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← Back to GamesSep 24, 2023Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Carolina by 4.8

Home Win Probability

Pittsburgh 32%

Market (Bovada)

Pittsburgh +7

Edge: Pittsburgh +7 (2.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 24, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
North CarolinaNorth Carolina
72113041
PittsburghPittsburgh
7107024

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-714-1417-2117-3525-41
PittsburghNorth Carolina

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20PITNCPITNCPITNCPITPITNCPITNCPITNCNCPITNCPITNCPITNCPITNCPITNCTD1378ydTD1075ydTD775ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT3-1ydTD550ydTD3-23ydFG749ydTD791ydMISS535ydTD875ydPUNT33ydFG755ydFG1045ydTO425ydPUNT520ydTO13ydPUNT619ydDOWNS727ydPUNT30ydUncategorized533ydDOWNS45ydTO53ydEND3-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing North Carolina and Pittsburgh
StatisticNorth CarolinaPittsburgh
Passing22-3018-33
Pass Yards296194
Rush Yards77113
Total Yards373307
Turnovers03
3rd Down5-144-11
Penalties3-2911-84
Possession31:0728:53

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

North Carolina
passing
Drake Maye
22/30, 296 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Omarion Hampton
18 CAR, 66 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
J.J. Jones
6 REC, 117 YDS
defense
Cedric Gray
1 TFL, 1 PD
Pittsburgh
passing
Phil Jurkovec
11/15, 109 YDS
rushing
Rodney Hammond Jr.
14 CAR, 83 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Konata Mumpfield
8 REC, 90 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 4 yds to the PITT 26

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 3 yds to the PITT 29

3rd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.66

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 9 yds to the PITT 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.66

Phil Jurkovec run for 20 yds to the UNC 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 7 yds to the UNC 35

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 4 yds to the UNC 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.70

Kenny Johnson run for 9 yds to the UNC 22

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for no gain to the UNC 22

3rd & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.22

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 4 yds to the UNC 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Kenny Johnson run for 3 yds to the UNC 15

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 5 yds to the UNC 10

3rd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.44

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 3 yds to the UNC 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 7 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Drake Maye pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Drake Maye pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty+14 yds

MAYE, Drake pass up the middle incomplete intended for MCCOLLUM, Nate broken up by O'BRIEN JR., Phillip at the UNC38. PENALTY PIT Pass Interference on O'BRIEN JR., Phillip enforced at the spot of the foul for 14 yards to the UNC39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Omarion Hampton run for 1 yd to the UNC 40

2nd & 9Penalty+4 yds

HAMPTON, Omarion rush to the right for a gain of 2 yards to the UNC42 (JULES, Deandre). PENALTY PIT Offsides on JULES, Deandre enforced 4 yards from the UNC40 to the UNC44 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 4Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.64

Drake Maye sacked by David Green for a loss of 2 yards to the UNC 43

3rd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.55

Drake Maye run for 11 yds to the PITT 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.64

Drake Maye pass complete to John Copenhaver for 13 yds to the PITT 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.34

Drake Maye pass complete to J.J. Jones for 18 yds to the PITT 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.34

Drake Maye pass complete to Kamari Morales for 13 yds to the PITT 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

British Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the PITT 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Omarion Hampton run for 3 yds for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Phil Jurkovec run for 9 yds to the PITT 34

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 2 yds to the PITT 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 1 yd to the PITT 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.82

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Rodney Hammond Jr. for 9 yds to the PITT 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.34

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 23 yds to the UNC 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.90

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Gavin Bartholomew for 30 yds to the UNC 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Daniel Carter run for 1 yd for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

British Brooks run for 2 yds to the UNC 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Drake Maye pass incomplete

3rd & 8Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.34

Drake Maye sacked by Devin Danielson and Tyler Bentley for a loss of 6 yards to the UNC 21

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 59 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 3 yds to the PITT 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 1 yd to the PITT 34

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Pittsburgh Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the PITT 29

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Caleb Junko punt for 50 yds

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

British Brooks run for 4 yds to the PITT 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Omarion Hampton run for no gain to the PITT 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

