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← Back to GamesOct 7, 2023Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Miami (OH) by 14

Home Win Probability

Miami (OH) 81%

Market (Bovada)

Miami (OH) -7.5

Edge: Miami (OH) -7.5 (6.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 7, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Bowling GreenBowling Green
00000
Miami (OH)Miami (OH)
7710327

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-021-027-0
Miami (OH)Bowling Green

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20M(BGM(BGM(BGM(BGBGM(BGM(BGM(BGM(TD1775ydPUNT513ydTO861ydPUNT56ydPUNT37ydPUNT515ydTD1082ydEND1-2ydMISS1547ydTD972ydTO425ydFG42ydPUNT53ydFG1351ydPUNT33ydEND34yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Bowling Green and Miami (OH)
StatisticBowling GreenMiami (OH)
Passing11-2315-18
Pass Yards72170
Rush Yards63186
Total Yards135356
Turnovers11
3rd Down1-89-14
Penalties7-637-45
Possession20:3139:29

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Bowling Green
passing
Connor Bazelak
8/17, 64 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Terion Stewart
8 CAR, 63 YDS
receiving
Odieu Hilaire
4 REC, 27 YDS
defense
Miami (OH)
passing
Brett Gabbert
15/18, 170 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Kenny Tracy
11 CAR, 58 YDS
receiving
Joe Wilkins
6 REC, 70 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brett Gabbert run for no gain to the M-OH 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Joe Wilkins Jr. for 6 yds to the M-OH 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.66

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kenny Tracy for 7 yds to the M-OH 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Rashad Amos run for 4 yds to the M-OH 42

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MIA Delay Of Game (Gabbert,Brett) 5 yards from MIA42 to MIA37. NO PLAY.

2nd & 11Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.75

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 18 yds to the BGSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

(10:58) Shotgun Amos,Rashad rush middle for 5 yards gain to the BGSU40 (Branch-Haynes,Evan) PENALTY MIA Illegal Formation (Gabbert,Brett) 5 yards from BGSU45 to BGSU50. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Rashad Amos run for 1 yd to the M-OH 49

2nd & 16Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.63

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 12 yds to the BGSU 39

3rd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.43

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Joe Wilkins Jr. for 12 yds to the BGSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Rashad Amos run for 2 yds to the BGSU 25

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Rashad Amos run for 4 yds to the BGSU 21

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Nate Muersch for 3 yds to the BGSU 18

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.70

Rashad Amos run for 3 yds to the BGSU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Kenny Tracy run for 6 yds to the BGSU 9

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.49

Kenny Tracy run for 4 yds to the BGSU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Rashad Amos run for 3 yds to the BGSU 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Rashad Amos run for 1 yd to the BGSU 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Rashad Amos run for 1 yd for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 9 yds to the BGSU 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 6 yds to the BGSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Abdul-Fatai Ibrahim

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 5 yds to the BGSU 45

3rd & 5Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.34

Connor Bazelak sacked by Corey Suttle for a loss of 7 yards to the BGSU 38

4th & 12Punt+5 yds

Jackson Kleather punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the M-OH 19 , Cade McDonald returns for 5 yds to the M-OH 19

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kenny Tracy run for 5 yds to the M-OH 24

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.75

Kenny Tracy run for 7 yds to the M-OH 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Brett Gabbert run for 2 yds to the M-OH 33

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.27

Brett Gabbert run for 3 yds to the M-OH 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Brett Gabbert run for 4 yds to the M-OH 45

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Rashad Amos run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.36

Rashad Amos run for 7 yds to the BGSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+23 ydsPPA +0.73

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Joe Wilkins Jr. for 23 yds Joe Wilkins Jr. fumbled, recovered by BGSU Darren Anders

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Terion Stewart run for 12 yds to the BGSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Abdul-Fatai Ibrahim

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Camden Orth run for 2 yds to the M-OH 49

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Odieu Hiliare

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Jackson Kleather punt for 27 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Luke Bolden

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.72

Brett Gabbert sacked by Darren Anders for a loss of 6 yards to the M-OH 24

3rd & 16Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.45

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Joe Wilkins Jr. for 13 yds to the M-OH 37

4th & 3Punt+2 yds

Alec Bevelhimer punt for 44 yds , Jhaylin Embry returns for 2 yds to the BGSU 21

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Terion Stewart run for 6 yds to the BGSU 27

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Terion Stewart run for 7 yds to the BGSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Terion Stewart run for 4 yds to the BGSU 30

2nd & 14Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Camden Orth pass complete to Austin Osborne for 6 yds to the BGSU 36

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jackson Kleather punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Cade McDonald at the M-OH 18

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Rashad Amos run for 1 yd to the M-OH 19

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Joe Wilkins Jr. for 5 yds to the M-OH 24

