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← Back to GamesOct 7, 2023Week 6

House Prediction

Model Margin

Notre Dame by 2.2

Home Win Probability

Louisville 41%

Market (Bovada)

Louisville +6

Edge: Louisville +6 (3.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 7, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Notre DameNotre Dame
076720
LouisvilleLouisville
70101633

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-710-1017-1324-1330-1333-20
LouisvilleNotre Dame

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDLOUNDLOUNDLOUNDLOUNDLOUNDLOUNDLOUNDLOUNDLOUNDLOUNDLOUNDLOUNDLOUNDNDLOUTO429ydTD1270ydPUNT411ydPUNT521ydPUNT57ydPUNT34ydTD1188ydPUNT3-7ydTO619ydPUNT32ydPUNT3-3ydMISS625ydEND1-1ydTO114ydFG44ydFG948ydPUNT37ydTD264ydFG727ydTD1175ydDOWNS510ydFG47ydTO10ydFG4-4ydTO41ydFG48ydTD775ydTO319ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Notre Dame and Louisville
StatisticNotre DameLouisville
Passing22-3817-24
Pass Yards254145
Rush Yards44185
Total Yards298330
Turnovers51
3rd Down3-135-14
Penalties3-356-35
Possession28:3631:24

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Notre Dame
passing
Sam Hartman
22/38, 254 YDS, 2 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Jeremiyah Love
5 CAR, 37 YDS
receiving
Mitchell Evans
4 REC, 71 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Louisville
passing
Jack Plummer
17/24, 145 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jawhar Jordan
21 CAR, 143 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jamari Thrash
8 REC, 75 YDS, 1 TD
defense
TJ Quinn
0.5 TFL

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Brock Travelstead kickoff for 63 yds , Jadarian Price return for 20 yds to the ND 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Sam Hartman pass complete to Rico Flores Jr. for 4 yds to the ND 26

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.22

Sam Hartman pass complete to Rico Flores Jr. for 10 yds to the ND 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.38

Sam Hartman pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 15 yds to the LOU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.24

Sam Hartman pass intercepted Quincy Riley return for no gain to the LOU 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jawhar Jordan for 6 yds to the LOU 36

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.56

Jawhar Jordan run for 4 yds to the LOU 40

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.58

Jawhar Jordan run for 4 yds to the LOU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.83

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 10 yds to the ND 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Isaac Guerendo run for 1 yd to the ND 45

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jadon Thompson for 7 yds to the ND 38

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.89

Jawhar Jordan run for 5 yds to the ND 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.29

Jawhar Jordan run for 13 yds to the ND 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jawhar Jordan run for 5 yds to the ND 15

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.35

Isaac Guerendo run for 8 yds to the ND 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Evan Conley run for 3 yds to the ND 4

2nd & 0Penalty-5 yds

Louisville Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the ND 9

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.74

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 9 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)

2nd & 12Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Brock Travelstead kickoff for 65 yds , Devyn Ford return for 15 yds to the ND 15

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.77

Jeremiyah Love run for 13 yds to the ND 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jeremiyah Love run for 5 yds to the ND 33

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Rico Flores Jr.

3rd & 5Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.70

Sam Hartman sacked by Ramon Puryear for a loss of 7 yards to the ND 26

4th & 12Punt+5 yds

Bryce McFerson punt for 47 yds , Kevin Coleman returns for 5 yds to the LOU 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jimmy Calloway for 4 yds to the LOU 36

2nd & 6Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.12

Jawhar Jordan run for 18 yds to the ND 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.69

Jack Plummer sacked by Nana Osafo-Mensah for a loss of 8 yards to the LOU 46

2nd & 18Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Jawhar Jordan run for 7 yds to the ND 47

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Kevin Coleman

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Brock Travelstead punt for 47 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Sam Hartman pass complete to Jeremiyah Love for 9 yds to the ND 29

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Audric Estime run for 4 yds to the ND 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Chris Tyree

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Sam Hartman run for 3 yds to the ND 36

