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← Back to GamesSep 24, 2023Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

USC by 17.3

Home Win Probability

Arizona State 11%

Market (Bovada)

Arizona State +34

Edge: Arizona State +34 (16.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 24, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
USCUSC
14761542
Arizona StateArizona State
768728

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-1410-1413-2113-2421-2728-42
Arizona StateUSC

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20USCASUSCASUSCASUSCASUSCASASUSCASUSCASUSCASUSCASUSCASUSCASUSCTD1275ydPUNT35ydTO1-2ydTD315ydTD987ydFG1348ydTD543ydFG1364ydPUNT535ydEND14ydPUNT511ydFG728ydTD575ydFG664ydTO22ydDOWNS630ydPUNT628ydPUNT37ydTO414ydTD244ydTD675ydTD375ydDOWNS1236ydEND3-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing USC and Arizona State
StatisticUSCArizona State
Passing20-3123-39
Pass Yards322263
Rush Yards21390
Total Yards535353
Turnovers12
3rd Down3-106-16
Penalties10-854-26
Possession28:1231:48

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

USC
passing
Caleb Williams
20/31, 322 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
MarShawn Lloyd
14 CAR, 154 YDS
receiving
Brenden Rice
7 REC, 133 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Arizona State
passing
Drew Pyne
21/36, 221 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Cameron Skattebo
20 CAR, 111 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Elijhah Badger
9 REC, 88 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Caleb Williams pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 2 yds to the USC 27

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Caleb Williams run for 2 yds to the USC 25

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY USC False Start (Dedich,Justin) 5 yards from USC25 to USC20. NO PLAY.

3rd & 15Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY USC Delay Of Game 5 yards from USC20 to USC15. NO PLAY.

3rd & 20Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.41

Caleb Williams pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 23 yds to the USC 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Caleb Williams run for 9 yds to the USC 47

2nd & 1Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.61

MarShawn Lloyd run for 18 yds to the ASU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.38

MarShawn Lloyd run for 17 yds to the ASU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Mario Williams

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Caleb Williams pass complete to Brenden Rice for 6 yds to the ASU 12

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.13

Caleb Williams pass complete to Brenden Rice for 8 yds to the ASU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

MarShawn Lloyd run for 3 yds to the ASU 1

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Brenden Rice

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Caleb Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (Denis Lynch KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Xavier Guillory

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Drew Pyne pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty+5 yds

Shotgun Pyne,Drew pass incomplete short middle to Badger,Elijhah PENALTY USC Offside (Alexander,Bear) 5 yards from ASU25 to ASU30. NO PLAY.

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Elijhah Badger

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Cameron Skattebo punt for 53 yds

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -0.46

MarShawn Lloyd run for 2 yds to the USC 15 MarShawn Lloyd fumbled, recovered by ASU Tate Romney

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Drew Pyne run for 2 yds to the USC 17

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Cameron Skattebo run for 2 yds to the USC 15

3rd & 10Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +3.24

Cameron Skattebo run for 15 yds for a TD (Dario Longhetto KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Dario Longhetto kickoff for 65 yds , Zachariah Branch return for 13 yds to the USC 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for 4 yds to the USC 17

2nd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.33

Caleb Williams pass complete to Michael Jackson III for 16 yds to the USC 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Caleb Williams run for no gain to the USC 33

2nd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.62

Zachariah Branch run for 28 yds to the ASU 39 USC Penalty, Offensive Holding (Kyron Hudson) to the USC 40

2nd & 3Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.19

Austin Jones run for 14 yds to the ASU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Austin Jones run for 6 yds to the ASU 40

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -2.19

Caleb Williams sacked by B.J. Green II for a loss of 5 yards to the ASU 45 Caleb Williams fumbled, recovered by USC Caleb Williams , return for 0 yards

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY USC False Start (Pregnon,Emmanuel) 5 yards from ASU45 to ASU50. NO PLAY.

3rd & 14Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.46

Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for 12 yds to the ASU 38

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY USC False Start (Kingston,Jarrett) 5 yards from ASU38 to ASU43. NO PLAY.

