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← Back to GamesSep 16, 2023Week 3
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Troy by 3.8

Home Win Probability

Troy 59%

Market (Bovada)

Troy -2.5

Edge: Troy -2.5 (1.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 16, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
James MadisonJames Madison
3103016
TroyTroy
070714

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40140-37-67-137-1614-16
TroyJames Madison

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TROJMTROJMTROJMTROJMTROJMTROJMTROJMJMTROJMTROJMTROJMTROJMTROJMTROJMTO419ydPUNT77ydPUNT435ydPUNT39ydDOWNS819ydFG541ydPUNT2-6ydFG51ydTD775ydPUNT635ydPUNT38ydTD952ydPUNT418ydEND32ydFG1171ydPUNT48ydPUNT36ydPUNT32ydPUNT418ydTD863ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT421ydPUNT34ydMISS516ydPUNT524ydDOWNS1047ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing James Madison and Troy
StatisticJames MadisonTroy
Passing18-2625-46
Pass Yards200332
Rush Yards90-12
Total Yards290320
Turnovers01
3rd Down3-163-15
Penalties6-406-40
Possession33:4326:17

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

James Madison
passing
Jordan McCloud
18/26, 200 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Kaelon Black
13 CAR, 78 YDS
receiving
Elijah Sarratt
6 REC, 62 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Troy
passing
Gunnar Watson
25/46, 332 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Kimani Vidal
11 CAR, 27 YDS
receiving
Chris Lewis
4 REC, 93 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Jabre Barber for 12 yds to the TROY 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Deshon Stoudemire for 6 yds to the TROY 43

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.98

Kimani Vidal run for 1 yd to the TROY 44

3rd & 3Interception0 ydsPPA -1.38

Gunnar Watson pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Taji Hudson for 5 yds to the TROY 37

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.71

Kaelon Black run for 1 yd to the TROY 36

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Kaelon Black run for 3 yds to the TROY 33

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.41

Kaelon Black run for 1 yd to the TROY 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ty Son Lawton run for 5 yds to the TROY 27

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)-19 ydsPPA -4.00

run for a loss of 19 yards to the TROY 46 fumbled, recovered by JMU Jordan McCloud

3rd & 24Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.87

Ty Son Lawton run for 11 yds to the TROY 35

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Ryan Hanson punt for 29 yds, downed at the TROY 6

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.75

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Chris Lewis for 30 yds to the TROY 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kimani Vidal run for 5 yds to the TROY 41

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Robert Cole punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Josh Sarratt at the JMU 19

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Troy Penalty, Disconcerting Signals on MCDONALD, Jayden enforced (Jayden McDonald) to the JMU 24

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.45

Kaelon Black run for 3 yds to the JMU 27

2nd & 2Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.07

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for a loss of 1 yard to the JMU 26

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Kaelon Black for 2 yds to the JMU 28

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Ryan Hanson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jabre Barber at the TROY 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.60

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Jabre Barber for 17 yds to the TROY 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Jarris Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the TROY 48

2nd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Deshon Stoudemire for 4 yds to the JMU 48

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.31

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Deshon Stoudemire for 9 yds to the JMU 39 for a 1ST down

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

3rd & 16Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Asa Martin for 6 yds to the JMU 39

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.10

Gunnar Watson sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the JMU 45

4th & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.05

Gunnar Watson sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the JMU 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +1.37

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Reggie Brown for 36 yds to the TROY 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jordan McCloud run for 5 yds to the TROY 10

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+28 yds

Camden Wise 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.19

Kimani Vidal run for a loss of 1 yard to the TROY 11

3rd & 11Penalty-5 yds

WATSON, Gunnar pass short to the left complete for 13 yards to ROSS, Devonte caught at the TRO12 and advanced to the TRO24 (REID, Que). PENALTY TRO Illegal Forward Pass on WATSON, Gunnar enforced 5 yards from the TRO11 to the TRO6, penalty results in a loss of down [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Robert Cole punt for 26 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Latrele Palmer run for 1 yd to the TROY 18

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.27

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Latrele Palmer for 13 yds to the TROY 19 for a 1ST down

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+36 yds

Camden Wise 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Jabre Barber for 15 yds to the TROY 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.91

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Devonte Ross for 29 yds to the JMU 31 for a 1ST down

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

3rd & 5Penalty0 yds

WATSON, Gunnar pass deep to the right incomplete intended for LEWIS, Chris thrown to the JMU2. PENALTY JMU Pass Interference on LOGAN, Chauncey enforced half the distance from the goal, 10 yards to the JMU16 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Devonte Ross for 5 yds to the JMU 26

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Kimani Vidal run for 2 yds to the JMU 14

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +3.10

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Devonte Ross for 14 yds for a TD (Scott Taylor Renfroe KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.84

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Kaelon Black for 34 yds to the TROY 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Ty Son Lawton run for 4 yds to the TROY 37

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 8 yds to the TROY 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.81

Ty Son Lawton run for a loss of 2 yards to the TROY 31

2nd & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Kaelon Black for 4 yds to the TROY 27

3rd & 8Sack-13 ydsPPA -3.12

Jordan McCloud sacked by Javon Solomon for a loss of 13 yards to the TROY 40

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Ryan Hanson punt for 35 yds, downed at the TROY 5

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Kimani Vidal run for 4 yds to the TROY 9

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Devonte Ross for 4 yds to the TROY 13

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Robert Cole punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.30

Latrele Palmer run for a loss of 2 yards to the JMU 46

3rd & 12Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.58

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 22 yds to the TROY 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Ty Son Lawton run for 7 yds to the TROY 25

