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← Back to GamesSep 16, 2023Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Nebraska by 6.9

Home Win Probability

Nebraska 65%

Market (Bovada)

Nebraska -11.5

Edge: Northern Illinois +11.5 (4.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 16, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois
300811
NebraskaNebraska
7771435

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-314-321-328-335-11
NebraskaNorthern Illinois

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NINEBNINEBNINEBNINEBNINEBNINEBNINEBNINEBNINEBNINEBNINEBNINEBNINEBPUNT35ydTD655ydPUNT622ydTO2-12ydFG4-8ydPUNT38ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT31ydPUNT418ydPUNT943ydPUNT35ydTD436ydPUNT511ydPUNT37ydEND422ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT32ydPUNT629ydPUNT34ydTD1476ydPUNT610ydTD965ydTO410ydTD535ydTD1175ydEND118yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northern Illinois and Nebraska
StatisticNorthern IllinoisNebraska
Passing17-3614-24
Pass Yards123158
Rush Yards26224
Total Yards149382
Turnovers11
3rd Down4-158-14
Penalties2-105-70
Possession23:4336:17

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northern Illinois
passing
Rocky Lombardi
11/28, 73 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Antario Brown
8 CAR, 16 YDS
receiving
Davis Patterson
2 REC, 30 YDS
defense
Nebraska
passing
Heinrich Haarberg
14/24, 158 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Heinrich Haarberg
21 CAR, 98 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Thomas Fidone Jr.
4 REC, 42 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the NIU 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Jalen Johnson for 6 yds to the NIU 30

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Gavin Williams run for no gain to the NIU 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Tom Foley punt for 25 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Heinrich Haarberg run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.49

Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Marcus Washington for 26 yds to the NIU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Heinrich Haarberg run for 9 yds to the NIU 15

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Heinrich Haarberg run for 1 yd to the NIU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Heinrich Haarberg run for 4 yds to the NIU 10

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.57

Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 10 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Christion Carter

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 5 yds to the NIU 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.78

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Christion Carter for 8 yds to the NIU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Gavin Williams run for 4 yds to the NIU 42

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Antario Brown run for 3 yds to the NIU 45

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Rocky Lombardi run for 2 yds to the NIU 47

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Tom Foley punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the NEB 12

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Tom Foley punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the NEB 17

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tommi Hill run for 5 yds to the NEB 12

2nd & 15Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -0.14

Heinrich Haarberg sacked by George Gumbs for a loss of 7 yards to the NEB 5 Heinrich Haarberg fumbled, recovered by NIU Skyler Gill-Howard , return for 0 yards

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Antario Brown run for 2 yds to the NEB 7

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Kacper Rutkiewicz for 3 yds to the NEB 4

3rd & 4Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.23

Rocky Lombardi sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the NEB 13

4th & 13Field Goal Good+30 yds

Jake Seibert 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Kanon Woodill kickoff for 65 yds , Rahmir Johnson return for 16 yds to the NEB 16

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 1 yd to the NEB 17

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 1 yd to the NEB 18

3rd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Heinrich Haarberg run for 6 yds to the NEB 24

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Kacper Rutkiewicz at the NIU 35

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Antario Brown run for 7 yds to the NIU 42

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.26

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Grayson Barnes

3rd & 3Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.44

Rocky Lombardi sacked by Jimari Butler for a loss of 9 yards to the NIU 33

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Tom Foley punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the NEB 32

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Heinrich Haarberg run for 4 yds to the NEB 28

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IV

3rd & 14Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 5 yds to the NEB 33

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kacper Rutkiewicz at the NIU 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Davis Patterson for 18 yds to the NIU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Kacper Rutkiewicz

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Antario Brown

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Jalen Johnson

4th & 10Punt+4 yds

Tom Foley punt for 53 yds , Billy Kemp IV returns for 4 yds to the NEB 8

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.58

Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 14 yds to the NEB 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.17

Anthony Grant run for 9 yds to the NEB 31

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Heinrich Haarberg run for 2 yds to the NEB 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 1 yd to the NEB 34

2nd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 1 yd to the NEB 35

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.64

Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Gabe Ervin Jr. for 12 yds to the NEB 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Marcus Washington

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Joshua Fleeks for 4 yds to the NIU 49

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Thomas Fidone II

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Brock Lampe run for 2 yds to the NIU 3

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Kacper Rutkiewicz

3rd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.03

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Gavin Williams for 3 yds to the NIU 6

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Tom Foley punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Heinrich Haarberg run for 3 yds to the NIU 33

2nd & 7Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.66

Heinrich Haarberg run for 16 yds to the NIU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 1 yd to the NIU 16

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.84

Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 16 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.90

Rocky Lombardi sacked by MJ Sherman for a loss of 9 yards to the NIU 26

2nd & 19Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.13

Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the NIU 27

3rd & 18Penalty+15 yds

Shotgun Lombardi,Rocky pass incomplete deep right to Rutkiewicz,Kacper PENALTY NEB Pass Interference (Hill,Tommi) 15 yards from NIU27 to NIU42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Antario Brown run for 4 yds to the NIU 46

