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← Back to GamesSep 16, 2023Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Pittsburgh by 1

Home Win Probability

West Virginia 48%

Market (Bovada)

West Virginia -2.5

Edge: Pittsburgh +2.5 (3.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 16, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
PittsburghPittsburgh
33006
West VirginiaWest Virginia
0710017

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40140-37-614-617-6
West VirginiaPittsburgh

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WVPITWVPITWVPITWVPITWVPITWVPITWVPITWVPITWVPITWVPITWVPITWVPUNT34ydFG1167ydDOWNS936ydPUNT44ydPUNT741ydPUNT35ydTO837ydTO20ydTD17ydFG1257ydEND1-3ydPUNT37ydTD1361ydTO212ydFG46ydPUNT65ydPUNT833ydDOWNS721ydPUNT37ydDOWNS58ydDOWNS44ydTO35ydEND2-6yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Pittsburgh and West Virginia
StatisticPittsburghWest Virginia
Passing8-206-11
Pass Yards8160
Rush Yards130151
Total Yards211211
Turnovers31
3rd Down4-134-12
Penalties9-654-52
Possession26:4733:13

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Pittsburgh
passing
Phil Jurkovec
8/20, 81 YDS, 3 INT
rushing
Rodney Hammond Jr.
14 CAR, 49 YDS
receiving
Gavin Bartholomew
2 REC, 39 YDS
defense
West Virginia
passing
Nicco Marchiol
6/9, 60 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
CJ Donaldson
18 CAR, 102 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Kole Taylor
3 REC, 21 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Trey Lathan
0.5 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jaylen Anderson run for 4 yds to the WVU 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Garrett Greene pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Garrett Greene pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+9 yds

Oliver Straw punt for 50 yds , M.J. Devonshire returns for 9 yds to the PITT 30

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 7 yds to the PITT 37

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.26

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 3 yds to the PITT 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 3 yds to the PITT 43

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.78

Phil Jurkovec run for 13 yds to the WVU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.65

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 16 yds to the WVU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.67

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 9 yds to the WVU 19

2nd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA -0.10

C'Bo Flemister run for 12 yds to the WVU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

C'Bo Flemister run for 1 yd to the WVU 6

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 3 yds to the WVU 3

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for no gain to the WVU 3

4th & 3Field Goal Good+21 yds

Ben Sauls 21 yd FG GOOD

4th & 6Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Ben Sauls kickoff for 59 yds , Beanie Bishop Jr. return for 18 yds to the WVU 24

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 6 yds to the WVU 30

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Garrett Greene run for 1 yd to the WVU 31

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.37

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 5 yds to the WVU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 3 yds to the WVU 39

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.90

Nicco Marchiol run for no gain to the WVU 39

3rd & 7Penalty+15 yds

Pittsburgh Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the PITT 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Nicco Marchiol pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Nicco Marchiol pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Jaylen Anderson run for 6 yds to the PITT 40

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.64

Nicco Marchiol pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

C'Bo Flemister run for 12 yds to the WVU 48 Pittsburgh Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the PITT 42

1st & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.48

Che Nwabuko run for a loss of 1 yard to the PITT 41

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 6 yds to the PITT 47

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Daniel Carter run for 2 yds to the PITT 49

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

Pittsburgh Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PITT 44

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Caleb Junko punt for 56 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 4 yds to the WVU 24

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.05

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 9 yds to the WVU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 5 yds to the WVU 38

2nd & 5Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.85

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 17 yds to the PITT 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Jaylen Anderson run for 2 yds to the PITT 43

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Jaylen Anderson run for 3 yds to the PITT 40

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Jaylen Anderson run for 1 yd to the PITT 39

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Oliver Straw punt for 38 yds, downed at the PITT 1

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

Pittsburgh Penalty, False Start ( Yards) to the PITT 1

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Phil Jurkovec run for 3 yds to the PITT 4

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.16

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 1 yd to the PITT 5

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.08

Daniel Carter run for 1 yd to the PITT 6

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Caleb Junko punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Preston Fox at the WVU 45

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.38

Nicco Marchiol sacked by Solomon DeShields for a loss of 7 yards to the WVU 38

2nd & 17Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.53

Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Kole Taylor for 13 yds to the PITT 49

3rd & 4Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.11

Jaylen Anderson run for 13 yds to the PITT 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Jaylen Anderson run for 3 yds to the PITT 33

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 2 yds to the PITT 31

3rd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.10

Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Devin Carter for 15 yds to the PITT 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 2 yds to the PITT 14

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-4 ydsPPA -4.25

Nicco Marchiol run for a loss of 4 yards to the PITT 18 Nicco Marchiol fumbled, recovered by PITT Bam Brima

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return+26 ydsPPA -0.00

Phil Jurkovec pass intercepted Aubrey Burks return for 26 yds to the PITT 7

1st & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Kole Taylor 7 Yd pass from Nicco Marchiol (Michael Hayes Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Daniel Carter run for 3 yds to the PITT 28

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.13

Daniel Carter run for 7 yds to the PITT 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Phil Jurkovec run for 9 yds to the PITT 44

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.20

Phil Jurkovec run for 3 yds to the PITT 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 1 yd to the PITT 48

2nd & 9Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.50

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the PITT 45

3rd & 12Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.54

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Bub Means for 20 yds to the WVU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

