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← Back to GamesSep 24, 2023Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

Fresno State by 22.6

Home Win Probability

Fresno State 90%

Market (Bovada)

Fresno State -27

Edge: Kent State +27 (4.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 24, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Kent StateKent State
730010
Fresno StateFresno State
221414353

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428425615-722-1029-1036-1043-1050-1053-10
Fresno StateKent State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20KSFSKSFSKSFSKSFSKSFSKSFSKSFSKSFSKSFSKSFSPUNT3-1ydTD455ydPUNT33ydTD247ydTD775ydTD671ydFG1357ydTD772ydDOWNS1141ydTD866ydEND12ydTD1274ydPUNT615ydTD1076ydPUNT3-2ydFG931ydPUNT35ydDOWNS832ydPUNT3-4ydEND2-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Kent State and Fresno State
StatisticKent StateFresno State
Passing8-1526-34
Pass Yards102370
Rush Yards129143
Total Yards231513
Turnovers00
3rd Down3-128-10
Penalties11-723-25
Possession27:3932:21

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Kent State
passing
Michael Alaimo
8/15, 102 YDS
rushing
Xavier Williams
15 CAR, 55 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jameel Gardner Jr.
2 REC, 49 YDS
defense
Fresno State
passing
Mikey Keene
24/31, 325 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Malik Sherrod
10 CAR, 71 YDS
receiving
Jalen Moss
7 REC, 120 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Xavier Williams run for 2 yds to the KENT 18

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Michael Alaimo pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.17

Xavier Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the KENT 15

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Charlie Durkin punt for 40 yds, downed at the FRES 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Mikey Keene pass complete to Tre Watson for 1 yd to the FRES 46

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

3rd & 9Penalty+5 yds

KEENE, Mikey pass to the left incomplete intended for BROOKS, Erik thrown to the KST48. PENALTY KST Offsides enforced 5 yards from the FST46 to the KST49 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Fresno State Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the FRES 46

3rd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +3.00

Mikey Keene pass complete to Jalen Moss for 14 yds to the KENT 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.19

Erik Brooks 40 Yd pass from Mikey Keene (Logan Fife Run for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Kent State Penalty, False Start (Xavier Williams) to the KENT 5

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Xavier Williams run for 3 yds to the KENT 8

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Michael Alaimo pass incomplete

3rd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Xavier Williams run for 5 yds to the KENT 13

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Charlie Durkin punt for 24 yds, downed at the KENT 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.74

Mikey Keene pass complete to Erik Brooks for 15 yds to the KENT 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +2.87

J. Gill pass to E. Gilliam for 32 yds for a TD (D. Lynch KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Michael Alaimo run for a loss of 1 yard to the KENT 24

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

Kent State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the KENT 19

2nd & 16Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Michael Alaimo run for 3 yds to the KENT 22

3rd & 13Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +4.15

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Jameel Gardner Jr. for 40 yds to the FRES 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.43

Jack Coulson run for 15 yds to the FRES 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the FRES 21

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Xavier Williams run for 3 yds to the FRES 18

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +3.04

X. Williams run for 18 yds for a TD (A. Glass KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Andrew Glass kickoff for 61 yds , return for no gain to the FRES 29

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Malik Sherrod run for no gain to the FRES 29

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.85

Mikey Keene pass complete to Jalen Moss for 11 yds to the FRES 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.75

Malik Sherrod run for 24 yds to the KENT 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.44

Mikey Keene pass complete to Mac Dalena for 20 yds to the KENT 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.36

Mikey Keene pass complete to Mac Dalena for 14 yds to the KENT 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

E. Gilliam run for 2 yds for a TD (D. Lynch KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Jameel Gardner Jr. for 9 yds to the KENT 24

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.04

Xavier Williams run for 6 yds to the KENT 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Xavier Williams run for 8 yds to the KENT 38

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.06

Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the KENT 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Gavin Garcia run for a loss of 1 yard to the KENT 39

2nd & 11Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.39

Gavin Garcia run for 13 yds to the FRES 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Gavin Garcia run for 9 yds to the FRES 39

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the FRES 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.42

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Trell Harris for 16 yds to the FRES 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Gavin Garcia run for 7 yds to the FRES 14

2nd & 3Penalty-15 yds

WILLIAMS, Xavier rush up the middle for a gain of 14 yards to the FST0, TOUCHDOWN KST, score nullified by penalty, clock 13:02 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY KST Face mask enforced 15 yards from the FST14 to the FST29 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Michael Alaimo pass incomplete

3rd & 18Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Michael Alaimo run for 1 yd to the FRES 28

4th & 17Field Goal Good+46 yds

Andrew Glass 46 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Elijah Gilliam run for 4 yds to the FRES 32

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.25

Mikey Keene pass complete to Elijah Gilliam for 23 yds to the KENT 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Elijah Gilliam run for no gain to the KENT 45

3rd & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.01

Mikey Keene pass complete to Mac Dalena for 33 yds to the KENT 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

M. Keene pass to J. Moss for 12 yds for a TD (D. Lynch KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Xavier Williams run for 3 yds to the KENT 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.19

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 18 yds to the KENT 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Xavier Williams run for 3 yds to the KENT 49

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Gavin Garcia run for 4 yds to the FRES 47

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Michael Alaimo pass incomplete

4th & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.63

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 6 yds to the FRES 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Gavin Garcia run for 1 yd to the FRES 40

