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← Back to GamesOct 28, 2023Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Maryland by 12

Home Win Probability

Northwestern 19%

Market (Bovada)

Northwestern +14.5

Edge: Northwestern +14.5 (2.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 28, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MarylandMaryland
1433727
NorthwesternNorthwestern
14103633

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-714-1421-1424-1427-1727-2030-2033-27
NorthwesternMaryland

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MARNORMARNORMARNORMARNORMARNORMARNORNORMARNORMARNORMARNORMARNORMARNORMARNORTD566ydPUNT49ydTO1-12ydTD312ydTD845ydTD669ydPUNT36ydTD1097ydDOWNS1177ydFG1284ydFG859ydEND1-1ydFG43ydPUNT417ydPUNT3-4ydFG1238ydPUNT34ydPUNT922ydFG1067ydPUNT3-13ydFG649ydTD461ydPUNT32ydTO828ydEND2-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Maryland and Northwestern
StatisticMarylandNorthwestern
Passing30-4716-23
Pass Yards274265
Rush Yards11799
Total Yards391364
Turnovers20
3rd Down6-152-10
Penalties6-698-69
Possession29:1330:47

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Maryland
passing
Taulia Tagovailoa
30/47, 274 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Colby McDonald
5 CAR, 43 YDS
receiving
Jeshaun Jones
9 REC, 78 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Northwestern
passing
Brendan Sullivan
16/23, 265 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Brendan Sullivan
14 CAR, 56 YDS
receiving
Joseph Himon II
2 REC, 67 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 11 yds to the MD 45 for a 1ST down

2nd & 3Rush+36 ydsPPA +1.09

Kaden Prather run for 36 yds to the NU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Taulia Tagovailoa run for 4 yds to the NU 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 7 yds to the NU 48

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.55

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 8 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.98

A.J. Henning run for 11 yds to the NU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the NU 42

2nd & 6Sack0 ydsPPA -1.05

Brendan Sullivan sacked by Taizse Johnson for 0 yards to the NU 42

3rd & 6Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.02

Brendan Sullivan sacked by Ruben Hyppolite II for a loss of 6 yards to the NU 36

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jeshaun Jones at the MD 30

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -1.61

Taulia Tagovailoa sacked for a loss of 12 yards at the MD18, fumble on the sack, recovered by Bryce Gallagher at the MD18, returned 6 yards to the MD12.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

A.J. Henning run for 1 yd to the MD 11

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.83

Brendan Sullivan run for 10 yds to the MD 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Cam Porter run for 1 yd for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 6 yds to the NU 39

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Antwain Littleton II run for 3 yds to the NU 36

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.56

Taulia Tagovailoa run for 2 yds to the NU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.53

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 8 yds to the NU 26

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.39

Antwain Littleton II run for 2 yds to the NU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +3.12

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for 24 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Anthony Tyus III run for 5 yds to the NU 36

2nd & 5Penalty+15 yds

Maryland Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Fa'Najae Gotay) to the MD 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 4 yds to the MD 43

2nd & 6Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.14

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 24 yds to the MD 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.73

Anthony Tyus III run for a loss of 4 yards to the MD 23

2nd & 14Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +3.33

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 23 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Henry Helms kickoff for 49 yds , return for no gain to the MD 46

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Ramon Brown run for 3 yds to the MD 49

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Taulia Tagovailoa run for 3 yds to the NU 48

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Colton Spangler punt for 45 yds, downed at the NU 3

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Maryland Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the NU 8

1st & 5Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.61

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Marshall Lang for 23 yds to the NU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the NU 33

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.61

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to A.J. Henning for 9 yds to the NU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.51

Brendan Sullivan run for 6 yds to the MD 48 for a 1ST down Maryland Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Riyad Wilmot) to the MD 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.45

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 18 yds to the MD 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Cam Porter run for 5 yds to the MD 14

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Cam Porter run for 10 yds to the MD 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the MD 3

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Cam Porter for 3 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.61

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for no gain to the MD 22

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for 4 yds to the MD 26

3rd & 6Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.10

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Kaden Prather for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for 6 yds to the NU 44

2nd & 4Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.62

Roman Hemby run for 12 yds to the NU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.53

Roman Hemby run for 8 yds to the NU 24

2nd & 2Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA -0.08

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 15 yds to the NU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Taulia Tagovailoa run for 8 yds to the NU 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Antwain Littleton II run for no gain to the NU 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Taulia Tagovailoa run for no gain to the NU 1

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.21

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Brendan Sullivan run for 2 yds to the NU 3

2nd & 8Penalty0 yds

Northwestern Penalty, False Start (Yards) to the NU 2

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.53

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Cam Johnson for 12 yds to the NU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Joseph Himon II run for 1 yd to the NU 15

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Brendan Sullivan run for 10 yds to the NU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to A.J. Henning for 3 yds to the NU 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to A.J. Henning for 4 yds to the NU 32

3rd & 3Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.19

Brendan Sullivan run for 13 yds to the NU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +1.64

