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← Back to GamesNov 11, 2023Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

NC State by 7

Home Win Probability

Wake Forest 31%

Market (Bovada)

Wake Forest +2

Edge: NC State -2 (5.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 11, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NC StateNC State
7140526
Wake ForestWake Forest
00066

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-70-140-216-26
Wake ForestNC State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WFNSNSWFNSNSWFNSWFNSWFNSNSWFNSWFNSWFNSWFNSPUNT31ydTD384ydPUNT59ydPUNT35ydTD1265ydTD558ydPUNT35ydPUNT38ydPUNT416ydTO213ydMISS815ydEND323ydMISS1239ydTO316ydMISS832ydPUNT37ydPUNT35ydTO420ydFG47ydTD1175ydEND1041yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing NC State and Wake Forest
StatisticNC StateWake Forest
Passing12-1716-29
Pass Yards111156
Rush Yards2687
Total Yards379163
Turnovers12
3rd Down5-141-12
Penalties2-104-40
Possession40:1619:44

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

NC State
passing
Brennan Armstrong
12/17, 111 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Brennan Armstrong
15 CAR, 96 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Dacari Collins
2 REC, 38 YDS
defense
Wake Forest
passing
Michael Kern
14/26, 137 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Demond Claiborne
8 CAR, 12 YDS
receiving
Horatio Fields
3 REC, 31 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

M.Griffis scrambles to WF 36 for 6 yards. Tackled by J.Scott at WF 36.

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

M.Griffis steps back to pass. M.Griffis pass incomplete intended for J.Banks.

3rd & 4Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.85

M.Griffis steps back to pass. M.Griffis sacked at WF 31 for -5 yards (S.Jackson)

4th & 9Punt+53 yds

I.Mora punts 53 yards to NCST 16, Center-WF. Downed by N.Andersen.

1st & 10Rush+65 ydsPPA +3.97

K.Concepcion rushed to WF 19 for 65 yards. Tackled by C.Garnes at WF 19.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion-1 ydsPPA -0.45

B.Armstrong pass complete to WF 19. Catch made by J.Coit at WF 19. Gain of -1 yards. Tackled by D.Hazen at WF 20.

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +3.05

B.Armstrong pass complete to WF 20. Catch made by J.Gray at WF 20. Gain of 20 yards. J.Gray for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

0th & 0Uncategorized+1 yds

B.Narveson extra point is good.

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

K.Raphael rushed to NCST 46 for 6 yards. Tackled by J.Davis; N.Andersen at NCST 46.

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.88

B.Armstrong pass complete to NCST 46. Catch made by K.Lesane at NCST 46. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by N.Andersen at WF 45.

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.55

B.Armstrong pass complete to WF 45. Catch made by K.Concepcion at WF 45. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by Q.Bryant at WF 43.

2nd & 8Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.72

B.Armstrong steps back to pass. B.Armstrong sacked at WF 46 for -3 yards (J.Davis)

3rd & 11Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY on NCST-A.Belton, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

B.Armstrong steps back to pass. B.Armstrong pass incomplete intended for P.Rooks.

4th & 16Punt+51 yds

C.Noonkester punts 51 yards to WF End Zone, Center-NCST. Touchback.

1st & 15Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.39

M.Griffis steps back to pass. M.Griffis sacked at WF 7 for -8 yards (S.Jackson)

2nd & 23Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.00

M.Griffis rushed to WF 12 for 5 yards. Tackled by J.Scott; D.Vann at WF 12.

3rd & 18Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.04

M.Griffis pass complete to WF 12. Catch made by K.Williams at WF 12. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by P.Wilson at WF 20.

4th & 10Punt+45 yds

I.Mora punts 45 yards to NCST 35, Center-WF. Fair catch by J.Coit.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

M.Allen rushed to NCST 36 for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Roberts at NCST 36.

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.78

B.Armstrong pass complete to NCST 36. Catch made by A.Smith at NCST 36. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by C.Garnes at NCST 44.

3rd & 1Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.05

B.Armstrong rushed to WF 41 for 15 yards. Tackled by E.Slocum at WF 41.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

K.Raphael rushed to WF 40 for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Roberts; K.Pointer at WF 40.

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.25

D.Mimms rushed to WF 41 for -1 yards. Tackled by K.Pointer; J.Williams at WF 41.

