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← Back to GamesNov 11, 2023Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Syracuse by 0.6

Home Win Probability

Syracuse 54%

Market (Bovada)

Syracuse +3

Edge: Syracuse +3 (3.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 11, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
PittsburghPittsburgh
3100013
SyracuseSyracuse
7014728

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-37-107-1314-1328-13
SyracusePittsburgh

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SYRPITSYRPITSYRPITSYRPITSYRPITSYRPITPITSYRPITSYRPITPITSYRPITSYRPITSYRTD1075ydPUNT515ydTO723ydFG620ydPUNT624ydPUNT39ydPUNT34ydPUNT59ydPUNT516ydTD480ydPUNT31ydFG641ydTO727ydTD952ydPUNT37ydDOWNS861ydTD22ydTO49ydTD234ydPUNT35ydMISS1254ydTO345ydDOWNS1035yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Pittsburgh and Syracuse
StatisticPittsburghSyracuse
Passing16-284-8
Pass Yards20917
Rush Yards60382
Total Yards269399
Turnovers41
3rd Down3-106-15
Penalties3-205-30
Possession22:3437:26

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Pittsburgh
passing
Christian Veilleux
13/22, 161 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Rodney Hammond Jr.
12 CAR, 43 YDS
receiving
Jerrod Means
2 REC, 71 YDS
defense
Syracuse
passing
Dan Villari
3/5, 12 YDS
rushing
Dan Villari
17 CAR, 154 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Garrett Shrader
1 REC, 6 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+34 ydsPPA +2.84

Garrett Shrader run for 34 yds to the PITT 41 for a 1ST down

3rd & 11Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.38

Dan Villari run for 12 yds to the PITT 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Dan Villari run for 1 yd to the PITT 5

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

LeQuint Allen run for 5 yds to the PITT 36

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.39

LeQuint Allen run for 8 yds to the PITT 28 for a 1ST down

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.02

LeQuint Allen run for 5 yds to the PITT 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

LeQuint Allen run for no gain to the PITT 17

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Ike Daniels run for 4 yds to the PITT 13

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Syracuse Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PITT 18

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

LeQuint Allen run for 6 yds to the PITT 22

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Maximilian Mang for 5 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Christian Veilleux pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 9 yds to the PITT 34

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 1 yd to the PITT 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Christian Veilleux pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Christian Veilleux pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Christian Veilleux pass complete to Rodney Hammond Jr. for 5 yds to the PITT 40

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Caleb Junko punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.51

LeQuint Allen run for 10 yds to the SYR 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.90

Garrett Shrader run for 11 yds to the SYR 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

LeQuint Allen run for 6 yds to the SYR 41

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

LeQuint Allen run for no gain to the SYR 41

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

LeQuint Allen run for 3 yds to the SYR 44

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.13

Garrett Shrader run for 2 yds to the SYR 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-9 ydsPPA -2.82

Garrett Shrader run for a loss of 9 yards to the SYR 37 Garrett Shrader fumbled, recovered by PITT David Green [NHSG] QB Keeper SHRADER, Garrett rush to the right for a loss of 9 yards, SHRADER, Garrett fumbled at SYR38 forced by HAYES, Dayon, recovered by PIT GREEN, David at the SYR37, returned 0 yards to the SYR37, End of Play, clock 04:35.

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 8 yds to the SYR 29

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.22

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 5 yds to the SYR 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.65

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the SYR 26

2nd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.37

Christian Veilleux pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 8 yds to the SYR 18

3rd & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Christian Veilleux pass complete to Kenny Johnson for 1 yd to the SYR 17

4th & 3Field Goal Good+35 yds

Ben Sauls 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

LeQuint Allen run for 3 yds to the SYR 28

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.13

Dan Villari run for 7 yds to the SYR 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Garrett Shrader run for 12 yds to the SYR 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

LeQuint Allen run for 2 yds to the SYR 49

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.08

LeQuint Allen run for no gain to the SYR 49

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

LeQuint Allen pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jack Stonehouse punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Kenny Johnson run for 6 yds to the PITT 22

