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← Back to GamesSep 15, 2023Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Maryland by 22

Home Win Probability

Maryland 93%

Market (Bovada)

Maryland -16

Edge: Maryland -16 (6.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 15, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
VirginiaVirginia
1400014
MarylandMaryland
7772142

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-1414-1421-1428-1442-14
MarylandVirginia

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MARVIRMARVIRVIRMARVIRMARVIRVIRMARVIRMARVIRMARVIRMARVIRMARVIRMARVIRPUNT32ydTD365ydMISS946ydTD763ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT422ydPUNT1255ydTD1497ydEND517ydPUNT523ydTD685ydPUNT620ydPUNT524ydTO1574ydTD980ydTO10ydTD330ydTO311ydTD656ydTO732ydPUNT37ydEND211yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Virginia and Maryland
StatisticVirginiaMaryland
Passing23-3919-30
Pass Yards263342
Rush Yards91119
Total Yards354461
Turnovers40
3rd Down7-137-13
Penalties7-467-80
Possession31:2728:33

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Virginia
passing
Anthony Colandrea
23/39, 263 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Perris Jones
9 CAR, 37 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Malik Washington
9 REC, 141 YDS
defense
Maryland
passing
Taulia Tagovailoa
19/30, 342 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Colby McDonald
10 CAR, 75 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jeshaun Jones
5 REC, 96 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Roman Hemby run for 2 yds to the MD 25

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Roman Hemby run for no gain to the MD 25

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Colton Spangler punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +2.67

Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malik Washington for 49 yds to the MD 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Perris Jones run for 3 yds to the MD 13

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.67

Perris Jones run for 13 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.78

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Kaden Prather for 23 yds to the MD 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.28

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 15 yds to the UVA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Roman Hemby run for 4 yds to the UVA 41

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.73

Antwain Littleton II run for 8 yds to the UVA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

HEMBY, Roman rush to the left for a gain of 21 yards to the UVA12 (BUTLER, Kameron). PENALTY UMD Holding on BULLOCK, Corey enforced 10 yards from the UVA33 to the UVA43 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 4 yds to the UVA 39

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

3rd & 16Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for 2 yds to the UVA 37

4th & 14Field Goal Missed+55 yds

Jack Howes 55 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Kobe Pace for 9 yds to the UVA 46

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.43

Kobe Pace run for no gain to the UVA 46

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.42

Mike Hollins run for 6 yds to the MD 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Virginia Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UVA 47

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Perris Jones run for 2 yds to the UVA 49

2nd & 13Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.48

Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malachi Fields for 16 yds to the MD 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.37

Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malik Washington for 16 yds to the MD 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Kobe Pace for 19 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return Touchdown+98 yds

Braeden Wisloski 98 Yd Kickoff Return (Jack Howes Kick)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

HARRISON, Suderian rush to the right for a gain of 3 yards to the UVA28 (MILLER, Glendon). PENALTY UVA Holding on FURNISH, Ty enforced 10 yards from the UVA25 to the UVA15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete

2nd & 20Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.07

Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Kobe Pace for a loss of 1 yard to the UVA 14

3rd & 21Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.01

Mike Hollins run for 6 yds to the UVA 20

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Daniel Sparks punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jeshaun Jones at the MD 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Antwain Littleton II run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.32

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 14 yds to the MD 44 for a 1ST down

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Antwain Littleton II run for 2 yds to the UVA 48

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Colton Spangler punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.32

Anthony Colandrea run for 10 yds to the UVA 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.52

Anthony Colandrea run for a loss of 1 yard to the UVA 15

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Perris Jones run for 5 yds to the UVA 20

3rd & 6Penalty+15 yds

COLANDREA, Anthony sacked for a loss of 12 yards at the UVA8 (WYATT, Kellan). PENALTY UMD Personal Foul on STILL, Tarheeb enforced 15 yards from the UVA20 to the UVA35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.72

Malachi Fields run for a loss of 6 yards to the UVA 29

2nd & 16Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malik Washington for 6 yds to the UVA 35

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.76

Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malachi Fields for 12 yds to the UVA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Kobe Pace run for 4 yds to the MD 49

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malik Washington for 3 yds to the MD 46

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.48

Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malik Washington for 6 yds to the MD 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-8 yds

COLANDREA, Anthony pass to the left complete for 14 yards to HARRISON, Suderian caught at the UMD40 and advanced to the UMD26 (MILLER, Glendon). PENALTY UVA Holding on WOOD, Eli enforced 8 yards from the UMD40 to the UMD48 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 18Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Anthony Colandrea run for 5 yds to the MD 43

3rd & 13Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malachi Fields for 4 yds to the MD 39

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Daniel Sparks punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

Antwain Littleton II run for no gain to the MD 3

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.79

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 14 yds to the MD 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Antwain Littleton II run for 7 yds to the MD 24

2nd & 3Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +3.15

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Kaden Prather for 43 yds to the UVA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

TAGOVAILOA, Taulia pass short to the left complete for 3 yards to JONES, Jeshaun caught at the UVA30 and advanced to the UVA30 (KYLE, Tayvonn). PENALTY UMD Illegal Block in the Back on PRATHER, Kaden enforced 10 yards from the UVA33 to the UVA43 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.82

