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← Back to GamesNov 11, 2023Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Nebraska by 1.3

Home Win Probability

Nebraska 45%

Market (Bovada)

Nebraska +1.5

Edge: Nebraska +1.5 (2.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 11, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MarylandMaryland
070613
NebraskaNebraska
0010010

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40140-710-710-1010-13
NebraskaMaryland

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MARNEBMARNEBMARNEBMARNEBMARNEBMARNEBMARNEBMARNEBMARNEBMARNEBMARPUNT1138ydTO1041ydPUNT63ydPUNT515ydPUNT33ydDOWNS1258ydTD269ydTO645ydDOWNS536ydPUNT34ydTO16ydTD627ydTO411ydFG611ydDOWNS1457ydTO23ydFG43ydTO10ydTO646ydTO1190ydFG1275yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Maryland and Nebraska
StatisticMarylandNebraska
Passing27-4010-21
Pass Yards28386
Rush Yards101183
Total Yards384269
Turnovers35
3rd Down6-132-9
Penalties10-921-15
Possession28:5931:01

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Maryland
passing
Taulia Tagovailoa
27/40, 283 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Roman Hemby
16 CAR, 74 YDS
receiving
Jeshaun Jones
5 REC, 86 YDS
defense
Nebraska
passing
Jeff Sims
8/13, 62 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Emmett Johnson
17 CAR, 84 YDS
receiving
Billy Kemp
2 REC, 30 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Roman Hemby run for 2 yds to the MD 27

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Taulia Tagovailoa run for 2 yds to the MD 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.99

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 10 yds to the MD 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Antwain Littleton II run for 2 yds to the MD 41

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.77

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 10 yds to the NEB 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Jeshaun Jones

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Preston Howard

3rd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.76

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Antwain Littleton II for 10 yds to the NEB 39 for a 1ST down Nebraska Penalty, Defensive Offside (Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Preston Howard for 8 yds to the NEB 31

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.18

Octavian Smith Jr. run for 6 yds to the NEB 37

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Tai Felton

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Brenden Segovia punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the NEB 10

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Heinrich Haarberg run for 3 yds to the NEB 13

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.73

Emmett Johnson run for 10 yds to the NEB 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.64

Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Emmett Johnson for no gain to the NEB 23

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Emmett Johnson

3rd & 10Penalty+10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Haarberg,Heinrich pass intercepted by Trader Jr.,Dante at UM 45 Trader Jr.,Dante return 7 yards to the NEB48, End Of Play PENALTY UM Holding (Wyatt,Kellan) 10 yards from NEB23 to NEB33, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Emmett Johnson run for 4 yds to the NEB 37

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Emmett Johnson run for 1 yd to the NEB 38

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Alex Bullock

4th & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.98

Nate Boerkircher run for 11 yds to the NEB 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the MD 49

2nd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA -2.43

Heinrich Haarberg pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for 1 yd to the NEB 45

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Octavian Smith Jr.

3rd & 11Penalty-5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Tagovailoa,Taulia pass complete short right to Felton,Tai for 17 yards to the NEB28, out of bounds at NEB28 PENALTY UM Delay Of Game 5 yards from NEB45 to NEB50. NO PLAY.

3rd & 16Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.60

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Kaden Prather for 17 yds to the NEB 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 5 yds to the NEB 28

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Colby McDonald run for 3 yds to the NEB 31

3rd & 8Penalty-6 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Tagovailoa,Taulia sacked for loss of 4 yards to the NEB35 (Robinson,Ty) PENALTY UM False Start (Moran,Amelio) 6 yards from NEB31 to NEB37. NO PLAY.

3rd & 14Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 2 yds to the NEB 35

4th & 12Penalty-6 yds

PENALTY UM Delay Of Game 6 yards from NEB35 to NEB41. NO PLAY.

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Brenden Segovia punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Emmett Johnson run for 3 yds to the NEB 9

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.58

Emmett Johnson run for 10 yds to the NEB 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Malachi Coleman

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Joshua Fleeks run for 5 yds to the NEB 24

3rd & 5Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.36

Heinrich Haarberg sacked by Kellan Wyatt for a loss of 3 yards to the NEB 21

4th & 8Punt+6 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MD 42 , Tarheeb Still returns for 6 yds to the MD 42

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Roman Hemby run for 4 yds to the MD 46

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Roman Hemby run for 1 yd to the MD 45

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UM False Start (Knotts,Shaleak) 5 yards from UM 45 to UM 40. NO PLAY.

3rd & 12Penalty0 yds

Maryland Penalty, Illegal Formation (Yards) declined

4th & 7Punt+6 yds

Brenden Segovia punt for 50 yds , Ethan Nation returns for 6 yds to the NEB 11

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.55

Jeff Sims run for 12 yds to the NEB 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Emmett Johnson run for 5 yds to the NEB 28

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.78

Emmett Johnson run for 6 yds to the NEB 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Maryland Penalty, Personal Foul (Fa'Najae Gotay) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jeff Sims run for 4 yds to the MD 46

2nd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Jeff Sims pass complete to Alex Bullock for 2 yds to the MD 44

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Jeff Sims run for 2 yds to the MD 42

4th & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.31

Emmett Johnson run for 7 yds to the MD 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Jeff Sims pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 3 yds to the MD 32

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Emmett Johnson run for 1 yd to the MD 33

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Jeff Sims pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 6 yds to the MD 27

4th & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.24

Jeff Sims run for 4 yds to the MD 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+53 ydsPPA +3.04