2nd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -0.10

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Reggie Brown for 6 yds to the TROY 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.28

Ty Son Lawton run for 11 yds to the TROY 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.48

Ty Son Lawton run for a loss of 2 yards to the TROY 10

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Kaelon Black run for 1 yd to the TROY 9

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +3.01

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 9 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.32

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Deshon Stoudemire for 26 yds to the JMU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.30

Gunnar Watson sacked by James Carpenter for a loss of 8 yards to the TROY 43

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Robert Cole punt for 56 yds, downed at the JMU 1

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Jordan McCloud run for 1 yd to the JMU 2

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.10

Jordan McCloud run for 1 yd to the JMU 3

3rd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.06

Jordan McCloud run for no gain to the JMU 3

0th & 8End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Kaelon Black run for 1 yd to the JMU 16

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.38

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Kyi Wright for 8 yds to the JMU 24

3rd & 1Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.93

Kaelon Black run for 28 yds to the TROY 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.75

Ty Son Lawton run for 12 yds to the TROY 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Ty Son Lawton run for 1 yd to the TROY 35

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.91

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Reggie Brown for 13 yds to the TROY 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

Troy Penalty, Disconcerting Signals on STRINGER, Jordan enforced (Jordan Stringer) to the TROY 17

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Kaelon Black run for 1 yd to the TROY 16

3rd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Reggie Brown for 2 yds to the TROY 14

4th & 2Field Goal Good+32 yds

Camden Wise 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.81

Kimani Vidal run for 11 yds to the TROY 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Jabre Barber for 3 yds to the TROY 35

2nd & 7Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.24

Gunnar Watson sacked by Jalen Green for a loss of 6 yards to the TROY 29

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Robert Cole punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Josh Sarratt at the JMU 22

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.99

Jordan McCloud sacked by Richard Jibunor for a loss of 7 yards to the JMU 15

2nd & 17Rush0 ydsPPA -0.09

Ty Son Lawton run for no gain to the JMU 15

3rd & 17Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.23

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Latrele Palmer for 13 yds to the JMU 28

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ryan Hanson punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jabre Barber at the TROY 27

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

VIDAL, Kimani rush up the middle for a gain of 14 yards to the TRO41 (REID, Que;HENDRICK, Trent). PENALTY TRO Holding on RUSS, Eli enforced 10 yards from the TRO27 to the TRO17 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Jordan Lovett run for 6 yds to the TROY 23

2nd & 14Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Devonte Ross for 6 yds to the TROY 29

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Robert Cole punt for 60 yds, downed at the JMU 11

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

James Madison Penalty, Offensive Holding (Reggie Brown) to the JMU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Ty Son Lawton run for 2 yds to the JMU 27

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Ty Son Lawton run for 2 yds to the JMU 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Ryan Hanson punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.76

Kimani Vidal run for a loss of 1 yard to the TROY 36

3rd & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.78

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Devonte Ross for 11 yds to the TROY 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Deshon Stoudemire for 2 yds to the TROY 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Kimani Vidal for 5 yds to the JMU 46

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

4th & 3Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.10

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Chris Lewis for 22 yds to the JMU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Jabre Barber for 24 yds for a TD (Scott Taylor Renfroe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Kaelon Black run for 3 yds to the JMU 20

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Kaelon Black for 2 yds to the JMU 22

3rd & 5Penalty0 yds

James Madison Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Jordan McCloud) to the JMU 16

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Ryan Hanson punt for 39 yds , returns for no gain to the TROY 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.05

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Chris Lewis for 25 yds to the JMU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Kimani Vidal run for no gain to the JMU 40

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.57

Gunnar Watson sacked by Jalen Green and Jamree Kromah for a loss of 4 yards to the JMU 44

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Robert Cole punt for 38 yds, downed at the JMU 6

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 7 yds to the JMU 13

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Kaelon Black run for 2 yds to the JMU 15

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Kaelon Black run for no gain to the JMU 15

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

James Madison Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the JMU 10

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Ryan Hanson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jabre Barber at the JMU 47

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Kimani Vidal run for 6 yds to the JMU 41

2nd & 4Penalty+10 yds

WATSON, Gunnar pass deep to the right incomplete intended for LEWIS, Chris thrown to the JMU20. PENALTY JMU Holding on LOGAN, Chauncey enforced 10 yards from the JMU41 to the JMU31 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.63

Kimani Vidal run for a loss of 6 yards to the JMU 37

2nd & 16Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Kimani Vidal run for 6 yds to the JMU 31

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+49 yds

Scott Taylor Renfroe 49 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Ty Son Lawton run for 6 yds to the JMU 37

2nd & 4Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.68

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 17 yds to the TROY 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.49

Ty Son Lawton run for a loss of 2 yards to the TROY 48

2nd & 12Penalty-5 yds

James Madison Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the JMU 47

2nd & 17Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.85

Jordan McCloud run for a loss of 2 yards to the JMU 45

3rd & 19Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.60

Kaelon Black run for 10 yds to the TROY 45

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Ryan Hanson punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jabre Barber at the TROY 10

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.35

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Chris Lewis for 16 yds to the TROY 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.64

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Jabre Barber for 18 yds to the TROY 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.28

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Landon Parker for 18 yds to the JMU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Deshon Stoudemire for 5 yds to the JMU 33

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

3rd & 5Penalty0 yds

Troy Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Gunnar Watson) to the JMU 43

4th & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

[NHSG] Kneel down by MCCLOUD, Jordan at JMU41 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

James Madison

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
36%
25 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
40%
10 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Troy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
57%
28 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
4 plays
11%
9 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
29%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play