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Cam Johnson for 34 yds to the MD 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Anthony Tyus III run for 8 yds to the MD 13

2nd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.71

Anthony Tyus III run for a loss of 2 yards to the MD 15

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+33 yds

Jack Olsen 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for a loss of 1 yard to the MD 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.93

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 14 yds to the MD 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.76

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 22 yds to the NU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.62

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Kaden Prather for 24 yds to the NU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+34 yds

Jack Howes 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

[NHSG] Kneel down by NU at NU24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.24

A.J. Henning run for a loss of 2 yards to the MD 34

3rd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Cam Porter for 5 yds to the MD 29

4th & 7Field Goal Good+47 yds

Jack Olsen 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.70

Colby McDonald run for 19 yds to the NU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.49

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for a loss of 2 yards to the NU 48

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Colton Spangler punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.21

Brendan Sullivan run for no gain to the NU 16

3rd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.13

Brendan Sullivan sacked by Donnell Brown for a loss of 4 yards to the NU 12

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Colby McDonald run for no gain to the NU 42

2nd & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -1.05

Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Aidan Hubbard for 0 yards to the NU 42

3rd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.38

Taulia Tagovailoa run for 10 yds to the NU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.86

Colby McDonald run for 12 yds to the NU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Colby McDonald run for 2 yds to the NU 18

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Roman Hemby run for 2 yds to the NU 16

3rd & 6Penalty+5 yds

Northwestern Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Xander Mueller) to the NU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Antwain Littleton II run for 2 yds to the NU 3

2nd & 3Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Aidan Hubbard for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 4

3rd & 4Sack0 ydsPPA -0.29

Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Xander Mueller for 0 yards to the NU 4

4th & 4Field Goal Good+22 yds

Jack Howes 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the NU 30

2nd & 9Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.58

Brendan Sullivan sacked by Tre Colbert for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 29

3rd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Brendan Sullivan run for 4 yds to the NU 33

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.33

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 8 yds to the MD 24

3rd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.86

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 4 yds to the MD 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.90

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 12 yds to the MD 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Colby McDonald run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.64

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for a loss of 4 yards to the MD 46

3rd & 14Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.71

Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by R.J. Pearson for a loss of 8 yards to the MD 38

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Colton Spangler punt for 45 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the NU 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Joseph Himon II for 14 yds to the NU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.33

Brendan Sullivan run for 18 yds to the MD 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

QB Keeper SULLIVAN, Brendan rush to the right for a gain of 3 yards to the MD33 (WILMOT, Riyad), out of bounds. PENALTY NU Holding on WRATHER, Ben enforced 10 yards from the MD36 to the MD46 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Brendan Sullivan run for 5 yds to the MD 41

2nd & 15Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.53

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to A.J. Henning for 34 yds to the MD 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Penalty0 yds

Maryland Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jaishawn Barham) to the MD 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the MD 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Cam Porter run for no gain to the MD 1

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete

4th & 1Field Goal Good+19 yds

Jack Olsen 19 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 2 yds to the MD 34

2nd & 8Penalty-15 yds

TAGOVAILOA, Taulia pass deep to the right complete for 30 yards to JONES, Jeshaun caught at the NU39 and advanced to the NU36 (HEARD II, Rod). PENALTY MD Pass Interference on JONES, Jeshaun enforced 15 yards to the MD19 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 23Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

3rd & 23Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Colton Spangler punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Joseph Himon II run for no gain to the NU 40

2nd & 10Pass Reception+53 ydsPPA +3.68

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Joseph Himon II for 53 yds to the MD 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Joseph Himon II run for 1 yd to the MD 6

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Anthony Tyus III run for no gain to the MD 6

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

Northwestern Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the MD 11

4th & 11Field Goal Good+29 yds

Jack Olsen 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.38

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 16 yds to the NU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 6 yds to the NU 39

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.36

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 9 yds to the NU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+12 yds

TAGOVAILOA, Taulia pass to the left incomplete intended for DYCHES, Corey thrown to the NU18. PENALTY NU Pass Interference on TURNER, Devin enforced at the spot of the foul for 12 yards to the NU18 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 18 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the NU 26

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Anthony Tyus III run for 2 yds to the NU 28

3rd & 7Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.30

Brendan Sullivan sacked by Tre Colbert for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jeshaun Jones at the MD 41

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.96

Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Aidan Hubbard for a loss of 5 yards to the MD 36

2nd & 15Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.37

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for 12 yds to the MD 48

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.64

Roman Hemby run for 5 yds to the NU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 5 yds to the NU 42

2nd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.67

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 11 yds to the NU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.58

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for no gain to the NU 31

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

3rd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.78

Taulia Tagovailoa pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

[NHSG] Kneel down by NU at NU5 (team loss of 3).

2nd & 13Rush0 ydsPPA -0.08

[NHSG] Kneel down by NU at NU4 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Maryland

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
44%
32 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
80%
5 plays
42%
12 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Northwestern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
32%
25 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
55%
11 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th