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← Back to GamesNov 25, 2023Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

East Carolina by 12.1

Home Win Probability

East Carolina 75%

Market (Bovada)

East Carolina -3

Edge: East Carolina -3 (9.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 25, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
TulsaTulsa
1376329
East CarolinaEast Carolina
14100327

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-614-1321-2024-2024-2327-2627-29
East CarolinaTulsa

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TULECTULECTULTULECTULECTULECECTULECTULECTULECTULECTULECTULTD475ydTD675ydMISS947ydTD140ydPUNT34ydTD426ydPUNT3-5ydTD645ydTD978ydTO1132ydFG760ydPUNT37ydFG871ydTO516ydFG867ydFG1166ydPUNT34ydTO536ydPUNT34ydPUNT625ydDOWNS47ydTO1-9ydFG1148yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Tulsa and East Carolina
StatisticTulsaEast Carolina
Passing23-3712-18
Pass Yards297184
Rush Yards149225
Total Yards446409
Turnovers15
3rd Down7-153-10
Penalties9-866-65
Possession30:5029:10

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Tulsa
passing
Kirk Francis
23/37, 297 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Anthony Watkins
18 CAR, 106 YDS
receiving
Kamdyn Benjamin
6 REC, 143 YDS, 1 TD
defense
East Carolina
passing
Alex Flinn
12/18, 184 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Rahjai Harris
21 CAR, 145 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Chase Sowell
5 REC, 108 YDS
defense
BJ Davis
1.5 TFL

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+46 ydsPPA +3.29

Anthony Watkins run for 46 yds to the ECU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Kirk Francis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.12

Anthony Watkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECU 31

3rd & 12Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +4.44

Kirk Francis pass complete to Kamdyn Benjamin for 31 yds for a TD (Chase Meyer PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

East Carolina Penalty, False Start (Parker Moorer) to the ECU 20

1st & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Alex Flinn run for 8 yds to the ECU 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.53

Alex Flinn pass complete to Chase Sowell for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Rahjai Harris run for 5 yds to the TLSA 45

2nd & 5Rush+41 ydsPPA +2.05

Rahjai Harris run for 41 yds to the TLSA 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Rahjai Harris run for no gain to the TLSA 4

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Alex Flinn pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 4 yds for a TD (Andrew Conrad KICK)

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.98

Anthony Watkins run for 22 yds to the TLSA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Anthony Watkins run for 1 yd to the TLSA 48

2nd & 9Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.19

Kirk Francis pass complete to Luke McGary for 22 yds to the ECU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Bill Jackson run for 2 yds to the ECU 28

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.52

Kirk Francis pass complete to Carl Chester for 10 yds to the ECU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Bill Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECU 19

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Kirk Francis pass incomplete

3rd & 11Penalty-12 yds

FRANCIS, Kirk scrambles up the middle for a gain of 15 yards to the ECU4, End of Play. PENALTY TLS Unnecessary Roughness on BRAY, Bryce enforced 12 yards from the ECU19 to the ECU31 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 23Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Anthony Watkins run for 3 yds to the ECU 28

4th & 20Blocked Field Goal+46 yds

Chase Meyer 46 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

FLINN, Alex pass deep up the middle complete for 35 yards to RILES, Desirrio caught at the TLS13 and advanced to the TLS5 (WILLIAMS, Kanion). PENALTY ECU Holding on SACRA, Jacob enforced 10 yards from the TLS40 to the ECU50 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rushing Touchdown+50 ydsPPA +5.17

Rahjai Harris run for 50 yds for a TD (Andrew Conrad KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Laith Marjan kickoff for 57 yds , Jordan Ford return for 14 yds to the TLSA 22

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

Jordan Ford run for a loss of 1 yard to the TLSA 21

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Kirk Francis pass complete to Jordan Ford for 5 yds to the TLSA 26

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Kirk Francis pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Angus Davies punt for 52 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Anthony Watkins run for 2 yds to the ECU 24

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.41

Kirk Francis pass complete to Carl Chester for 9 yds to the ECU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Kirk Francis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.88

Kirk Francis pass complete to Luke McGary for 15 yds for a TD (Chase Meyer KICK)

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.22

Alex Flinn sacked by Julien Simon for a loss of 4 yards to the ECU 25

2nd & 14Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.26

Rahjai Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECU 24

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Alex Flinn pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Luke Larsen punt for 21 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Anthony Watkins run for 1 yd to the ECU 44

