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← Back to GamesNov 2, 2023Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Troy by 17.4

Home Win Probability

Troy 81%

Market (Bovada)

Troy -6.5

Edge: Troy -6.5 (10.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 2, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
South AlabamaSouth Alabama
700310
TroyTroy
01401428

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-714-714-1021-1028-10
TroySouth Alabama

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TROSATROSATROSATROSATROSATROSATROSASATROSATROSATROSATROSAPUNT34ydPUNT37ydTO14ydTD544ydPUNT39ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT719ydMISS955ydTD468ydPUNT35ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT436ydTD1296ydEND18ydPUNT3-1ydMISS520ydPUNT738ydDOWNS961ydFG1156ydTD1675ydTO30ydTD432ydEND426yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing South Alabama and Troy
StatisticSouth AlabamaTroy
Passing17-2719-27
Pass Yards155271
Rush Yards97129
Total Yards252400
Turnovers11
3rd Down0-105-14
Penalties4-255-45
Possession25:2234:38

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

South Alabama
passing
Giovanni Lopez
17/27, 155 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
La'Damian Webb
15 CAR, 53 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Caullin Lacy
9 REC, 89 YDS
defense
Troy
passing
Gunnar Watson
19/27, 271 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Kimani Vidal
24 CAR, 125 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Chris Lewis
4 REC, 120 YDS, 3 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kimani Vidal run for 4 yds to the TROY 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Robert Cole punt for 54 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

La'Damian Webb run for no gain to the USA 18

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Gio Lopez pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 7 yds to the USA 25

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Gio Lopez run for no gain to the USA 25

4th & 3Punt0 yds

punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jabre Barber at the TROY 40

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA -2.24

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Jabre Barber for 4 yds fumbled, forced by Quentin Wilfawn, recovered by USA Jamall Hickbottom [NHSG] WATSON, Gunnar pass short up the middle complete for 4 yards to BARBER, Jabre, BARBER, Jabre fumbled at TRO44 forced by WILFAWN, Quentin, recovered by USA HICKBOTTOM, Jamall at the TRO44, returned 0 yards to the TRO44, End of Play, clock 11:58 (After review, play stands as called on the field).

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.51

Gio Lopez pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 11 yds to the TROY 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

LOPEZ, Gio pass short to the right incomplete dropped by LACY, Caullin thrown to the TRO28. PENALTY TRO Roughing the Passer on PETTUS, Dell enforced 15 yards from the TRO33 to the TRO18 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

La'Damian Webb run for 9 yds to the TROY 9

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd to the TROY 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

La'Damian Webb run for 2 yds to the TROY 6

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

La'Damian Webb run for 6 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Kimani Vidal run for 1 yd to the TROY 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.27

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Deshon Stoudemire for 8 yds to the TROY 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Robert Cole punt for 34 yds, downed at the USA 32

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Kentrel Bullock run for 1 yd to the USA 33

2nd & 9Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.80

Gio Lopez sacked by O'shai Fletcher for a loss of 3 yards to the USA 30

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Gio Lopez pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jack Martin punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jabre Barber at the TROY 41

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Damien Taylor run for 3 yds to the TROY 44

3rd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.03

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Devonte Ross for 18 yds to the USA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.39

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Devonte Ross for 13 yds to the USA 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -1.63

Devonte Ross run for 2 yds to the USA 23 Troy Penalty, Offensive Holding (Grant Betts) to the USA 33

2nd & 18Penalty0 yds

Troy Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Gunnar Watson) to the USA 40

3rd & 25Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Kimani Vidal run for no gain to the USA 40

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Robert Cole punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Caullin Lacy at the USA 13

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.49

Gio Lopez run for 10 yds to the USA 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Gio Lopez pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.24

Gio Lopez pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 30 yds to the TROY 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

La'Damian Webb run for a loss of 2 yards to the TROY 49

2nd & 12Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.16

Gio Lopez run for 14 yds to the TROY 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

La'Damian Webb run for 2 yds to the TROY 33

2nd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.45

Gio Lopez run for a loss of 3 yards to the TROY 36

3rd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kentrel Bullock run for 4 yds to the TROY 32

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+50 yds

Diego Guajardo 50 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Kimani Vidal for 8 yds to the TROY 40

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.13

Kimani Vidal run for 4 yds to the TROY 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.26

Kimani Vidal run for 9 yds to the USA 47

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+47 ydsPPA +3.11

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Chris Lewis for 47 yds for a TD (Scott Taylor Renfroe KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Gio Lopez pass complete to La'Damian Webb for 2 yds to the USA 27

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

La'Damian Webb run for no gain to the USA 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Gio Lopez pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 3 yds to the USA 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jack Martin punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Gunnar Watson run for 4 yds to the TROY 29

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Damien Taylor run for 1 yd to the TROY 30

3rd & 5Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.60

Gunnar Watson sacked by Quentin Wilfawn for a loss of 8 yards to the TROY 22

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Robert Cole punt for 60 yds, downed at the USA 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.25

Gio Lopez pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 17 yds to the USA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

LOPEZ, Gio pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for PRITCHETT, Jamaal thrown to the TRO32. PENALTY TRO Holding on STEWARD, Reddy enforced 10 yards from the USA35 to the USA45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Gio Lopez run for 4 yds to the USA 49

