasaiah Gathings

4th & 26Punt0 yds

Dante Jackson punt for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Lorenzo Lingard run for 3 yds to the NIU 28

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Akron Penalty, false start (Keylen Davis) to the NIU 33

2nd & 12Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.54

Tahj Bullock run for a loss of 3 yards to the NIU 36

3rd & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Tahj Bullock pass complete to Daniel George for 7 yds to the NIU 29

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+47 yds

Owen Wiley 47 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Antario Brown run for 5 yds to the NIU 34

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+66 ydsPPA +5.67

Antario Brown 66 Yd Run (Kanon Woodill Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete to Jasaiah Gathings

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Tahj Bullock pass complete to Drake Anderson for 1 yd to the AKR 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Dante Jackson punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Antario Brown run for 11 yds to the NIU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Antario Brown run for 8 yds to the AKR 45

2nd & 2Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +1.73

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 42 yds to the AKR 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Gavin Williams 3 Yd Run (Kanon Woodill Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Jake Seibert kickoff for 62 yds , Blake Hester return for 18 yds to the AKR 21

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Lorenzo Lingard run for 2 yds to the AKR 23

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Tahj Bullock run for 1 yd to the AKR 24

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

pass incomplete to Daniel George

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Dante Jackson punt for 29 yds

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.91

Antario Brown run for 13 yds to the AKR 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Gavin Williams run for 6 yds to the AKR 34

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +2.92

Grayson Barnes 34 Yd pass from Rocky Lombardi (Kanon Woodill Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Jake Seibert kickoff for 55 yds , Blake Hester return for 14 yds to the AKR 24

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Drake Anderson run for 1 yd to the AKR 25

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

pass incomplete to Bobby Golden

3rd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.18

Tahj Bullock pass complete to Myles Walker

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Dante Jackson punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Billy Dozier for 1 yd to the NIU 42

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+58 ydsPPA +5.58

Antario Brown 58 Yd Run (Kanon Woodill Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Jake Seibert kickoff for 57 yds , Blake Hester return for 16 yds to the AKR 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

pass incomplete to Jasaiah Gathings

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Lorenzo Lingard run for 3 yds to the AKR 27

3rd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.40

Tahj Bullock sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the AKR 19

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Dante Jackson punt for 45 yds , Dane Pardridge returns for no gain to the NIU 34

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Gavin Williams run for 6 yds to the NIU 40

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.45

Gavin Williams run for 3 yds to the NIU 43

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.14

Antario Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the NIU 42

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

Northern Illinois Penalty, false start (Gabriel Amegatcher) to the NIU 37

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Tom Foley punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.95

Tahj Bullock pass complete to Daniel George for 8 yds to the AKR 35

2nd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Tahj Bullock pass complete to Lorenzo Lingard for 7 yds to the NIU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Jake Seibert kickoff for 58 yds , Blake Hester return for 14 yds to the AKR 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.72

Tahj Bullock pass complete to TJ Banks for 10 yds to the AKR 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89
2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Tahj Bullock pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 2 yds to the AKR 33

3rd & 8Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.50

Tahj Bullock sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the AKR 27

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Dante Jackson punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.92

Antario Brown run for 11 yds to the AKR 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Trayvon Rudolph, broken up by Tyson Durant

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +4.57

Antario Brown 46 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 yds

Kanon Woodill pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Drake Anderson run for 3 yds to the AKR 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

pass incomplete to Bobby Golden

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27
4th & 7Punt+37 yds

Dante Jackson punt for 37 yds , Dane Pardridge returns for no gain to the NIU 37 , Jaylen Poe returns for 2 yds to the NIU 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Brock Lampe for 7 yds to the NIU 44

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.50

Antario Brown run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+50 ydsPPA +3.84

Antario Brown 50 Yd Run (Kanon Woodill Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+30 yds

Jake Seibert kickoff for 65 yds , Blake Hester return for 30 yds to the AKR 30

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.32

Lorenzo Lingard run for 14 yds to the AKR 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.13