3rd & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.53

B.Armstrong scrambles to WF 21 for 20 yards. Tackled by D.Hazen at WF 21.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

K.Raphael rushed to WF 19 for 2 yards. Tackled by D.Hazen; C.Garnes at WF 19.

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.33

B.Armstrong rushed to WF 10 for 9 yards. Tackled by C.Carson at WF 10.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

D.Mimms rushed to WF 6 for 4 yards. Tackled by D.Hazen; B.Ganious at WF 6.

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

K.Concepcion rushed to WF 2 for 4 yards. Pushed out of bounds by D.Jones; C.Garnes at WF 2.

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

D.Mimms rushed to WF 1 for 1 yards. Tackled by K.Pointer at WF 1.

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

B.Armstrong rushed to WF End Zone for 1 yards. B.Armstrong for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

0th & 0Uncategorized+1 yds

B.Narveson extra point is good.

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.95

K.Raphael rushed to WF 47 for 11 yards. Tackled by D.Hazen at WF 47.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

K.Raphael rushed to WF 46 for 1 yards. Tackled by A.Hall at WF 46.

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.55

K.Raphael rushed to WF 39 for 7 yards. Tackled by N.Andersen at WF 39.

3rd & 2Rush+38 ydsPPA +2.94

B.Armstrong scrambles to WF 1 for 38 yards. Tackled by C.Garnes at WF 1.

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

D.Mimms rushed to WF End Zone for 1 yards. D.Mimms for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane and the play was upheld.

0th & 0Uncategorized+1 yds

B.Narveson extra point is good.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

M.Kern steps back to pass. M.Kern pass incomplete intended for J.Banks.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

M.Kern pass complete to WF 25. Catch made by C.Hite at WF 25. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by J.Scott; B.Cisse at WF 30.

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

M.Kern steps back to pass. M.Kern pass incomplete intended for T.Morin.

4th & 5Punt+30 yds

I.Mora punts 30 yards to NCST 40, Center-WF. Out of bounds.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

K.Raphael rushed to NCST 43 for 3 yards. Tackled by D.Hazen; N.Andersen at NCST 43.

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

K.Raphael rushed to NCST 48 for 5 yards. Tackled by N.Andersen; K.Wayman at NCST 48.

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

B.Armstrong steps back to pass. B.Armstrong pass incomplete intended for T.Pennix.

4th & 2Punt+52 yds

C.Noonkester punts 52 yards to WF End Zone, Center-NCST. Touchback.

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.24

M.Kern pass complete to WF 20. Catch made by T.Morin at WF 20. Gain of 16 yards. T.Morin ran out of bounds.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

M.Kern steps back to pass. M.Kern pass incomplete intended for T.Morin.

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

M.Kern steps back to pass. M.Kern pass incomplete intended for T.Morin.

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

M.Kern steps back to pass. M.Kern pass incomplete intended for J.Banks.

4th & 10Punt+41 yds

I.Mora punts 41 yards to NCST 23, Center-WF. Fair catch by J.Coit. PENALTY on NCST-NCST, Running Into the Kicker, 5 yards, declined.

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

B.Armstrong rushed to NCST 30 for 7 yards. Tackled by A.Hall at NCST 30.

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.49

K.Raphael rushed to NCST 36 for 6 yards. K.Raphael FUMBLES, forced by A.Hall. Fumble RECOVERED by WF-C.Garnes at NCST 36.

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.40

D.Claiborne rushed to NCST 29 for 7 yards. Tackled by S.Brown at NCST 29.

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

D.Claiborne rushed to NCST 27 for 2 yards. Tackled by C.Fordham; D.Boykin at NCST 27.

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.79

D.Claiborne rushed to NCST 27 for 0 yards. Tackled by C.Clark; S.Jackson at NCST 27.

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.07

M.Kern rushed to NCST 26 for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Scott; C.Clark at NCST 26.

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.71

D.Claiborne rushed to NCST 28 for -2 yards. Tackled by P.Wilson at NCST 28.

2nd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.29

M.Kern pass complete to NCST 28. Catch made by T.Morin at NCST 28. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by S.Battle at NCST 21.

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

M.Kern steps back to pass. M.Kern pass incomplete intended for J.Banks.

4th & 5Field Goal Missed0 yds

M.Dennis 39 yard field goal attempt is no good, Center-WF, Holder-WF.