3rd & 7Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.71

Sam Hartman sacked by Ashton Gillotte for a loss of 9 yards to the ND 27

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Bryce McFerson punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kevin Coleman at the LOU 31

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Isaac Guerendo run for 4 yds to the LOU 35

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Chris Bell

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

Jack Plummer run for no gain to the LOU 35

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Brock Travelstead punt for 53 yds, downed at the ND 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Sam Hartman pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 5 yds to the ND 17

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.39

Audric Estime run for 5 yds to the ND 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Sam Hartman pass complete to Holden Staes for 7 yds to the ND 29

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.20

Audric Estime run for 3 yds to the ND 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Audric Estime run for 2 yds to the ND 34

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.01

Sam Hartman pass complete to Chris Tyree for 13 yds to the ND 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Jadarian Price run for 2 yds to the ND 49

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Jayden Thomas

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.70

Sam Hartman pass complete to Jordan Faison for 12 yds to the LOU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Audric Estime run for 3 yds to the LOU 36

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.40

Jordan Faison 36 Yd pass from Sam Hartman (Spencer Shrader KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Jimmy Calloway

3rd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.25

Jack Plummer sacked by JD Bertrand for a loss of 7 yards to the LOU 18

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Brock Travelstead punt for 48 yds, downed at the ND 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Sam Hartman pass complete to Chris Tyree for 8 yds to the ND 42

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.08

Audric Estime run for 1 yd to the ND 43

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Notre Dame Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ND 38

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Jeremiyah Love run for 3 yds to the ND 41

4th & 3Penalty+5 yds

Louisville Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the ND 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Sam Hartman pass complete to Holden Staes for 9 yds to the LOU 45

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.26

Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Rico Flores Jr.

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-2 ydsPPA -2.77

Sam Hartman run for a loss of 2 yards to the LOU 47 Sam Hartman fumbled, recovered by LOU Jarvis Brownlee Jr.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Maurice Turner run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Maurice Turner run for 5 yds to the ND 45

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.37

Evan Conley run for a loss of 1 yard to the ND 46

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

Louisville Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LOU 49

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Brock Travelstead punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Chris Tyree at the ND 20

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Sam Hartman run for 7 yds to the ND 27

2nd & 3Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.43

Sam Hartman sacked by Mason Reiger for a loss of 10 yards to the ND 17

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Sam Hartman pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt+12 yds

Bryce McFerson punt for 45 yds , Kevin Coleman returns for 12 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 9 yds to the ND 41

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Jawhar Jordan run for no gain to the ND 41

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.83

Jawhar Jordan run for 4 yds to the ND 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 6 yds to the ND 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Jack Plummer pass complete to Kevin Coleman for 6 yds to the ND 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Brock Travelstead 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ND 24

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+14 ydsPPA -0.92

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 14 yds Jamari Thrash fumbled, forced by Cam Hart, recovered by ND Cam Hart

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.88

Audric Estime run for a loss of 5 yards to the LOU 44

2nd & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Sam Hartman pass complete to Audric Estime for 9 yds to the LOU 35

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Chris Tyree

4th & 6Field Goal Good+53 yds

Spencer Shrader 53 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jawhar Jordan for 3 yds to the LOU 28

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Jawhar Jordan run for 2 yds to the LOU 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.55

Jack Plummer pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 16 yds to the LOU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Chris Bell

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.33

Jack Plummer pass complete to Joey Gatewood for 18 yds to the ND 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Jawhar Jordan run for 6 yds to the ND 30

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.08

Jawhar Jordan run for a loss of 2 yards to the ND 32

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jack Plummer pass complete to Nate Kurisky for 5 yds to the ND 27

4th & 1Field Goal Good+44 yds

Brock Travelstead 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Audric Estime run for 6 yds to the ND 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Sam Hartman pass complete to Chris Tyree for 3 yds to the ND 34

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.88

Gi'Bran Payne run for a loss of 2 yards to the ND 32

4th & 3Punt+4 yds

Bryce McFerson punt for 36 yds , Kevin Coleman returns for 4 yds to the LOU 36

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.67

Ahmari Huggins-Bruce run for 19 yds to the ND 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+45 ydsPPA +3.48