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 3 yds to the PITT 25

3rd & 1Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.47

Christian Veilleux pass complete to Daniel Carter for no gain to the PITT 25

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Caleb Junko punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Garrett Shrader run for 2 yds to the SYR 30

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Dan Villari pass complete to Garrett Shrader for 6 yds to the SYR 36

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)+1 ydsPPA -0.58

run for 1 yd to the SYR 37 Dan Villari fumbled, recovered by SYR Dan Villari [NHSG] Direct snap to VILLARI, Dan rush to the left for a gain of 1 yard, VILLARI, Dan fumbled at SYR37 forced by O'BRIEN JR., Phillip, recovered by SYR VILLARI, Dan at the SYR37, returned 0 yards to the SYR37, End of Play.

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

Syracuse Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SYR 32

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jack Stonehouse punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Christian Veilleux pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 9 yds to the SYR 37

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.28

C'Bo Flemister run for 6 yds to the SYR 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Christian Veilleux pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

C'Bo Flemister run for a loss of 1 yard to the SYR 32

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Christian Veilleux pass incomplete

4th & 11Penalty-5 yds

Pittsburgh Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the SYR 37

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Caleb Junko punt for 37 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

LeQuint Allen run for 4 yds to the SYR 24

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.96

LeQuint Allen run for 8 yds to the SYR 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

LeQuint Allen run for 4 yds to the SYR 36

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete

3rd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.47

run for no gain to the SYR 36 Dan Villari fumbled, recovered by SYR [NHSG] Direct snap to VILLARI, Dan rush up the middle for no gain, VILLARI, Dan fumbled at SYR33 forced by MCMILLON, Donovan, recovered by SYR CRUZ, Joe at the SYR36, returned 0 yards to the SYR36, out of bounds.

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jack Stonehouse punt for 64 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+65 ydsPPA +3.83

Christian Veilleux pass complete to Bub Means for 65 yds to the SYR 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

C'Bo Flemister run for a loss of 1 yard to the SYR 16

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Christian Veilleux pass complete to Bub Means for 6 yds to the SYR 10

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.84

Christian Veilleux pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 10 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.55

Garrett Shrader run for a loss of 1 yard to the SYR 16

2nd & 11Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Dan Villari pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 2 yds to the SYR 18

3rd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.12

Garrett Shrader run for no gain to the SYR 18

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jack Stonehouse punt for 50 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Christian Veilleux pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Christian Veilleux pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 27 yds to the SYR 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Christian Veilleux pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Christian Veilleux pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty+5 yds

VEILLEUX, Christian pass deep to the left incomplete intended for REYNOLDS, Daejon thrown to the SYR5. PENALTY SYR Offsides enforced 5 yards from the SYR29 to the SYR24 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Christian Veilleux pass complete to Malcolm Epps for 9 yds to the SYR 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Good+33 yds

Ben Sauls 33 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Kenny Johnson run for 9 yds to the PITT 34

2nd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.55

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 11 yds to the PITT 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 4 yds to the SYR 46

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.20

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for no gain to the SYR 46

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.11

Daniel Carter run for 2 yds to the SYR 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-4 ydsPPA -3.59

Christian Veilleux run for a loss of 4 yards to the SYR 48 Christian Veilleux fumbled, recovered by SYR Jayden Bellamy [NHSG] QB Keeper VEILLEUX, Christian rush to the left for a loss of 4 yards, VEILLEUX, Christian fumbled at SYR48 , recovered by SYR BELLAMY, Jayden at the SYR48, returned 0 yards to the SYR48, End of Play, clock 10:56.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

LeQuint Allen run for 4 yds to the PITT 48

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

LeQuint Allen run for 5 yds to the PITT 43

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.91

LeQuint Allen run for 4 yds to the PITT 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Dan Villari pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.17

run for 10 yds to the PITT 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

LeQuint Allen run for no gain to the PITT 29

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

run for 3 yds to the PITT 26

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

run for 5 yds to the PITT 21

4th & 2Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.50

Garrett Shrader run for 21 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Brady Denaburg kickoff for 63 yds , return for no gain to the PITT 12