British Brooks run for no gain to the PITT 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Drake Maye run for 1 yd for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Phil Jurkovec run for a loss of 2 yards to the PITT 23

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete

3rd & 12Sack-21 ydsPPA -0.20

Phil Jurkovec sacked by Kaimon Rucker for a loss of 21 yards to the PITT 2

4th & 33Punt Return Touchdown+52 ydsPPA -6.59

Alijah Huzzie 52 Yd Punt Return (Noah Burnette Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 1 yd to the PITT 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.57

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 21 yds to the PITT 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.41

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Gavin Bartholomew for 29 yds to the UNC 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 2 yds to the UNC 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.10

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Rodney Hammond Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the UNC 26

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete

4th & 12Field Goal Good+44 yds

Ben Sauls 44 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Ben Sauls kickoff for 65 yds , return for no gain to the UNC 9

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.52

Drake Maye sacked by Samuel Okunlola for a loss of 7 yards to the UNC 2

2nd & 17Penalty+5 yds

BROOKS, British rush up the middle for a gain of 7 yards to the UNC9 (MCMILLON, Donovan;EPPS, Malcolm). PENALTY Before the snap, PIT Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the UNC2 to the UNC7. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 12Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.58

Drake Maye pass complete to Omarion Hampton for 19 yds to the UNC 26 for a 1ST down Pittsburgh Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Donovan McMillon) to the UNC 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.84

Drake Maye pass complete to Nate McCollum for 29 yds to the PITT 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Drake Maye run for 2 yds to the PITT 28

2nd & 8Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.57

Drake Maye run for 15 yds to the PITT 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Omarion Hampton run for 6 yds to the PITT 7

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.36

Drake Maye pass complete to Kobe Paysour for 7 yds for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Rodney Hammond Jr. for 6 yds to the PITT 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete

3rd & 4Penalty+15 yds

North Carolina Penalty, Targeting on HOLLOWAY, Tayon enforced (Tayon Holloway) to the PITT 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.09

Christian Veilleux pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 15 yds to the UNC 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Missed+48 yds

Ben Sauls 48 yd FG MISSED

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Omarion Hampton run for 3 yds to the UNC 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+52 ydsPPA +3.76

Drake Maye pass complete to J.J. Jones for 52 yds to the PITT 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Omarion Hampton run for no gain to the PITT 20

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Drake Maye pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Omarion Hampton run for 11 yds to the PITT 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Omarion Hampton run for 8 yds to the PITT 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Omarion Hampton run for no gain to the PITT 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Drake Maye run for 1 yd for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Christian Veilleux run for 3 yds to the PITT 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Christian Veilleux pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Christian Veilleux pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Caleb Junko punt for 52 yds, downed at the UNC 20

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.20

Omarion Hampton run for 26 yds to the UNC 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

British Brooks run for 6 yds to the PITT 48

2nd & 4Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.09

Drake Maye pass complete to Kobe Paysour for 22 yds to the PITT 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

British Brooks run for 1 yd to the PITT 25

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

British Brooks run for no gain to the PITT 25

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Drake Maye pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+43 yds

Noah Burnette 43 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return Touchdown+100 yds

Kenny Johnson 100 Yd Kickoff Return (Ben Sauls Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Drake Maye pass complete to J.J. Jones for 10 yds to the UNC 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Omarion Hampton run for 2 yds to the UNC 37

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Drake Maye pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.55

Drake Maye pass complete to Kobe Paysour for 10 yds to the UNC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Omarion Hampton run for 2 yds to the UNC 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.82

Drake Maye pass complete to J.J. Jones for 17 yds to the PITT 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.40

Drake Maye pass complete to Bryson Nesbit for a loss of 4 yards to the PITT 38

2nd & 14Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Drake Maye pass complete to Omarion Hampton for 3 yds to the PITT 35

3rd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Drake Maye pass complete to Nate McCollum for 5 yds to the PITT 30