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.31

Kirk Francis pass complete to Anthony Watkins for 10 yds to the ECU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Anthony Watkins run for no gain to the ECU 34

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Kirk Francis pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.55

Kirk Francis pass complete to Kamdyn Benjamin for 33 yds to the ECU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Bill Jackson run for 1 yd for a TD (Chase Meyer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.12

Javious Bond run for 14 yds to the ECU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Alex Flinn pass complete to Chase Sowell for 10 yds to the ECU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Alex Flinn pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Alex Flinn run for 5 yds to the TLSA 49

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Alex Flinn pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 4 yds to the TLSA 45

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.08

Rahjai Harris run for 2 yds to the TLSA 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Jhari Patterson run for 6 yds to the TLSA 37

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.19

Alex Flinn run for 5 yds to the TLSA 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +2.87

Alex Flinn pass complete to Jsi Hatfield for 32 yds for a TD (Andrew Conrad KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kirk Francis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Kirk Francis pass complete to Nick Rempert for 7 yds to the TLSA 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.32

Kirk Francis pass complete to Nick Rempert for 4 yds to the TLSA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Anthony Watkins run for 11 yds to the TLSA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.74

Kirk Francis pass complete to Carl Chester for 10 yds to the ECU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Anthony Watkins run for 2 yds to the ECU 41

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

Tulsa Penalty, Encroachment on CANNADY, Jehlen enforced (-5 Yards) to the ECU 46

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Kirk Francis pass incomplete

3rd & 13Penalty-15 yds

Tulsa Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the ECU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Kirk Francis pass complete to Ethan Hall for 1 yd to the ECU 43

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Bill Jackson run for no gain to the ECU 43

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.77

Kirk Francis pass intercepted Shavon Revel return for no gain to the ECU 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.10

Alex Flinn pass complete to Rahjai Harris for 12 yds to the ECU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Alex Flinn run for 4 yds to the ECU 44

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

East Carolina Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ECU 39

2nd & 11Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +3.46

Alex Flinn pass complete to Chase Sowell for 41 yds to the TLSA 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Alex Flinn run for 4 yds to the TLSA 16

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Rahjai Harris run for 4 yds to the TLSA 12

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Rahjai Harris run for no gain to the TLSA 12

4th & 2Field Goal Good+29 yds

Andrew Conrad 29 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Rahjai Harris run for 7 yds to the ECU 31

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Rahjai Harris run for no gain to the ECU 31

3rd & 3Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.49

Alex Flinn pass complete to Jhari Patterson for no gain to the ECU 31

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Luke Larsen punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Kamdyn Benjamin at the TLSA 19

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Anthony Watkins run for 6 yds to the TLSA 25

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Kirk Francis pass complete to Carl Chester for 9 yds to the TLSA 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Anthony Watkins run for 4 yds to the TLSA 38

2nd & 6Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +2.94

Kirk Francis pass complete to Kamdyn Benjamin for 47 yds to the ECU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Jordan Ford run for 1 yd to the ECU 14

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jordan Ford run for 4 yds to the ECU 10

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Kirk Francis pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+28 yds

Chase Meyer 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Javious Bond run for 4 yds to the ECU 34

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Javious Bond run for 5 yds to the ECU 39

3rd & 1Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.19

Alex Flinn run for 15 yds to the TLSA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.69

Alex Flinn sacked by Coleton Smith for a loss of 8 yards to the ECU 46

2nd & 18Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.76

Alex Flinn pass intercepted Demarco Jones return for no gain to the TLSA 25

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

East Carolina Penalty, Personal Foul (Samuel Dankah) to the TLSA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Kirk Francis run for 2 yds to the TLSA 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.52

Kirk Francis pass complete to Kamdyn Benjamin for 10 yds to the ECU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-14 yds

FRANCIS, Kirk scrambles to the left for a gain of 4 yards to the ECU37 (SHUFORD, Jason;LEWIS, Jeremy). PENALTY TLS Targeting on LI'O MARKS, Tautai enforced 14 yards from the ECU41 to the TLS45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 24Penalty+15 yds

FRANCIS, Kirk pass deep to the left incomplete intended for REMPERT, Nick thrown to the ECU10. PENALTY ECU Pass Interference on NASH, Dontavius enforced 15 yards to the ECU40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