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.09

D.Mimms rushed to NCST 35 for 14 yards. Tackled by M.Mustapha at NCST 35.

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.97

B.Armstrong pass complete to NCST 35. Catch made by D.Collins at NCST 35. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by D.Hazen at NCST 45.

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.38

B.Armstrong steps back to pass. B.Armstrong sacked at NCST 44 for -1 yards (J.Roberts)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

K.Raphael rushed to NCST 24 for -1 yards. Tackled by D.Hazen at NCST 24.

2nd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

B.Armstrong pass complete to NCST 24. Catch made by K.Lesane at NCST 24. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by WF at NCST 27.

3rd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.77

B.Armstrong pass complete to NCST 27. Catch made by K.Lesane at NCST 27. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by D.Jones at NCST 35.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

B.Armstrong scrambles to NCST 37 for 2 yards. Tackled by K.Wayman at NCST 37. PENALTY on WF-K.Wayman, Unnecessary Roughness / Defense, 15 yards, accepted.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

B.Armstrong steps back to pass. B.Armstrong pass incomplete intended for K.Lesane.

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

B.Armstrong rushed to WF 40 for 8 yards. Tackled by B.Ganious at WF 40.

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

B.Armstrong rushed to WF 39 for 1 yards. Tackled by WF at WF 39.

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.84

D.Mimms rushed to WF 36 for 3 yards. Tackled by D.Hazen; J.Roberts at WF 36.

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.09

D.Mimms rushed to WF 38 for -2 yards. Tackled by K.Pointer at WF 38.

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

B.Armstrong scrambles to WF 34 for 4 yards. Tackled by D.Hazen at WF 34.

3rd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.44

K.Concepcion rushed to WF 36 for -2 yards. Tackled by J.Davis at WF 36.

4th & 10Field Goal Missed0 yds

B.Narveson 54 yard field goal attempt is no good, Center-NCST, Holder-NCST.

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.22

M.Kern pass complete to WF 36. Catch made by C.Hite at WF 36. Gain of 13 yards. Tackled by S.Battle at WF 49.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

D.Claiborne rushed to NCST 49 for 2 yards. Tackled by A.White at NCST 49.

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion+1 ydsPPA -0.88

M.Kern pass complete to NCST 49. Catch made by K.Williams at NCST 49. Gain of 1 yards. K.Williams FUMBLES, forced by R.Kennedy. Fumble RECOVERED by NCST-S.Battle at NCST 48.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

K.Raphael rushed to WF 50 for 2 yards. Tackled by J.Roberts; B.Ganious at WF 50.

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 yds

B.Armstrong pass complete to WF 50. Catch made by K.Concepcion at WF 50. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by M.Mustapha at WF 38.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

K.Raphael rushed to WF 37 for 1 yards. Tackled by B.Ganious; J.Davis at WF 37.

2nd & 9Penalty0 yds

PENALTY on NCST-K.Concepcion, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.

2nd & 14Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.15

B.Armstrong pass complete to WF 42. Catch made by D.Collins at WF 42. Gain of 28 yards. Tackled by C.Garnes at WF 14.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

B.Armstrong steps back to pass. B.Armstrong pass incomplete intended for D.Collins.

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.08

B.Armstrong steps back to pass. B.Armstrong sacked at WF 20 for -6 yards (C.Garnes)

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

B.Armstrong steps back to pass. B.Armstrong pass incomplete intended for D.Collins.

4th & 16Field Goal Missed0 yds

B.Narveson 38 yard field goal attempt is no good, Center-NCST, Holder-NCST.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

D.Claiborne rushed to WF 23 for 3 yards. Tackled by P.Wilson; D.Boykin at WF 23.

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

M.Kern pass complete to WF 23. Catch made by K.Williams at WF 23. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by S.Brown at WF 27.

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

M.Kern steps back to pass. M.Kern pass incomplete intended for J.Banks.

4th & 3Punt+44 yds

I.Mora punts 44 yards to NCST 29, Center-W.Cobb. J.Coit returned punt from the NCST 29. Tackled by T.Carney at NCST 35.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

K.Raphael rushed to NCST 36 for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Hudson at NCST 36.

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.78

B.Armstrong scrambles to NCST 35 for -1 yards. Tackled by WF at NCST 35.