4th & 6Field Goal Good+48 yds

Noah Burnette 48 Yd Field Goal

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+31 yds

Liam Boyd kickoff for 31 yds , return for no gain to the PITT 35 , return for no gain to the PITT 35

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Kenny Johnson run for 8 yds to the PITT 43

2nd & 2Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.02

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 17 yds to the UNC 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 5 yds to the UNC 35

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

Pittsburgh Penalty, False Start (Kenny Johnson) to the UNC 40

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.97

Christian Veilleux pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Drake Maye pass complete to J.J. Jones for 4 yds to the UNC 6

2nd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.73

Drake Maye pass complete to J.J. Jones for 16 yds to the UNC 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Omarion Hampton run for no gain to the UNC 22

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.46

Drake Maye sacked by Deandre Jules for a loss of 7 yards to the UNC 15

3rd & 17Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.04

Drake Maye pass complete to Nate McCollum for 7 yds to the UNC 22

4th & 10Blocked Punt0 yds

punt blocked by Rasheem Biles blocked by Rasheem Biles

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -4.38

Christian Veilleux run for 3 yds to the UNC 17 Christian Veilleux fumbled, recovered by UNC Cedric Gray

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

MAYE, Drake pass deep to the left incomplete intended for MCCOLLUM, Nate thrown to the UNC40. PENALTY PIT Holding on MCINTYRE, Javon enforced 10 yards from the UNC17 to the UNC27 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Drake Maye pass complete to Nate McCollum for 5 yds to the UNC 32

2nd & 5Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -1.30

Drake Maye pass complete to British Brooks for a loss of 6 yards to the UNC 26

3rd & 11Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.48

Drake Maye pass complete to Bryson Nesbit for 15 yds to the UNC 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

British Brooks run for no gain to the UNC 41

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Drake Maye pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.66

Drake Maye sacked by Shayne Simon for a loss of 5 yards to the UNC 36

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 37 yds , M.J. Devonshire returns for no gain to the PITT 36 Pittsburgh Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the PITT 18

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 37 yds , returns for no gain to the PITT 18

1st & 12Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.99

Christian Veilleux pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 12 yds to the PITT 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Christian Veilleux pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.90

Christian Veilleux pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 11 yds to the PITT 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Christian Veilleux pass complete to Bub Means for 4 yds to the PITT 45

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Christian Veilleux pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Christian Veilleux pass incomplete

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Christian Veilleux pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Omarion Hampton run for 1 yd to the PITT 44

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.29

Omarion Hampton run for a loss of 1 yard to the PITT 45

3rd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Omarion Hampton run for no gain to the PITT 45

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 35 yds, fair catch by M.J. Devonshire at the PITT 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +2.95

Christian Veilleux pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 40 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Christian Veilleux pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Christian Veilleux pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Christian Veilleux pass incomplete

4th & 10Penalty-5 yds

Pittsburgh Penalty, False Start (Branson Taylor) to the PITT 45

4th & 15Penalty-5 yds

Pittsburgh Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (Christian Veilleux) to the PITT 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Drake Maye pass complete to Nate McCollum for 1 yd to the PITT 42

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Omarion Hampton run for 1 yd to the PITT 41

3rd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Omarion Hampton run for 3 yds to the PITT 38

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.70

Drake Maye pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.09

Christian Veilleux pass complete to C'Bo Flemister for no gain to the PITT 38

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Christian Veilleux pass complete to Bub Means for 3 yds to the PITT 41

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

North Carolina Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the PITT 46

3rd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.87

C'Bo Flemister run for 10 yds to the UNC 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-15 ydsPPA -3.53

Christian Veilleux sacked by Kaimon Rucker for a loss of 15 yards to the PITT 41

2nd & 25Interception0 ydsPPA -0.06

Christian Veilleux pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

[NHSG] Kneel down by UNC at PIT23 (team loss of 1).

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.57

[NH] Kneel down by UNC at PIT24 (team loss of 1).

3rd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.90

[NH] Kneel down by UNC at PIT26 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

North Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
37%
27 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
25%
12 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
29%
7 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Pittsburgh

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
48%
27 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
40%
10 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play