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← Back to GamesSep 9, 2023Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Pittsburgh by 4.3

Home Win Probability

Pittsburgh 66%

Market (Bovada)

Pittsburgh -6.5

Edge: Cincinnati +6.5 (2.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 9, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
CincinnatiCincinnati
10107027
PittsburghPittsburgh
7001421

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-107-177-207-2714-2721-27
PittsburghCincinnati

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20PITCINPITCINPITCINPITCINPITCINPITCINPITCINPITCINPITCINPITCINPITCINPITCINPUNT30ydTD464ydPUNT3-3ydFG574ydTD1075ydPUNT30ydMISS537ydTD776ydPUNT1033ydFG1769ydEND1-1ydPUNT610ydTO16ydTD436ydPUNT935ydPUNT3-4ydTD748ydPUNT424ydTD486ydPUNT714ydPUNT312ydTO3-3ydDOWNS64ydEND826yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Cincinnati and Pittsburgh
StatisticCincinnatiPittsburgh
Passing19-2710-32
Pass Yards155179
Rush Yards21683
Total Yards371262
Turnovers11
3rd Down6-165-14
Penalties7-905-35
Possession34:4325:07

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Cincinnati
passing
Emory Jones
18/26, 125 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Corey Kiner
20 CAR, 153 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Braden Smith
5 REC, 59 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Pittsburgh
passing
Phil Jurkovec
10/32, 179 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
C'Bo Flemister
6 CAR, 38 YDS
receiving
Gavin Bartholomew
3 REC, 80 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Caleb Junko punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Emory Jones pass complete to Chamon Metayer for 1 yd to the CIN 37

2nd & 9Rush+40 ydsPPA +3.34

Aaron Turner run for 25 yds to the PITT 38 for a 1ST down Pittsburgh Penalty, Personal Foul (Phillip O'Brien Jr.) to the PITT 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.13

Corey Kiner run for 11 yds to the PITT 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Emory Jones pass complete to Payten Singletary for 12 yds for a TD (Carter Brown KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

C'Bo Flemister run for 4 yds to the PITT 29

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

C'Bo Flemister run for no gain to the PITT 29

3rd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.49

Phil Jurkovec sacked by Eric Phillips for a loss of 7 yards to the PITT 22

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Caleb Junko punt for 59 yds

1st & 10Rush+68 ydsPPA +3.81

Corey Kiner run for 68 yds to the PITT 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Corey Kiner run for no gain to the PITT 11

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.18

Emory Jones run for 7 yds to the PITT 4

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Emory Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the PITT 5

4th & 4Field Goal Good+22 yds

Carter Brown 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Pittsburgh Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PITT 20

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete

2nd & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Phil Jurkovec run for 6 yds to the PITT 26

3rd & 9Penalty+15 yds

Cincinnati Penalty, Roughing the Passer on PACE, Deshawn enforced (Deshawn Pace) to the CIN 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.20

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 11 yds to the CIN 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 3 yds to the CIN 15

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Pittsburgh Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CIN 20

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.15

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 17 yds to the CIN 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.06

Daniel Carter run for a loss of 3 yards to the CIN 6

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 1 yd to the CIN 5

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 5 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Myles Montgomery run for no gain to the CIN 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Emory Jones pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Emory Jones pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Rush+38 ydsPPA +2.19

C'Bo Flemister run for 38 yds to the CIN 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.74

C'Bo Flemister run for a loss of 3 yards to the CIN 26

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 2 yds to the CIN 24

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete

4th & 11Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Ben Sauls 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the CIN 25

2nd & 9Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.43

Emory Jones pass complete to Braden Smith for 20 yds to the CIN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Emory Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Emory Jones pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty+5 yds

Pittsburgh Penalty, Offsides (Nate Temple) to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.31

Corey Kiner run for 13 yds to the PITT 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +0.85

Braden Smith pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 30 yds to the PITT 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Corey Kiner run for 7 yds for a TD (Carter Brown KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Daniel Carter run for 6 yds to the PITT 31

3rd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.95

Daniel Carter run for 10 yds to the PITT 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 4 yds to the PITT 45

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for no gain to the PITT 45

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Gavin Bartholomew for 4 yds to the PITT 49

4th & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.88

Daniel Carter run for 11 yds to the CIN 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.27

C'Bo Flemister run for a loss of 2 yards to the CIN 42

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Caleb Junko punt for 41 yds, downed at the CIN 1

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Emory Jones pass complete to Payten Singletary for 3 yds to the CIN 4

2nd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.47

Corey Kiner run for 11 yds to the CIN 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.77

Dee Wiggins run for 13 yds to the CIN 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Ryan Montgomery run for no gain to the CIN 28

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Emory Jones run for 4 yds to the CIN 32

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.17

Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 10 yds to the CIN 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Ryan Montgomery run for 2 yds to the CIN 44

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Emory Jones run for 7 yds to the PITT 49

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.14

Ryan Montgomery run for 4 yds to the PITT 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Corey Kiner run for 9 yds to the PITT 36

2nd & 1Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.42

Emory Jones pass complete to Braden Smith for a loss of 2 yards to the PITT 38

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Emory Jones pass incomplete

4th & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.25

Emory Jones pass complete to Corey Kiner for 9 yds to the PITT 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.97

Aaron Turner run for a loss of 3 yards to the PITT 32

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Emory Jones run for 2 yds to the PITT 30

3rd & 11Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.00

Emory Jones pass complete to Ryan Montgomery for no gain to the PITT 30

4th & 11Field Goal Good+47 yds

Carter Brown 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

[SG] Kneel down by JURKOVEC, Phil at PIT38 (team loss of 1).