4th & 7Passing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +5.98

Caleb Williams pass complete to Brenden Rice for 43 yds for a TD (Denis Lynch KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Cameron Skattebo run for 6 yds to the ASU 41

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.57

Cameron Skattebo run for 4 yds to the ASU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.59

Drew Pyne sacked by Romello Height for a loss of 2 yards to the ASU 43

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Cameron Skattebo run for 6 yds to the ASU 49

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.24

Drew Pyne pass complete to Cameron Skattebo for 8 yds to the USC 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Bryce Pierre

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Drew Pyne pass complete to Andre Johnson for 7 yds to the USC 36

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.91

Cameron Skattebo run for 4 yds to the USC 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.29

Drew Pyne pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 15 yds to the USC 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Kyson Brown run for 4 yds to the USC 13

2nd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Drew Pyne pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 1 yd to the USC 12

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Elijhah Badger

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY ASU Delay Of Game 5 yards from USC12 to USC17. NO PLAY.

4th & 10Field Goal Good+35 yds

Dario Longhetto 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.56

Caleb Williams pass complete to Dorian Singer for 14 yds to the ASU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

MarShawn Lloyd run for 7 yds to the ASU 22

2nd & 3Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.98

MarShawn Lloyd run for 19 yds to the ASU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Penalty+2 yds

Arizona State Penalty, Personal Foul (2 Yards) to the ASU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Caleb Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (Denis Lynch KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Denis Lynch kickoff for 65 yds , Elijhah Badger return for 24 yds to the ASU 24

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Cameron Skattebo run for 4 yds to the ASU 28

2nd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Drew Pyne pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 1 yd to the ASU 29

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Jalin Conyers

4th & 5Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.58

Cameron Skattebo pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 25 yds to the USC 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Xavier Guillory

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.07

Drew Pyne pass complete to Bryce Pierre for no gain to the USC 46

3rd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.79

Kyson Brown run for 15 yds to the USC 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Drew Pyne pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 3 yds to the USC 34

2nd & 13Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.32

Cameron Skattebo pass complete to Drew Pyne for 17 yds to the USC 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Cameron Skattebo run for 5 yds to the USC 12

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Cameron Skattebo run for no gain to the USC 12

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Cameron Skattebo pass incomplete to Kyson Brown

4th & 5Field Goal Good+30 yds

Dario Longhetto 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Dario Longhetto kickoff for 65 yds , Zachariah Branch return for 16 yds to the USC 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.89

Caleb Williams pass complete to Michael Jackson III for 14 yds to the USC 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.51

Austin Jones run for 16 yds to the USC 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Caleb Williams run for 5 yds to the ASU 49

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.19

Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Mario Williams

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Austin Jones

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 49 yds for a touchback

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Drew Pyne pass complete to Kyson Brown for 4 yds to the ASU 24

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Denis Lynch kickoff for 63 yds , Elijhah Badger return for 28 yds to the ASU 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Xavier Guillory

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.90

Drew Pyne pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 11 yds to the ASU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Andre Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Josiah Cox

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Elijhah Badger

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Josh Carlson punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the USC 35

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Brenden Rice

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.07

Caleb Williams pass complete to Brenden Rice for 11 yds to the USC 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.25

Caleb Williams pass complete to Brenden Rice for 20 yds to the ASU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

MarShawn Lloyd run for 6 yds to the ASU 28

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Kyron Hudson

3rd & 4Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.71

Caleb Williams sacked by Prince Dorbah for a loss of 9 yards to the ASU 37

4th & 13Field Goal Good+53 yds

Denis Lynch 53 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.24

Cameron Skattebo run for 10 yds to the ASU 35 for a 1ST down USC Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Mason Cobb) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Cameron Skattebo run for 4 yds to the USC 46

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Cameron Skattebo run for 3 yds to the USC 43

3rd & 3Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.68

Cameron Skattebo run for 18 yds to the USC 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Elijhah Badger 25 Yd pass from Drew Pyne (Cameron Skattebo Run for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Dario Longhetto kickoff for 65 yds , Zachariah Branch return for 17 yds to the USC 17

1st & 10Rush+43 ydsPPA +3.35

MarShawn Lloyd run for 43 yds to the ASU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +1.50

Caleb Williams pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 36 yds to the ASU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Penalty-15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Williams,Caleb pass complete short right to Branch,Zachariah for 4 yards to the ASU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 08:08 PENALTY USC Pass Interference (Washington,Tahj) 15 yards from ASU04 to ASU19. NO PLAY.