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Gavin Garcia run for 4 yds to the FRES 36

3rd & 5Penalty-10 yds

Kent State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the FRES 43

3rd & 12Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.94

Xavier Williams run for 9 yds to the FRES 34

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.35

Michael Alaimo pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +2.73

Mikey Keene pass complete to Jalen Moss for 47 yds to the KENT 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Malik Sherrod run for 1 yd to the KENT 18

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Malik Sherrod run for 7 yds to the KENT 11

3rd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.46

Mikey Keene pass complete to Malik Sherrod for 4 yds to the KENT 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Malik Sherrod run for a loss of 1 yard to the KENT 8

2nd & 8Penalty+4 yds

Kent State Penalty, Face mask (4 yards) (Devin Nicholson) to the KENT 2

1st & 2Penalty0 yds

Kent State Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (D.J. Miller Jr.) to the KENT 1

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

E. Gilliam run for 1 yd for a TD (D. Lynch KICK)

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the KENT 29

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.54

Malik Sherrod run for 17 yds to the FRES 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Mikey Keene pass complete to Malik Sherrod for 2 yds to the FRES 45

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.74

Malik Sherrod run for 11 yds to the KENT 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Mikey Keene pass complete to Jalen Moss for 9 yds to the KENT 35

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.36

Malik Sherrod run for 4 yds to the KENT 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.22

Mikey Keene pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 11 yds to the KENT 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Elijah Gilliam run for no gain to the KENT 20

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Mikey Keene pass complete to Elijah Gilliam for 4 yds to the KENT 16

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Mikey Keene pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 4 yds to the KENT 12

4th & 2Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.88

Mikey Keene pass complete to Erik Brooks for 10 yds to the KENT 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

M. Keene pass to T. Watson for 2 yds for a TD (D. Lynch KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Xavier Williams run for no gain to the KENT 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Trell Harris for 9 yds to the KENT 34

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.86

Xavier Williams run for 1 yd to the KENT 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Michael Alaimo pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the KENT 37

3rd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Gavin Garcia for 3 yds to the KENT 40

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Charlie Durkin punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Erik Brooks at the FRES 24

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Malik Sherrod run for 6 yds to the FRES 30

2nd & 4Penalty+5 yds

Kent State Penalty, Encroachment on WEST, CJ enforced (5 Yards) to the FRES 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Mikey Keene pass complete to Tim Grear Jr. for 5 yds to the FRES 40

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Mikey Keene pass complete to Malik Sherrod for 3 yds to the FRES 43

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.28

Malik Sherrod run for 2 yds to the FRES 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.20

Elijah Gilliam run for 14 yds to the KENT 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.50

Mikey Keene pass complete to Erik Brooks for 14 yds to the KENT 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Elijah Gilliam run for 4 yds to the KENT 23

0th & 0Passing Touchdown0 yds

Jaelen Gill 0 Yd pass from Mikey Keene (Dylan Lynch Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Xavier Williams run for 1 yd to the KENT 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Xavier Williams for 1 yd to the KENT 27

3rd & 8Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.31

Xavier Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the KENT 23

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Charlie Durkin punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Erik Brooks at the FRES 47

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Devon Rivers run for 1 yd to the FRES 48

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.87

Logan Fife pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 13 yds to the KENT 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Devon Rivers run for 1 yd to the KENT 38

2nd & 9Penalty-10 yds

RIVERS, Devon rush up the middle for a gain of 14 yards to the KST24 (MILLER, D.J.;BAKA, Josh). PENALTY FST Holding on VELEZ, Osmar enforced 10 yards from the KST38 to the KST48 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 19Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Devon Rivers run for 4 yds to the KENT 44

3rd & 15Rush+16 ydsPPA +3.23

Logan Fife run for 16 yds to the KENT 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Devon Rivers run for 2 yds to the KENT 26

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Logan Fife run for 4 yds to the KENT 22

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Logan Fife pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+40 yds

Dylan Lynch 40 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jaylen Thomas run for 1 yd to the KENT 26

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Kent State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the KENT 21

2nd & 14Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.36

Jaylen Thomas run for 9 yds to the KENT 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Michael Alaimo pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Charlie Durkin punt for 26 yds, downed at the FRES 44

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Devon Rivers run for 1 yd to the FRES 45

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Devon Rivers run for 2 yds to the FRES 47

3rd & 7Penalty+10 yds

FIFE, Logan pass up the middle incomplete intended for BOUST, Jake thrown to the KST41. PENALTY KST Holding on CRADDIETH, Dallas enforced 10 yards from the FST47 to the KST43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Johnathan Arceneaux run for 3 yds to the KENT 40

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Johnathan Arceneaux run for 9 yds to the KENT 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Johnathan Arceneaux run for 1 yd to the KENT 30

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Johnathan Arceneaux run for 3 yds to the KENT 27

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Logan Fife run for 1 yd to the KENT 26

4th & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -2.83

Logan Fife run for 2 yds to the KENT 24

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.77

Jaylen Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the KENT 23

2nd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.34

Tommy Ulatowski run for a loss of 2 yards to the KENT 21

3rd & 13Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.10

Jaylen Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the KENT 20

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Charlie Durkin punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

[SG] Kneel down by FIFE, Logan at FST46 (team loss of 2).

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

[SG] Kneel down by FIFE, Logan at FST45 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Kent State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
32%
19 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
25%
8 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

Fresno State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
67%
3 plays
45%
31 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
46%
13 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play