Jawhar Jordan run for 45 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+37 yds

Brock Travelstead kickoff for 65 yds , Jadarian Price return for 37 yds to the ND 37

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Notre Dame Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (-15 Yards) to the ND 22

1st & 25Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Jeremiyah Love run for 5 yds to the ND 27

2nd & 20Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.12

Sam Hartman pass complete to Jeremiyah Love for 7 yds to the ND 34

3rd & 13Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.73

Sam Hartman pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 24 yds to the LOU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Audric Estime run for 2 yds to the LOU 40

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Sam Hartman run for 5 yds to the LOU 35

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.26

Audric Estime run for a loss of 1 yard to the LOU 36

4th & 4Field Goal Good+54 yds

Spencer Shrader 54 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 14 yds to the LOU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Jawhar Jordan run for 8 yds to the LOU 47

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.08

Jawhar Jordan run for 1 yd to the LOU 48

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.99

Jawhar Jordan run for 1 yd to the LOU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Jimmy Calloway

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Jamari Thrash

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Louisville Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the LOU 44

3rd & 15Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.79

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down Notre Dame Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the ND 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Isaac Guerendo run for 5 yds to the ND 30

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Isaac Guerendo run for 2 yds to the ND 28

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.64

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 7 yds to the ND 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Jawhar Jordan run for 21 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Jeremiyah Love run for 11 yds to the ND 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Sam Hartman pass complete to Rico Flores Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the ND 35

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Sam Hartman pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Mitchell Evans

4th & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.18

Sam Hartman pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Jawhar Jordan run for 1 yd to the ND 34

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Jawhar Jordan run for 2 yds to the ND 32

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Isaac Guerendo run for 4 yds to the ND 28

4th & 3Field Goal Good+45 yds

Brock Travelstead 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+34 ydsPPA -0.92

Sam Hartman pass intercepted Devin Neal return for 34 yds to the ND 10

1st & 0Penalty-5 yds

Louisville Penalty, False Start (Austin Collins) to the ND 15

1st & 15Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Jawhar Jordan run for a loss of 2 yards to the ND 17

2nd & 0Rush0 yds

Jawhar Jordan run for no gain to the ND 17

3rd & 0Rush+3 yds

Jack Plummer run for 3 yds to the ND 14

4th & 14Field Goal Good+32 yds

Brock Travelstead 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.20

Sam Hartman sacked by Kameron Wilson and Ashton Gillotte for a loss of 9 yards to the ND 16

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Sam Hartman pass incomplete

3rd & 19Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.15

Sam Hartman run for 12 yds to the ND 28

4th & 7Sack-2 ydsPPA +0.20

Sam Hartman sacked by Mason Reiger for a loss of 2 yards to the ND 26 Sam Hartman fumbled, forced by Mason Reiger, recovered by LOU Ramon Puryear , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Isaac Guerendo run for 1 yd to the ND 25

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Isaac Guerendo run for 2 yds to the ND 23

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jack Plummer pass complete to Maurice Turner for 5 yds to the ND 18

4th & 2Field Goal Good+35 yds

Brock Travelstead 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.46

Sam Hartman pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 28 yds to the LOU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Sam Hartman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.03

Sam Hartman pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 26 yds to the LOU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Tobias Merriweather

2nd & 10Penalty+10 yds

Louisville Penalty, Roughing Passer (10 Yards) to the LOU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Sam Hartman pass complete to Jadarian Price for 5 yds to the LOU 6

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Tobias Merriweather

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Sam Hartman pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 6 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Sam Hartman pass complete to Gi'Bran Payne for 2 yds to the ND 46

2nd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.00

Sam Hartman pass complete to Tobias Merriweather for 17 yds to the LOU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+4 ydsPPA -3.95

Sam Hartman pass intercepted Devin Neal return for 4 yds to the LOU 25

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LOU 24

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.33

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LOU 23

Situational Analysis

Notre Dame

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
45%
29 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
20%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
71%
7 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
0%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Louisville

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
48%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
57%
7 plays
44%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th