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← Back to GamesNov 17, 2023Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Boston College by 0.3

Home Win Probability

Pittsburgh 50%

Market (Bovada)

Pittsburgh -2.5

Edge: Boston College +2.5 (2.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 17, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Boston CollegeBoston College
337316
PittsburghPittsburgh
377724

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-33-310-310-610-1317-1317-1624-16
PittsburghBoston College

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BCPITBCPITBCPITBCPITPITBCPITBCPITBCPITBCPITBCPITBCPITFG1461ydFG951ydPUNT625ydTD1585ydPUNT3-10ydDOWNS538ydFG1056ydEND1-1ydPUNT36ydTD983ydTD490ydTO857ydMISS764ydPUNT625ydPUNT3-1ydFG925ydTD275ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT421ydDOWNS433ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Boston College and Pittsburgh
StatisticBoston CollegePittsburgh
Passing13-2511-19
Pass Yards171207
Rush Yards154197
Total Yards325404
Turnovers20
3rd Down3-123-10
Penalties8-554-22
Possession34:4225:18

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Boston College
passing
Thomas Castellanos
13/25, 171 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Kye Robichaux
24 CAR, 118 YDS
receiving
Lewis Bond
5 REC, 65 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Pittsburgh
passing
Nate Yarnell
11/19, 207 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Rodney Hammond Jr.
15 CAR, 145 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jerrod Means
3 REC, 78 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Kye Robichaux run for 4 yds to the BC 19

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Kye Robichaux run for 3 yds to the BC 22

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Kye Robichaux run for 2 yds to the BC 24

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.13

Thomas Castellanos run for 3 yds to the BC 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.01

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 25 yds to the PITT 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Thomas Castellanos run for 3 yds to the PITT 45

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Alex Broome run for 9 yds to the PITT 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Kye Robichaux run for 12 yds to the PITT 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Kye Robichaux run for 1 yd to the PITT 23

2nd & 9Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.84

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Kye Robichaux for a loss of 2 yards to the PITT 25

3rd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Thomas Castellanos run for 1 yd to the PITT 24

4th & 10Field Goal Good+42 yds

Liam Connor 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

C'Bo Flemister run for 2 yds to the PITT 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.77

Nate Yarnell pass complete to Malcolm Epps for 24 yds to the BC 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

C'Bo Flemister run for 4 yds to the BC 45

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.36

C'Bo Flemister run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 46

3rd & 7Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.56

Nate Yarnell pass complete to Karter Johnson for 21 yds to the BC 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

C'Bo Flemister run for 1 yd to the BC 24

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Nate Yarnell pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Nate Yarnell pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+42 yds

Ben Sauls 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Kye Robichaux run for 8 yds to the BC 33

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Kye Robichaux run for 8 yds to the BC 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.31

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Jeremiah Franklin for 16 yds to the PITT 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Alex Broome run for 2 yds to the PITT 41

3rd & 8Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.11

Thomas Castellanos sacked by Deandre Jules for a loss of 9 yards to the 50 yard line

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Sam Candotti punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.93

Nate Yarnell pass complete to Karter Johnson for 15 yds to the PITT 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Nate Yarnell pass complete to Kenny Johnson for 6 yds to the PITT 36

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

C'Bo Flemister run for 3 yds to the PITT 39

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.46

Nate Yarnell run for 6 yds to the PITT 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 3 yds to the PITT 48

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 1 yd to the PITT 49

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 3 yds to the BC 48

4th & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.54

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 4 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Nate Yarnell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.76

Nate Yarnell pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 24 yds to the BC 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 4 yds to the BC 16

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 3 yds to the BC 13

3rd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.88

Nate Yarnell run for 8 yds to the BC 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

C'Bo Flemister run for 1 yd to the BC 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Nate Yarnell run for 4 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Thomas Castellanos run for 1 yd to the BC 26

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

2nd & 9Penalty0 yds

Boston College Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Thomas Castellanos) to the BC 16

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Sam Candotti punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

YARNELL, Nate pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for EPPS, Malcolm broken up by JOHNSON, Khari at the BCE32 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY BCE Targeting on JOHNSON, Khari enforced 15 yards from the PIT45 to the BCE40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.47

Kenny Johnson run for 14 yds to the BC 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Nate Yarnell pass complete to Bub Means for 5 yds to the BC 21

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 2 yds to the BC 19

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Nate Yarnell run for 2 yds to the BC 17

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.79

Daniel Carter run for no gain to the BC 17

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Kye Robichaux run for 1 yd to the BC 18

2nd & 9Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.41

Thomas Castellanos sacked by Dayon Hayes for a loss of 7 yards to the BC 11

3rd & 16Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.92

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Dino Tomlin for 22 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 7 yds to the BC 40

2nd & 3Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.11

Thomas Castellanos sacked by Dayon Hayes for a loss of 6 yards to the BC 34

3rd & 9Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +4.08

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Josiah Griffin for 38 yds to the PITT 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Kye Robichaux run for 1 yd to the PITT 27

4th & 9Field Goal Good+45 yds

Liam Connor 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kneel down by YARNELL, Nate at PIT24 (team loss of 1).

