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← Back to GamesSep 16, 2023Week 3
VMI
7
-Final
45
NC StateNC State

House Prediction

Model Margin

NC State by 24.1

Home Win Probability

NC State 89%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

NC State -42.5

Edge: VMI +42.5 (18.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 16, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
VMI
00707
NC StateNC State
21107745

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-021-024-031-031-745-7
NC StateVMI

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20VMINSVMIVMINSVMINSVMINSVMINSVMINSVMIVMINSVMINSPUNT38ydTD1258ydTD3-1ydPUNT618ydTD482ydPUNT626ydFG1783ydPUNT534ydTD1280ydEND1-1ydPUNT949ydPUNT433ydPUNT39ydTD768ydPUNT731ydTD1296ydPUNT34ydEND931yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing VMI and NC State
StatisticVMINC State
Passing14-2427-32
Pass Yards176264
Rush Yards15234
Total Yards191498
Turnovers10
3rd Down1-1010-14
Penalties3-306-61
Possession20:5739:03

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

VMI
passing
Collin Shannon
14/24, 176 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Rashad Raymond
6 CAR, 29 YDS
receiving
Egypt Nelson
3 REC, 107 YDS, 1 TD
defense
NC State
passing
Brennan Armstrong
27/32, 264 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Kendrick Raphael
16 CAR, 85 YDS
receiving
Julian Gray
2 REC, 80 YDS
defense
Payton Wilson
0.5 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Rashad Raymond run for 2 yds to the VMI 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Collin Shannon pass complete to Aidan Twombly for 6 yds to the VMI 33

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Collin Shannon pass incomplete to Aidan Twombly

4th & 2Punt+26 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for 51 yds , Jalen Coit returns for 26 yds to the NCSU 42

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Jordan Houston run for 1 yd to the NCSU 41

2nd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.76

Brennan Armstrong run for 8 yds to the NCSU 49

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.75

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for 7 yds to the VMI 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Michael Allen run for 3 yds to the VMI 41

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.79

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Trent Pennix for 7 yds to the VMI 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Michael Allen run for 6 yds to the VMI 28

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Michael Allen for 5 yds to the VMI 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Michael Allen for 4 yds to the VMI 19

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for 5 yds to the VMI 14

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Iii Delbert Mimms run for 6 yds to the VMI 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Julian Gray run for 7 yds to the VMI 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Delbert Mimms III 1 Yd Run (Brayden Narveson Kick)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY VMI False Start (Poindexter,Tyriq) 5 yards from VMI25 to VMI20. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Hunter Rice run for no gain to the VMI 20

2nd & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Collin Shannon pass complete to Isaiah Lemmond for 4 yds to the VMI 24

3rd & 11Interception Return Touchdown+30 ydsPPA -6.83

Robert Kennedy 30 Yd Interception Return (Brayden Narveson Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Collin Shannon pass complete to Chance Knox for 5 yds to the VMI 30

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Rashad Raymond run for no gain to the VMI 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.88

Collin Shannon pass complete to Aidan Twombly for 9 yds to the VMI 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Grant Swinehart run for 4 yds to the VMI 43

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Collin Shannon pass incomplete to Aidan Twombly

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Collin Shannon pass incomplete to Isaiah Lemmond

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jalen Coit at the NCSU 18

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Ii Demarcus Jones

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Jordan Houston run for 2 yds to the NCSU 20

3rd & 8Pass Reception+64 ydsPPA +4.58

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Julian Gray for 64 yds to the VMI 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Bradley Rozner for 16 yds for a TD (Brayden Narveson KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Collin Smith kickoff for 65 yds , Ivan Thorpe return for 18 yds to the VMI 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Collin Shannon pass complete to Julio DaSilva for 8 yds to the VMI 26

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Rashad Raymond run for 2 yds to the VMI 24

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Collin Shannon pass incomplete to Isaiah Lemmond

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Ivan Thorpe run for no gain to the VMI 39

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Collin Shannon pass incomplete to Ivan Thorpe

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Collin Shannon pass incomplete to Aidan Twombly

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for 52 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.69

Iii Delbert Mimms run for 9 yds to the NCSU 13

2nd & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.31

Brennan Armstrong run for 14 yds to the NCSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Kendrick Raphael run for 3 yds to the NCSU 30

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.50

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dacari Collins for 10 yds to the NCSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Trent Pennix run for 7 yds to the NCSU 47

2nd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.76

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Trent Pennix for 2 yds to the NCSU 49

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.46

Iii Delbert Mimms run for 8 yds to the VMI 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Michael Allen for 5 yds to the VMI 38

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for 4 yds to the VMI 42

3rd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Brennan Armstrong run for 5 yds to the VMI 37

4th & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.37

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dacari Collins for 12 yds to the VMI 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Michael Allen run for 7 yds to the VMI 18

2nd & 13Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.95

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for 13 yds to the VMI 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Keyon Lesane

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Jordan Houston run for 2 yds to the VMI 13

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Juice Vereen

4th & 8Field Goal Good+31 yds

Brayden Narveson 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Hunter Rice run for no gain to the VMI 25

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Shannon,Collin pass incomplete short right to Johnson,VJ broken up by Wilson,Payton PENALTY VMI Holding (Inge,Tommy) 10 yards from VMI25 to VMI15. NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +4.06

Collin Shannon pass complete to Egypt Nelson for 44 yds to the NCSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Collin Shannon pass incomplete to Aidan Twombly

