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← Back to GamesNov 4, 2023Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Penn State by 10.6

Home Win Probability

Maryland 26%

Market (Bovada)

Maryland +8.5

Edge: Penn State -8.5 (2.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 4, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Penn StatePenn State
14732751
MarylandMaryland
070815

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-70-147-147-217-247-3115-3815-4415-51
MarylandPenn State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MARPSMARPSMARPSMARPSMARPSPSMARPSMARPSMARPSMARPSMARPSMARPSMARDOWNS619ydTD844ydTO552ydPUNT3-9ydPUNT36ydTD879ydTD1375ydTD1275ydPUNT927ydEND1-5ydFG1170ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT38ydPUNT520ydTD1388ydTD775ydTD526ydTO10ydFG42ydTO11ydFG84ydTO2-3ydTD312ydEND31yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Penn State and Maryland
StatisticPenn StateMaryland
Passing26-3931-42
Pass Yards246283
Rush Yards158-49
Total Yards404234
Turnovers04
3rd Down7-154-12
Penalties7-764-45
Possession37:1422:46

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Penn State
passing
Drew Allar
25/34, 240 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Kaytron Allen
14 CAR, 91 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Keandre Lambert
8 REC, 95 YDS
defense
Abdul Carter
1 TFL, 1 PD
Maryland
passing
Taulia Tagovailoa
29/39, 286 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Billy Edwards
1 CAR, 4 YDS
receiving
Tai Felton
4 REC, 75 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for 3 yds to the MD 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.23

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 8 yds to the MD 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Roman Hemby run for 1 yd to the MD 37

2nd & 9Penalty-15 yds

TAGOVAILOA, Taulia pass to the right incomplete intended for DYCHES, Corey thrown to the UMD37. PENALTY UMD Personal Foul on JONES, Jeshaun enforced 15 yards from the UMD37 to the UMD22 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 24Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.30

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Preston Howard for 12 yds to the MD 34

3rd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.74

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 11 yds to the MD 45

4th & 1Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.75

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for a loss of 1 yard to the MD 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Drew Allar pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 1 yd to the MD 43

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Kaytron Allen run for 6 yds to the MD 37

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.05

Drew Allar pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 7 yds to the MD 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Kaytron Allen run for 1 yd to the MD 29

2nd & 9Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.67

Kaytron Allen run for 13 yds to the MD 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Drew Allar pass complete to Kaytron Allen for 1 yd to the MD 15

2nd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.77

Kaytron Allen run for 9 yds to the MD 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Drew Allar pass complete to Dante Cephas for 6 yds for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Taulia Tagovailoa run for 2 yds to the MD 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.18

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 30 yds to the PSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for 5 yds to the PSU 38

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 6 yds to the PSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+9 ydsPPA -4.13

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 9 yds Tai Felton fumbled, recovered by PSU Zane Durant [NHSG] TAGOVAILOA, Taulia pass to the left complete for 9 yards to FELTON, Tai caught at the PSU33, FELTON, Tai fumbled at PSU23 forced by ISAAC, Adisa, recovered by PSU DURANT, Zane at the PSU23, returned 14 yards to the PSU37 (PURCELL, Mike;ISAAC, Adisa), clock 07:12.

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Drew Allar pass incomplete

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Drew Allar pass incomplete

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

ALLAR, Drew pass short to the right complete for 5 yards to JOHNSON, Theo caught at the PSU42 and advanced to the PSU42 (BRADE, Beau). PENALTY PSU Holding on WALLACE, Caedan enforced 10 yards from the PSU37 to the PSU27 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Drew Allar pass complete to Theo Johnson for 1 yd to the PSU 28

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Riley Thompson punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Roman Hemby run for no gain to the MD 31

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.85

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 9 yds to the MD 40

3rd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.23

Antwain Littleton II run for a loss of 3 yards to the MD 37

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Colton Spangler punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Drew Allar pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 7 yds to the PSU 28

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.55

Drew Allar run for 7 yds to the PSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Nicholas Singleton run for 3 yds to the PSU 38

2nd & 7Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +2.97

Drew Allar pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 38 yds to the MD 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.63

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 18 yds to the MD 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Nicholas Singleton run for 3 yds to the MD 3

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Beau Pribula run for 1 yd to the MD 2

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Drew Allar pass complete to Theo Johnson for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK)

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Abdul Carter for a loss of 5 yards to the MD 20

2nd & 15Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.68

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 12 yds to the MD 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.42

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 5 yds to the MD 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.99

Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Hakeem Beamon for a loss of 8 yards to the MD 29

2nd & 18Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.69

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Kaden Prather for 28 yds to the PSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 5 yds to the PSU 38

2nd & 5Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.87

Taulia Tagovailoa run for a loss of 4 yards to the PSU 42

3rd & 9Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.08

Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Johnny Dixon for a loss of 12 yards to the MD 46

4th & 21Penalty+15 yds

SPANGLER, Colton punt 54 yards to the PSU0, Touchback, clock 10:09. PENALTY PSU Roughing the Kicker on CLIFFORD, Liam enforced 15 yards from the UMD46 to the PSU39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

Roman Hemby run for no gain to the PSU 39

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Roman Hemby run for 1 yd to the PSU 38

3rd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.11

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Kaden Prather for 17 yds to the PSU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

Penn State Penalty, illegal substitution (Kalen King) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for 7 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Nicholas Singleton run for 3 yds to the PSU 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.13

Drew Allar pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 7 yds to the PSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

KeAndre Lambert-Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Nicholas Singleton run for 6 yds to the PSU 41

3rd & 4Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.91

Drew Allar run for 21 yds to the MD 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the MD 36