1st & 19Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

MarShawn Lloyd run for 4 yds to the ASU 15

2nd & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Caleb Williams pass complete to MarShawn Lloyd for 4 yds to the ASU 19

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Dorian Singer

4th & 19Field Goal Good+36 yds

Denis Lynch 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Cameron Skattebo run for 2 yds to the ASU 27

2nd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA -0.47

Drew Pyne pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

MarShawn Lloyd run for 5 yds to the ASU 37

2nd & 5Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.60

Caleb Williams pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 18 yds to the ASU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

MarShawn Lloyd run for 2 yds to the ASU 17

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Austin Jones

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY USC False Start (Dedich,Justin) 5 yards from ASU17 to ASU22. NO PLAY.

3rd & 13Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.66

Caleb Williams run for 10 yds to the ASU 12

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.84

Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Michael Jackson III

1st & 10Penalty-6 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Skattebo,Cam rush right for 1 yard gain to the ASU13 (Muhammad,Jamil) PENALTY ASU Holding (Fautanu,Leif) 6 yards from ASU12 to ASU06. NO PLAY.

1st & 16Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.94

Drew Pyne pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 29 yds to the ASU 35 for a 1ST down USC Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (MarShawn Lloyd) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Drew Pyne pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 6 yds to the ASU 41

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.75

Cameron Skattebo run for 6 yds to the ASU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Drew Pyne run for 4 yds to the USC 49

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Drew Pyne pass complete to Bryce Pierre for 3 yds to the ASU 48

3rd & 9Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.19

Drew Pyne sacked by Bear Alexander for a loss of 8 yards to the ASU 40

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Josh Carlson punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Zachariah Branch at the USC 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Caleb Williams pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 7 yds to the USC 29

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Zachariah Branch

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Tahj Washington

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Melquan Stovall at the ASU 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.28

Drew Pyne pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 26 yds to the USC 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Drew Pyne pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 1 yd to the USC 45

2nd & 11Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.39

Drew Pyne sacked by Romello Height for a loss of 10 yards to the ASU 45

3rd & 21Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -0.26

Drew Pyne sacked by Solomon Byrd for a loss of 1 yard to the ASU 44 Drew Pyne fumbled, recovered by USC Romello Height , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.62

MarShawn Lloyd run for 15 yds to the ASU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +2.79

Brenden Rice 29 Yd pass from Caleb Williams (Caleb Williams Pass to Mario Williams for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Cameron Skattebo run for no gain to the ASU 25

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

USC Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Christian Roland-Wallace) to the ASU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Xavier Guillory

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Cameron Skattebo run for 7 yds to the USC 48

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.45

Drew Pyne pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 4 yds to the ASU 48

4th & 7Passing Touchdown+52 ydsPPA +6.59

Drew Pyne pass complete to Cameron Skattebo for 52 yds for a TD (Dario Longhetto KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Caleb Williams pass complete to Brenden Rice for 16 yds to the USC 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.18

MarShawn Lloyd run for 14 yds to the ASU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+45 ydsPPA +3.48

Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 45 yds for a TD (Denis Lynch KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+31 yds

Denis Lynch kickoff for 61 yds , Elijhah Badger return for 31 yds to the ASU 34 Arizona State Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the ASU 20

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.89

Drew Pyne sacked by Jamil Muhammad for a loss of 7 yards to the ASU 13

2nd & 17Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.10

Drew Pyne sacked by Solomon Byrd for a loss of 3 yards to the ASU 10

3rd & 20Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.15

Drew Pyne pass complete to Cameron Skattebo for 14 yds to the ASU 24

4th & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.18

Drew Pyne pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 13 yds to the ASU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.36

Drew Pyne pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 15 yds to the USC 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.36

Drew Pyne sacked by Tackett Curtis for a loss of 6 yards to the ASU 46

2nd & 16Fumble Recovery (Own)+14 ydsPPA +2.09

Cameron Skattebo run for 14 yds to the USC 40 Cameron Skattebo fumbled, recovered by ASU Leif Fautanu

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.91

Cameron Skattebo run for 3 yds to the USC 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.77

Drew Pyne sacked by Tackett Curtis for a loss of 5 yards to the USC 42

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Xavier Guillory

3rd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Cameron Skattebo run for 2 yds to the USC 44

4th & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Elijhah Badger

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

MarShawn Lloyd run for 3 yds to the USC 47

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.61

C. Williams takes a knee

3rd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.59

C. Williams takes a knee

Situational Analysis

USC

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
70%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
60%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
75%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Arizona State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
29%
28 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
29%
7 plays
43%
7 plays
43%
7 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
0%
1 play