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Rashad Raymond run for no gain to the NCSU 41

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Collin Shannon pass incomplete to Ivan Thorpe

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for 41 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jordan Houston run for 5 yds to the NCSU 25

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for 8 yds to the NCSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Bradley Rozner for 7 yds to the NCSU 40

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.27

Brennan Armstrong run for 3 yds to the NCSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Keyon Lesane

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.27

Brennan Armstrong run for 14 yds to the VMI 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jordan Houston run for 5 yds to the VMI 38

2nd & 5Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.66

Michael Allen run for 19 yds to the VMI 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Jordan Houston for 2 yds to the VMI 21

2nd & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Trent Pennix for 4 yds to the VMI 17

3rd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.26

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Julian Gray for 16 yds to the VMI 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Delbert Mimms III 1 Yd Run (Brayden Narveson Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Grant Swinehart run for 1 yd to the VMI 24

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Kendrick Raphael run for 7 yds to the NCSU 14

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Kendrick Raphael run for 2 yds to the NCSU 12

3rd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.15

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Porter Rooks for 14 yds to the NCSU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Kendrick Raphael run for no gain to the NCSU 26

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for 2 yds to the NCSU 28

3rd & 8Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.30

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Porter Rooks for 24 yds to the VMI 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Trent Pennix for 4 yds to the VMI 44

2nd & 6Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.18

Brennan Armstrong sacked by Dorien Starnes for a loss of 5 yards to the VMI 49

3rd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Porter Rooks for 5 yds to the VMI 44

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Caden Noonkester punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.20

Rashad Raymond run for 24 yds to the VMI 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Collin Shannon pass complete to Chance Knox for 6 yds to the VMI 36

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Collin Shannon pass complete to VJ Johnson for 3 yds to the VMI 39

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Collin Shannon pass incomplete to Aidan Twombly

4th & 1Punt+9 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for 46 yds , Jalen Coit returns for 9 yds to the NCSU 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keyon Lesane for 4 yds to the NCSU 28

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Michael Allen run for 1 yd to the NCSU 29

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keyon Lesane for 4 yds to the NCSU 33

4th & 1Punt+9 yds

Caden Noonkester punt for 44 yds , Chance Knox returns for 9 yds to the VMI 32

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Hunter Rice run for 2 yds to the VMI 30

2nd & 12Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.15

Collin Shannon pass complete to Ivan Thorpe for 12 yds to the VMI 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.15

Collin Shannon pass complete to Ivan Thorpe for no gain to the VMI 42

2nd & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +3.13

Collin Shannon pass complete to Egypt Nelson for 41 yds to the NCSU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.46

Collin Shannon sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the NCSU 27

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.16

Collin Shannon sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the NCSU 22

2nd & 20Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +3.69

Collin Shannon pass complete to Egypt Nelson for 22 yds for a TD (Caden Beck KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

PENALTY VMI UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Nelson,Egypt) 15 yards from VMI35 to VMI20. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Kickoff Return Touchdown+82 yds

Julian Gray 82 Yd Kickoff Return (Brayden Narveson Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Hunter Rice run for no gain to the VMI 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.12

Collin Shannon pass complete to Isaiah Lemmond for 16 yds to the VMI 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.14

Collin Shannon pass complete to Hunter Rice for no gain to the VMI 41

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Collin Shannon run for 8 yds to the VMI 49

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Rashad Raymond run for 5 yds to the NCSU 37

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.71

Grant Swinehart run for 1 yd to the NCSU 36

3rd & 4Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.57

Chandler Wilson sacked by Robert Kennedy for a loss of 8 yards to the NCSU 44

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Iii Delbert Mimms run for 5 yds to the NCSU 9

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.22

Iii Delbert Mimms run for 5 yds to the NCSU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Jr. Terrell Timmons

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.00

Michael Allen run for 11 yds to the NCSU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Jalen Coit for 3 yds to the NCSU 22

2nd & 13Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.42

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for 31 yds to the VMI 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.01

Kendrick Raphael run for 9 yds to the VMI 38

2nd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA -0.14

Kendrick Raphael run for 11 yds to the VMI 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.69

Kendrick Raphael run for 21 yds to the VMI 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Kendrick Raphael run for 3 yds to the VMI 9

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Kendrick Raphael run for 7 yds to the VMI 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Demarcus Jones II 2 Yd Run (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Grant Swinehart run for 2 yds to the VMI 27

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Hunter Rice run for 1 yd to the VMI 26

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Grant Swinehart run for 3 yds to the VMI 29

4th & 6Punt+33 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line , Jalen Coit returns for 33 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Kendrick Raphael run for 4 yds to the VMI 46

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kendrick Raphael run for 5 yds to the VMI 41

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.83

Kendrick Raphael run for 4 yds to the VMI 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Kendrick Raphael run for 1 yd to the VMI 36

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kendrick Raphael run for 5 yds to the VMI 31

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.82

Kendrick Raphael run for 4 yds to the VMI 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Ethan Rhodes run for 3 yds to the VMI 24

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.34

Kendrick Raphael run for 9 yds to the VMI 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Ii Demarcus Jones run for 4 yds to the VMI 19

Situational Analysis

VMI

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
28%
18 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
4 plays
57%
7 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th

NC State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
45%
31 plays
2nd
50%
6 plays
67%
9 plays
70%
10 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
100%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
80%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play