FRANCIS, Kirk pass deep to the left incomplete intended for REMPERT, Nick thrown to the ECU15. PENALTY ECU Pass Interference on REVEL, Shavon enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the ECU25 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.28

Kirk Francis pass complete to Carl Chester for 16 yds to the ECU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Anthony Watkins run for no gain to the ECU 9

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Anthony Watkins run for 1 yd to the ECU 8

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Kirk Francis pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+26 yds

Chase Meyer 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Rahjai Harris run for 1 yd to the ECU 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.98

Alex Flinn pass complete to Chase Sowell for 26 yds to the TLSA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.54

Alex Flinn sacked by Mitchell Kulkin for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Rahjai Harris run for 6 yds to the TLSA 44

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.95

Alex Flinn pass complete to Chase Sowell for 9 yds to the TLSA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Rahjai Harris run for 1 yd to the TLSA 34

2nd & 9Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.92

Rahjai Harris run for 17 yds to the TLSA 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Rahjai Harris run for 5 yds to the TLSA 12

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Javious Bond run for no gain to the TLSA 12

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Alex Flinn run for 3 yds to the TLSA 9

4th & 2Field Goal Good+26 yds

Andrew Conrad 26 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+30 yds

Laith Marjan kickoff for 63 yds , Jordan Ford return for 30 yds to the TLSA 32

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Anthony Watkins run for 3 yds to the TLSA 35

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.06

Anthony Watkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the TLSA 32

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.47

Kirk Francis pass complete to Anthony Watkins for 9 yds to the TLSA 41

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

Tulsa Penalty, False Start (Gabe Cantu) to the TLSA 36

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Angus Davies punt for 47 yds, downed at the ECU 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.84

Alex Flinn pass complete to Jsi Hatfield for 13 yds to the ECU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.93

Alex Flinn run for 21 yds to the TLSA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Alex Flinn pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Rahjai Harris run for 2 yds to the TLSA 47

3rd & 8Pass Interception Return+2 ydsPPA -1.52

Alex Flinn pass intercepted Jaise Oliver return for 2 yds to the TLSA 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Kirk Francis pass complete to Kamdyn Benjamin for 7 yds to the ECU 49

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.72

Bill Jackson run for 2 yds to the ECU 47

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.19

Bill Jackson run for no gain to the ECU 47

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

Tulsa Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TLSA 48

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Angus Davies punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jsi Hatfield at the ECU 19

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Rahjai Harris run for 5 yds to the ECU 24

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Rahjai Harris run for 1 yd to the ECU 25

3rd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.69

Alex Flinn pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 11 yds to the ECU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Alex Flinn pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Rahjai Harris run for 9 yds to the ECU 45

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Rahjai Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECU 44

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Luke Larsen punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Kamdyn Benjamin at the TLSA 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Kirk Francis pass complete to Nick Rempert for 6 yds to the TLSA 23

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Anthony Watkins run for 1 yd to the TLSA 24

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Kirk Francis pass incomplete

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.14

Kirk Francis pass incomplete

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-9 ydsPPA -4.32

Rahjai Harris run for a loss of 9 yards to the TLSA 33 Rahjai Harris fumbled, recovered by TLSA Ben Kopenski [NHSG] HARRIS, Rahjai rush up the middle for a loss of 9 yards, HARRIS, Rahjai fumbled at TLS24 , recovered by TLS KOPENSKI, Ben at the TLS33, returned 0 yards to the TLS33, End of Play, clock 02:24.

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Kirk Francis pass complete to Luke McGary for 8 yds to the TLSA 41

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.33

Kirk Francis pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.63

Bill Jackson run for 6 yds to the TLSA 47 for a 1ST down

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kirk Francis run for 4 yds to the ECU 45

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

Tulsa Penalty, False Start (Ben Kopenski) to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Kirk Francis pass complete to Bill Jackson for 4 yds to the ECU 49

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.39

Kirk Francis pass complete to Bill Jackson for 9 yds to the ECU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.09

Bill Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECU 42

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Kirk Francis pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Anthony Watkins run for 8 yds to the ECU 19

3rd & 11Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.64

Kirk Francis pass complete to Kamdyn Benjamin for 15 yds to the ECU 27 for a 1ST down

2nd & 2Field Goal Good+37 yds

Chase Meyer 37 yd FG GOOD

Situational Analysis

Tulsa

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
34%
29 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
54%
13 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

East Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
48%
23 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
57%
7 plays
83%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play