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

B.Armstrong pass complete to NCST 35. Catch made by K.Concepcion at NCST 35. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by M.Mustapha at NCST 40.

4th & 5Punt+47 yds

C.Noonkester punts 47 yards to WF 13, Center-NCST. T.Morin returned punt from the WF 13. Tackled by K.Lesane at WF 20.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

M.Kern steps back to pass. M.Kern pass incomplete intended for T.Morin.

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

D.Claiborne rushed to WF 22 for 2 yards. Tackled by B.Cleveland at WF 22.

3rd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.36

M.Kern pass complete to WF 22. Catch made by J.Ellison at WF 22. Gain of 18 yards. Tackled by P.Wilson at WF 40.

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.24

M.Kern pass INTERCEPTED at NCST 33. Intercepted by S.Brown at NCST 33. Tackled by L.Petitbon at WF 34.

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -1.20

K.Concepcion rushed to WF 37 for -3 yards. K.Concepcion FUMBLES, forced by M.Mustapha. Fumble RECOVERED by NCST-K.Concepcion at WF 37.

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

D.Mimms rushed to WF 34 for 3 yards. Tackled by D.Hazen; E.Slocum at WF 34.

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.46

B.Armstrong pass complete to WF 34. Catch made by K.Lesane at WF 34. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by A.Hall at WF 27.

4th & 3Field Goal Good0 yds

B.Narveson 45 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-NCST, Holder-C.Noonkester.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

T.Carney rushed to WF 28 for 3 yards. Tackled by D.Vann at WF 28.

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.62

M.Kern pass complete to WF 28. Catch made by H.Fields at WF 28. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by B.Fitzgerald; J.Scott at WF 40.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

T.Carney rushed to WF 40 for 0 yards. Tackled by P.Wilson at WF 40.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.07

M.Kern pass complete to WF 40. Catch made by W.Grimes at WF 40. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by B.Fitzgerald at WF 49.

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

T.Carney rushed to WF 49 for 0 yards. Tackled by B.Fitzgerald at WF 49.

4th & 1Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.86

M.Kern pass complete to WF 49. Catch made by T.Carney at WF 49. Gain of 13 yards. Tackled by C.Fordham at NCST 38.

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.33

M.Kern pass complete to NCST 38. Catch made by H.Fields at NCST 38. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by C.Fordham; A.White at NCST 28.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

M.Kern steps back to pass. M.Kern pass incomplete intended for H.Fields.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.55

M.Kern pass complete to NCST 28. Catch made by H.Fields at NCST 28. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by P.Wilson; A.White at NCST 19.

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

M.Kern steps back to pass. M.Kern pass incomplete intended for H.Fields.

4th & 1Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +3.31

M.Kern pass complete to NCST 19. Catch made by D.Alexander at NCST 19. Gain of 19 yards. D.Alexander for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

0th & 0Interception0 yds

TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. M.Kern steps back to pass. J.Scott intercepts the ball. TWO-POINT ATTEMPT FAILS. DEFENSIVE CONVERSION RECOVERY SUCCEEDS.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

D.Mimms rushed to WF 46 for 2 yards. Tackled by WF at WF 46.

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

D.Mimms rushed to WF 46 for 0 yards. Tackled by WF at WF 46.

3rd & 7Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.58

K.Concepcion rushed to WF 24 for 22 yards. Tackled by WF at WF 24.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

D.Mimms rushed to WF 21 for 3 yards. Tackled by WF at WF 21.

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

D.Mimms rushed to WF 17 for 4 yards. Tackled by WF at WF 17.

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

K.Raphael rushed to WF 15 for 2 yards. Tackled by WF at WF 15.

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.59

B.Armstrong rushed to WF 13 for 2 yards. Tackled by D.Hazen; K.Pointer at WF 13.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

D.Mimms rushed to WF 10 for 3 yards. Tackled by D.Hazen at WF 10.

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.17

K.Raphael rushed to WF 3 for 7 yards. Tackled by C.Carson; J.Roberts at WF 3.

1st & 3Uncategorized0 yds

B.Armstrong kneels at the WF 7.

Situational Analysis

NC State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
22%
27 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
50%
12 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
33%
6 plays
83%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
3 plays

Wake Forest

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
15 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
50%
8 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
0%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
3 plays