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← Back to GamesOct 28, 2023Week 9

House Prediction

Model Margin

Notre Dame by 24.2

Home Win Probability

Notre Dame 91%

Market (Bovada)

Notre Dame -21

Edge: Notre Dame -21 (3.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 28, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
PittsburghPittsburgh
00077
Notre DameNotre Dame
710271458

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-017-031-044-051-058-7
Notre DamePittsburgh

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDPITPITNDPITNDPITNDPITNDPITNDPITNDPITPITNDPITNDPITNDPITNDPITNDTO943ydTD37ydPUNT36ydTO645ydPUNT519ydDOWNS630ydTO54ydTD463ydMISS948ydPUNT627ydTO34ydFG425ydPUNT518ydTD380ydTD36ydTO21ydTD33ydPUNT3-2ydTD745ydPUNT437ydTD884ydTD375ydTD863ydPUNT417ydEND2-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Pittsburgh and Notre Dame
StatisticPittsburghNotre Dame
Passing16-3224-32
Pass Yards202380
Rush Yards53155
Total Yards255535
Turnovers52
3rd Down1-114-8
Penalties5-456-75
Possession24:2935:31

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Pittsburgh
passing
Christian Veilleux
14/29, 127 YDS, 4 INT
rushing
Rodney Hammond Jr.
6 CAR, 31 YDS
receiving
Jerrod Means
3 REC, 63 YDS
defense
Notre Dame
passing
Sam Hartman
18/25, 288 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Audric Estime
19 CAR, 114 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Rico Flores
2 REC, 72 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Sam Hartman pass complete to Audric Estime for 7 yds to the ND 32

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Audric Estime run for no gain to the ND 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.81

Sam Hartman pass complete to Audric Estime for 9 yds to the ND 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Jadarian Price run for 1 yd to the ND 42

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.82

Sam Hartman pass complete to Chris Tyree for 9 yds to the PITT 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Sam Hartman pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 7 yds to the PITT 42

2nd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.21

Sam Hartman pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 7 yds to the PITT 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Chris Tyree run for 3 yds to the PITT 32

2nd & 7Interception0 ydsPPA -3.81

Sam Hartman pass intercepted by Phillip O'Brien Jr., at the PITT9, return for 19 yards to the PITT 28

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.39

Christian Veilleux sacked by Marist Liufau for a loss of 9 yards to the PITT 19

2nd & 19Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.04

C'Bo Flemister run for 6 yds to the PITT 25

3rd & 13Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.31

Christian Veilleux pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 10 yds to the PITT 35

4th & 3Punt Return Touchdown+82 ydsPPA -7.11

Chris Tyree 82 Yd Punt Return (Spencer Shrader Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Christian Veilleux pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Christian Veilleux pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 3 yds to the PITT 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Christian Veilleux pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 3 yds to the PITT 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Caleb Junko punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception-7 ydsPPA -2.05

Sam Hartman pass complete to Jeremiyah Love for a loss of 7 yards to the ND 32

2nd & 17Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +4.28

Sam Hartman pass complete to Chris Tyree for 47 yds to the PITT 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Sam Hartman pass complete to Holden Staes for 9 yds to the PITT 12

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Audric Estime run for 2 yds to the PITT 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.66

Sam Hartman sacked by Samuel Okunlola for a loss of 6 yards to the PITT 16

2nd & 16Interception0 ydsPPA -3.82

Sam Hartman pass intercepted by Brandon George, at the PITT 13, returned for 3 yards to the PITT 21

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 5 yds to the PITT 21

2nd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.07

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 12 yds to the PITT 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Pittsburgh Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PITT 28

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Christian Veilleux pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Christian Veilleux pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.10

Christian Veilleux pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 7 yds to the PITT 35

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Caleb Junko punt for 31 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Audric Estime run for 8 yds to the ND 42

2nd & 2Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.01

Sam Hartman pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 16 yds to the PITT 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Sam Hartman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Audric Estime run for 4 yds to the PITT 38