Tahj Bullock pass complete to Lorenzo Lingard for 15 yds to the NIU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Tahj Bullock pass complete to Daniel George for 6 yds to the NIU 35

2nd & 4Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.34

Tahj Bullock run for 14 yds to the NIU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Tahj Bullock pass complete to TJ Banks for 21 yds for a TD (Owen Wiley KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+48 yds

Dante Jackson kickoff for 63 yds , Trayvon Rudolph return for 48 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Dane Pardridge for 2 yds to the AKR 48

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.38

Gavin Williams run for 10 yds to the AKR 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+36 ydsPPA +1.88

Trayvon Rudolph run for 36 yds to the AKR 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Gavin Williams run for 1 yd to the AKR 1

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

pass incomplete to Brock Lampe

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Gavin Williams 1 Yd Run (Kanon Woodill Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+5 yds

Jake Seibert kickoff for 54 yds , Blake Hester return for 5 yds to the AKR 16

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

pass incomplete to Myles Walker

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Tahj Bullock run for 4 yds to the AKR 20

3rd & 6Interception0 ydsPPA +0.07

Tahj Bullock pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Gavin Williams run for 5 yds to the AKR 35

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Gavin Williams run for 1 yd to the AKR 34

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

pass incomplete to Christion Carter

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+51 yds

Kanon Woodill 51 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Lorenzo Lingard run for 2 yds to the AKR 36

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

Akron Penalty, false start (Tyhler Williams) to the AKR 31

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

pass incomplete to Adrian Norton

3rd & 13Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +3.26

Tahj Bullock pass complete to Adrian Norton for 4 yds to the AKR 35 for a 1ST down Northern Illinois Penalty, roughing passer (George Gumbs) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Lorenzo Lingard run for 2 yds to the NIU 48

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

pass incomplete to Daniel George

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Tahj Bullock pass complete to Caleb Anderson for 5 yds to the NIU 43

4th & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +2.42

Tahj Bullock pass complete to TJ Banks for 5 yds to the NIU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Tahj Bullock run for 1 yd to the NIU 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.95

Tahj Bullock pass complete to Lorenzo Lingard for 10 yds to the NIU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Tahj Bullock run for 3 yds to the NIU 24

2nd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.78

Tahj Bullock sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the NIU 31

3rd & 14Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.25

Tahj Bullock sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the NIU 40

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Dante Jackson punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.79

Christian Nash run for 16 yds to the NIU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Christian Nash run for 6 yds to the NIU 32

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Christian Nash run for 2 yds to the NIU 34

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

pass incomplete to Malik Armstrong

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Tom Foley punt for 62 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Drake Anderson run for 2 yds to the AKR 6

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Tahj Bullock run for 3 yds to the AKR 9

3rd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.04

Tahj Bullock pass complete to Drake Anderson for 15 yds to the AKR 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67
2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Tahj Bullock run for 7 yds to the AKR 31

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Tahj Bullock pass complete to TJ Banks for 2 yds to the AKR 33

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Dante Jackson punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Christian Nash run for 3 yds to the NIU 40

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93
3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Christian Nash run for 5 yds to the NIU 45

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Christian Nash run for 1 yd to the NIU 46

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Charles Kellom run for 4 yds to the NIU 42

2nd & 6Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.98

Tahj Bullock pass complete to Nik Ognenovic for 18 yds to the NIU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

pass incomplete to Bobby Golden

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.74

Charles Kellom run for a loss of 1 yard to the NIU 25

3rd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Tahj Bullock pass complete to Nik Ognenovic for 5 yds to the NIU 20

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.19

pass incomplete to Caleb Anderson

4th & 10End of Regulation0 ydsPPA -2.80

End of 4th Quarter

Situational Analysis

Northern Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
64%
22 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
57%
7 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Akron

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
40%
30 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
14%
14 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
25%
8 plays
50%
6 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play