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Grayson Barnes

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Grayson Barnes

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Tom Foley punt for 54 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Heinrich Haarberg run for 4 yds to the NEB 24

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Marcus Washington

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 3 yds to the NEB 27

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Kacper Rutkiewicz at the NIU 26

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Rocky Lombardi run for 7 yds to the NIU 33

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Kacper Rutkiewicz

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.27

Gavin Williams run for 3 yds to the NIU 36 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Davis Patterson for 12 yds to the NIU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Heinrich Haarberg run for 4 yds to the NEB 21

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IV

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Tommi Hill

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 42 yds , Kacper Rutkiewicz returns for no gain to the NIU 35

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Antario Brown run for 2 yds to the NIU 37

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Brock Lampe

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Davis Patterson

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tom Foley punt for 50 yds , Billy Kemp IV returns for no gain to the NEB 12

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Anthony Grant run for 3 yds to the NEB 15

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.75

Anthony Grant run for 9 yds to the NEB 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.81

Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 10 yds to the NEB 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 4 yds to the NEB 38

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 3 yds to the NEB 41

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Gabe Ervin Jr.

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Antario Brown run for 2 yds to the NIU 24

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Antario Brown for 2 yds to the NIU 26

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Christion Carter

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Tom Foley punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the NEB 24

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Heinrich Haarberg run for 5 yds to the NEB 29

2nd & 5Penalty-10 yds

Grant,Anthony rush left for 2 yards gain to the NEB31 (Byrd,JaVaughn) PENALTY NEB Holding (Scott,Ben) 10 yards from NEB29 to NEB19. NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IV

3rd & 15Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.45

Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 20 yds to the NEB 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Thomas Fidone II

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Anthony Grant run for 6 yds to the NEB 45

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.07

Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Gabe Ervin Jr. for 8 yds to the NIU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IV

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.06

Gabe Ervin Jr. run for no gain to the NIU 47

3rd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.94

Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Alex Bullock for 33 yds to the NIU 14 for a 1ST down Nebraska Penalty, Personal Foul (Ben Scott) to the NIU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.23

Heinrich Haarberg run for 14 yds to the NIU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Anthony Grant run for 6 yds to the NIU 9

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Heinrich Haarberg run for 3 yds to the NIU 6

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.04

Heinrich Haarberg run for 3 yds to the NIU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Brock Lampe for 9 yds to the NIU 34

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.28

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Davis Patterson

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Brock Lampe run for 2 yds to the NIU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY NIU False Start (Tewes,Tristen) 5 yards from NIU36 to NIU31. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Davis Patterson

2nd & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Kacper Rutkiewicz for 4 yds to the NIU 35

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Jalen Johnson

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Tom Foley punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Heinrich Haarberg run for 2 yds to the NEB 37

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the NEB 39

3rd & 6Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.68

Heinrich Haarberg run for 13 yds to the NIU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Heinrich Haarberg run for no gain to the NIU 48

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 1 yd to the NIU 47

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.60

Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Marcus Washington for 11 yds to the NIU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.33

Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 12 yds to the NIU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 4 yds to the NIU 20

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.71

Heinrich Haarberg run for 20 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Tristan Alvano kickoff for 65 yds , Trayvon Rudolph return for 13 yds to the NIU 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Grayson Barnes for 3 yds to the NIU 16

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Gavin Williams run for 7 yds to the NIU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Davis Patterson

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.15

Rocky Lombardi pass intercepted

2nd & 10Penalty0 yds

Nebraska Penalty, Holding Personal Foul ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.27

Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 10 yds to the NIU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Heinrich Haarberg run for 3 yds to the NIU 22

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 2 yds to the NIU 20

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.58

Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Anthony Grant for 9 yds to the NIU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Anthony Grant run for 11 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kendrell Flowers run for 3 yds to the NIU 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Kendrell Flowers for 3 yds to the NIU 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.76

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Dane Pardridge for 8 yds to the NIU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Dane Pardridge

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Shotgun Hampton,Ethan pass incomplete short right to Pipkin,Keyshaun PENALTY NEB Roughing The Passer (Snodgrass,Garrett) 15 yards from NIU39 to NEB46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Kendrell Flowers run for 3 yds to the NEB 43

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Kendrell Flowers run for 4 yds to the NEB 39

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Keyshaun Pipkin

4th & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.34

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Dane Pardridge for 10 yds to the NEB 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.26

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Billy Dozier for 17 yds to the NEB 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Keyshaun Pipkin for 8 yds to the NEB 4

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.08

Christion Carter 4 Yd pass from Ethan Hampton (Billy Dozier Pass to Billy Dozier for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Kanon Woodill kickoff for 45 yds , Barret Liebentritt return for no gain to the NEB 20

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.43

Trevin Luben run for 18 yds to the NEB 38 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Northern Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
33%
21 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
20%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
33%
6 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Nebraska

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
43%
30 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
36%
11 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
100%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th