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← Back to GamesNov 18, 2023Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan by 21.4

Home Win Probability

Maryland 9%

Market (Bovada)

Maryland +17.5

Edge: Michigan -17.5 (3.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 18, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MichiganMichigan
1676231
MarylandMaryland
3714024

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-03-73-2310-2317-2317-2924-2924-31
MarylandMichigan

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MICMARMICMARMARMICMARMICMARMARMICMARMICMARMICMARMICMARMICMARMICPUNT39ydFG1157ydTD965ydTD3-21ydPUNT3-7ydTD1564ydTD1475ydTO1268ydEND1-1ydTD978ydPUNT39ydTO418ydTD851ydTD984ydPUNT519ydPUNT6-2ydPUNT37ydTO3-8ydPUNT3-9ydSAF2-1ydEND728yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Michigan and Maryland
StatisticMichiganMaryland
Passing12-2321-31
Pass Yards141247
Rush Yards15015
Total Yards291262
Turnovers13
3rd Down4-135-12
Penalties2-255-35
Possession30:5629:04

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Michigan
passing
J.J. McCarthy
12/23, 141 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Blake Corum
28 CAR, 94 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Colston Loveland
3 REC, 36 YDS
defense
Maryland
passing
Taulia Tagovailoa
21/31, 247 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Roman Hemby
11 CAR, 35 YDS
receiving
Kaden Prather
3 REC, 81 YDS
defense
Beau Brade
1 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the MICH 18

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the MICH 22

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 4 yds to the MICH 26

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 58 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Roman Hemby run for 3 yds to the MD 29

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Roman Hemby run for 6 yds to the MD 35

3rd & 1Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.76

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 10 yds to the MD 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for 8 yds to the MICH 47

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.99

Roman Hemby run for 1 yd to the MICH 46

3rd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.14

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for 6 yds to the MICH 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.51

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 16 yds to the MICH 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 1 yd to the MICH 23

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Roman Hemby run for 2 yds to the MICH 21

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Taulia Tagovailoa run for 4 yds to the MICH 17

4th & 3Field Goal Good+35 yds

Jack Howes 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.95

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 23 yds to the MD 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.39

Blake Corum run for 12 yds to the MD 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.25

Blake Corum run for 14 yds to the MD 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Donovan Edwards run for 3 yds to the MD 13

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Blake Corum run for 6 yds to the MD 7

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.05

Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the MD 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the MD 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Blake Corum run for 2 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

3rd & 10Fumble Return Touchdown+4 ydsPPA -6.87

Derrick Moore 4 Yd Fumble Return (James Turner Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Colby McDonald run for 2 yds to the MD 27

2nd & 8Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.80

Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Jaylen Harrell for a loss of 9 yards to the MD 18

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

4th & 17Blocked Punt0 yds

punt blocked by for a SAFETY blocked by for a SAFETY

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Donovan Edwards run for 6 yds to the MICH 42

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.74

Donovan Edwards run for 6 yds to the MICH 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Donovan Edwards run for 4 yds to the MD 48

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.92

Blake Corum run for 7 yds to the MD 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Kalel Mullings run for 8 yds to the MD 33

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.18

Kalel Mullings run for 5 yds to the MD 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

J.J. McCarthy run for no gain to the MD 28

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Donovan Edwards run for 2 yds to the MD 26

4th & 8Penalty0 yds

MCCARTHY, J.J. pass to the right incomplete intended for BARNER, AJ thrown to the UMD16. PENALTY UMD Pass Interference on STILL, Tarheeb enforced half the distance from the goal, 10 yards to the UMD16 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Donovan Edwards run for 3 yds to the MD 1

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.49

Donovan Edwards run for a loss of 1 yard to the MD 17

3rd & 11Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.70

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 13 yds to the MD 4 for a 1ST down

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Blake Corum run for no gain to the MD 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Blake Corum 1 Yd Run (James Turner Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Roman Hemby run for no gain to the MD 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.93

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Kaden Prather for 14 yds to the MD 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 5 yds to the MD 44

2nd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.27

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 11 yds to the MICH 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.63

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for 14 yds to the MICH 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 4 yds to the MICH 27

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 4 yds to the MICH 23

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.33

Antwain Littleton II run for 3 yds to the MICH 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Antwain Littleton II run for 3 yds to the MICH 17

2nd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.80

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 16 yds to the MICH 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Colby McDonald run for a loss of 1 yard to the MICH 2

3rd & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Colby McDonald for 1 yd to the MICH 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Billy Edwards Jr. 1 Yd Run (Jack Howes Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Donovan Edwards run for 3 yds to the MICH 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.42

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 10 yds to the MICH 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.94

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Tyler Morris for 26 yds to the MD 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Donovan Edwards run for 4 yds to the MD 32

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Donovan Edwards run for 2 yds to the MD 30

4th & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.81

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 12 yds to the MD 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.62

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Blake Corum for 9 yds to the MD 9

2nd & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.57

Blake Corum run for no gain to the MD 9 Blake Corum fumbled, recovered by MICH Trevor Keegan [NHSG] CORUM, Blake rush up the middle for no gain, CORUM, Blake fumbled at UMD9 forced by JOHNSON, Taizse, recovered by MIC KEEGAN, Trevor at the UMD9, returned 0 yards to the UMD9, End of Play.

