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← Back to GamesOct 7, 2023Week 6

House Prediction

Model Margin

Howard by 2.9

Home Win Probability

Northwestern 38%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Northwestern -23

Edge: Howard +23 (25.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 7, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Howard
0071320
NorthwesternNorthwestern
977023

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-09-016-016-723-723-20
NorthwesternHoward

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NORHOWNORHOWNORHOWNORHOWNORHOWNORHOWHOWNORHOWNORHOWNORHOWNORTD675ydPUNT37ydPUNT3-5ydSAF3-2ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT613ydPUNT1026ydPUNT522ydPUNT37ydDOWNS843ydTD1477ydEND1-1ydTD1774ydTD858ydDOWNS1446ydDOWNS834ydTD164ydPUNT34ydTD863ydEND636yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Howard and Northwestern
StatisticHowardNorthwestern
Passing18-3013-18
Pass Yards169131
Rush Yards162181
Total Yards331312
Turnovers00
3rd Down7-157-13
Penalties8-528-46
Possession29:3430:26

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Howard
passing
Quinton Williams
18/30, 169 YDS
rushing
Eden James
21 CAR, 177 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Richie Ilarraza
7 REC, 65 YDS
defense
Northwestern
passing
Brendan Sullivan
13/18, 131 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Cam Porter
18 CAR, 78 YDS
receiving
Cam Johnson
4 REC, 55 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Cam Porter run for 3 yds to the NU 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.42

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Calvin Johnson II for 10 yds to the NU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Cam Porter run for 8 yds to the NU 46

2nd & 2Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.63

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 12 yds to the HOW 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Brendan Sullivan run for 7 yds to the HOW 35

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +2.82

Brendan Sullivan run for 35 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Quinton Williams pass complete to Jr. Wayne Dennis for 7 yds to the HOW 26

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Ian Wheeler run for no gain to the HOW 26

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Quinton Williams pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Aaron Bickerton punt for 15 yds

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -2.40

run for a loss of 7 yards to the HOW 48 fumbled, recovered by NU Brendan Sullivan

2nd & 17Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 2 yds to the HOW 46

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 43 yds, downed at the HOW 3

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Eden James run for 3 yds to the HOW 6

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Quinton Williams run for 2 yds to the HOW 8

3rd & 5Safety0 ydsPPA -1.81

Xander Mueller Safety

0th & 0Penalty-5 yds

BICKERTON, Aaron free kick 39 yards from the HU20 to the NU41, returned by KIRTZ, Bryce. (WHEELER, Ian), clock 08:42. PENALTY HU Offsides enforced 5 yards from the HU20 to the HU15. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Cam Porter run for 5 yds to the NU 38

2nd & 5Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.52

Brendan Sullivan run for a loss of 4 yards to the NU 34

3rd & 9Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.44

Brendan Sullivan sacked by Clayton Perrin for a loss of 4 yards to the NU 30

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 45 yds , returns for no gain to the HOW 24

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Ian Wheeler run for 2 yds to the HOW 26

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Quinton Williams pass complete to Ian Wheeler for 2 yds fumbled, forced by Rod Heard II, recovered by HOW Ian Wheeler

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.83

Quinton Williams pass complete to Breylin Smith for 9 yds to the HOW 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Ian Wheeler run for no gain to the HOW 37

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Quinton Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Quinton Williams pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Aaron Bickerton punt for 31 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Cam Porter run for 7 yds to the NU 40

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.45

Cam Porter run for 5 yds to the NU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Howard Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the HOW 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Cam Porter run for 3 yds to the HOW 45

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

PORTER, Cam rush to the left for no gain to the HU45 (GALLOP, JR., Kenny), clock 02:07. PENALTY NU Holding on MANGIERI, Charlie enforced 10 yards from the HU45 to the NU45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 17Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Brendan Sullivan run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 12Penalty-5 yds

Northwestern Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NU 45

3rd & 17Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.95

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 23 yds to the HOW 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Brendan Sullivan run for no gain to the HOW 32

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Anthony Tyus III run for 1 yd to the HOW 31

3rd & 9Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.99

Brendan Sullivan sacked by Jr. Kenny Gallop for a loss of 5 yards to the HOW 36

4th & 14Penalty-5 yds

Northwestern Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the HOW 41

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 17 yds, downed at the HOW 24

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

run for 7 yds to the HOW 31

2nd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.99

Eden James run for 11 yds to the HOW 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Quinton Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Eden James run for 9 yds to the NU 49

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Howard Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the HOW 46

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Quinton Williams pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Aaron Bickerton punt for 54 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Brendan Sullivan run for 1 yd to the NU 21

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Joseph Himon II for 6 yds to the NU 27

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.86

Quinton Williams pass complete to Kasey Hawthorne for 21 yds to the NU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Eden James run for 5 yds to the NU 40

2nd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Quinton Williams pass complete to Breylin Smith for 2 yds to the NU 38

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.18

Quinton Williams pass complete to Richie Ilarraza for 10 yds to the NU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Ian Wheeler run for no gain to the NU 28

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Eden James run for 4 yds to the NU 24

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Quinton Williams pass complete to Eden James for 4 yds to the NU 20

4th & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -3.55

Eden James run for a loss of 3 yards to the NU 23

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Cam Johnson run for 8 yds to the NU 31

2nd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Cam Johnson for 6 yds to the NU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Cam Porter run for 8 yds to the NU 45

