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← Back to GamesSep 9, 2023Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Southern Illinois by 7.6

Home Win Probability

Northern Illinois 27%

Market (DraftKings)

Northern Illinois -7

Edge: Southern Illinois +7 (14.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 9, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Southern Illinois
707014
Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois
003811

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40140-73-1411-14
Northern IllinoisSouthern Illinois

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SINISINISINISINISINISINISINISINISINISINISINISINISIPUNT423ydPUNT630ydPUNT32ydMISS513ydTD570ydMISS1263ydPUNT34ydPUNT513ydPUNT728ydTO750ydEND1-8ydPUNT30ydTD557ydFG1365ydPUNT30ydTD999ydPUNT38ydTO2-1ydPUNT4-1ydDOWNS520ydMISS729ydPUNT3-16ydPUNT3-7ydTO511ydEND3-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Southern Illinois and Northern Illinois
StatisticSouthern IllinoisNorthern Illinois
Passing16-2423-38
Pass Yards148297
Rush Yards7163
Total Yards219360
Turnovers03
3rd Down1-118-16
Penalties6-397-70
Possession24:0135:59

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Southern Illinois
passing
Nic Baker
16/24, 148 YDS
rushing
Romeir Elliott
9 CAR, 58 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Aidan Quinn
2 REC, 51 YDS
defense
PJ Jules
1.5 TFL, 3 PD
Northern Illinois
passing
Rocky Lombardi
23/38, 297 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Antario Brown
22 CAR, 59 YDS
receiving
Kacper Rutkiewicz
6 REC, 139 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Justin Strong run for 9 yds to the SIU 29

2nd & 1Penalty+15 yds

(14:54) No Huddle-Shotgun Baker,Nic pass incomplete short right to Cox,D'Ante' PENALTY NIU Roughing The Passer (Thomas,Raishein) 15 yards from SIU29 to SIU44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Nic Baker pass complete to Izaiah Hartrup for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Justin Strong run for 3 yds to the NIU 47

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.19

Nic Baker pass incomplete to Jaylen Reed

4th & 1Penalty-10 yds

(13:29) Shotgun Strong,Justin rush left for 3 yards gain to the NIU44 (Finley,Jacob) PENALTY SIU Holding 10 yards from NIU47 to SIU43. NO PLAY.

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Kacper Rutkiewicz at the NIU 20

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.91

Rocky Lombardi sacked by Dante Cleveland for a loss of 8 yards to the NIU 12

2nd & 18Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.03

Antario Brown run for 3 yds to the NIU 15

3rd & 15Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY SIU Offside (Cowan,Devin) 5 yards from NIU15 to NIU20. NO PLAY.

3rd & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.74

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Kacper Rutkiewicz for 23 yds to the NIU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Antario Brown run for 6 yds to the NIU 49

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.45

Antario Brown run for 3 yds to the SIU 48

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.98

Antario Brown run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Tom Foley punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SIU 1

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Nic Baker run for 1 yd to the SIU 2

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Justin Strong run for 3 yds to the SIU 5

3rd & 6Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.12

Nic Baker sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the SIU 3

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.48

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Davis Patterson for 11 yds to the SIU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Antario Brown run for 2 yds to the SIU 34

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Jalen Johnson

3rd & 12Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY NIU False Start 5 yards from SIU34 to SIU39. NO PLAY.

