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← Back to GamesSep 2, 2023Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Troy by 17.9

Home Win Probability

Troy 84%

Market (Bovada)

Troy -26

Edge: Stephen F. Austin +26 (8.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 2, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Stephen F. Austin
31701030
TroyTroy
211010748

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428425614-321-324-1024-1724-2034-2041-2041-2348-2348-30
TroyStephen F. Austin

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TROSFASFATROSFATROSFATROSFATROTROSFATROSFASFATROSFATROSFASFATROSFATROSFATROTD531ydTD10ydFG1249ydTD275ydDOWNS522ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT38ydFG559ydTD980ydTD412ydTO1046ydFG834ydTD375ydEND1-2ydPUNT617ydFG969ydPUNT30ydTD763ydPUNT31ydFG4-4ydTO625ydDOWNS41ydTD854ydTD367ydEND445yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Stephen F. Austin and Troy
StatisticStephen F. AustinTroy
Passing18-3114-22
Pass Yards136198
Rush Yards104342
Total Yards240540
Turnovers14
3rd Down4-137-12
Penalties3-355-43
Possession27:4632:14

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Stephen F. Austin
passing
Brian Maurer
18/31, 136 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Anthony Williams
9 CAR, 55 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Lawton Rikel
3 REC, 40 YDS
defense
Troy
passing
Gunnar Watson
14/22, 198 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Kimani Vidal
25 CAR, 248 YDS
receiving
Kimani Vidal
2 REC, 54 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Kimani Vidal run for 2 yds to the SFA 29

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Kimani Vidal run for 4 yds to the SFA 25

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.67

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Kimani Vidal for 10 yds to the SFA 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Ethan Conner for 5 yds to the SFA 10

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.48

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Ethan Conner for 10 yds for a TD (Scott Taylor Renfroe KICK)

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown+45 ydsPPA -8.57

Reddy Steward 45 Yd Interception Return (Scott Taylor Renfroe Kick)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jerrell Wimbley run for 6 yds to the SFA 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.60

Brian Mauer pass complete to Ty Love for 5 yds to the SFA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Brian Mauer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Jerrell Wimbley run for 3 yds to the SFA 39

3rd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.27

Brian Mauer pass complete to Keshon Williams for 7 yds to the SFA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.89

Jerrell Wimbley run for 12 yds to the TROY 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.67

Brian Mauer pass complete to Lawton Rikel for 8 yds to the TROY 34

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Anthony Williams run for 3 yds to the TROY 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Anthony Williams run for 2 yds to the TROY 29

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Anthony Williams run for 3 yds to the TROY 26

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Brian Mauer pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+36 yds

Chris Campos 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+59 ydsPPA +3.51

Kimani Vidal run for 59 yds to the SFA 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Jabre Barber for 16 yds for a TD (Scott Taylor Renfroe KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Brian Mauer pass complete to Josh Thompson for 13 yds to the SFA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Jerrell Wimbley run for 1 yd to the SFA 39

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Brian Mauer pass complete to Keshon Williams for 2 yds to the SFA 41

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Brian Mauer pass complete to Josh Thompson for 6 yds to the SFA 47

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Jerrell Wimbley run for no gain to the SFA 47

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

Kimani Vidal run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFA 49

2nd & 12Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.29

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Asa Martin for a loss of 2 yards to the TROY 49

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Robert Cole punt for 51 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Anthony Williams run for 1 yd to the SFA 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Brian Mauer pass complete to Khi'Yon Wafer for 8 yds to the SFA 29

3rd & 1Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Brian Mauer pass complete to Kylon Harris for a loss of 1 yard to the SFA 28

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Max Quick punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Rush+55 ydsPPA +3.21

Kimani Vidal run for 55 yds to the SFA 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Kimani Vidal run for 1 yd to the SFA 15

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Gunnar Watson run for 3 yds to the SFA 12

4th & 6Field Goal Good+29 yds

Scott Taylor Renfroe 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.24

Brian Mauer pass complete to Khi'Yon Wafer for 16 yds to the SFA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Brian Mauer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Troy Penalty, Personal Foul (Javon Solomon) to the TROY 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.68

Jerrell Wimbley run for 12 yds to the TROY 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jerrell Wimbley run for 4 yds to the TROY 32

2nd & 6Penalty+15 yds

MAUER, Brian pass deep to the left incomplete intended for WAFER, Khi'yon thrown to the TRO1. PENALTY TRO Pass Interference on STEWARD, Reddy enforced 15 yards to the TRO17 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.34

Brian Mauer pass complete to Khi'Yon Wafer for no gain to the TROY 17

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Anthony Williams run for 2 yds to the TROY 15

3rd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.24

Anthony Williams run for 10 yds to the TROY 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Penalty+3 yds

Troy Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Reddy Steward) to the TROY 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Jerrell Wimbley run for 2 yds for a TD (Chris Campos KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Kimani Vidal run for a loss of 2 yards to the TROY 23

2nd & 12Penalty+15 yds

Stephen F. Austin Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the TROY 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Return Touchdown+37 ydsPPA -8.20

Amad Murray 37 Yd Fumble Return (Chris Campos Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.53

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Damien Taylor for no gain to the TROY 19

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.07

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Ethan Conner for 17 yds to the TROY 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Troy Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TROY 31

