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← Back to GamesSep 23, 2023Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Louisville by 23.5

Home Win Probability

Louisville 91%

Market (Bovada)

Louisville -13.5

Edge: Louisville -13.5 (10.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 23, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Boston CollegeBoston College
0147728
LouisvilleLouisville
142814056

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-021-028-028-735-1449-2156-2156-28
LouisvilleBoston College

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUDOWNS834ydTD559ydPUNT31ydTD1162ydPUNT58ydTD570ydPUNT35ydTD861ydTD775ydTD455ydTD875ydTD375ydEND1-4ydTD175ydTD775ydPUNT38ydPUNT31ydTD155ydDOWNS946ydPUNT35ydTD972ydPUNT611ydDOWNS934ydEND1252yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Boston College and Louisville
StatisticBoston CollegeLouisville
Passing21-4118-21
Pass Yards295388
Rush Yards132194
Total Yards427582
Turnovers00
3rd Down6-148-13
Penalties7-614-50
Possession25:2434:36

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Boston College
passing
Thomas Castellanos
17/33, 265 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Thomas Castellanos
10 CAR, 49 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ryan O'Keefe
5 REC, 86 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Louisville
passing
Jack Plummer
18/21, 388 YDS, 5 TD
rushing
Jawhar Jordan
18 CAR, 134 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Ahmari Huggins-Bruce
3 REC, 110 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Kye Robichaux run for 12 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Thomas Castellanos run for 9 yds to the BC 46

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.43

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.26

Kye Robichaux run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Kye Robichaux run for 6 yds to the LOU 44

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Ryan O'Keefe run for 2 yds to the LOU 42

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.71

Kye Robichaux run for 1 yd to the LOU 41

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.52

Jack Plummer pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the LOU 39

2nd & 12Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.01

Jack Plummer sacked by Neto Okpala for a loss of 6 yards to the LOU 33

3rd & 18Penalty+15 yds

Boston College Penalty, Personal Foul (Khari Johnson) to the BC 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Jawhar Jordan run for 9 yds to the BC 33

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +2.41

Jawhar Jordan run for 33 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kye Robichaux run for 3 yds to the BC 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.33

Thomas Castellanos run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 26

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Loren DiLoreto punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Kevin Coleman Jr. at the LOU 38

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jawhar Jordan run for 4 yds to the LOU 42

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.43

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 10 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jack Plummer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Jack Plummer pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.24

Jack Plummer pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 32 yds to the BC 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jawhar Jordan run for 6 yds to the BC 10

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Jawhar Jordan run for 2 yds to the BC 8

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.73

Jawhar Jordan run for 3 yds to the BC 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jawhar Jordan run for 4 yds to the BC 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Jawhar Jordan run for no gain to the BC 1

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Jack Plummer pass complete to Nate Kurisky for 1 yd for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Alex Broome run for 1 yd to the BC 26

2nd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.61

Ryan O'Keefe run for 11 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.92

Thomas Castellanos sacked by Ashton Gillotte for a loss of 7 yards to the BC 30

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

3rd & 17Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Thomas Castellanos run for 3 yds to the BC 33

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Loren DiLoreto punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Kevin Coleman Jr. at the LOU 30

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Isaac Guerendo run for 6 yds to the LOU 36

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Isaac Guerendo run for 1 yd to the LOU 37

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.51

Jack Plummer run for 4 yds to the LOU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.18

Jack Plummer pass complete to Isaac Guerendo for 14 yds to the BC 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+45 ydsPPA +3.48

Jack Plummer pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 45 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Alex Broome run for 4 yds to the BC 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 1 yd to the BC 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Loren DiLoreto punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Kevin Coleman Jr. at the LOU 39

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jawhar Jordan run for 3 yds to the LOU 42

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.28

Jack Plummer run for a loss of 2 yards to the LOU 37

3rd & 12Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.96

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 12 yds to the LOU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.12

Jawhar Jordan run for 9 yds to the BC 42

2nd & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.29

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 4 yds to the BC 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +0.57

Jack Plummer pass complete to Maurice Turner for 27 yds to the BC 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+6 yds

(09:27) PLUMMER, Jack pass to the left incomplete intended for BELL, Chris thrown to the BC4, clock 09:25. PENALTY BC Pass Interference on JACKSON, Amari enforced at the spot of the foul for 6 yards to the BC5 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.86

Maurice Turner run for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 9

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.74

Jack Plummer run for 9 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Kye Robichaux run for 1 yd to the BC 26

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Alex Broome run for 6 yds to the BC 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.81

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Josiah Griffin for 9 yds to the BC 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Alex Broome run for 3 yds to the BC 44

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.99

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 17 yds to the LOU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.14

Thomas Castellanos run for 39 yds for a TD (Liam Connor KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jawhar Jordan run for 2 yds to the LOU 47

2nd & 8Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +3.07

Jack Plummer pass complete to Chris Bell for 48 yds to the BC 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Jawhar Jordan run for 3 yds to the BC 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Jawhar Jordan run for 2 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Thomas Castellanos run for 11 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.79

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Dino Tomlin for 21 yds to the LOU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Alex Broome for 4 yds to the LOU 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Jaden Williams for 8 yds to the LOU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Boston College Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LOU 36

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Jeremiah Franklin for 4 yds to the LOU 32

3rd & 11Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 2 yds to the LOU 30

4th & 9Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +5.01

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 30 yds for a TD

1st & 10Rush+42 ydsPPA +3.17

Jawhar Jordan run for 42 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Louisville Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the BC 42

1st & 19Passing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +4.30

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 42 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

(00:01) [NHSG] Kneel down by BC at BC33 (team loss of 4).