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.09

Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the NU 46

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.10

Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the NU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Brendan Sullivan run for no gain to the NU 48

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Cam Porter run for 5 yds to the HOW 47

3rd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.07

Cam Porter run for 11 yds to the HOW 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.33

Joseph Himon II run for 12 yds to the HOW 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.13

Joseph Himon II run for 10 yds to the HOW 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Cam Porter run for no gain to the HOW 14

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Brendan Sullivan run for 5 yds to the HOW 9

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.13

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Charlie Mangieri for 5 yds to the HOW 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 4 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

(00:24) [NH] Kneel down by HU at HU24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:12.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Eden James run for 4 yds to the HOW 30

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.27

Quinton Williams pass complete to Kasey Hawthorne for 9 yds to the HOW 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Quinton Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.55

Quinton Williams pass complete to Richie Ilarraza for 17 yds to the NU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Quinton Williams pass complete to Richie Ilarraza for 7 yds to the NU 37

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Eden James run for 2 yds to the NU 35

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.53

Eden James run for 2 yds to the NU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.72

Quinton Williams pass complete to Nah'shawn Hezekiah for 9 yds to the NU 24

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Jarett Hunter run for 2 yds to the NU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Eden James run for 4 yds to the NU 18

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.64

Tony Bedell run for a loss of 2 yards to the NU 20

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Quinton Williams pass complete to Nah'shawn Hezekiah for 9 yds to the NU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Eden James run for 3 yds to the NU 8

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Quinton Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Quinton Williams pass complete to Richie Ilarraza for 6 yds to the NU 2

4th & 1Penalty0 yds

Northwestern Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the NU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Quinton Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Ja'Shawn Scroggins run for 1 yd for a TD (Dylan West KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Joseph Himon II run for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 41

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Cam Porter run for 6 yds to the NU 47

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.03

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Cam Johnson for 6 yds to the HOW 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

PORTER, Cam rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the HU46 (HOLLON, Terrance). PENALTY Before the snap, HU Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the HU47 to the HU42. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the HOW 40

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the HOW 39

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.00

Brendan Sullivan run for 7 yds to the HOW 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the HOW 30

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

SULLIVAN, Brendan pass short to the left complete for 10 yards to JOHNSON, Cam caught at the HU25 and advanced to the HU20 (HINTON, Carson), out of bounds. PENALTY NU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on THOMPSON, Josh enforced 5 yards from the HU30 to the HU35 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 13Passing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +3.97

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Cam Johnson for 35 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Quinton Williams pass complete to Richie Ilarraza for 14 yds to the HOW 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Eden James run for 1 yd to the HOW 40

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Eden James run for 7 yds to the HOW 47

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.26

Eden James run for 2 yds to the HOW 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Quinton Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.35

Eden James run for 26 yds to the NU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Quinton Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Jarett Hunter run for 2 yds to the NU 23

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Quinton Williams pass complete to Richie Ilarraza for 6 yds to the NU 17

4th & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.76

Quinton Williams pass complete to Richie Ilarraza for 5 yds to the NU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Eden James run for 3 yds to the NU 9

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Quinton Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.53

Quinton Williams sacked by Richie Hagarty for a loss of 8 yards to the NU 17

4th & 15Penalty0 yds

Howard Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Intentional Grounding on WILLIAMS, Quinton enforced a result of a (Yards) to the NU 29

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

TYUS III, Anthony rush to the left for a gain of 16 yards to the NU46 (HARTLEY, Derrick), out of bounds. PENALTY NU Holding on MANGIERI, Charlie enforced 10 yards from the NU30 to the NU20 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Anthony Tyus III run for 2 yds to the NU 22

2nd & 18Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.43

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Calvin Johnson II for 11 yds to the NU 33

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.10

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Cam Johnson for 8 yds to the NU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Howard Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Christian White) to the HOW 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Northwestern Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the HOW 37

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Calvin Johnson II for 3 yds to the HOW 34

3rd & 12Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.85

Brendan Sullivan run for 9 yds to the HOW 25

4th & 3Sack-11 ydsPPA -3.13

Brendan Sullivan sacked by Carson Hinton for a loss of 11 yards to the HOW 36

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+64 ydsPPA +5.15

Eden James run for 64 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Cam Porter run for 8 yds to the NU 28

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the NU 29

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Northwestern Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NU 24

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jamarr Ebron at the HOW 37

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Eden James run for 1 yd to the HOW 38

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Quinton Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.57

Quinton Williams pass complete to Eden James for 24 yds to the NU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Eden James run for 1 yd to the NU 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.60

Quinton Williams pass complete to Eden James for 8 yds to the NU 29

3rd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.51

Eden James run for 12 yds to the NU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.64

Eden James run for 16 yds to the NU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Jarett Hunter run for 1 yd for a TD (Dylan West KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Brendan Sullivan run for 1 yd to the HOW 42

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.20

Anthony Tyus III run for 10 yds to the HOW 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.22

Anthony Tyus III run for 10 yds to the HOW 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Anthony Tyus III run for 6 yds to the HOW 16

2nd & 4Penalty+3 yds

Howard Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Christian White) to the HOW 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

[NHSG] Kneel down by NU at HU7 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Howard

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
36%
25 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
38%
13 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
67%
6 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

Northwestern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
3 plays
50%
22 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
57%
7 plays
0%
1 play
67%
6 plays
67%
6 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play