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← Back to GamesNov 4, 2023Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Louisville by 15.8

Home Win Probability

Louisville 81%

Market (Bovada)

Louisville -10

Edge: Louisville -10 (5.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 4, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Virginia TechVirginia Tech
03003
LouisvilleLouisville
7713734

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-014-327-334-3
LouisvilleVirginia Tech

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20VTLOUVTLOUVTLOUVTLOUVTLOUVTLOUVTLOUVTLOUVTLOUVTLOUVTPUNT3-11ydTD949ydPUNT627ydTD688ydPUNT3-10ydMISS1156ydFG1253ydPUNT3-10ydPUNT3-4ydTD563ydTO312ydTD335ydPUNT625ydPUNT36ydPUNT510ydPUNT36ydDOWNS721ydTD244ydPUNT34ydPUNT720ydEND10yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Virginia Tech and Louisville
StatisticVirginia TechLouisville
Passing13-2312-13
Pass Yards72151
Rush Yards68231
Total Yards140382
Turnovers10
3rd Down2-112-8
Penalties6-386-50
Possession27:4532:15

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Virginia Tech
passing
Kyron Drones
12/21, 69 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Bhayshul Tuten
11 CAR, 57 YDS
receiving
Da'Quan Felton
4 REC, 34 YDS
defense
Louisville
passing
Jack Plummer
11/12, 141 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Isaac Guerendo
11 CAR, 146 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Jadon Thompson
2 REC, 49 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.22

Kyron Drones sacked by Stephen Herron and TJ Quinn for a loss of 10 yards to the VT 15

2nd & 20Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Bhayshul Tuten run for 6 yds to the VT 21

3rd & 14Penalty-5 yds

Virginia Tech Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VT 16

3rd & 19Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.04

Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylin Lane for a loss of 2 yards to the VT 14

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Peter Moore punt for 35 yds, downed at the VT 49

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Jawhar Jordan run for no gain to the VT 49

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.02

Jack Plummer pass complete to Chris Bell for 18 yds to the VT 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Louisville Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VT 36

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Jawhar Jordan run for 4 yds to the VT 32

2nd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Jack Plummer run for 7 yds to the VT 25

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jawhar Jordan run for 3 yds to the VT 22

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.86

Jawhar Jordan run for 3 yds to the VT 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Virginia Tech Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the VT 14

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jawhar Jordan run for 4 yds to the VT 10

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Jawhar Jordan run for 9 yds to the VT 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Jawhar Jordan run for 1 yd for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Bhayshul Tuten run for 3 yds to the VT 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.62

Kyron Drones pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 12 yds to the VT 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.34

Bhayshul Tuten run for 16 yds to the LOU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Bhayshul Tuten run for 3 yds to the LOU 41

2nd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.48

Kyron Drones sacked by Benjamin Perry for a loss of 7 yards to the LOU 48

3rd & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

Malachi Thomas run for no gain to the LOU 48

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Peter Moore punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jawhar Jordan for a loss of 1 yard to the LOU 11

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Jawhar Jordan run for 6 yds to the LOU 17

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.15

Jack Plummer pass complete to Kevin Coleman for 10 yds to the LOU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Jack Plummer run for 7 yds to the LOU 34

2nd & 3Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.16

Isaac Guerendo run for 27 yds to the VT 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.14

Isaac Guerendo run for 39 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Virginia Tech Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VT 21

1st & 15Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.51

Jaylin Lane run for a loss of 5 yards to the VT 16

2nd & 20Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.11

Kyron Drones sacked by Ramon Puryear for a loss of 9 yards to the VT 7

3rd & 29Penalty0 yds

Virginia Tech Penalty, Delay Of Game (Alan Tisdale) to the VT 4

3rd & 32Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.02

Bhayshul Tuten run for 12 yds to the VT 16

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Peter Moore punt for 58 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Isaac Guerendo run for 3 yds to the LOU 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.77

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jadon Thompson for 12 yds to the LOU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Louisville Penalty, False Start (Chris Bell) to the LOU 40

1st & 15Rush+50 ydsPPA +2.99

Isaac Guerendo run for 60 yds Louisville Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the LOU 37

1st & 18Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.41

Jack Plummer run for 11 yds to the LOU 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.76

Jack Plummer pass complete to Joey Gatewood for 18 yds to the VT 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Louisville Penalty, Encroachment on LIFSON, Josh enforced (-5 Yards) to the VT 39

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Isaac Guerendo run for no gain to the VT 39

2nd & 15Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.89

Jack Plummer pass complete to Chris Bell for 17 yds to the VT 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Isaac Guerendo run for no gain to the VT 22

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Isaac Guerendo run for a loss of 1 yard to the VT 23

3rd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.55

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jimmy Calloway for 9 yds to the VT 14

4th & 2Field Goal Missed+31 yds

Brock Travelstead 31 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Kyron Drones run for 12 yds to the VT 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Kyron Drones pass complete to Stephen Gosnell for 8 yds to the VT 40

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.22

Bhayshul Tuten run for 5 yds to the VT 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Kyron Drones pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Kyron Drones run for 8 yds to the LOU 47

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.25

Kyron Drones run for 4 yds to the LOU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Kyron Drones run for 1 yd to the LOU 42

2nd & 9Penalty+15 yds

(02:36) DRONES, Kyron pass deep to the left incomplete intended for GREENE, Ayden thrown to the LOU8, clock 02:26. PENALTY LOU Pass Interference on KELLY, Cam'Ron enforced 15 yards to the LOU27 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.20