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for 16 yds to the UVA 27

2nd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.11

Roman Hemby run for 11 yds to the UVA 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

Roman Hemby run for a loss of 1 yard to the UVA 17

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.27

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for 8 yds to the UVA 9

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Antwain Littleton II run for 1 yd to the UVA 8

4th & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.76

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 6 yds to the UVA 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Antwain Littleton II run for a loss of 1 yard to the UVA 3

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Roman Hemby run for 3 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Anthony Colandrea run for 7 yds to the UVA 24

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.12

Perris Jones run for 3 yds to the UVA 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malachi Fields for 3 yds to the UVA 30

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Perris Jones run for 4 yds to the UVA 34

0th & 7End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Perris Jones run for 1 yd to the UVA 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.66

Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malik Washington for 22 yds to the UVA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-16 ydsPPA -3.18

Anthony Colandrea sacked by Fa'Najae Gotay for a loss of 16 yards to the UVA 32

2nd & 26Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.06

Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malachi Fields for 16 yds to the UVA 48

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Daniel Sparks punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jeshaun Jones at the MD 15

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 3 yds to the MD 18

3rd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.14

Taulia Tagovailoa run for 8 yds to the MD 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Roman Hemby run for 2 yds to the MD 28

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.33

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 8 yds to the MD 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+64 ydsPPA +5.15

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 64 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kobe Pace run for 4 yds to the UVA 29

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.95

Kobe Pace run for 6 yds to the UVA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malachi Fields for 10 yds to the UVA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Daniel Sparks punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jeshaun Jones at the MD 22

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Taulia Tagovailoa run for 1 yd to the MD 23

2nd & 9Rush+35 ydsPPA +3.49

Colby McDonald run for 35 yds to the UVA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Colby McDonald run for 4 yds to the UVA 38

3rd & 6Sack-16 ydsPPA -2.87

Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Kam Butler for a loss of 16 yards to the MD 46

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Colton Spangler punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malik Washington for 7 yds to the UVA 21

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Virginia Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UVA 16

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.86

Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malachi Fields for 9 yds to the UVA 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Perris Jones run for 3 yds to the UVA 28

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Virginia Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UVA 23

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete

3rd & 12Penalty+15 yds

Maryland Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Lionell Whitaker) to the MD 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Jaden Gibson for 3 yds to the MD 46

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.00

Anthony Colandrea run for 7 yds to the MD 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.27

Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Suderian Harrison for 15 yds to the MD 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete Virginia Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Anthony Colandrea) to the MD 37

2nd & 23Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete

3rd & 23Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.66

Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malik Washington for 25 yds to the MD 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete

3rd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.86

Anthony Colandrea pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.14

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for 15 yds to the MD 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TAGOVAILOA, Taulia pass short to the right complete for 5 yards to PRATHER, Kaden caught at the UMD40 and advanced to the UMD40 (KING, Coen). PENALTY UMD Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on FAGAN, Conor enforced 5 yards from the UMD35 to the UMD30 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.18

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 10 yds to the MD 40

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.27

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 9 yds to the MD 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +1.33

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Preston Howard for 33 yds to the UVA 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Antwain Littleton II run for 3 yds to the UVA 15

2nd & 7Penalty+13 yds

TAGOVAILOA, Taulia pass up the middle incomplete intended for JONES, Jeshaun thrown to the UVA0. PENALTY UVA Pass Interference on WALKER, Dre enforced 13 yards to the UVA2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Roman Hemby run for a loss of 1 yard to the UVA 3

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Roman Hemby run for 3 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.92

Anthony Colandrea pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.60

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 28 yds to the UVA 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Antwain Littleton II run for 2 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Anthony Colandrea run for 3 yds to the UVA 28

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.23

Anthony Colandrea run for 8 yds to the UVA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.85

Anthony Colandrea pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Colby McDonald run for 3 yds to the MD 47

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Colby McDonald run for 6 yds to the UVA 47

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.88

Colby McDonald run for 1 yd to the UVA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+27 ydsPPA +0.94

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 27 yds Tai Felton fumbled, recovered by MD Taulia Tagovailoa for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.67

Colby McDonald run for 18 yds to the UVA 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Colby McDonald run for 1 yd for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Kobe Pace for 1 yd to the UVA 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Mike Hollins for 6 yds to the UVA 32

3rd & 3Penalty+15 yds

Maryland Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the MD 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malik Washington for 7 yds to the MD 42

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Perris Jones run for 3 yds to the MD 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.66

Anthony Colandrea sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the MD 43

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.37

Colby McDonald run for a loss of 1 yard to the MD 42

2nd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Colby McDonald run for 7 yds to the MD 49

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Colby McDonald run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Colton Spangler punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Jack Griese run for 2 yds to the UVA 15

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.81

Jack Griese run for 9 yds to the UVA 24 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Virginia

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
30%
30 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
73%
11 plays
63%
8 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
4th

Maryland

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
25%
4 plays
45%
22 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
8 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play