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Corey Kiner run for 4 yds to the CIN 26

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.57

Emory Jones run for no gain to the CIN 26

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.42

Emory Jones pass complete to Braden Smith for 6 yds to the CIN 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Corey Kiner run for 2 yds to the CIN 34

2nd & 8Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.99

Emory Jones sacked by Devin Danielson for a loss of 4 yards to the CIN 30

3rd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Myles Montgomery run for 2 yds to the CIN 32

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 38 yds, fair catch by M.J. Devonshire at the PITT 30

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA -1.31

Phil Jurkovec run for 6 yds to the PITT 36 Phil Jurkovec fumbled, recovered by CIN Taj Ward

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Emory Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.08

Emory Jones pass complete to Braden Smith for 14 yds to the PITT 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Emory Jones pass complete to Aaron Turner for 1 yd to the PITT 21

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.96

Emory Jones pass complete to Braden Smith for 21 yds for a TD (Carter Brown KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.37

Phil Jurkovec run for 10 yds to the PITT 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.58

Phil Jurkovec sacked by Jowon Briggs for a loss of 1 yard to the PITT 31

3rd & 11Penalty+15 yds

JURKOVEC, Phil pass deep to the right incomplete intended for MEANS, Bub broken up by YOUNG, Jordan at the CIN40. PENALTY CIN Personal Foul on GRZESIAK, Daniel enforced 15 yards from the PIT31 to the PIT46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Daniel Carter run for 1 yd to the PITT 47

2nd & 9Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.17

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 19 yds to the CIN 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Daniel Carter run for no gain to the CIN 34

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.37

Phil Jurkovec sacked by Daniel Grzesiak and Malik Vann for a loss of 9 yards to the CIN 43

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Caleb Junko punt for 43 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Corey Kiner run for 2 yds to the CIN 22

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the CIN 23

3rd & 7Pass Reception-7 ydsPPA -0.31

Emory Jones pass complete to Corey Kiner for a loss of 7 yards to the CIN 16

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

JURKOVEC, Phil pass deep to the right incomplete intended for REYNOLDS, Daejon thrown to the CIN20. PENALTY CIN Pass Interference on HARRIS, Justin enforced 15 yards to the CIN33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.24

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Karter Johnson for 10 yds to the CIN 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

JURKOVEC, Phil pass deep to the left incomplete intended for JOHNSON, Kenny thrown to the CIN0. PENALTY CIN Pass Interference on HARRIS, Justin enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the CIN8 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 8Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.03

Phil Jurkovec sacked by Dontay Corleone for a loss of 10 yards to the CIN 18

2nd & 18Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.34

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 9 yds to the CIN 9

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete

4th & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +3.40

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 9 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Emory Jones pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 17 yds to the CIN 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Emory Jones pass complete to Payten Singletary for 2 yds to the CIN 44

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Myles Montgomery run for 5 yds to the CIN 49

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Emory Jones pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 37 yds, fair catch by M.J. Devonshire at the PITT 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+60 ydsPPA +3.94

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Gavin Bartholomew for 60 yds to the CIN 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

JURKOVEC, Phil pass to the right incomplete intended for BARTHOLOMEW, Gavin thrown to the CIN12. PENALTY CIN Holding on JONES, Dorian enforced 10 yards from the CIN26 to the CIN16 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +3.28

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Gavin Bartholomew for 16 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Corey Kiner run for 2 yds to the CIN 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Emory Jones pass complete to Payten Singletary for 7 yds to the CIN 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Corey Kiner run for no gain to the CIN 34

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.56

Emory Jones run for 1 yd to the CIN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Emory Jones run for 3 yds to the CIN 38

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Corey Kiner run for 5 yds to the CIN 43

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Emory Jones run for 1 yd to the CIN 44

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

Cincinnati Penalty, False Start (Jowon Briggs) to the CIN 39

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

JURKOVEC, Phil pass deep to the right incomplete intended for MEANS, Bub thrown to the PIT35; QB hurried by DINGLE, Jack. PENALTY CIN Pass Interference on HARRIS, Justin enforced 15 yards to the PIT29 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Phil Jurkovec run for 2 yds to the PITT 31

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete

4th & 8Penalty-5 yds

Pittsburgh Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the PITT 26

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Caleb Junko punt for 52 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Corey Kiner run for no gain to the CIN 22

2nd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.39

Emory Jones sacked by Dayon Hayes for a loss of 3 yards to the CIN 19

3rd & 13Interception0 ydsPPA +0.27

Emory Jones pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.50

Phil Jurkovec run for 14 yds to the CIN 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

C'Bo Flemister run for 1 yd to the CIN 28

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete

4th & 9Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.19

Phil Jurkovec sacked by Jack Dingle for a loss of 11 yards to the CIN 39

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Corey Kiner run for 3 yds to the CIN 42

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Corey Kiner run for 3 yds to the CIN 45

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.84

Emory Jones pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the PITT 49

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Emory Jones pass complete to Chamon Metayer for 6 yds to the PITT 43

3rd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.48

Corey Kiner run for 10 yds to the PITT 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

[NHSG] Kneel down by JONES, Emory at PIT34 (team loss of 1).

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.90

[NHSG] Kneel down by JONES, Emory at PIT35 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Cincinnati

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
28%
29 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
61%
18 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
29%
7 plays
100%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

Pittsburgh

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
17%
23 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
36%
11 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
17%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays