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← Back to GamesSep 9, 2023Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Kansas State by 5.1

Home Win Probability

Kansas State 67%

Market (Bovada)

Kansas State -15

Edge: Troy +15 (9.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 9, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
TroyTroy
0100313
Kansas StateKansas State
71471442

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-014-321-1028-1035-1342-13
Kansas StateTroy

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20KSTROKSTROKSTROKSTROKSTROKSTROTROKSTROKSTROKSTROKSTROKSTROKSTROKSTD871ydPUNT34ydPUNT618ydDOWNS1036ydTD1256ydTO620ydTO316ydFG1473ydPUNT38ydTD575ydTD566ydEND15ydPUNT39ydPUNT32ydPUNT31ydPUNT31ydPUNT3-5ydTD844ydPUNT3-6ydPUNT38ydFG662ydTD976ydDOWNS49ydTD634ydTO736ydEND12yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Troy and Kansas State
StatisticTroyKansas State
Passing22-3821-32
Pass Yards216250
Rush Yards70147
Total Yards286397
Turnovers21
3rd Down6-1710-15
Penalties3-225-45
Possession30:2329:37

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Troy
passing
Gunnar Watson
17/32, 167 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Kimani Vidal
17 CAR, 83 YDS
receiving
Chris Lewis
5 REC, 50 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Kansas State
passing
Will Howard
21/32, 250 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Treshaun Ward
16 CAR, 58 YDS
receiving
Phillip Brooks III
7 REC, 94 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 5 yds to the KSU 34

2nd & 5Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.26

Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 22 yds to the TROY 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Will Howard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.45

DJ Giddens run for 10 yds to the TROY 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 5 yds to the TROY 29

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Treshaun Ward run for no gain to the TROY 29

3rd & 5Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.12

Treshaun Ward run for 20 yds to the TROY 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Will Howard pass complete to Jadon Jackson for 9 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.60

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Jabre Barber for no gain to the TROY 35

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Marcus Rogers for 4 yds to the TROY 39

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Robert Cole punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Will Howard run for 7 yds to the KSU 37

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Will Howard pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.51

DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the KSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Will Howard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Will Howard pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Will Howard pass complete to DJ Giddens for 7 yds to the KSU 48

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jack Blumer punt for 52 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Kimani Vidal run for 3 yds to the TROY 23

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.37

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Devonte Ross for 7 yds to the TROY 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Kimani Vidal run for 8 yds to the TROY 38

3rd & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.04

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Clayton Ollendieck for 11 yds to the TROY 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Kimani Vidal run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Devonte Ross for 4 yds to the KSU 46

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Chris Lewis for 4 yds to the KSU 42

4th & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.85

Kimani Vidal run for a loss of 2 yards to the KSU 44

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Treshaun Ward run for 1 yd to the KSU 45

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.82

Will Howard pass complete to RJ Garcia II for 10 yds to the TROY 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Will Howard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Treshaun Ward run for no gain to the TROY 45

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Kansas State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard line

3rd & 15Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.71

Will Howard pass complete to Jadon Jackson for 24 yds to the TROY 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Treshaun Ward run for 7 yds to the TROY 19

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Treshaun Ward run for 3 yds to the TROY 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Will Howard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the TROY 14

3rd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.63

DJ Giddens run for 11 yds to the TROY 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

DJ Giddens run for 1 yd to the TROY 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Phillip Brooks run for 2 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Asa Martin run for 3 yds to the TROY 38

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.10

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Ethan Conner for 18 yds to the KSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.42

Gunnar Watson sacked by Nate Matlack for a loss of 2 yards to the KSU 46

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Asa Martin run for 1 yd to the KSU 45

3rd & 11Interception0 ydsPPA -1.34

Gunnar Watson pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 8 yds to the TROY 46

2nd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.17

Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 8 yds to the TROY 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.91

Will Howard pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Kimani Vidal run for no gain to the TROY 20

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.06

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Chris Lewis for 16 yds to the TROY 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Devonte Ross for 2 yds to the TROY 38

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.76

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Jabre Barber for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Devonte Ross for a loss of 1 yard to the TROY 49

2nd & 11Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.14

Kimani Vidal run for 14 yds to the KSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.94

Kimani Vidal run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 38

2nd & 11Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.47

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Clayton Ollendieck for 27 yds to the KSU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Kimani Vidal run for 2 yds to the KSU 9

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.35

Jarris Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 10

3rd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Deshon Stoudemire for 3 yds to the KSU 7

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 yds

Scott Taylor Renfroe 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Will Howard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

DJ Giddens run for 3 yds to the KSU 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 5 yds to the KSU 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jack Blumer punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jabre Barber at the TROY 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.60

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Jabre Barber for 30 yds to the KSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

WATSON, Gunnar pass deep to the left incomplete intended for ROSS, Devonte thrown to the KSU25. PENALTY KSU Holding on SIGLE, Marques enforced 10 yards from the KSU45 to the KSU35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.87

Kimani Vidal run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 36

2nd & 11Penalty+15 yds

WATSON, Gunnar pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for ROGERS, Marcus thrown to the KSU19; QB hurried by PAYNE, VJ. PENALTY KSU Roughing the Passer on PAYNE, VJ enforced 15 yards from the KSU36 to the KSU21 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.52

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Chris Lewis for 21 yds for a TD (Scott Taylor Renfroe KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Scott Taylor Renfroe kickoff for 54 yds , return for no gain to the KSU 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Will Howard pass complete to RJ Garcia II for 10 yds to the KSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.43

Will Howard sacked by Javon Solomon for a loss of 8 yards to the KSU 36

2nd & 18Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.84

Will Howard run for 15 yds to the TROY 49

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.82

Will Howard pass complete to Treshaun Ward for 10 yds to the TROY 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.14

Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 39 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Gunnar Watson run for 5 yds to the TROY 46 Gunnar Watson fumbled, recovered by TROY Eli Russ

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kimani Vidal run for 3 yds to the TROY 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Chris Lewis for 5 yds to the TROY 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Kimani Vidal run for 1 yd to the TROY 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Robert Cole punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.46

DJ Giddens run for a loss of 2 yards to the TROY 47

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the TROY 43

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Will Howard pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jack Blumer punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jabre Barber at the TROY 5

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-12 yds

MARTIN, Asa rush up the middle for a gain of 12 yards to the TRO17 (MCCALISTER, Colby). PENALTY TRO Holding on RUSS, Eli enforced half the distance from the goal, 2 yards from the TRO5 to the TRO3 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.03

Asa Martin run for 3 yds to the TROY 6

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Robert Cole punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Treshaun Ward run for a loss of 1 yard to the TROY 46

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Will Howard pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 7 yds to the TROY 39

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

Kansas State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TROY 44

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jack Blumer punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Deshon Stoudemire at the TROY 10

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.13

Kimani Vidal run for 1 yd to the TROY 11

3rd & 9Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.12

Gunnar Watson sacked by Khalid Duke for a loss of 6 yards to the TROY 5

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Robert Cole punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Will Howard pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 3 yds to the TROY 41

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.50

DJ Giddens run for a loss of 2 yards to the TROY 43

3rd & 9Penalty+15 yds

Troy Penalty, Personal Foul (Buddha Jones) to the TROY 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.50

Treshaun Ward run for a loss of 2 yards to the TROY 19

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Treshaun Ward run for 1 yd to the TROY 18

3rd & 11Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.49

Will Howard pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 17 yds to the TROY 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Treshaun Ward run for a loss of 1 yard to the TROY 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Will Howard run for 2 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Chris Lewis for 4 yds to the TROY 29

3rd & 6Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.52

Gunnar Watson sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the TROY 19

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Robert Cole punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KSU 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Will Howard pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 5 yds to the KSU 48

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

DJ Giddens run for 3 yds to the TROY 49

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Will Howard pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jack Blumer punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Deshon Stoudemire at the TROY 19

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

WATSON, Gunnar pass deep to the right incomplete intended for LEWIS, Deyunkrea thrown to the TRO45. PENALTY KSU Holding on SAVAGE, Kobe enforced 10 yards from the TRO19 to the TRO29 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Kimani Vidal run for 2 yds to the TROY 31

2nd & 8Rush+46 ydsPPA +3.64

Kimani Vidal run for 46 yds to the KSU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Kimani Vidal run for 4 yds to the KSU 19

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+37 yds

Scott Taylor Renfroe 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.13

Will Howard pass complete to Jadon Jackson for 40 yds to the TROY 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Treshaun Ward run for 3 yds to the TROY 33

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Treshaun Ward run for 3 yds to the TROY 30

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.83

Treshaun Ward run for 7 yds to the TROY 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Treshaun Ward run for 8 yds to the TROY 15

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.23

Treshaun Ward run for 6 yds to the TROY 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Treshaun Ward run for 3 yds to the TROY 6

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Will Howard run for 5 yds to the TROY 1

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Will Howard pass complete to Treshaun Ward for 1 yd for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kimani Vidal run for 2 yds to the TROY 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Goose Crowder pass complete to Peyton Higgins for 5 yds to the TROY 32

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Goose Crowder run for 2 yds to the TROY 34

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.20

Kimani Vidal run for no gain to the TROY 34

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.36

DJ Giddens run for 17 yds to the TROY 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

DJ Giddens run for 1 yd to the TROY 16

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Will Howard pass complete to Jadon Jackson for 4 yds to the TROY 12

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.94

Will Howard pass complete to RJ Garcia II for 11 yds to the TROY 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Will Howard run for no gain to the TROY 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Will Howard run for 1 yd for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Goose Crowder pass complete to Ethan Conner for 6 yds to the TROY 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.39

Goose Crowder pass complete to Devonte Ross for 26 yds to the KSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.94

Goose Crowder pass complete to Jarris Williams for no gain to the KSU 43

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Goose Crowder pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Goose Crowder run for 4 yds to the KSU 39

4th & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.77

Goose Crowder pass complete to Peyton Higgins for 12 yds to the KSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.61

Goose Crowder sacked for a loss of 12 yards to the KSU 39

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Anthony Frias II run for 2 yds to the KSU 41

Situational Analysis

Troy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
12%
25 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
25%
16 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
50%
10 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Kansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
3 plays
43%
28 plays
2nd
57%
7 plays
50%
4 plays
22%
9 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
100%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
100%
3 plays
4th