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Gi'Bran Payne run for 2 yds to the PITT 36

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.03

Sam Hartman pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 7 yds to the PITT 43

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.27

Christian Veilleux pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.95

Kenny Johnson run for 8 yds to the ND 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Pittsburgh Penalty, Personal Foul (Bub Means) to the PITT 40

2nd & 21Interception0 ydsPPA -0.21

Christian Veilleux pass intercepted by Xavier Watts, at the UND 29, returned for 8 yards to the UND37

1st & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +2.24

Audric Estime run for 33 yds to the PITT 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.22

Sam Hartman pass complete to Rico Flores Jr. for 12 yds to the PITT 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Audric Estime run for 3 yds to the PITT 15

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.70

Audric Estime run for 15 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Pittsburgh Penalty, False Start (Bub Means) to the PITT 20

1st & 15Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.67

Christian Veilleux pass complete to Bub Means for 16 yds to the PITT 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Che Nwabuko run for a loss of 1 yard to the PITT 35

2nd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.43

Christian Veilleux pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 14 yds to the PITT 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.83

Christian Veilleux pass complete to Bub Means for 13 yds to the ND 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.39

Christian Veilleux pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 13 yds to the ND 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.68

C'Bo Flemister run for a loss of 2 yards to the ND 27

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Christian Veilleux pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Christian Veilleux pass incomplete

4th & 12Field Goal Missed+45 yds

Ben Sauls 45 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Sam Hartman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.48

Jadarian Price run for a loss of 2 yards to the ND 25

3rd & 12Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.09

Sam Hartman pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 22 yds to the ND 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Audric Estime run for 5 yds to the PITT 48

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.42

Audric Estime run for a loss of 1 yard to the PITT 49

3rd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Sam Hartman pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 3 yds to the PITT 46

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Bryce McFerson punt for 35 yds, fair catch by M.J. Devonshire at the PITT 11

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Christian Veilleux pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 4 yds to the PITT 15

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Christian Veilleux pass incomplete

3rd & 6Interception+15 ydsPPA +0.15

Christian Veilleux pass intercepted by Xavier Watts, at the PITT38, returned for 23 yards to the PITT15, for a 1ST down Notre Dame Penalty, Personal Foul (JD Bertrand) to the ND 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.39

Sam Hartman pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 21 yds to the PITT 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Sam Hartman pass complete to Chris Tyree for 6 yds to the PITT 3

2nd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.55

Audric Estime run for a loss of 2 yards to the PITT 5

3rd & 5Penalty-15 yds

HARTMAN, Sam pass short to the right complete for 5 yards to STAES, Holden caught at the PIT1 and advanced to the PIT0, TOUCHDOWN UND, score nullified by penalty (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY UND Pass Interference on EVANS, Mitchell enforced 15 yards to the PIT20 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 20Penalty+20 yds

HARTMAN, Sam pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for GREATHOUSE, Jaden thrown to the PIT0. PENALTY PIT Pass Interference on WILLIAMS, Marquis enforced at the spot of the foul for 20 yards to the PIT0 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Field Goal Good+23 yds

Spencer Shrader 23 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.01

Christian Veilleux pass complete to Kenny Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the PITT 26

2nd & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Christian Veilleux pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 4 yds to the PITT 30

3rd & 8Penalty+15 yds

VEILLEUX, Christian pass to the right incomplete intended for REYNOLDS, Daejon thrown to the PIT36. PENALTY UND Face mask on HARPER, Thomas enforced 15 yards from the PIT30 to the PIT45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

C'Bo Flemister run for 1 yd to the PITT 46

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Christian Veilleux pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Christian Veilleux pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Caleb Junko punt for 54 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+60 ydsPPA +3.77

Sam Hartman pass complete to Rico Flores Jr. for 60 yds to the PITT 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.10

Audric Estime run for 10 yds to the PITT 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Jadarian Price run for 10 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 6 yds to the PITT 41

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Christian Veilleux pass incomplete