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Nate Yarnell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

C'Bo Flemister run for 6 yds to the PITT 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Nate Yarnell pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Caleb Junko punt for 52 yds, downed at the BC 17

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Alex Broome run for 4 yds to the BC 21

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kye Robichaux run for 5 yds to the BC 26

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.39

Kye Robichaux run for 10 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

CASTELLANOS, Thomas pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for GRIFFIN, Joe thrown to the PIT20; QB hurried by KAMARA, Bangally. PENALTY PIT Offsides on WOODS, A.J. declined PIT Holding on WOODS, A.J. enforced 10 yards from the BCE36 to the BCE46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.92

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Nate Johnson for 11 yds to the PITT 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Kye Robichaux run for 6 yds to the PITT 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Owen McGowan for 9 yds to the PITT 45

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Kye Robichaux run for 1 yd to the PITT 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Thomas Castellanos run for 3 yds to the PITT 41

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.60

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 24 yds for a TD (Liam Connor KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

C'Bo Flemister run for a loss of 1 yard to the PITT 9

2nd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.86

Nate Yarnell pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 12 yds to the PITT 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.48

Nate Yarnell pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 18 yds to the PITT 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+61 ydsPPA +4.86

Nate Yarnell pass complete to Bub Means for 61 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Kye Robichaux run for 6 yds to the BC 31

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Kye Robichaux run for 6 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Kye Robichaux run for 3 yds to the BC 40

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.55

Thomas Castellanos run for 9 yds to the BC 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.87

Thomas Castellanos run for 14 yds to the PITT 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 5 yds to the PITT 32

2nd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.38

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Dino Tomlin for 14 yds to the PITT 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.41

Thomas Castellanos pass intercepted Phillip O'Brien Jr. return for no gain to the PITT 2

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.25

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for no gain to the PITT 2

2nd & 10Rush+40 ydsPPA +2.66

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 40 yds to the PITT 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.02

Nate Yarnell pass complete to Bub Means for 12 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

YARNELL, Nate sacked for a loss of 3 yards at the BCE49 (EZEIRUAKU, Donovan). PENALTY BCE Holding on JACKSON, Amari enforced 10 yards from the BCE46 to the BCE36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Nate Yarnell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 2 yds to the BC 34

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Nate Yarnell pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+52 yds

Ben Sauls 52 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Kye Robichaux run for 9 yds to the BC 43

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.11

Thomas Castellanos run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.70

Kye Robichaux run for 11 yds to the PITT 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Thomas Castellanos run for 4 yds to the PITT 35

2nd & 6Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.08

Thomas Castellanos sacked by Shayne Simon for a loss of 1 yard to the PITT 36

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

ROBICHAUX, Kye rush up the middle for a gain of 5 yards to the PIT31 (HAYES, Dayon). PENALTY Before the snap, BCE Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the PIT36 to the PIT41. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Sam Candotti punt for 38 yds, downed at the PITT 3

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 1 yd to the PITT 4

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.14

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for no gain to the PITT 4

3rd & 9Penalty0 yds

Pittsburgh Penalty, False Start (Yards) to the PITT 2

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Nate Yarnell pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Caleb Junko punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Kye Robichaux run for 8 yds to the PITT 32

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA -0.11

Kye Robichaux run for 9 yds to the PITT 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Kye Robichaux run for no gain to the PITT 23

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.66

Thomas Castellanos run for 14 yds to the PITT 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Kye Robichaux run for no gain to the PITT 9

2nd & 9Penalty-10 yds

Boston College Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ozzy Trapilo) to the PITT 17

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

3rd & 17Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Kye Robichaux run for 2 yds to the PITT 15

4th & 15Field Goal Good+33 yds

Liam Connor 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Nate Yarnell pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 9 yds to the PITT 34

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+66 ydsPPA +4.83

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 66 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kye Robichaux run for 2 yds to the BC 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 4 yds to the BC 31

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Boston College Penalty, False Start (Jeremiah Franklin) to the BC 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.23

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Thomas Castellanos for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 24

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Sam Candotti punt for 38 yds, fair catch by M.J. Devonshire at the PITT 38

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.27

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 14 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

C'Bo Flemister run for 1 yd to the BC 47

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 2 yds to the BC 45

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Nate Yarnell run for 4 yds to the BC 41

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

Pittsburgh Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the BC 46

4th & 8Penalty+5 yds

Boston College Penalty, Offsides (Khari Johnson) to the BC 41

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Caleb Junko punt for 35 yds , Lewis Bond returns for no gain to the BC 17

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.33

Thomas Castellanos sacked by Samuel Okunlola for a loss of 6 yards to the BC 11

3rd & 16Penalty-5 yds

Boston College Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (-5 Yards) to the BC 7

4th & 20Pass Interception Return+1 ydsPPA +0.40

Thomas Castellanos pass intercepted M.J. Devonshire return for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Kneel down by YARNELL, Nate at PIT49 (team loss of 1).

Situational Analysis

Boston College

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
29 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
67%
6 plays
50%
12 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Pittsburgh

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
39%
23 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
20%
5 plays
44%
9 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays