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← Back to GamesSep 9, 2023Week 2
Wagner
0
-Final
24
NavyNavy

House Prediction

Model Margin

Navy by 24.3

Home Win Probability

Navy 91%

Market (DraftKings)

Navy -42

Edge: Wagner +42 (17.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 9, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Wagner
00000
NavyNavy
7100724

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-010-017-024-0
NavyWagner

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WAGNAVWAGNAVWAGNAVWAGNAVWAGNAVWAGNAVWAGNAVWAGNAVWAGNAVWAGNAVWAGNAVWAGNAVWAGNAVPUNT517ydTD777ydPUNT610ydMISS516ydPUNT32ydPUNT3-9ydTO615ydPUNT35ydPUNT34ydFG1257ydTO737ydTD580ydEND1-1ydMISS961ydPUNT829ydPUNT37ydPUNT1241ydPUNT520ydDOWNS718ydTD253ydPUNT31ydDOWNS5-2ydPUNT32ydPUNT34ydPUNT32ydEND319yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Wagner and Navy
StatisticWagnerNavy
Passing18-3511-18
Pass Yards143163
Rush Yards84245
Total Yards227408
Turnovers20
3rd Down6-174-13
Penalties9-654-35
Possession32:0927:51

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Wagner
passing
Damien Mazil
11/23, 100 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Zachary Palmer-Smith
13 CAR, 52 YDS
receiving
Mark Didio
8 REC, 57 YDS
defense
Navy
passing
Tai Lavatai
8/13, 161 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Eli Heidenreich
4 CAR, 66 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Anton Hall Jr.
1 REC, 45 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 9Penalty-5 yds

Wagner Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WAG 14

1st & 14Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.39

Zachary Palmer-Smith run for 8 yds to the WAG 22

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.05

Steven Krajewski pass complete to Jr. Mark Didio for 10 yds to the WAG 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Wagner Penalty, False Start (Rickey Spruill) to the WAG 27

1st & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Steven Krajewski pass complete to Rickey Spruill for 4 yds to the WAG 31

2nd & 11Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Steven Krajewski pass complete to Jr. Mark Didio for 2 yds to the WAG 33

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Wagner Penalty, False Start (Guenson Alexis) to the WAG 28

3rd & 14Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.17

Steven Krajewski run for 8 yds to the WAG 36

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Bailey Marzola punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Amin Hassan at the NAVY 23

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Tai Lavatai run for 2 yds to the NAVY 25

2nd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.67

Brandon Chatman run for 13 yds to the NAVY 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Amin Hassan run for 6 yds to the NAVY 44

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.63

Brandon Chatman run for 5 yds to the NAVY 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +1.87

Tai Lavatai pass complete to Anton Hall Jr. for 45 yds to the WAG 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Daba Fofana run for 3 yds to the WAG 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Daba Fofana run for 3 yds for a TD (Evan Warren KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Zachary Palmer-Smith run for 3 yds to the WAG 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Steven Krajewski pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.79

Steven Krajewski pass complete to Jr. Mark Didio for 8 yds to the WAG 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Steven Krajewski pass complete to Jr. Mark Didio for 4 yds to the WAG 40

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Steven Krajewski pass incomplete

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Wagner Penalty, False Start (Guenson Alexis) to the WAG 35

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Steven Krajewski pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Bailey Marzola punt for 13 yds

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.71

Tyler Bradley run for 13 yds to the WAG 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.69

Blake Horvath pass complete to Brandon Chatman for no gain to the WAG 35

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Brandon Chatman run for 2 yds to the WAG 33

3rd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Blake Horvath pass complete to Brandon Chatman for 1 yd to the WAG 32

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+49 yds

Evan Warren 49 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Zachary Palmer-Smith run for 3 yds to the WAG 35

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.88

Zachary Palmer-Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the WAG 34

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Steven Krajewski pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Bailey Marzola punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Amin Hassan at the NAVY 27

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Daba Fofana run for 2 yds to the NAVY 29

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Blake Horvath pass incomplete

3rd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)-11 ydsPPA -0.43

Blake Horvath run for a loss of 11 yards to the NAVY 18 Blake Horvath fumbled, recovered by NAVY Blake Horvath