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Christian Veilleux pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.18

Christian Veilleux pass complete to C'Bo Flemister for 7 yds to the PITT 19

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Christian Veilleux pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.11

Garrett Shrader run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

LeQuint Allen run for 5 yds to the PITT 45

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

LeQuint Allen run for no gain to the PITT 45

3rd & 5Rush+38 ydsPPA +2.68

run for 38 yds to the PITT 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

LeQuint Allen run for 1 yd to the PITT 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Dan Villari pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Dan Villari pass complete to Elijah Wright for 4 yds to the PITT 2

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -4.15

Garrett Shrader run for 1 yd to the PITT 1

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Daniel Carter run for 2 yds to the PITT 3

2nd & 8Interception Return Touchdown+23 ydsPPA -6.85

Jayden Bellamy 23 Yd Interception Return (Brady Denaburg Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 5 yds to the PITT 30

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 1 yd to the PITT 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.47

Christian Veilleux pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 5 yds to the PITT 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-2 ydsPPA -1.85

Christian Veilleux run for a loss of 2 yards to the PITT 34 Christian Veilleux fumbled, recovered by SYR Terry Lockett [NHSG] QB Keeper VEILLEUX, Christian rush up the middle for a loss of 2 yards, VEILLEUX, Christian fumbled at PIT34 , recovered by SYR LOCKETT, Terry at the PIT34, returned 0 yards to the PIT34, End of Play, clock 14:55.

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Pittsburgh Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the PITT 29

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

LeQuint Allen run for 2 yds to the PITT 27

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.55

Dan Villari 27 Yd Run (Brady Denaburg Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Nate Yarnell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Nate Yarnell pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 5 yds to the PITT 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Nate Yarnell pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Caleb Junko punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

LeQuint Allen run for 2 yds to the SYR 28

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

LeQuint Allen run for 3 yds to the SYR 31

3rd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.23

run for 12 yds to the SYR 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

LeQuint Allen run for 4 yds to the SYR 47

2nd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.39

run for 12 yds to the PITT 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

LeQuint Allen run for 5 yds to the PITT 36

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

LeQuint Allen run for 3 yds to the PITT 33

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.68

run for 5 yds to the PITT 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.93

Garrett Shrader run for a loss of 3 yards to the PITT 31

2nd & 13Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

run for 7 yds to the PITT 24

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

run for 4 yds to the PITT 20

4th & 2Field Goal Missed+38 yds

Brady Denaburg 38 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +2.97

Nate Yarnell pass complete to Malcolm Epps for 36 yds to the SYR 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Nate Yarnell pass complete to Malcolm Epps for 7 yds to the SYR 37

2nd & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -4.09

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 2 yds to the SYR 35 fumbled, recovered by SYR Kevon Darton [NHSG] HAMMOND JR., Rodney rush to the left for a gain of 2 yards, HAMMOND JR., Rodney fumbled at SYR34 forced by THOMPSON, Stefon, recovered by SYR DARTON, Kevon at the SYR35, returned 0 yards to the SYR35, End of Play, clock 04:21.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Juwaun Price run for 4 yds to the SYR 39

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Garrett Shrader run for 10 yds to the SYR 49 Syracuse Penalty, Offensive Holding (TEAM) to the SYR 39

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

run for 4 yds to the SYR 43

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.63

run for 6 yds to the SYR 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Garrett Shrader run for 4 yds to the PITT 47

2nd & 6Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.23

Juwaun Price run for 16 yds to the PITT 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Juwaun Price run for 6 yds to the PITT 25

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Juwaun Price run for 1 yd to the PITT 24

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Juwaun Price run for 1 yd to the PITT 23

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

Syracuse Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the PITT 28

4th & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -2.42

[NHSG] Kneel down by PRICE, Juwaun at PIT30 (team loss of 2); SYR turnover on downs, clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Pittsburgh

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
48%
21 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
43%
7 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
0%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Syracuse

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
39%
28 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
40%
15 plays
43%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
33%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play