West Virginia Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the WVU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Pittsburgh Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WVU 25

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 7 yds to the WVU 18

4th & 8Field Goal Good+36 yds

Ben Sauls 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.51

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the WVU 9

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Michael Hayes kickoff for 65 yds , Kenny Johnson return for 21 yds to the PITT 21

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Phil Jurkovec run for 5 yds to the PITT 26

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 4 yds to the PITT 30

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.73

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the PITT 28

4th & 3Punt+12 yds

Caleb Junko punt for 45 yds , Preston Fox returns for 12 yds to the WVU 39

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 5 yds to the WVU 44

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.06

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 8 yds to the PITT 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 8 yds to the PITT 40

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Jaylen Anderson run for 1 yd to the PITT 39

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Jaylen Anderson run for no gain to the PITT 39

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.80

Nicco Marchiol run for 2 yds to the PITT 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.63

Nicco Marchiol sacked by Shayne Simon for a loss of 9 yards to the PITT 46

2nd & 19Penalty+10 yds

Pittsburgh Penalty, Defensive Holding (M.J. Devonshire) to the PITT 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 4 yds to the PITT 32

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 6 yds to the PITT 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.15

Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Hudson Clement for 10 yds to the PITT 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.10

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 13 yds to the PITT 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 2 yds to the PITT 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)

2nd & 8Penalty-15 yds

West Virginia Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (CJ Donaldson Jr.) to the WVU 20

2nd & 23Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Michael Hayes kickoff for 66 yds , Kenny Johnson return for 19 yds to the PITT 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Gavin Bartholomew for 12 yds to the PITT 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+40 ydsPPA -2.72

Phil Jurkovec pass intercepted Beanie Bishop Jr. return for 40 yds to the PITT 30

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Nicco Marchiol run for 2 yds to the PITT 28

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Jaylen Anderson run for 3 yds to the PITT 25

3rd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Kole Taylor for 1 yd to the PITT 24

4th & 4Field Goal Good+42 yds

Michael Hayes 42 yd FG GOOD

4th & 4Kickoff Return (Offense)+29 yds

Michael Hayes kickoff for 62 yds , Kenny Johnson return for 29 yds to the PITT 32

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

C'Bo Flemister run for 4 yds to the PITT 36

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

C'Bo Flemister run for 5 yds to the PITT 41

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.10

Phil Jurkovec run for 2 yds to the PITT 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

C'Bo Flemister run for no gain to the PITT 43

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.98

Phil Jurkovec run for a loss of 1 yard to the PITT 42

3rd & 11Penalty-5 yds

Pittsburgh Penalty, False Start (Branson Taylor) to the PITT 37

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete

4th & 16Punt+3 yds

Caleb Junko punt for 54 yds , Preston Fox returns for 3 yds to the WVU 12

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 2 yds to the WVU 14

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Jaylen Anderson run for 2 yds to the WVU 16

3rd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.99

Nicco Marchiol run for 8 yds to the WVU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Jaylen Anderson run for 3 yds to the WVU 27

2nd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.77

Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Preston Fox for 14 yds to the WVU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Jaylen Anderson run for no gain to the WVU 41

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Nicco Marchiol run for 3 yds to the WVU 44

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Rodney Gallagher run for 1 yd to the WVU 45

4th & 6Blocked Punt+4 yds

Oliver Straw punt blocked by Rasheem Biles blocked by Rasheem Biles Braylan Lovelace return for 4 yds to the WVU 48

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Phil Jurkovec run for 5 yds to the WVU 43

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 3 yds to the WVU 40

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.95

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 4 yds to the WVU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Bub Means for 5 yds to the WVU 31

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Malcolm Epps for 4 yds to the WVU 27

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.21

Phil Jurkovec run for no gain to the WVU 27

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Jaylen Anderson run for 2 yds to the WVU 29

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jaylen Anderson run for 4 yds to the WVU 33

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Jaylen Anderson run for 1 yd to the WVU 34

4th & 3Punt-11 yds

Oliver Straw punt for 45 yds , M.J. Devonshire returns for a loss of 11 yards to the PITT 23 Pittsburgh Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (John Glenn) to the PITT 5

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.40

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Gavin Bartholomew for 27 yds to the PITT 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.93

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Daniel Carter for no gain to the PITT 32

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

Pittsburgh Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the PITT 22

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete

4th & 20Sack-9 ydsPPA +0.38

Phil Jurkovec sacked by Tyrin Bradley for a loss of 9 yards to the PITT 13

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jaylen Anderson run for 6 yds to the PITT 7

2nd & 4Penalty-10 yds

West Virginia Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the PITT 17

2nd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Jaylen Anderson run for 2 yds to the PITT 15

3rd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.63

Nicco Marchiol run for no gain to the PITT 15

4th & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA -3.01

Jaylen Anderson run for 6 yds to the PITT 9

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Phil Jurkovec run for 5 yds to the PITT 14

3rd & 5Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.13

Phil Jurkovec pass intercepted Malachi Ruffin return for no gain to the PITT 26

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.85

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the PITT 29

2nd & 13Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.43

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the PITT 32

Situational Analysis

Pittsburgh

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
35%
23 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
56%
9 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

West Virginia

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
32%
25 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
67%
6 plays
10%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
43%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play