0th & 14End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jawhar Jordan for 75 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Dino Tomlin for 15 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

CASTELLANOS, Thomas pass to the right incomplete intended for BOND, Lewis thrown to the BC38, clock 14:20. PENALTY LOU Roughing the Passer on HERRON, Stephen enforced 15 yards from the BC40 to the LOU45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.57

Kye Robichaux run for 12 yds to the LOU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.87

Thomas Castellanos run for 10 yds to the LOU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Alex Broome run for 1 yd to the LOU 22

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.99

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 22 yds for a TD (Liam Connor KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 3 yds to the LOU 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Jack Plummer pass complete to Isaac Guerendo for 3 yds to the LOU 43

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Isaac Guerendo run for 2 yds to the LOU 45

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Brock Travelstead punt for 52 yds, downed at the BC 3

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Kye Robichaux run for 1 yd to the BC 4

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Loren DiLoreto punt for 51 yds, downed at the LOU 45

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+55 ydsPPA +4.28

Jack Plummer pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 55 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +4.08

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 36 yds to the LOU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

(09:00) QB Keeper CASTELLANOS, Thomas rush to the left for no gain to the LOU30 (ALDERMAN, Jaylin), clock 08:58. PENALTY BC Holding on TAYLOR, Logan enforced 10 yards from the LOU30 to the LOU40 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 20Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +4.01

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 38 yds to the LOU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.85

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for no gain to the LOU 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Kye Robichaux run for no gain to the LOU 2

3rd & 2Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.09

Thomas Castellanos sacked by Jaylin Alderman for a loss of 9 yards to the LOU 11

4th & 11Penalty-5 yds

Boston College Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the LOU 16

4th & 16Rush-4 ydsPPA -2.53

Thomas Castellanos run for a loss of 4 yards to the LOU 20

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Maurice Turner run for 1 yd to the LOU 21

2nd & 9Penalty-10 yds

(05:00) TURNER, Maurice rush to the right for no gain to the LOU21 (OKPALA, Neto), clock 04:52. PENALTY LOU Holding on LIFSON, Josh enforced 10 yards from the LOU21 to the LOU11 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 19Penalty+5 yds

(04:33) PLUMMER, Jack pass deep to the right intercepted by WASHINGTON, Alex at the LOU48 intended for THRASH, Jamari. Washington return for 0 yards to the LOU48, End of Play, clock 04:28. PENALTY BC Offsides on ROOKS, George enforced 5 yards from the LOU11 to the LOU16 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 14Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.15

Jack Plummer pass complete to Maurice Turner for a loss of 1 yard to the LOU 15

3rd & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.14

Jack Plummer pass complete to Maurice Turner for 10 yds to the LOU 25

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Brock Travelstead punt for 47 yds, downed at the BC 28

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Pat Garwo III run for 7 yds to the BC 35

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.26

Pat Garwo III run for 3 yds to the BC 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Pat Garwo III run for 5 yds to the BC 43

2nd & 5Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.83

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Josiah Griffin for 21 yds to the LOU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.16

Thomas Castellanos sacked by Ashton Gillotte for a loss of 1 yard to the LOU 37

3rd & 11Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.37

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Josiah Griffin for 26 yds to the LOU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.81

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 11 yds for a TD (Liam Connor KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jawhar Jordan run for 4 yds to the LOU 41

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jawhar Jordan run for 4 yds to the LOU 45

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.37

Jawhar Jordan run for 3 yds to the LOU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Jawhar Jordan run for 1 yd to the LOU 49

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jack Plummer pass incomplete

3rd & 9Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.82

Jack Plummer sacked by Sione Hala for a loss of 1 yard to the LOU 48

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Brock Travelstead punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jaden Williams at the BC 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Emmett Morehead pass complete to Josiah Griffin for 7 yds to the BC 28

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.27

Emmett Morehead run for 4 yds to the BC 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Emmett Morehead pass complete to Pat Garwo III for 5 yds to the BC 37

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Emmett Morehead pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.55

Emmett Morehead pass complete to Josiah Griffin for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Emmett Morehead pass complete to Pat Garwo III for 5 yds to the LOU 45

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Emmett Morehead pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Emmett Morehead pass incomplete

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Emmett Morehead pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Isaac Guerendo run for 3 yds to the LOU 48

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Isaac Guerendo run for 6 yds to the BC 46

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.20

Brock Domann run for no gain to the BC 46

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +2.05

Brock Domann run for 1 yd to the BC 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Isaac Guerendo run for 5 yds to the BC 40

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.45

Maurice Turner run for 6 yds to the BC 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Maurice Turner run for 4 yds to the BC 30

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Maurice Turner run for 3 yds to the BC 27

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.59

Isaac Guerendo run for 6 yds to the BC 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Isaac Guerendo run for 5 yds to the BC 16

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Isaac Guerendo run for 2 yds to the BC 14

3rd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.32

Brock Domann run for 11 yds to the BC 3 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Boston College

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
39%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
58%
12 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Louisville

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
3 plays
52%
23 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
29%
7 plays
43%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
86%
7 plays
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play