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 53 yds to the NEB 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 16 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Joshua Fleeks run for 3 yds to the NEB 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.76

Jeff Sims pass complete to Jaylen Lloyd for 25 yds to the MD 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Jeff Sims pass complete to Joshua Fleeks for 8 yds to the MD 39

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Joshua Fleeks run for 3 yds to the MD 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Jeff Sims pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 6 yds to the MD 30

2nd & 4Interception0 ydsPPA -4.23

Jeff Sims pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +3.33

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 43 yds to the NEB 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for 5 yds to the NEB 32

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Corey Dyches

3rd & 5Penalty-15 yds

Maryland Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the NEB 44

4th & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Tai Felton

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Jack Howes kickoff for 46 yds , Trevin Luben return for 10 yds to the NEB 29

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jeff Sims run for 4 yds to the NEB 33

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IV

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Thomas Fidone II

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MD 21

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 6 yds Tai Felton fumbled, recovered by NEB Omar Brown

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.17

Jeff Sims run for 11 yds to the MD 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Anthony Grant run for 9 yds to the MD 7

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.26

Emmett Johnson run for 3 yds to the MD 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Emmett Johnson run for 2 yds to the MD 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Jeff Sims run for no gain to the MD 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Janiran Bonner run for 2 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for 11 yds to the MD 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Roman Hemby

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Jeshaun Jones

3rd & 10Penalty-15 yds

Maryland Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jeshaun Jones) to the MD 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.70

Jeff Sims pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 9 yds to the MD 22

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Jeff Sims run for 1 yd to the MD 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Jeff Sims pass complete to Joshua Fleeks for 3 yds to the MD 18

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the MD 20

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IV

4th & 9Field Goal Good+38 yds

Tristan Alvano 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Kaden Prather for 5 yds to the MD 30

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.84

Roman Hemby run for 6 yds to the MD 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Roman Hemby run for 2 yds to the MD 38

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Roman Hemby run for 1 yd to the MD 39

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.54

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 10 yds to the MD 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Tagovailoa,Taulia pass complete short left to Littleton II,Antwain for 29 yards to the NEB22 (Hartzog,Malcolm), out of bounds PENALTY UM Holding (Bullock,Corey) 10 yards from UM 49 to UM 39. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Roman Hemby

2nd & 20Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Taulia Tagovailoa run for 5 yds to the MD 44

3rd & 15Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.66

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 18 yds to the NEB 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Colby McDonald for 4 yds to the NEB 34

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Colby McDonald run for 8 yds to the NEB 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 4 yds to the NEB 30

2nd & 14Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.57

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Kaden Prather for 9 yds to the NEB 21

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UM False Start (Prather,Kaden) 5 yards from NEB21 to NEB26. NO PLAY.

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Taulia Tagovailoa run for 9 yds to the NEB 17

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.64

Antwain Littleton II run for 1 yd to the NEB 18

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Jeff Sims run for 3 yds to the NEB 21

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jeff Sims run for no gain to the NEB 21 Jeff Sims fumbled, forced by Brade,Beau recovered by UM Wyatt,Kellan at NEB21

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.93

Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Marques Buford Jr. for a loss of 11 yards to the NEB 32

2nd & 21Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 6 yds to the NEB 26

3rd & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Kaden Prather for 8 yds to the NEB 18

4th & 7Field Goal Good+35 yds

Jack Howes 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.92

Jeff Sims pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Roman Hemby run for 3 yds to the NEB 46

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.13

Roman Hemby run for 10 yds to the NEB 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Kaden Prather

2nd & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.18

Taulia Tagovailoa run for 22 yds to the NEB 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Roman Hemby run for 3 yds to the NEB 11

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+8 ydsPPA -4.35

Roman Hemby run for 8 yds to the NEB 3 Roman Hemby fumbled, forced by Wright,Javin recovered by NEB Robinson,Ty

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Emmett Johnson run for 2 yds to the NEB 5

2nd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.64

Chubba Purdy run for 13 yds to the NEB 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Emmett Johnson run for 2 yds to the NEB 20

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Emmett Johnson run for 2 yds to the NEB 22

3rd & 6Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.85

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 24 yds to the NEB 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Chubba Purdy run for 9 yds to the MD 45

2nd & 1Rush+29 ydsPPA +0.41

Emmett Johnson run for 29 yds to the MD 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.68

Chubba Purdy run for 11 yds to the MD 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Thomas Fidone II

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Emmett Johnson run for 2 yds to the MD 7

3rd & 7Interception0 ydsPPA -4.12

Chubba Purdy pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Kaden Prather

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Corey Dyches

3rd & 10Penalty-15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Tagovailoa,Taulia pass incomplete deep right to Felton,Tai PENALTY NEB Pass Interference (Hill,Tommi) 15 yards from UM 19 to UM 34, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Roman Hemby run for 6 yds to the MD 40

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.45

Roman Hemby run for 3 yds to the MD 43

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Roman Hemby run for 2 yds to the MD 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Preston Howard for 3 yds to the MD 48

2nd & 7Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.86

Roman Hemby run for 21 yds to the NEB 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.22

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 11 yds to the NEB 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.10

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 10 yds to the NEB 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Roman Hemby run for 1 yd to the NEB 11

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Roman Hemby run for 5 yds to the NEB 6

3rd & 6Field Goal Good+24 yds

Jack Howes 24 yd FG GOOD

Situational Analysis

Maryland

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
43%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
33%
6 plays
40%
10 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
75%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Nebraska

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
38%
24 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
17%
6 plays
45%
11 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
20%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play