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 36 yds, downed at the NAVY 39

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Steven Krajewski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Steven Krajewski pass complete to Jr. Mark Didio for 8 yds to the NAVY 31

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.36

Rickey Spruill run for a loss of 2 yards to the NAVY 33

4th & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.96

Steven Krajewski pass complete to Jr. Mark Didio for 7 yds to the NAVY 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Damien Mazil pass complete to Trevor Shorter for 6 yds to the NAVY 20

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-4 ydsPPA -4.48

Rickey Spruill run for a loss of 4 yards to the NAVY 24 Rickey Spruill fumbled, recovered by NAVY Jacob Busic

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Alex Tecza run for 2 yds to the NAVY 26

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Amin Hassan run for 3 yds to the NAVY 29

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Tai Lavatai run for no gain to the NAVY 29

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Zachary Palmer-Smith run for 2 yds to the WAG 25

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Damien Mazil run for 2 yds to the WAG 27

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Damien Mazil pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Bailey Marzola punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Amin Hassan at the NAVY 33

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Tai Lavatai run for 11 yds to the NAVY 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tai Lavatai run for 4 yds to the NAVY 48

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Tai Lavatai run for 4 yds to the WAG 48

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.46

Tai Lavatai run for 7 yds to the WAG 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Daba Fofana run for 6 yds to the WAG 35

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Tai Lavatai run for 3 yds to the WAG 32

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.50

Daba Fofana run for 5 yds to the WAG 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.17

Eli Heidenreich run for 11 yds to the WAG 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Daba Fofana run for 2 yds to the WAG 14

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Tai Lavatai run for 3 yds to the WAG 11

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Daba Fofana run for 1 yd to the WAG 10

4th & 4Field Goal Good+27 yds

Evan Warren 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Zachary Palmer-Smith run for 10 yds to the WAG 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.32

Zachary Palmer-Smith run for 14 yds to the WAG 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Damien Mazil pass complete to Guenson Alexis for 7 yds to the NAVY 44

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Damien Mazil pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.38

Damien Mazil pass complete to Jr. Mark Didio for 6 yds to the NAVY 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Damien Mazil pass incomplete

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.12

Damien Mazil pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.91

Tai Lavatai pass complete to Nathan Kent for 35 yds to the WAG 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.50

Tai Lavatai pass complete to Nathan Kent for 10 yds to the WAG 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.34

Tai Lavatai pass complete to Alex Tecza for 14 yds to the WAG 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Tai Lavatai pass complete to Camari Williams for 9 yds to the WAG 12

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.00

Tai Lavatai pass complete to Camari Williams for 12 yds for a TD (Evan Warren KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Evan Warren kickoff for 34 yds , return for no gain to the WAG 31

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Kneel down by WAG at WAG30 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tai Lavatai pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Tai Lavatai run for 7 yds to the NAVY 32

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.42

Blake Horvath run for 5 yds to the NAVY 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.21

Tai Lavatai pass complete to Cody Howard for 32 yds to the WAG 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.24

Daba Fofana run for 12 yds to the WAG 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Tai Lavatai pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Eli Heidenreich run for 5 yds to the WAG 14

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Tai Lavatai pass incomplete

4th & 5Blocked Field Goal+31 yds

Evan Warren 31 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Zachary Palmer-Smith run for 1 yd to the WAG 31

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Zachary Palmer-Smith run for no gain to the WAG 31

3rd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.48

Damien Mazil pass complete to Jr. Mark Didio for 12 yds to the WAG 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Damien Mazil pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.21

Damien Mazil pass complete to Rickey Spruill for 13 yds to the NAVY 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Rickey Spruill run for 3 yds to the NAVY 41

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Damien Mazil pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Damien Mazil pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Bailey Marzola punt for 21 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Tai Lavatai run for 4 yds to the NAVY 24

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.58

Tai Lavatai run for a loss of 1 yard to the NAVY 23

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Tai Lavatai pass complete to Jayden Umbarger for 4 yds to the NAVY 27

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Jr. Mark Didio at the WAG 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Damien Mazil pass complete to Jeremiah Colclough for 7 yds to the WAG 29