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Gio Lopez pass complete to Kentrel Bullock for 5 yds to the TROY 46

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Gio Lopez pass incomplete

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jack Martin punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jabre Barber at the TROY 4

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Kimani Vidal run for 4 yds to the TROY 8

2nd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.58

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Deshon Stoudemire for 12 yds to the TROY 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.89

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Deshon Stoudemire for 17 yds to the TROY 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.57

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Chris Lewis for 18 yds to the USA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Asa Martin run for 3 yds to the USA 42

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Devonte Ross for 6 yds to the USA 36

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.72

Kimani Vidal run for 5 yds to the USA 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Kimani Vidal run for 1 yd to the USA 30

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Deshon Stoudemire for 4 yds to the USA 26

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +3.37

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Chris Lewis for 26 yds for a TD (Scott Taylor Renfroe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

La'Damian Webb run for 8 yds to the USA 33

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Zach Long kickoff for 62 yds , return for no gain to the USA 3

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

Marco Lee Jr. run for no gain to the USA 3

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.13

La'Damian Webb run for a loss of 1 yard to the USA 2

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Gio Lopez pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jack Martin punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.67

Kimani Vidal run for 19 yds to the USA 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Kimani Vidal run for 9 yds to the USA 15

2nd & 1Penalty-10 yds

VIDAL, Kimani rush up the middle for a gain of 13 yards to the USA2 (VOISIN, Jaden;JORDAN, Jalen). PENALTY TRO Holding on GRAHAM, Derrick enforced 10 yards from the USA15 to the USA25 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Jabre Barber for 3 yds to the USA 22

3rd & 8Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.97

Gunnar Watson sacked by Trey Kiser for a loss of 6 yards to the USA 28

4th & 14Penalty+5 yds

South Alabama Penalty, Disconcerting Signals enforced (TEAM) to the USA 23

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+40 yds

Scott Taylor Renfroe 40 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

La'Damian Webb run for 7 yds to the USA 30

2nd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.30

Gio Lopez pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 4 yds to the USA 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

La'Damian Webb run for 9 yds to the USA 43

2nd & 1Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.98

La'Damian Webb run for 22 yds to the TROY 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Gio Lopez pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.78

Gio Lopez pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for a loss of 4 yards to the TROY 39

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Gio Lopez pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Jack Martin punt for 33 yds, downed at the TROY 6

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.32

Kimani Vidal run for 10 yds to the TROY 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.65

Gunnar Watson run for 11 yds to the TROY 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.75

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Deshon Stoudemire for 19 yds to the TROY 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kimani Vidal run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.15

Kimani Vidal run for 10 yds to the USA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kimani Vidal run for 2 yds to the USA 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.85

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Kimani Vidal for a loss of 4 yards to the USA 42

3rd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.39

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Ethan Conner for 11 yds to the USA 31

4th & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -2.89

Damien Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the USA 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Gio Lopez pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 1 yd to the USA 34

2nd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.30

Gio Lopez pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 15 yds to the USA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Gio Lopez pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 6 yds to the TROY 45

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Gio Lopez pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Gio Lopez pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 2 yds to the TROY 43

4th & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +2.29

Gio Lopez pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 5 yds to the TROY 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +1.63

Gio Lopez pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 35 yds to the TROY 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

La'Damian Webb run for no gain to the TROY 3

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

South Alabama Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the TROY 8

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Gio Lopez run for 7 yds to the TROY 1

3rd & 1Rush-10 ydsPPA -1.18

La'Damian Webb run for a loss of 10 yards to the TROY 11

4th & 11Field Goal Good+29 yds

Diego Guajardo 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Kimani Vidal run for 6 yds to the TROY 31

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Kimani Vidal run for 3 yds to the TROY 34

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.34

Kimani Vidal run for 6 yds to the TROY 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.34

Kimani Vidal run for 14 yds to the USA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.57

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Ethan Conner for 11 yds to the USA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Kimani Vidal run for 1 yd to the USA 34

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.83

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Deshon Stoudemire for 21 yds to the USA 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kimani Vidal run for 5 yds to the USA 8

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Kimani Vidal run for 2 yds to the USA 6

3rd & 3Penalty+5 yds

South Alabama Penalty, Face mask (5 yards) (Yam Banks) to the USA 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Kimani Vidal run for no gain to the USA 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Gunnar Watson run for no gain to the USA 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Gunnar Watson run for no gain to the USA 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Kimani Vidal run for 1 yd for a TD (Scott Taylor Renfroe KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Gio Lopez pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Gio Lopez pass incomplete

3rd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA +0.13

Gio Lopez pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Damien Taylor run for no gain to the USA 32

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Kimani Vidal run for 5 yds to the USA 27

3rd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.25

Damien Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the USA 29

4th & 7Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +4.67

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Chris Lewis for 29 yds for a TD (Scott Taylor Renfroe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Gio Lopez run for 1 yd to the USA 26

2nd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.42

Gio Lopez run for 9 yds to the USA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Gio Lopez pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 5 yds to the USA 40

2nd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.37

Gio Lopez pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 11 yds to the TROY 49 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

South Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
43%
23 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
45%
11 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
0%
3 plays
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
0%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Troy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
44%
27 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
33%
9 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
80%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play