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.34

Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the MD 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return+11 ydsPPA -4.39

J.J. McCarthy pass intercepted Jaishawn Barham return for 11 yds to the MD 11

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Kneel down by UMD at UMD10 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Roman Hemby run for 1 yd to the MD 23

2nd & 9Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.43

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Kaden Prather for 34 yds to the MICH 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Roman Hemby run for 3 yds to the MICH 40

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Roman Hemby run for 4 yds to the MICH 36

3rd & 3Penalty+15 yds

TAGOVAILOA, Taulia pass up the middle incomplete intended for LITTLETON II, Antwain thrown to the MIC27. PENALTY MIC Roughing the Passer on GRAHAM, Mason enforced 15 yards from the MIC36 to the MIC21 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.31

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 13 yds to the MICH 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Taulia Tagovailoa run for 7 yds to the MICH 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Antwain Littleton II run for no gain to the MICH 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Billy Edwards Jr. 1 Yd Run (Jack Howes Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the MICH 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the MICH 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the MICH 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tarheeb Still at the MD 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.16

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 17 yds to the MD 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 1 yd to the MD 42

2nd & 9Pass Interception Return+1 ydsPPA -1.42

Taulia Tagovailoa pass intercepted Mike Sainristil return for 1 yd to the MICH 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.68

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 10 yds to the MD 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the MD 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Semaj Morgan for 8 yds to the MD 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Donovan Edwards run for 7 yds to the MD 24

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

4th & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.26

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 11 yds to the MD 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Semaj Morgan 13 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.52

Taulia Tagovailoa run for a loss of 1 yard to the MD 15

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.42

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 13 yds to the MD 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Roman Hemby run for 7 yds to the MD 35

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Roman Hemby run for 7 yds to the MD 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.62

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 24 yds to the MICH 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.00

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Kaden Prather for 33 yds to the MICH 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Billy Edwards Jr. run for no gain to the MICH 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Billy Edwards Jr. 1 Yd Run (Jack Howes Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the MICH 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.23

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Semaj Morgan for 8 yds to the MICH 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the MICH 39

2nd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.55

J.J. McCarthy sacked by Ja'Quan Sheppard for a loss of 7 yards to the MICH 32

3rd & 14Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.14

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to AJ Barner for 7 yds to the MICH 39

4th & 7Penalty+5 yds

DOMAN, Tommy punt 45 yards to the UMD16, STILL, Tarheeb returned 19 yards to the UMD35 (WAGNER, William;JOHNSON, Quinten), clock 12:05. PENALTY UMD Offsides on GIBSON, Gavin enforced 5 yards from the MIC39 to the MIC44 [FAKE PUNT]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 56 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Colby McDonald run for 6 yds to the MD 26

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Colby McDonald run for 2 yds to the MD 28

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.95

Antwain Littleton II run for 3 yds to the MD 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 2 yds to the MD 33

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

Maryland Penalty, False Start (Kyle Long) to the MD 28

3rd & 13Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.23

Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Mason Graham and Braiden McGregor for a loss of 10 yards to the MD 18

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Brenden Segovia punt for 32 yds, downed at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the MD 46

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the MD 43

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Tarheeb Still at the MD 10

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Roman Hemby run for 1 yd to the MD 11

2nd & 9Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.30

Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Kenneth Grant for a loss of 9 yards to the MD 2

3rd & 18Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.38

Taulia Tagovailoa pass intercepted Mike Sainristil return for no gain to the MD 39

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the MD 38

2nd & 9Penalty-10 yds

MCCARTHY, J.J. scrambles to the right for a gain of 2 yards to the UMD36, End of Play. PENALTY MIC Holding on JONES, Trente enforced 10 yards from the UMD38 to the UMD48. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 47 yds, downed at the MD 1

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Colby McDonald run for 3 yds to the MD 4

0th & 0Safety0 yds

Team Safety

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the MD 42

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the MD 39

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the MD 38

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.70

Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the MD 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the MD 33

2nd & 6Penalty+15 yds

Maryland Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the MD 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

[NH] Kneel down by MCCARTHY, J.J. at UMD19 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
41%
27 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
45%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
6 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
1 play
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Maryland

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
35%
26 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
46%
13 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
67%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
2 plays