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Wagner Penalty, False Start (Mateusz Zilienski) to the WAG 24

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Zachary Palmer-Smith run for 7 yds to the WAG 31

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.77

Zachary Palmer-Smith run for 1 yd to the WAG 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Damien Mazil pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Rickey Spruill run for 3 yds to the WAG 35

3rd & 7Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.57

Damien Mazil pass complete to Jaylen Bonelli for 27 yds to the NAVY 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Rickey Spruill run for 8 yds to the NAVY 30

2nd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -0.19

Damien Mazil pass complete to Jeremiah Colclough for 6 yds to the NAVY 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Wagner Penalty, False Start (Mateo Lucero) to the NAVY 29

1st & 15Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.48

Damien Mazil sacked by Jacob Busic for a loss of 5 yards to the NAVY 34

2nd & 20Penalty-10 yds

Wagner Penalty, Offensive Holding (Prinz Guitian) to the NAVY 41

2nd & 27Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Zachary Palmer-Smith run for no gain to the NAVY 41

3rd & 27Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Zachary Palmer-Smith run for 4 yds to the NAVY 37

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Bailey Marzola punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Tai Lavatai run for 2 yds to the NAVY 4

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.48

Tai Lavatai run for 10 yds to the NAVY 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Tai Lavatai run for 1 yd to the NAVY 15

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Tai Lavatai run for 3 yds to the NAVY 18

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Eli Heidenreich run for 4 yds to the NAVY 22

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jr. Mark Didio at the WAG 35

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Damien Mazil pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Damien Mazil pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.58

Damien Mazil pass complete to Guenson Alexis for 10 yds to the WAG 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Rickey Spruill run for 8 yds to the NAVY 47

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.99

Rickey Spruill run for 1 yd to the NAVY 46

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Damien Mazil pass incomplete

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.48

Rickey Spruill run for a loss of 1 yard to the NAVY 47

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Brandon Chatman run for 7 yds to the WAG 46

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +3.46

Eli Heidenreich run for 46 yds for a TD (Evan Warren KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

MAZIL, Damien scrambles up the middle for a gain of 8 yards to the WAG33 (MCDONALD, Xavier;HARBOUR, Will). PENALTY WAG Holding on ANDERSON, Brady enforced 10 yards from the WAG25 to the WAG15 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Damien Mazil pass complete to Jeff Nyamekye for 4 yds to the WAG 19

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Damien Mazil pass incomplete

3rd & 16Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.05

Rickey Spruill run for 7 yds to the WAG 26

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Bailey Marzola punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Navy Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the WAG 36

1st & 16Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.02

Alex Tecza run for a loss of 1 yard to the WAG 37

2nd & 17Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Tai Lavatai run for 5 yds to the WAG 32

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Tai Lavatai pass incomplete

4th & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.45

Tai Lavatai pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Sekou Kamau run for no gain to the WAG 32

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Sekou Kamau run for no gain to the WAG 32

3rd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Damien Mazil pass complete to Sekou Kamau for 2 yds to the WAG 34

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Bailey Marzola punt for 41 yds, downed at the NAVY 40

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Braxton Woodson run for 4 yds to the NAVY 44

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Braxton Woodson pass incomplete

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Navy Penalty, False Start (Joshua Pena) to the NAVY 39

3rd & 11Penalty-5 yds

Navy Penalty, False Start (Alex Tecza) to the NAVY 34

3rd & 16Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.40

Braxton Woodson run for 10 yds to the NAVY 44

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jr. Mark Didio at the WAG 12

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

Piotr Partyla run for no gain to the WAG 12

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.14

Piotr Partyla run for 1 yd to the WAG 13

3rd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.07

Piotr Partyla run for 1 yd to the WAG 14

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Bailey Marzola punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Alex Tecza run for 7 yds to the NAVY 48

2nd & 3Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -1.03

Braxton Woodson pass complete to Xavier Arline for 1 yd to the NAVY 49

3rd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.80

Braxton Woodson run for 11 yds to the WAG 40 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Wagner

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
21 plays
25%
4 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
23%
13 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
50%
8 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Navy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
54%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
75%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
44%
9 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play