3rd & 17Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.89

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Grayson Barnes for 9 yds to the SIU 30

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+47 yds

Jake Seibert 47 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Nic Baker pass complete to Ro Elliott for 15 yds to the SIU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Ro Elliott run for no gain to the SIU 45

2nd & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +2.88

Nic Baker pass complete to Aidan Quinn for 40 yds to the NIU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Jaelin Benefield run for 7 yds to the NIU 8

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.25

Nic Baker run for 8 yds for a TD (Jake Baumgarte KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Thomas Burks kickoff for 55 yds , Billy Dozier return for 14 yds to the NIU 49 Northern Illinois Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the NIU 12

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Antario Brown run for 9 yds to the NIU 21

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Antario Brown run for no gain to the NIU 21

3rd & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.47

Rocky Lombardi run for 14 yds to the NIU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the NIU 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Christion Carter for 19 yds to the SIU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Davis Patterson

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Antario Brown run for no gain to the SIU 45

3rd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.84

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Christion Carter for 20 yds to the SIU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the SIU 24

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Jalen Johnson

3rd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Rocky Lombardi run for 1 yd to the SIU 25

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Jake Seibert 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Nic Baker pass complete to D'Ante' Cox for 3 yds to the SIU 28

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Jaelin Benefield run for 1 yd to the SIU 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Nic Baker pass incomplete to Justin Strong

4th & 6Punt+19 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 53 yds , Kacper Rutkiewicz returns for 19 yds to the NIU 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Kacper Rutkiewicz for 1 yd to the NIU 36

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Gavin Williams for 7 yds to the NIU 43

3rd & 4Penalty+2 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Lombardi,Rocky pass incomplete short middle to Carter,Chris PENALTY SIU Pass Interference 2 yards from NIU43 to NIU45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the NIU 44

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.79

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Jalen Johnson for 8 yds to the SIU 48

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Tom Foley punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Dayton Mitchell at the SIU 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Nic Baker pass complete to Izaiah Hartrup for 5 yds to the SIU 19

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Nic Baker pass complete to Izaiah Hartrup for 7 yds to the SIU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Nic Baker pass complete to Jaelin Benefield for 6 yds to the SIU 32

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Ro Elliott run for 8 yds to the SIU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Nic Baker sacked by George Gumbs for a loss of 1 yard to the SIU 39

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Nic Baker pass complete to Ro Elliott for 8 yds to the SIU 47

3rd & 3Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.56

Nic Baker sacked by Raishein Thomas for a loss of 5 yards to the SIU 42

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 58 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Gavin Williams for 4 yds to the NIU 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.87

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Gavin Williams for 7 yds to the NIU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.47

Rocky Lombardi sacked by Tim Varga for a loss of 6 yards to the NIU 25

2nd & 16Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.51

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 17 yds to the NIU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.47

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Kacper Rutkiewicz for 20 yds to the SIU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Rocky Lombardi run for 8 yds to the SIU 30

2nd & 2Interception0 ydsPPA -4.51

Rocky Lombardi pass intercepted

1st & 10Penalty-7 yds

PENALTY SIU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct 7 yards from SIU15 to SIU08. NO PLAY.

1st & 17Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.14

N. Baker takes a knee

0th & 17End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Antario Brown

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Jalen Johnson

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Trayvon Rudolph

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Tom Foley punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.92

Nic Baker pass complete to Aidan Quinn for 11 yds to the NIU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.78

Nic Baker pass complete to Vinson Davis III for 18 yds to the NIU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Nic Baker pass complete to Vinson Davis III for 4 yds to the NIU 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.29

Nic Baker pass complete to Vinson Davis III for 14 yds to the NIU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Ro Elliott run for 10 yds for a TD (Thomas Burks KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the NIU 26

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Antario Brown run for 8 yds to the NIU 34

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.86

Brock Lampe run for 1 yd to the NIU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the NIU 36

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the NIU 37

3rd & 8Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.64

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Kacper Rutkiewicz for 27 yds to the SIU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Gavin Williams for 7 yds to the SIU 29

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Gavin Williams run for 1 yd to the SIU 28

3rd & 2Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.61

Antario Brown run for 14 yds to the SIU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Antario Brown run for 4 yds to the SIU 10

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Antario Brown run for no gain to the SIU 10

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Kacper Rutkiewicz

4th & 6Field Goal Good+27 yds

Jake Seibert 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ro Elliott run for 5 yds to the SIU 40