3rd & 4Interception0 ydsPPA -0.13

Brett Gabbert pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.44

Brett Gabbert run for 17 yds to the BGSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 2 yds to the BGSU 42

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the BGSU 41

3rd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.01

Brett Gabbert run for 13 yds to the BGSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Kenny Tracy run for 2 yds to the BGSU 26

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.48

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 11 yds to the BGSU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Miles Marshall

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Nate Muersch for 2 yds for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK)

1st & 20Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.20

Terion Stewart run for 8 yds to the BGSU 23

0th & 20End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Abdul-Fatai Ibrahim

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Trimaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the BGSU 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 16 yds to the BGSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Camden Orth run for 8 yds to the M-OH 47

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Camden Orth run for 6 yds to the M-OH 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Camden Orth pass incomplete to Austin Osborne

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Camden Orth run for 2 yds to the M-OH 39

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Camden Orth run for 2 yds to the M-OH 37

4th & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.62

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Finn Hogan for 12 yds to the M-OH 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 7 yds to the M-OH 18

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Abdul-Fatai Ibrahim

3rd & 3Penalty+5 yds

(09:56) No Huddle-Shotgun Bazelak,Connor pass incomplete short right to Keith,Ta'ron QB hurried by Ugwu,Brian PENALTY MIA Offside 5 yards from MIA18 to MIA13, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Harold Fannin Jr.

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Austin Osborne

3rd & 15Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.72

Connor Bazelak sacked by Ty Wise for a loss of 10 yards to the M-OH 28

4th & 25Field Goal Missed+46 yds

Alan Anaya 46 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Kevin Davis run for 8 yds to the M-OH 36

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Kenny Tracy run for 8 yds to the M-OH 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Rashad Amos run for 2 yds to the M-OH 46

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Rashad Amos run for 2 yds to the M-OH 44

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.94

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Joe Wilkins Jr. for 11 yds to the BGSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Kenny Tracy run for 8 yds to the BGSU 37

2nd & 2Penalty-10 yds

Miami (OH) Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the BGSU 45

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kenny Tracy for 6 yds to the BGSU 39

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +4.17

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kenny Tracy for 39 yds for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Abdul-Fatai Ibrahim for 6 yds to the BGSU 31

2nd & 4Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.82

Terion Stewart run for 18 yds to the BGSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -2.19

Connor Bazelak pass intercepted

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MIA False Start (DeJarld,Jack) 5 yards from BGSU36 to BGSU41. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Rashad Amos run for 2 yds to the BGSU 39

2nd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Kenny Tracy run for 5 yds to the BGSU 34

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Joe Wilkins Jr.

4th & 8Field Goal Good+52 yds

Graham Nicholson 52 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 3 yds to the BGSU 28

2nd & 7Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.91

Terion Stewart run for 15 yds to the BGSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.46

Connor Bazelak sacked by Brian Ugwu for a loss of 9 yards to the BGSU 34

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Harold Fannin Jr.

3rd & 19Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.14

Connor Bazelak sacked by Caiden Woullard for a loss of 1 yard to the BGSU 33

4th & 25Punt+1 yds

Jackson Kleather punt for 37 yds , Cade McDonald returns for 1 yd to the M-OH 36

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Rashad Amos run for 9 yds to the M-OH 45

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Rashad Amos run for 4 yds to the M-OH 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Rashad Amos run for 2 yds to the BGSU 49

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kenny Tracy run for 5 yds to the BGSU 44

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.24

Kenny Tracy run for 3 yds to the BGSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.45

Brett Gabbert run for 12 yds to the BGSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kenny Tracy run for 5 yds to the BGSU 24

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Keyon Mozee run for 2 yds to the BGSU 22

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.43

Keyon Mozee run for 5 yds to the BGSU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Rashad Amos run for 2 yds to the BGSU 15

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

(05:30) Shotgun Amos,Rashad rush right for 2 yards gain to the BGSU13 (Horne,Brock) PENALTY MIA Holding (Holskey,Reid) 10 yards from BGSU15 to BGSU25. NO PLAY.

2nd & 18Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Keyon Mozee run for 5 yds to the BGSU 20

3rd & 13Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Keyon Mozee run for 7 yds to the BGSU 13

4th & 6Field Goal Good+30 yds

Graham Nicholson 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Camden Orth pass incomplete to Abdul-Fatai Ibrahim

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Ta'ron Keith run for 3 yds to the BGSU 44

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jackson Kleather punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Cade McDonald at the M-OH 7

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Jordan Brunson run for 6 yds to the M-OH 13

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

run for 1 yd to the M-OH 12

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.12

run for 1 yd to the M-OH 11

Situational Analysis

Bowling Green

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
40%
15 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
29%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
0%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Miami (OH)

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
43%
23 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
56%
9 plays
100%
4 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play