3rd & 4Interception Return Touchdown+43 ydsPPA -7.99

Jaden Mickey 43 Yd Interception Return (Spencer Shrader Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 1 yd to the PITT 21

2nd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -0.15

Christian Veilleux pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Sam Hartman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Audric Estime run for 3 yds to the PITT 47

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Sam Hartman pass incomplete

4th & 7Fumble Return Touchdown0 ydsPPA -7.72

Ramon Henderson 0 Yd Fumble Return (Spencer Shrader PAT failed)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

C'Bo Flemister run for 2 yds to the PITT 17

2nd & 8Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.40

Christian Veilleux pass complete to C'Bo Flemister for a loss of 4 yards to the PITT 13

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Christian Veilleux pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Caleb Junko punt for 52 yds

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Notre Dame Penalty, False Start (Mitchell Evans) to the 50 yard line

1st & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.74

Audric Estime run for 8 yds to the PITT 42

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

ESTIME, Audric rush up the middle for a gain of 4 yards to the PIT38 (DESHIELDS, Solomon). PENALTY UND Holding on CORRELL, Zeke enforced 10 yards from the PIT42 to the UND48. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 17Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.82

Sam Hartman pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 13 yds to the PITT 39

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Audric Estime run for 2 yds to the PITT 37

4th & 2Penalty-15 yds

Notre Dame Penalty, Personal Foul (Blake Fisher) to the PITT 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +1.73

Sam Hartman pass complete to Tobias Merriweather for 42 yds to the PITT 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Jadarian Price run for 2 yds to the PITT 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Audric Estime run for 3 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.84

Christian Veilleux pass complete to Bub Means for 34 yds to the ND 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for no gain to the ND 41

2nd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.86

Christian Veilleux sacked by Jordan Botelho for a loss of 4 yards to the ND 45

3rd & 14Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.56

Christian Veilleux pass complete to Malcolm Epps for 12 yds to the ND 33

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

Pittsburgh Penalty, False Start (Terrence Enos Jr.) to the ND 38

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Caleb Junko punt for 22 yds, fair catch by Jordan Faison at the ND 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.66

Steve Angeli pass complete to Jeremiyah Love for 33 yds to the ND 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.68

Audric Estime run for 10 yds to the PITT 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Audric Estime run for 5 yds to the PITT 36

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Audric Estime run for 1 yd to the PITT 35

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.05

Steve Angeli pass complete to Gi'Bran Payne for 6 yds to the PITT 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +0.74

Jadarian Price run for 23 yds to the PITT 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Jadarian Price run for 1 yd to the PITT 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Audric Estime run for 5 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

C'Bo Flemister run for no gain to the PITT 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+50 ydsPPA +4.08

Nate Yarnell pass complete to Karter Johnson for 50 yds to the ND 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Nate Yarnell pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 25 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.29

Steve Angeli pass complete to Jordan Faison for 14 yds to the PITT 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Jeremiyah Love run for 3 yds to the PITT 46

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Steve Angeli pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.32

Steve Angeli pass complete to Braylon James for 12 yds to the PITT 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jeremiyah Love run for 4 yds to the PITT 30

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.35

Steve Angeli pass complete to Tobias Merriweather for 8 yds to the PITT 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Jeremiyah Love run for 3 yds to the PITT 19

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.77

Steve Angeli pass complete to Cooper Flanagan for 19 yds for a TD (Zac Yoakam KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

C'Bo Flemister run for 11 yds to the PITT 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

C'Bo Flemister run for 4 yds to the PITT 40

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

C'Bo Flemister run for 2 yds to the PITT 42

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Nate Yarnell pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Caleb Junko punt for 53 yds, downed at the ND 5

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

[NH] Kneel down by MINCHEY, Kenny at UND4 (team loss of 1).

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.10

[NH] Kneel down by MINCHEY, Kenny at UND2 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Pittsburgh

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
40%
20 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
17%
6 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Notre Dame

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
60%
30 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
38%
8 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play