2nd & 5Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.72

Nic Baker sacked by Jordan Hansen for a loss of 5 yards to the SIU 35

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Nic Baker pass incomplete to D'Ante' Cox

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 64 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Brock Lampe run for 4 yds to the NIU 5

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Antario Brown run for 3 yds to the NIU 8

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Gavin Williams for 7 yds to the NIU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Davis Patterson for 6 yds to the NIU 21

2nd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.60

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Davis Patterson for 8 yds to the NIU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Gavin Williams run for 9 yds to the NIU 38

2nd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Jalen Johnson for 6 yds to the NIU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.21

Rocky Lombardi sacked by Jeffrey Wells for a loss of 6 yards to the NIU 38

2nd & 16Passing Touchdown+62 ydsPPA +6.58

Kacper Rutkiewicz 62 Yd pass from Rocky Lombardi (Trayvon Rudolph Pass to Rocky Lombardi for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jaelin Benefield run for 4 yds to the SIU 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Nic Baker pass complete to Vinson Davis III for 4 yds to the SIU 33

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Nic Baker pass incomplete to Vinson Davis III

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Kacper Rutkiewicz at the NIU 33

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Billy Dozier run for 1 yd to the NIU 32

2nd & 11Interception0 ydsPPA -0.47

Rocky Lombardi pass intercepted

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Southern Illinois Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SIU 17

1st & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Nic Baker pass incomplete to D'Ante' Cox

2nd & 17Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.10

Nic Baker pass complete to Jaelin Benefield for no gain to the SIU 17

3rd & 17Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.02

Nic Baker pass complete to Vinson Davis III for 6 yds to the SIU 23

4th & 11Punt+18 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 52 yds , Kacper Rutkiewicz returns for 18 yds to the NIU 43

4th & 11Punt+18 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 52 yds , Kacper Rutkiewicz returns for 18 yds to the NIU 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Christion Carter for 15 yds to the NIU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Antario Brown run for no gain to the NIU 48

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Antario Brown run for 5 yds to the SIU 47

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Davis Patterson

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Kacper Rutkiewicz

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.18

Ro Elliott run for 9 yds to the NIU 44

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.23

Nic Baker pass incomplete to Izaiah Hartrup

3rd & 1Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.44

Ro Elliott run for 19 yds to the NIU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Nic Baker pass incomplete to Vinson Davis III

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Nic Baker pass complete to D'Ante' Cox for 1 yd to the NIU 24

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Nic Baker pass incomplete to Aidan Quinn

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+41 yds

Thomas Burks 41 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Trayvon Rudolph

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY NIU Delay Of Game 5 yards from NIU24 to NIU19. NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.23

Rocky Lombardi sacked by Tim Varga for a loss of 11 yards to the NIU 8

3rd & 26Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.01

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Gavin Williams

4th & 26Punt0 yds

Tom Foley punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Dayton Mitchell at the SIU 46

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Ro Elliott run for 1 yd to the SIU 47

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Ro Elliott run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY SIU Delay Of Game 5 yards from SIU50 to SIU45. NO PLAY.

3rd & 11Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.81

Nic Baker sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the SIU 39

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 7 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Jalen Johnson for 9 yds to the SIU 37

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Christion Carter

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.66

Antario Brown run for 4 yds to the SIU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(01:16) No Huddle-Shotgun Lombardi,Rocky pass incomplete short left to Johnson,Jalen PENALTY NIU Holding 10 yards from SIU33 to SIU43. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.63

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Kacper Rutkiewicz for 8 yds to the SIU 35

2nd & 12Penalty-15 yds

Northern Illinois Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Davis Patterson) to the SIU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.77

N. Baker takes a knee

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.31

N. Baker takes a knee

3rd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.12

N. Baker takes a knee

Situational Analysis

Southern Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
55%
20 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
20%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
4th

Northern Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
36%
28 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
20%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
43%
7 plays
50%
8 plays
3rd
86%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play