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.87

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 14 yds to the MD 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Drew Allar pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the MD 20

3rd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.27

Drew Allar pass complete to Dante Cephas for 14 yds to the MD 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.62

Beau Pribula run for a loss of 2 yards to the MD 8

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 8 yds for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 1 yd to the MD 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.02

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 11 yds to the MD 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Preston Howard for 4 yds to the MD 41

2nd & 6Penalty0 yds

Maryland Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Taulia Tagovailoa) to the MD 29

3rd & 18Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.32

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 20 yds to the MD 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 3 yds to the PSU 48

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Colton Spangler punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Daequan Hardy at the PSU 15

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

[NHSG] Kneel down by ALLAR, Drew at PSU10 (team loss of 5), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kaytron Allen run for 5 yds to the PSU 22

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.60

Kaytron Allen run for 6 yds to the PSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.10

Drew Allar pass complete to Theo Johnson for 12 yds to the PSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

ALLAR, Drew pass deep to the left incomplete intended for LAMBERT-SMITH, KeAndre thrown to the UMD22. PENALTY UMD Roughing the Passer on JOHNSON, Taizse enforced 15 yards from the PSU40 to the UMD45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Kaytron Allen run for 6 yds to the MD 39

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Drew Allar pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Kaytron Allen run for 3 yds to the MD 36

4th & 1Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.94

Drew Allar pass complete to Khalil Dinkins for 16 yds to the MD 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Drew Allar pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.47

Drew Allar pass complete to Dante Cephas for no gain to the MD 20

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.26

Drew Allar pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 7 yds to the MD 13

4th & 3Field Goal Good+30 yds

Alex Felkins 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Roman Hemby run for a loss of 2 yards to the MD 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 6 yds to the MD 29

3rd & 6Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.52

Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Adisa Isaac for a loss of 9 yards to the MD 20

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Colton Spangler punt for 51 yds, downed at the PSU 29

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Nicholas Singleton run for 3 yds to the PSU 32

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Drew Allar pass complete to Omari Evans for 5 yds to the PSU 37

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Drew Allar pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Riley Thompson punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Tarheeb Still at the MD 17

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.97

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 20 yds to the MD 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Colton Spangler punt for 51 yds, downed at the PSU 12

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.12

Kaytron Allen run for 19 yds to the PSU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Kaytron Allen run for 1 yd to the PSU 32

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.79

Drew Allar pass complete to Dante Cephas for 10 yds to the PSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Drew Allar pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Drew Allar pass complete to Dante Cephas for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.35

Kaytron Allen run for 4 yds to the MD 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Drew Allar pass complete to Theo Johnson for 4 yds to the MD 42

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Drew Allar pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 8 yds to the MD 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Kaytron Allen run for 6 yds to the MD 28

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Drew Allar pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the MD 26

4th & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.27

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 11 yds to the MD 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Drew Allar pass complete to Dante Cephas for 15 yds for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Colby McDonald for 3 yds to the MD 28

4th & 7Penalty+11 yds

TAGOVAILOA, Taulia pass to the left incomplete intended for HOWARD, Preston thrown to the UMD43, clock 12:58. PENALTY PSU Pass Interference on DIXON, Johnny enforced at the spot of the foul for 11 yards to the UMD39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Penn State Penalty, Roughing the Passer on DENNIS-SUTTON, Dani enforced (Dani Dennis-Sutton) to the PSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.57

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Kaden Prather for 13 yds to the PSU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.90

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 30 yds to the PSU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 1 yd for a TD (A. Littleton II Run For Two-point Conversion)

0th & 0Penalty+1 yds

TAGOVAILOA, Taulia two-point conversion pass attempt to PRATHER, Kaden failed (incomplete); conversion is no good. PENALTY PSU Pass Interference on DIXON, Johnny enforced 1 yards to the PSU2. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.61

Drew Allar pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 20 yds to the MD 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Drew Allar pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.44

Drew Allar run for 9 yds to the MD 12

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.07

Drew Allar run for 2 yds to the MD 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Kaytron Allen run for 10 yds for a TD Penn State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Theo Johnson) to the MD 0 (Alex Felkins KICK)

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.16

Taulia Tagovailoa pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Beau Pribula run for 4 yds to the MD 16

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.59

Nicholas Singleton run for a loss of 2 yards to the MD 18

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Beau Pribula pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+35 yds

Alex Felkins 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Taulia Tagovailoa sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the MD 26

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Beau Pribula pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Beau Pribula run for 5 yds to the MD 21

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Beau Pribula run for 4 yds to the MD 17

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.66

Beau Pribula run for 2 yds to the MD 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Tank Smith run for 1 yd to the MD 14

2nd & 9Sack-13 ydsPPA -2.39

Beau Pribula sacked by Quashon Fuller for a loss of 13 yards to the MD 27

3rd & 22Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Beau Pribula run for 5 yds to the MD 22

4th & 17Field Goal Good+39 yds

Alex Felkins 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Colby McDonald run for a loss of 3 yards to the MD 22

2nd & 13Interception0 ydsPPA +0.03

Billy Edwards Jr. pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Beau Pribula pass complete to Trey Potts for 6 yds to the MD 6

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Beau Pribula pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.72

Beau Pribula run for 6 yds for a TD

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.64

Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for no gain to the MD 23

2nd & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.41

Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the MD 20

3rd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Billy Edwards Jr. run for 4 yds to the MD 24

Situational Analysis

Penn State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
3 plays
38%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
81%
16 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
80%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
3 plays

Maryland

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
21%
24 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
40%
10 plays
100%
5 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
33%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play