1st & 15Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.13

Asa Martin run for 13 yds to the TROY 44

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.36

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.54

Kimani Vidal run for 5 yds to the TROY 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.78

Kimani Vidal run for 12 yds to the SFA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Kimani Vidal run for 6 yds to the SFA 33

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Kimani Vidal run for 1 yd to the SFA 32

3rd & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-3 ydsPPA -3.50

Kimani Vidal run for a loss of 3 yards to the SFA 35 Kimani Vidal fumbled, recovered by SFA Luke Watson

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Brian Mauer pass complete to Lawton Rikel for 8 yds to the SFA 43

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

Stephen F. Austin Penalty, False Start (Anthony Williams) to the SFA 38

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Jerrell Wimbley run for 2 yds to the SFA 40

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.10

Jerrell Wimbley run for 7 yds to the SFA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.04

Brian Mauer pass complete to Josh Thompson for 16 yds to the TROY 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Brian Mauer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Brian Mauer pass complete to Ty Love for 6 yds to the TROY 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Brian Mauer pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+48 yds

Chris Campos 48 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Kimani Vidal run for 12 yds to the TROY 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +2.45

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Kimani Vidal for 44 yds to the SFA 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Ethan Conner for 19 yds for a TD (Scott Taylor Renfroe KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

[NHSG] Kneel down by MAUER, Brian at SFA20 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jerrell Wimbley run for 1 yd to the SFA 26

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Jerrell Wimbley run for 2 yds to the SFA 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.08

Brian Mauer pass complete to Jerrell Wimbley for 11 yds to the SFA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Brian Mauer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Brian Mauer pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Brian Mauer pass complete to Kylon Harris for 3 yds to the SFA 42

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Max Quick punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jabre Barber at the TROY 13

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kimani Vidal run for 5 yds to the TROY 18

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Kimani Vidal run for 4 yds to the TROY 22

3rd & 1Rush+43 ydsPPA +3.71

Kimani Vidal run for 43 yds to the SFA 35 for a 1ST down

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Asa Martin run for 1 yd to the SFA 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Asa Martin run for 8 yds to the SFA 17

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.75

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Jabre Barber for 9 yds to the SFA 26

3rd & 2Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.65

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Jordan Lovett for a loss of 1 yard to the SFA 18

4th & 3Field Goal Good+36 yds

Scott Taylor Renfroe 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Anthony Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the SFA 21 Anthony Williams fumbled, recovered by SFA

2nd & 14Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.22

Brian Mauer pass complete to Khi'Yon Wafer for a loss of 2 yards to the SFA 19

3rd & 16Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Brian Mauer pass complete to Jerrell Wimbley for 6 yds to the SFA 25

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Max Quick punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jabre Barber at the TROY 37

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Kimani Vidal run for 9 yds to the TROY 46

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Kimani Vidal run for 2 yds to the TROY 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Kimani Vidal run for 4 yds to the SFA 48

2nd & 6Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.59

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Peyton Higgins for 32 yds to the SFA 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Kimani Vidal run for 3 yds to the SFA 13

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +3.01

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Devonte Ross for 13 yds for a TD (Scott Taylor Renfroe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Jerrell Wimbley run for 1 yd to the SFA 28

2nd & 9Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.61

Khi'Yon Wafer run for a loss of 3 yards to the SFA 25

3rd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Brian Mauer run for 3 yds to the SFA 28

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Brian Mauer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brian Mauer pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.79

Jerrell Wimbley run for a loss of 4 yards to the TROY 32

4th & 14Field Goal Good+49 yds

Chris Campos 49 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.08

Kimani Vidal run for 9 yds to the TROY 28

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Kimani Vidal run for 2 yds to the TROY 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Kimani Vidal run for 10 yds to the TROY 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Kimani Vidal run for 4 yds to the TROY 44

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Jarris Williams run for no gain to the TROY 44

3rd & 6Interception0 ydsPPA -0.98

Gunnar Watson pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Jerrell Wimbley run for 1 yd to the TROY 46

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Brian Mauer pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Brian Mauer pass incomplete

4th & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Brian Mauer pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Jordan Lovett run for 3 yds to the TROY 49

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Jordan Lovett run for 6 yds to the SFA 45

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.94

Jordan Lovett run for 3 yds to the SFA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Jordan Lovett run for 4 yds to the SFA 38

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Jordan Lovett run for 3 yds to the SFA 35

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.92

Jordan Lovett run for 6 yds to the SFA 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.58

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Landon Parker for 27 yds to the SFA 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Jarris Williams run for 2 yds for a TD (Scott Taylor Renfroe KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.08

Brian Mauer pass complete to Lawton Rikel for 24 yds to the TROY 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.69

Anthony Williams run for 20 yds to the TROY 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Troy Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the TROY 18

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.00

Anthony Williams run for 18 yds for a TD (Chris Campos KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Jarris Williams run for 12 yds to the TROY 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Jarris Williams run for 8 yds to the TROY 45

2nd & 2Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.20

Jarris Williams run for 25 yds to the SFA 30 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Stephen F. Austin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
38%
26 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
17%
12 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
57%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Troy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
62%
29 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
17%
6 plays
33%
6 plays
17%
6 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
67%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th