Bhayshul Tuten run for 14 yds to the LOU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Bhayshul Tuten run for 1 yd to the LOU 12

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Bhayshul Tuten run for no gain to the LOU 12

3rd & 9Penalty-15 yds

(00:20) DRONES, Kyron pass short to the right complete for 8 yards to GOSNELL, Stephen caught at the LOU8 and advanced to the LOU4 (QUINN, T.J.), clock 00:13. PENALTY VT Pass Interference on WRIGHT, Dae'Quan enforced 15 yards to the LOU27 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 24Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Kyron Drones pass incomplete

4th & 24Field Goal Good+44 yds

John Love 44 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.34

Jawhar Jordan run for a loss of 3 yards to the LOU 30

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jack Plummer pass incomplete

3rd & 13Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.25

Jack Plummer sacked by Cole Nelson for a loss of 7 yards to the LOU 23

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Brady Hodges punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -1.20

Bhayshul Tuten run for a loss of 7 yards to the VT 19 Bhayshul Tuten fumbled, recovered by VT Bhayshul Tuten (13:30) [NHSG] TUTEN, Bhayshul rush to the left for a loss of 7 yards, TUTEN, Bhayshul fumbled at VT19 forced by GILLOTTE, Ashton, recovered by VT TUTEN, Bhayshul at the VT19, returned 0 yards to the VT19, End of Play, clock 13:04.

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Kyron Drones pass incomplete

3rd & 17Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Kyron Drones pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 3 yds to the VT 22

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Peter Moore punt for 50 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jawhar Jordan run for 5 yds to the LOU 42

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jawhar Jordan run for 2 yds to the LOU 44

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.70

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jawhar Jordan for 5 yds to the LOU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.87

Jawhar Jordan run for 14 yds to the VT 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.05

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jadon Thompson for 37 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Kyron Drones pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 8 yds to the VT 36

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.13

Bhayshul Tuten run for 4 yds to the VT 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.24

Kyron Drones pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.41

Isaac Guerendo run for 20 yds to the VT 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Isaac Guerendo run for 3 yds to the VT 12

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.66

Isaac Guerendo run for 12 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 5 yds to the VT 20

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.61

Jaylin Lane run for 7 yds to the VT 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.98

Kyron Drones pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 11 yds to the VT 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Malachi Thomas run for 2 yds to the VT 40

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Kyron Drones pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Kyron Drones pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Peter Moore punt for 34 yds, downed at the LOU 26

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.93

Maurice Turner run for a loss of 2 yards to the LOU 24

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

Jack Plummer run for no gain to the LOU 24

3rd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.17

Jack Plummer pass complete to Maurice Turner for 8 yds to the LOU 32

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Brady Hodges punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.61

Kyron Drones pass complete to Bhayshul Tuten for no gain to the VT 22

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.64

Kyron Drones run for 13 yds to the VT 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-14 ydsPPA -2.05

Kyron Drones sacked by Mason Reiger for a loss of 14 yards to the VT 21

2nd & 24Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.22

Kyron Drones pass complete to Stephen Gosnell for 11 yds to the VT 32

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Kyron Drones pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Peter Moore punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kevin Coleman at the LOU 26

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.93

Jawhar Jordan run for 8 yds to the LOU 34

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.96

Jawhar Jordan run for 1 yd to the LOU 35

3rd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.99

Joey Gatewood run for a loss of 3 yards to the LOU 32

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Brady Hodges punt for 45 yds, downed at the VT 23

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Kyron Drones run for 4 yds to the VT 27

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Kyron Drones pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.86

Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 10 yds to the VT 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kyron Drones pass complete to Bhayshul Tuten for 4 yds to the VT 41

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kyron Drones run for 4 yds to the VT 45

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Kyron Drones pass incomplete

4th & 2Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.65

Kyron Drones pass complete to Bhayshul Tuten for a loss of 1 yard to the VT 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Jack Plummer pass complete to Chris Bell for 8 yds to the VT 36

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +2.70

Isaac Guerendo run for 36 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Bryce Duke run for 1 yd to the VT 19

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Grant Wells pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Grant Wells pass complete to Bryce Duke for 3 yds to the VT 22

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Peter Moore punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.53

Maurice Turner run for a loss of 3 yards to the LOU 34

2nd & 13Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.73

Maurice Turner run for 9 yds to the LOU 43

3rd & 4Penalty+5 yds

TURNER, Maurice rush up the middle for no gain to the LOU43 (WOODSON, Caleb), clock 05:01. PENALTY VT Offsides on LOVETT, Dante enforced 5 yards from the LOU43 to the LOU48 and results in a 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Maurice Turner run for no gain to the LOU 48

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.86

Brock Domann pass complete to Nate Kurisky for 10 yds to the VT 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(03:05) TURNER, Maurice rush to the right for no gain to the VT42 (PAYNE, Pheldarius;LOVETT, Dante), clock 03:04. PENALTY LOU Holding on LIFSON, Josh enforced 10 yards from the VT42 to the LOU48. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Maurice Turner run for 6 yds to the VT 46

2nd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Maurice Turner run for 3 yds to the VT 43

3rd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.87

Maurice Turner run for no gain to the VT 43

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Brady Hodges punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Chance Black run for no gain to the VT 18

Situational Analysis

Virginia Tech

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
32%
22 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
43%
7 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Louisville

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
47%
17 plays
60%
5 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
0%
1 play
83%
6 plays
57%
7 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play